证券分析师 张浩 资格编号：S0120524070001 邮箱：zhanghao3＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 [Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 宏观专题 2025 年 07 月 02 日 宏观专题 相关研究 德邦证券 7 月研判及金股 [Table_Summary] 投资要点： 宏观研判：攻守兼备、以逸待劳 德邦证券 2025 年 7 月金股组合 化工 卓越新能（688196.SH）：中国生物柴油工业化生产先驱；生物柴油紧平衡格局 延续，关注原料替代与贸易突围；反倾销危局催动全球布局，渠道自主重构破贸易壁 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 副标题：楷体四号，非必填 当前影响整个市场的宏观变量主要是三个方面——内需修复进程、政策落地效果 和外部环境变化，眼下宏观领域的一系列分歧本质上是对这三方面宏观变量存在 不同的假设和推演，我们认为资产配置要攻守兼备、以逸待劳，在不确定性中寻找 确定性，把握趋势并做好应对。 一、外部环境方面，中美关税谈判的缓和有助于缓释基本面及市场风险偏好的压 力，中长期中美关系依旧处于一个竞争高于合作的阶段，特朗普政府依旧将"去风 险化"作为重要战略方向，这意味着 ...

证券研究报告 | 宏观专题 2025年07月02日 德邦证券7月研判及金股 宏观专题 投资要点: 资格编号: S0120524070001 预期. 后者则是立足绝对收益思维,建议关注铜、铝、稀土、锡等;债券:预计利 率债低位震荡概率较高。信用利差已处于历史级"低位",建议关注类债资产与转 债机会。 · 德邦证券 2025年7月金股组合 化工 卓越新能(688196.SH):中国生物柴油工业化生产先驱;生物柴油紧平衡格局 延续,关注原料替代与贸易突围;反倾销危局催动全球布局,渠道自主重构破贸易壁 请务必阔读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 证券分析师 张浩 邮箱:zhanghao3@tebon.com.cn 研究助理 相关研究 · 宏观研判:攻守兼备、以逸待劳 ● 当前影响整个市场的宏观变量主要是三个方面 -- 内需修复进程、政策落地效果 和外部环境变化,眼下宏观领域的一系列分歧本质上是对这三方面宏观变量存在 不同的假设和推演,我们认为资产配置要攻守兼备、以逸待劳,在不确定性中寻找 确定性,把握趋势并做好应对。 ● 一、外部环境方面,中美关税谈判的缓和有助于缓释基本面及市场风险偏好的压 力,中长期中美关系依旧处于一 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continued its strong performance in the first half of 2025, attracting mainland enterprises, particularly from Zhejiang, which saw 9 companies successfully listed [1][2] - A total of 42 new stocks were listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange in the first half of 2025, representing a 40% year-on-year increase, with total fundraising reaching a new high since 2021, surpassing 87.6 billion HKD for the entire year of 2024 [2][5] - Zhejiang enterprises accounted for the highest number of listings, with a total of 9 companies raising 14.4 billion HKD, a significant increase from just 1.016 billion HKD in the same period of 2024 [2][3] Group 2 - The listed Zhejiang companies span various sectors, including healthcare, consumer goods, and manufacturing, showcasing a diversified development trend [2][3] - Notable companies that went public include Sanhua Intelligent Control, which is a global leader in thermal management, and Cao Cao Travel, the largest ride-hailing platform in Hong Kong [2][4] - The trend of "A+H" dual platform listings is emerging, with leading A-share companies accelerating their listings in Hong Kong, exemplified by Sanhua Intelligent Control's recent IPO [3][4] Group 3 - The Hong Kong IPO market achieved the highest global fundraising amount in the first half of 2025, totaling 102.1 billion HKD, driven by international capital and supportive policies from both mainland and Hong Kong [5] - The market's internationalization provides direct support for enterprises, facilitating access to diverse overseas financing channels and enhancing global strategic layouts [5][6] - Expectations for the second half of 2025 indicate continued market heat, with projected fundraising of 200 billion HKD, primarily in technology, media, and consumer sectors [6]

中信证券股份有限公司 关于浙江三花智能控制股份有限公司募投项目结项并将节 余募集资金投入新项目及永久补充流动资金的核查意见 中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信证券"、"保荐机构"）作为浙江 三花智能控制股份有限公司（以下简称"三花智控"、"公司"）持续督导工作 的保荐机构，根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《深圳证券交易所上市公 司自律监管指引第 1 号——主板上市公司规范运作》《深圳证券交易所上市公司 自律监管指引第 13 号——保荐业务》等相关规定，对三花智控募投项目结项并 将节余募集资金投入新项目及永久补充流动资金的事项进行了审慎核查，发表如 下意见： 一、募集资金基本情况 经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于核准浙江三花智能控制股份有限公司公开 发行可转换公司债券的批复》（证监许可2021168 号）核准，公司向社会公开 发行 300,000.00 万元可转换公司债券，每张面值为人民币 100.00 元，按面值发 行。公司发行可转换公司债券共筹得人民币 300,000.00 万元，扣除发行费用 已经天健会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙）审验并出具了《验证报告》（天健验 2021277 号）。 为了规范募集资金 ...

1.英国5月汽车产量创70多年来新低 英国汽车制造商与贸易商协会6月27日公布的数据显示，5月英国汽车总产量同比大幅下降32.8%至49810 辆，创下自1949年以来除2020年疫情年份外的同期最低水平。 2.李书福家族上市版图再扩张：丰沃股份沪市IPO获受理，李书福子女为实控人 李书福家族的第11家上市公司曹操出行在港交所上市交易的第二天，其子控制的宁波丰沃增压科技股份有 限公司于6月26日在上海证券交易所披露了申报稿，其IPO（首次公开发行）获得了上交所的受理。根据申 报稿的显示，丰沃股份的实际控制人为李书福1983年出生的女儿李妮和1985年出生的儿子李星星，合计持 有丰沃股份65.81%的股份。 点评：李书福家族资本版图再添新军，子女接班布局汽车产业链。 7.国内首场机器人足球3V3AI赛落幕，清华火神队夺冠 3.腾讯FPS游戏《三角洲行动》将于8月登陆PS5和Xbox 腾讯天美工作室宣布，免费FPS游戏《三角洲行动》将于8月19日上线Xbox Series X/S和PS5平台。该游戏已 于去年9月26日正式上线PC及移动端。 4.经济日报：别让潮玩市场成假货重灾区 经济日报发文称，原创潮玩IP"L ...

Core Insights - The competitive landscape of the air conditioning industry remains stable, with the top three players—Midea, Gree, and Haier—maintaining their positions despite new entrants' ambitions [1][3][6] Group 1: Market Performance - During the 618 shopping festival, Midea, Gree, and Haier secured the top three spots in the air conditioning market across major platforms like JD, Tmall, and Douyin [3][6] - Midea's online sales grew nearly 50%, Gree's online sales increased over 10%, and Haier's online business surged by 80% during the same period [6][8] Group 2: Strategic Approaches - Midea's growth was driven by trade-in subsidies and a focus on globalization and brand ownership, including acquisitions like KUKA Robotics and Toshiba's white goods [6][8] - Gree achieved significant sales through popular models and is exploring new growth avenues in renewable energy [6][8] - Haier leveraged its technological strengths with products like the "Net Energy Saving Series" and "Air Washing Air Conditioner 2.0," achieving substantial sales in extreme conditions [6][8] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - The results of the 618 festival reflect a shift in consumer mindset, with buyers becoming more informed and rational, relying on professional reviews and product comparisons rather than just marketing [8] - The enduring success of the top three brands indicates that consumers prioritize products with core technological advantages and reliable quality over transient marketing trends [8]

| 所得款項 | | | --- | --- | | 所得款項總額(附註) | 9,336 百萬港元 | | 減： 按最終發售價計算的預計應付 | 159 百萬港元 | | 上市開支 | | | 所得款項淨額 | 9,177 百萬港元 | 中国经济网北京6月23日讯 浙江三花智能控制股份有限公司（以下简称"三花智控"，02050.HK）今日在 港交所上市，开盘即破发，报20.95港元。截至今日收盘，三花智控报22.50港元，跌幅0.13%。 三花智控于2005年6月7日在深交所主板上市。截至今日收盘，三花智控A股报24.50元，跌幅1.80%。 三花智控是制冷空调控制元器件和汽车热管理系统零部件制造商。 最终发售价及配发结果公告显示，三花智控发售股份数目为414,379,500股股份，其中，香港公开发售的 发售股份数目（经计及发售量调整权已获悉数行使及重新分配）为109,810,600股股份，国际发售的发售 股份数目（经计及发售量调整权已获悉数行使及重新分配）为304,568,900股股份。三花智控于上市时已 发行的股份数目（于超额配股权获行使前）为4,146,769,035股。 三花智控的最终发售价为22. ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co., Ltd. successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately HKD 93.36 billion through its IPO, with a strong demand reflected in the oversubscription rates for both public and international offerings [2][5]. Group 1: IPO Details - The IPO involved a global offering of 414.38 million H-shares, representing 9.99% of the total shares post-issue, with a maximum fundraising potential of HKD 107.36 billion if the overallotment option is fully exercised [2][4]. - The public offering was oversubscribed by 747.92 times, while the international offering saw a 23.57 times oversubscription [2]. - The company attracted 18 cornerstone investors who collectively subscribed for 195.68 million shares, amounting to approximately HKD 44.09 billion, which represents 47.22% of the global offering [2][4]. Group 2: Shareholding Structure - Post-listing, the controlling shareholders, including Zhang Daochai and Yu Qingjuan, hold approximately 40.16% of the company, with Zhang Daochai being the father of Zhang Yabo and Zhang Shaobo, who are also significant shareholders [3][4]. - Other A-shareholders hold 49.85%, while H-shareholders account for 9.99% of the total shares [3][4]. Group 3: Company Overview - Established in 1994, Zhejiang Sanhua is the world's largest manufacturer of refrigeration and air conditioning control components, with a market share of approximately 45.5% in 2024 [4]. - The company also ranks fifth globally in the automotive thermal management system components market, holding a market share of about 4.1% [4]. - The company is focused on energy efficiency solutions and is expanding into emerging fields such as bionic robotics and electromechanical actuators [4].

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Control Co., Ltd. (Sanhua) listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 23, 2023, but its stock price fell below the issue price on the first day of trading, indicating initial market challenges for the company [1][3]. Company Overview - Sanhua is a manufacturer specializing in refrigeration and air conditioning control components and automotive thermal management systems, with a focus on the research, promotion, and application of thermal management technology [5]. - The company was established in September 1994 and is headquartered in Shaoxing, Zhejiang Province, with a registered capital of approximately RMB 3.7 billion [5]. Financial Performance - For the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, Sanhua's revenue was RMB 21.35 billion, RMB 24.56 billion, and RMB 27.95 billion, respectively, showing a growth trend [6][7]. - Gross profit for the same years was approximately RMB 5.46 billion, RMB 6.74 billion, and RMB 7.62 billion, with net profits of about RMB 2.61 billion, RMB 2.93 billion, and RMB 3.11 billion, respectively [6][7]. Market Activity - On its first trading day, Sanhua's stock opened at HKD 20.95 per share, down 7.01% from the issue price of HKD 22.53, and later stabilized at HKD 21.75, reflecting a 3.46% decline from the issue price [1][3]. - The company successfully raised approximately HKD 93.36 billion through the issuance of about 414 million H-shares, with a significant oversubscription of 747.92 times for the public offering and 23.57 times for the international offering [3]. Investor Participation - Sanhua attracted 18 cornerstone investors who collectively subscribed for approximately USD 562 million (around HKD 44.09 billion) of the offering, including notable firms such as Schroders and GIC [3].

以下文章来源于深蓝财经 ，作者深蓝财经 深蓝财经 . 影响价值圈层！创立于2011年，关注中国最具价值公司，是新中产的财富顾问。 格力钛才是她赖在格力不肯退休的原因？ 撰文：王鑫 来源：深蓝财经 董明珠的格力，又一次陷入了困境。 近日，格力钛新能源股份有限公司新增一则股权冻结信息，其持有珠海广通汽车有限公司的价 值18.06亿元的股权被冻结，冻结期限三年。 | 【冻结情况 执行法院 | 广东省珠海市中级人民法院 | 执行事项 | 公示冻结股权、其他投资权益 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 扶行截定书文号 | (2024) 粤04执保290号 | 执行通知书文号 | [2024] 粤04执保290号 | | 瘦执行人 | 格力体新能源股份有限公司 | 被执行人持有股权、其它投资权 益的题稿 | 180600万人民币元 | | 被执行人证照种类 | 营业执服 | 被执行人证照号码 | 914404006981977566 | | 冻结期限自 | 2025年6月4日 | 冻结期限置 | 2028年6月3日 | | 冻结期限 | 1085 | 公示日期 | | 这一冻结事件暴露出格力钛积重 ...