Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The mechanical industry has seen significant growth in the first half of 2025, with a nearly 14% increase, ranking sixth among all A-share sectors [2] - The industry is influenced by themes such as robotics, reducers, and hard technology, with a focus on undervalued assets [1][5] Core Insights and Arguments - **Investment Trends**: The mechanical sector's investment opportunities are concentrated in hard technology (e.g., giant wheel intelligence, controllable nuclear fusion) and undervalued assets [1][5] - **Domestic Demand**: The recovery in domestic demand for engineering machinery is moderate, primarily driven by equipment upgrades. Excavator sales slowed in Q2, but large excavators continue to perform well [1][6][7] - **External Demand**: The external demand for engineering machinery is strong, particularly in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, with potential growth in the European and American markets [1][9] - **Industrial Control Sector**: The industrial control sector reversed its downward trend in Q1 2025, showing a 2.35% year-on-year growth, with rapid growth in HVAC and industrial robots [1][10] Important but Overlooked Content - **Overseas Expansion**: China's manufacturing direct investment abroad has grown from $19.108 billion in 2018 to $27.342 billion in 2023, with a CAGR of 7.43%. ASEAN's share in this investment is increasing [4] - **Market Dynamics**: The mechanical industry is closely tied to the performance of the manufacturing, real estate, and infrastructure sectors, which are currently showing signs of weakness [3] - **Future Outlook**: The second half of 2025 is expected to see a focus on hard technology and high-dividend, low-valuation stocks, particularly in the Hong Kong market due to ample supply and global capital inflow [5][52] Recommendations - **Key Companies**: Recommended companies in the mechanical sector include Haitan International, Sany International, and Jerry Holdings, among others, with a focus on hard technology firms like Aobi Zhongguang and Sikang Technology [53] - **Investment Opportunities**: Investors are advised to pay attention to the controllable nuclear fusion sector, which is expected to see significant investment opportunities in the latter half of 2025 [50][51]

Core Viewpoint - The escalation of conflict between Iran and Israel has significant implications for global financial markets, particularly in the oil and defense sectors, creating potential investment opportunities amid rising tensions [2][3]. Group 1: Oil and Gas Sector - Iran is a crucial oil producer, accounting for approximately 3.5%-4% of global oil output, and is the third-largest producer in OPEC, with exports primarily directed towards Asian markets, especially China, which receives 60% of its exports [2]. - The recent military actions by Israel targeting Iranian energy facilities have resulted in a daily loss of 12 million cubic meters of natural gas production, raising concerns about supply shortages [3]. - Following the outbreak of conflict, international oil prices surged, with Brent crude surpassing $82 per barrel, positively impacting A-share oil and gas service stocks [3]. Group 2: Nuclear Pollution Prevention Sector - The military strikes by Israel are closely linked to nuclear concerns, as Iran has reportedly stored 400 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium, nearing weapons-grade levels [6]. - The nuclear pollution prevention sector in A-shares has seen significant gains, with a 5.05% increase on June 13 and continued upward movement in stocks like Jieqiang Equipment and Beihua Shares, which have seen over 10% gains [7]. - Several companies in the nuclear pollution prevention sector have high institutional ownership, with some exceeding 50% [7]. Group 3: Defense Sector - The conflict has highlighted vulnerabilities in traditional defense systems, leading to increased demand for advanced military technologies, including new air defense systems and drones [8]. - Chinese military products are expected to gain market share due to their cost-effectiveness and technological advancements, particularly in the context of rising global tensions [8]. - The defense sector has seen strong performance, with companies like Guorui Technology and Chengfei Integration reporting over 10% gains in the past month, and many firms having high institutional ownership [9][10].

Group 1 - Recent geopolitical tensions have led to a rapid increase in international crude oil prices, with Brent crude reported at $72.79 per barrel and domestic crude futures rising by 5.43% [1] - The market anticipates an increase in demand for oil and gas exploration, development, and equipment maintenance due to rising oil prices and concerns over energy supply stability [1] - Companies in the oil and gas equipment sector, such as Shandong Molong and China Petroleum, have seen their stocks surge, with several hitting the daily limit up on June 16 [1] Group 2 - Leading domestic oil service equipment companies, such as Yantai Jereh Petroleum Service Group and Suzhou Neway Valve, have experienced explosive growth in orders from the Middle East [2] - Jereh's overseas business revenue is projected to reach 45.2% in 2024, with a 100% year-on-year increase in orders from the Middle East [2] - The oil service equipment industry is witnessing a recovery in capital expenditure due to sustained high international crude oil prices, leading to increased demand for oil and gas equipment and services [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the engineering machinery and oil service equipment sectors [1] Core Insights - The oil service equipment sector is experiencing rapid growth in exports to the Middle East, driven by China's increasing foreign investments in energy projects, with a projected total investment of $50.28 billion from 2020 to 2024 in six countries [2][21] - The engineering machinery sector shows a mixed outlook, with a decline in domestic excavator sales but a recovery in non-excavator sales and exports, indicating undervalued investment opportunities [3] - The trend towards lightweight humanoid robots is accelerating, with increased application of magnesium alloys and PEEK materials, enhancing performance and efficiency [4][27] Summary by Sections Oil Service Equipment - China's foreign investment in energy projects in the Middle East is expected to reach $50.28 billion from 2020 to 2024, with oil and gas projects accounting for $29.15 billion [2][21] - Leading companies like Jerry and Neway have seen explosive growth in orders from the Middle East, with Jerry's orders expected to double in 2024 [2][23] - The Middle East oil service market is projected to be worth over $100 billion, with significant growth potential for Chinese companies [2][21] Engineering Machinery - In May 2025, excavator sales reached 18,202 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.12%, with domestic sales declining by 1.48% [3] - Non-excavator machinery sales are recovering, with significant year-on-year increases in sales of road rollers and pavers [3] - The sector is currently undervalued, presenting investment opportunities as export sales continue to support overall performance [3] Humanoid Robots - Lightweight design is becoming a core focus for humanoid robot manufacturers, utilizing materials like magnesium alloys and PEEK to reduce weight and improve performance [4][25] - Magnesium alloy's density is only two-thirds that of aluminum, offering advantages in strength and processing, while PEEK materials are expected to see increased application as costs decrease [26][27] - Investment opportunities in magnesium alloy die-casting and PEEK materials are highlighted, with specific companies recommended for attention [5][28] Forklifts and AI in Logistics - The integration of AI in logistics is driving the transformation towards automation, with a focus on unmanned forklifts and smart logistics solutions [6] - Key players in the forklift industry are forming strategic partnerships to enhance their technological capabilities and market reach [6] Lithium Battery Equipment - The lithium battery equipment sector is expected to benefit from the expansion of major players like CATL, with significant investments in new production facilities [10][30] - The report emphasizes the importance of solid-state battery technology as a future growth area, with companies like Xian Dao Intelligent positioned to capitalize on this trend [10][30] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the magnesium alloy die-casting sector such as Xusheng Group and Baowu Magnesium, as well as PEEK material companies like Zhongyan Co. and Watte [5][28]

Industry Overview - Recent surge in oil prices with Brent crude surpassing $70 for the first time in over two months [1] - Increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following the reduction of the U.S. diplomatic presence in Iraq [1] - China is projected to invest $168 billion in foreign energy projects from 2020 to 2024, with $50.28 billion allocated to six Middle Eastern countries [1] - Major oil and gas projects in these countries amount to $29.15 billion, showing a year-on-year growth trend [1] - The Middle East oil service market is valued at over $100 billion, with the oil service equipment market at least $10 billion [1] - Chinese oil service equipment companies are in the early stages of market penetration in the Middle East, indicating high growth potential with low market share [1] Company Insights - Jerry Holdings is recognized as a leading domestic private oil service equipment provider, excelling in completion equipment globally [2] - Potential Energy is identified as a leading third-party private oil and gas exploration and production company in China [2]

Investment Rating - The report recommends strong buy for Jerry Holdings and Neway Valve due to their potential in the Middle East oil service market [2]. Core Viewpoints - The deepening of the "Belt and Road" cooperation presents vast opportunities in the Middle East oil service market, with China's energy sector investments in the region projected to reach $168 billion from 2020 to 2024, including $50.28 billion in oil and gas projects [2][33]. - Jerry Holdings and Neway Valve have different product and business models, affecting their revenue recognition and customer onboarding speed [2][39]. - Both companies exhibit high management efficiency and technical barriers, with accelerated expansion in the Middle East [2][90]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Opportunities - The Middle East oil service market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions, with the oil service equipment market at least in the tens of billions, indicating significant growth potential for Chinese oil service equipment companies [10][12]. - China is the largest importer of crude oil from the Middle East, with imports reaching 6.02 million barrels per day in 2023 [9]. 2. Investment and Construction Projects - From 2020 to 2024, China’s energy sector investments in six Middle Eastern countries (Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Angola) are expected to total $50.28 billion, with a significant portion allocated to oil and gas projects [33][32]. - The report highlights the successful acquisition of numerous energy cooperation projects by Chinese EPC contractors in the Middle East since 2020 [33]. 3. Company Comparisons - Jerry Holdings focuses on high-end equipment and EPC projects, with longer delivery times averaging 1.5 years for equipment and over 2 years for EPC projects [39][62]. - Neway Valve specializes in standardized valve products with shorter production cycles of 3-6 months, benefiting from scale effects [62][75]. - Both companies are experiencing rapid order growth in the Middle East, with Jerry Holdings achieving significant project milestones and Neway Valve expanding its market share [2][75]. 4. Joint Strengths - Both companies are enhancing their presence in the Middle East, with Jerry Holdings and Neway Valve establishing production capacities to meet rising demand [2][90]. - The report notes that the oil service equipment industry is characterized by strong customer loyalty once initial projects are validated, particularly for Jerry Holdings [81].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's foreign energy investment projects from 2020 to 2024 will reach $168 billion, with significant investments in the Middle East, particularly in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, and Angola, totaling $50.28 billion, of which $29.15 billion is in oil and gas projects, showing a year-on-year increase [1] - The Middle East oil service market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions, with the oil service equipment market at least in the tens of billions, indicating a high growth potential for Chinese oil service equipment companies, which currently have a low market share in the region [1] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is deepening cooperation, creating vast opportunities in the Middle East oil service market [1] Group 2 - Jerry's business model involves long project cycles with a focus on high-end equipment and non-standard customization, leading to an average delivery time of 1.5 years, while Neway's model is based on standardized products with shorter delivery times of 3-6 months [2] - Jerry's project-based approach results in longer customer validation periods but fosters strong customer relationships, while Neway benefits from scale effects and management efficiency [2] - Both companies are experiencing rapid order growth in the Middle East, with Jerry and Neway expanding their production capacities in the region to meet rising demand [3] Group 3 - Jerry has established a strong market presence in the Middle East, completing significant projects and gaining recognition, while Neway is increasing its order volume through certifications from major clients like Saudi Aramco and ADNOC [3] - The competitive landscape shows that domestic competitors lack the overseas competitiveness that Jerry and Neway possess, allowing them to leverage China's manufacturing advantages [3] - The management teams of both companies are driven by professional managers, enhancing corporate vitality and responsiveness [3] Group 4 - Recommended stocks include Jerry (002353.SZ) for its explosive order growth in the Middle East and Neway (603699.SH) for its strong visibility in demand and anticipated steady performance growth [4]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a strong buy for Jerry Holdings and Neway Valve, highlighting their potential in the Middle Eastern oil service market [2]. Core Insights - The deepening of the "Belt and Road" cooperation presents vast opportunities in the Middle Eastern oil service market, with China's energy sector investments in the region projected to reach $168 billion from 2020 to 2024, including $50.28 billion in oil and gas projects [2][33]. - Jerry Holdings and Neway Valve differ in product and business models, affecting their revenue recognition and customer onboarding speeds. Jerry focuses on high-end equipment and EPC projects with longer delivery times, while Neway specializes in standardized valve products with shorter production cycles [2][39][62]. - Both companies exhibit high management efficiency and technical barriers, with accelerated expansion in the Middle East. They have established strong relationships with major oil companies, enhancing their market positions [2][90]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Opportunities - The Middle Eastern oil service market is valued at over $100 billion, with Chinese companies currently holding a low market share, indicating significant growth potential [10][12]. - China's oil service equipment exports to the Middle East have been increasing, with Neway's revenue from the region expected to grow substantially [75]. 2. Investment Projects - From 2020 to 2024, China has secured numerous energy cooperation projects in the Middle East, with a total investment of $502.8 billion across six countries [33][32]. - Major projects include Jerry's contracts with Kuwait Oil Company and upcoming contracts in Iraq and Bahrain, showcasing the company's growing influence in the region [52][56][59]. 3. Company Comparisons - Jerry Holdings operates on a project-based model requiring extensive customization, leading to longer cash flow cycles but stronger customer loyalty post-verification [78]. - Neway Valve benefits from a standardized product model, allowing for quicker revenue recognition and scalability, with a focus on expanding its market share in the Middle East [75][87]. 4. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in capital expenditures from major oil companies, providing a stable environment for Jerry and Neway to thrive [15][90]. - Both companies are expected to benefit from the increasing demand for oil service equipment and the ongoing energy transition in the Middle East [22][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The oil service equipment sector is experiencing rapid growth in exports to the Middle East, driven by China's increasing foreign investments in energy projects, with a cumulative investment of $50.28 billion from 2020 to 2024 in six countries [2] - The lithium battery equipment sector is benefiting from the release of impairment risks and accelerated production expansion, particularly with major players like CATL increasing their production capacity [3] - The humanoid robot sector is seeing advancements with the launch of second-generation electronic skin and accelerated mass production of Tesla's Optimus robot [4] - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a decline in domestic excavator sales but a recovery in non-excavator machinery, indicating potential investment opportunities due to low valuations [5] - The forklift industry is undergoing a transformation towards automation and intelligence, driven by AI advancements [6] Summary by Sections Oil Service Equipment - China's foreign investment in the energy sector is projected to drive significant growth in oil service equipment exports, particularly to the Middle East, with leading companies like Jereh and Neway experiencing explosive order growth [2] Lithium Battery Equipment - The sector has accounted for a total impairment provision of 5.7 billion yuan, with major expansions planned by CATL, including a new factory in Hungary with a total capacity of 72GWh [3] - Solid-state battery technology is emerging as a key growth area, with companies like Xian Dao Intelligent expected to benefit significantly [3] Humanoid Robots - The introduction of advanced electronic skin technology enhances the capabilities of humanoid robots, while Tesla's Optimus robot is moving towards mass production [4] Engineering Machinery - Despite a decrease in excavator sales, there is a notable recovery in other machinery segments, with exports showing a 9% increase in the first four months of 2025 [5] Forklift Industry - The integration of AI in logistics is accelerating the shift towards automated and intelligent forklifts, with significant opportunities for leading companies in the sector [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company has over 20 years of experience in the oil and gas industry and has entered the supply chain of global oil service leaders, establishing itself as a high-tech enterprise specializing in the research, production, and sales of oil and gas drilling equipment components [2][15]. - The oil service industry is expected to benefit from increased capital expenditure by oil and gas companies, particularly in deep-sea and unconventional oil and gas sectors, which are seen as long-term trends [3][50]. - The company currently has a low market share, indicating significant growth potential, especially as it aims to increase its market presence in deep-sea and fracturing equipment [4][67]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1996, has developed a range of specialized components for oil and gas production systems, blowout preventers, and unconventional oil and gas extraction [15][20]. - The company has faced revenue fluctuations, with a projected revenue of 1.12 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 90 million yuan, down 40% year-on-year, primarily due to external factors affecting export orders [2][28]. Industry Outlook - The global deep-sea oil and gas equipment market is projected to grow from $18.4 billion in 2023 to $26.5 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 6.1% [4]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for deep-sea oil and gas extraction technologies, supported by government policies promoting deep-sea technology development [57][62]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 140 million yuan, 210 million yuan, and 260 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27, 18, and 14 [10]. - The company's revenue is anticipated to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by the release of scale effects and the ongoing domestic development of unconventional oil and gas [2][10]. Market Position - The company has established long-term strategic partnerships with major global oil service companies, with its top five customers accounting for over 70% of annual sales [23][24]. - The company aims to increase its market share in deep-sea equipment to 3%, translating to potential revenue of 2.9 billion yuan, and in domestic fracturing equipment to 40%, corresponding to 680 million yuan in revenue [4][67].