智通财经APP获悉，花旗将超微电脑(SMCI.US)的目标价从37美元上调至52美元，但维持"中性"评级不 变。花旗分析师表示，对人工智能(AI)服务器的需求正在改善。超微电脑管理层对在未来两个季度内完 成"当前的交付承诺"持乐观态度，因为Blackwell GPU 供应限制正在缓解。 据悉，超微电脑将于美东时间8月5日美股盘后发布2025财年第四季度业绩报告。根据TipRanks预测数 据，华尔街分析师预计该公司每股收益为0.45美元，同比下滑29%;但营收有望同比增长13%，达到59.8 亿美元。 尽管如此，由于戴尔科技(DELL.US)和慧与科技(HPE.US)的竞争，分析师仍然对超微电脑的利润率感到 担忧。 花旗预测，超微电脑2025财年第四季度营收将达到60.7亿美元，同比增长13.4%，环比增长32%;预计每 股收益为0.45美元，与市场普遍预期基本一致。 花旗还预计该公司2026财年第一季度营收将增长至70.2亿美元，每股收益将达到0.65美元，这两项数据 均高于市场预期。 ...

区域来看，在美国、欧盟和中国市场份额提升。根据IDC数据，2Q25联想全球PC出货量为1,700万台， 同比增长15.3%，而市场整体增长为7.5%。其全球市场份额在2Q25达到24.6%，环比提升0.8个百分点， 同比提升1.8个百分点。在2Q25，联想在北美市场的份额同比增长1.0个百分点至18.7%，在西欧市场的 份额同比增长0.6个百分点至27.7%。联想在美国和欧盟市场从戴尔和惠普手中夺取份额，而在中国市场 则从华为手中夺取份额。 近日，国际知名大行里昂证券发布研报称，继7月5日上调预期后，进一步再度上调联想集团4-6月的盈 利预期。原因在于，联想PC业务的出货量及利润率优于此前预期，服务器业务收入亦保持稳健。因 此，将联想集团目标价从 11 港元上调至 12 港元，并维持跑赢大盘评级。 联想集团PC业务强劲，市场份额持续提升。里昂预计IDG收入在4-6月环比增长14%（此前预测为 7%），主要受美国市场因关税问题需求拉动；预计7-9月份，IDG业务将保持增长势头，环比增长 10%，主要受中国市场需求推动。 里昂预计联想PC业务的强劲增长势头将在2025年下半年持续，主要得益于：1）继续从竞争对手手 ...

在AI PC方面，联想于6月发布了一款高端AI PC机型。联想还可能在2026年初推出基于英伟达和联发科 芯片组的AI PC新机型。 美国市场价格上涨但需求未受影响，鉴于美国消费者强劲的购买力，零售价格的上涨似乎并未影响联想 个人电脑在美国的销量。 联想集团PC业务强劲，市场份额持续提升。里昂预计IDG收入在4-6月环比增长14%(此前预测为7%)， 主要受美国市场因关税问题需求拉动；预计7-9月份，IDG业务将保持增长势头，环比增长10%，主要受 中国市场需求推动。 区域来看，在美国、欧盟和中国市场份额提升。根据IDC数据，2Q25联想全球PC出货量为1,700万台， 同比增长15.3%，而市场整体增长为7.5%。其全球市场份额在2Q25达到24.6%，环比提升0.8个百分点， 同比提升1.8个百分点。在2Q25，联想在北美市场的份额同比增长1.0个百分点至18.7%，在西欧市场的 份额同比增长0.6个百分点至27.7%。联想在美国和欧盟市场从戴尔和惠普手中夺取份额，而在中国市场 则从华为手中夺取份额。 里昂预计联想PC业务的强劲增长势头将在2025年下半年持续，主要得益于：1)继续从竞争对手手中夺 取份额 ...

小摩将PC盈利的强势归因于市场份额增长以及供应链管理灵活。联想在PC方面跑赢同行，主要原因是 行业领导力。此外，联想在服务器业务方面也持续增长，也获得许多新订单。尽管由于业务重组持续推 进，联想基础设施方案业务集团(ISG)净利润可能维持在盈亏平衡水平左右，但小摩预计，由于重组成 本的影响较小，联想2026年的盈利将有望上升。中长期看，联想也可能进军人工智能(AI)领域，届时将 迎重新估值机会。 摩根大通发布研报称，予联想集团(00992)目标价13港元，重申"增持"评级。小摩上调对该集团 2026/2027财年(3月31日止)盈利预测2-3%，主要考虑个人电脑(PC)强势。小摩指，针对本月13日公布的 联想2026财年首财季业绩，预计由于PC的优势，集团也将好于预期。预测季度销售额为182.66亿元、毛 利为28.21亿美元，毛利率15.4%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nomura Securities has upgraded Lenovo's rating to Buy and raised the target price to HKD 14, indicating a potential upside of 38% from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Rating Upgrade and Target Price - The upgrade is attributed to Lenovo's stock price being in a consolidation phase over the past six months, presenting a buying opportunity [1] - The target price increase is based on a projected earnings per share (EPS) of USD 0.15 for fiscal year 2026, applying a 12x price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, compared to the previous EPS estimate of USD 0.14 [1] - Lenovo's current trading P/E is 8.6 times the expected EPS for fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 2: Market Demand and Performance Outlook - Strong demand for general servers and an increase in PC market share are expected to support Lenovo's performance, with potential earnings exceeding expectations for the April to June period [1] - The shift in capital expenditure from AI servers to general servers by leading clients, including international hyperscale companies and Chinese internet firms, is anticipated to drive server revenue growth [1] - Lenovo has gained market share in the U.S. and EU from competitors like Dell and HP, which will contribute positively to overall sales and profitability in the April to June period [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Looking ahead to 2026, Lenovo is expected to benefit from rising demand, particularly from Microsoft, with the recovery of H20 server shipments likely to generate additional revenue in the December quarter [2] - Despite early order pull-ins in the PC supply chain in the first half of 2025, the impact on Lenovo's PC shipment forecasts for the remainder of the year is expected to be limited, allowing for continued market share growth [2]

Core Viewpoint - Nomura Securities has upgraded Lenovo's rating to Buy with a target price of HKD 14, indicating a potential upside of 38% from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Rating Upgrade and Price Target - The upgrade is attributed to Lenovo's stock being in a consolidation phase over the past six months, presenting a buying opportunity [1] - The target price adjustment is based on a projected earnings per share (EPS) of USD 0.15 for fiscal year 2026, applying a 12x price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, compared to the previous EPS estimate of USD 0.14 [1] - Lenovo's current trading P/E is 8.6 times the expected EPS for fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 2: Market Demand and Performance Outlook - Strong demand for general servers and an increase in PC market share are expected to support Lenovo's performance, with potential earnings exceeding expectations for the April to June period [1] - The shift in capital expenditure from AI servers to general servers by leading clients is anticipated to drive revenue growth in the server segment [1] - Lenovo has gained market share in the U.S. and EU from competitors like Dell and HP, which is expected to enhance overall sales and profitability for the April to June period [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Looking ahead to 2026, Lenovo is expected to benefit from rising demand, particularly with the anticipated recovery of H20 server shipments contributing additional revenue in the December quarter [2] - Despite early order pull-ins in the PC supply chain, the impact on Lenovo's PC shipment forecasts for the remainder of the year is expected to be limited, allowing for continued market share growth [2]

Core Viewpoint - Apple is making efforts to enhance gaming on macOS to attract developers and improve the gaming experience on Mac, despite the platform's historical limitations in gaming performance and content availability [4][6][8]. Group 1: Apple's Gaming Strategy - Apple aims to showcase the capabilities of its M-series chips through gaming, as gaming performance is a direct indicator of hardware capability [8]. - The company is also motivated to retain gaming content within its ecosystem, as it has strict in-app purchase policies on iOS, and wants to prevent users from relying on external platforms like Steam and Epic [8][14]. - Despite the limited gaming market on Mac, Apple is pushing for more native game versions to create a viable gaming environment, even if the current offerings are sparse [8][17]. Group 2: Technical Limitations - The transition from Intel to Apple Silicon has created challenges for gaming on Mac, as many games are developed for Windows and do not have macOS versions [9][11]. - Hardware limitations, such as performance and power consumption issues, hinder the ability of Macs to run demanding games effectively [11][13]. - The unified memory architecture of Macs, while beneficial for certain tasks, may not meet the needs of high-performance gaming, as dedicated video memory is often preferred [13]. Group 3: Content Development Challenges - Apple's dual approach to gaming—offering services like Apple Arcade while also promoting high-profile games—creates a conflicting strategy that may confuse users [14][15]. - The lack of significant investment from developers in adapting games for macOS results in a limited selection of titles, which undermines the potential for a robust gaming ecosystem [17]. - The overall perception of Mac as a gaming platform remains skeptical, as developers are hesitant to invest in creating content specifically for macOS [17].

Group 1 - The article discusses the unexpected selection of Chinese player Yang Hansheng by the Portland Trail Blazers in the 2023 NBA Draft, drawing parallels to the historical mistake made in 1984 when the Blazers chose Sam Bowie over Michael Jordan [1][8] - It highlights the importance of content over process in decision-making, referencing Steve Jobs' views on how rigid processes can lead to failures, as seen in both Apple and the Blazers' choices [2][10] - The article emphasizes that sometimes the best choice does not meet conventional criteria and that flexibility can be a strategic advantage [16][17] Group 2 - The narrative illustrates how the Blazers' decision-making was influenced by a rigid adherence to their needs for a center, ultimately leading to a significant error in judgment [6][10] - It provides examples from other industries, such as Blockbuster's failure to adapt to the rise of Netflix and Kodak's reluctance to embrace digital technology, underscoring the theme of imagination and adaptability in business [19][20] - The article poses critical questions about the role of processes in decision-making, urging companies to reflect on whether they are controlling the process or being controlled by it [18][20]

Core Viewpoint - IBM's latest earnings report disappointed investors, particularly due to underperformance in its software and consulting divisions, despite the company's stock having surged over 30% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index [1][2][3] Financial Performance - IBM's second-quarter software sales grew by 10% year-on-year to $7.39 billion, slightly below Wall Street's expectation of $7.49 billion [2] - The consulting division's sales increased by only 3% to $5.31 billion, indicating a slowdown in growth [2] - Overall, IBM's total sales rose by 8% year-on-year to $17 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of approximately $16.6 billion [5] - The infrastructure business saw a significant 14% increase in sales to $4.14 billion, exceeding expectations of $3.66 billion [5] Business Segments - IBM's infrastructure business has become a key driver of growth, with strong demand from large enterprises, particularly in finance and retail sectors [5][6] - The company reported that bookings related to AI have exceeded $7.5 billion since mid-2023, with about 80% coming from the consulting division [3][6] Future Outlook - IBM maintains its full-year sales growth forecast of at least 5% at constant currency rates, aligning with Wall Street expectations [6] - The company anticipates free cash flow to exceed $13.5 billion, also in line with analyst estimates [6] AI and Quantum Computing - IBM's focus on AI and quantum computing is seen as crucial for driving future growth, with significant investments in AI developer ecosystems and quantum computing capabilities [9][10] - The company has announced that its quantum business orders have surpassed $1 billion, aiming to enter the "quantum practical" era by the end of the decade [10] - IBM's AI platform, watsonx, supports a comprehensive range of AI tools and models, catering to various developer needs [9][10]

Market News - US stock indices collectively rose, with the Dow Jones up 1.14%, Nasdaq up 0.61%, and S&P 500 up 0.78%. Notable tech stocks like AMD and Nvidia increased over 2% [1] - International precious metal futures generally declined, with COMEX gold futures down 1.34% at $3397.50 per ounce. Crude oil prices showed slight fluctuations, with WTI crude up 0.17% at $65.42 per barrel [1] - European stock indices closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 0.83%, France's CAC40 up 1.37%, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.42% [1] Industry Insights - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority is implementing regulations for stablecoins, aiming for a healthy market development while addressing anti-money laundering concerns. The final draft of the regulations is expected to be published by the end of July [2] - The stablecoin market is anticipated to grow as it bridges centralized and decentralized finance, with significant implications for global payment systems. Key stocks in this sector include Newland Digital Technology and Tianyang Technology [2] - The Shanghai Data Exchange introduced the RDA paradigm, focusing on the value of data linked to real assets. This initiative aims to enhance asset verification and value creation through blockchain technology [3] - The low-altitude economy has been recognized as a national strategic emerging industry, with the release of the "Low-altitude Economic Infrastructure Framework Guidelines (2025 Edition)" outlining development paths and indicators [4][5] - The low-altitude economy market in China is projected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025 and exceed 3.5 trillion yuan by 2035, driven by policy, technology, and market forces [5] Company Announcements - Tiancheng Control announced a plan for Yunnan Trust to reduce its stake by up to 397,100 shares, not exceeding 1% of total shares [6] - Baobian Electric reported that the Equipment Group plans to reduce its holdings by up to 1,841,530 shares, also not exceeding 1% of total shares [6] - Tianlu Technology's controlling shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 220,600 shares, representing 2% of total shares [6] - Yirui Technology announced a plan for shareholders to reduce their holdings by up to 400,440 shares, not exceeding 2% of total shares [6] - Zhongqi Co. disclosed that its shareholder Jiangsu Yueda Group intends to reduce its stake by up to 39,717,000 shares, accounting for 3% of total shares [7]