证券研究报告|策略定期报告 2025 年 12 月 29 日 长征十二号甲入轨成功，商业航天 IPO 新规落地 ——全球产业趋势跟踪周报（1229） 本周产业趋势主要集中在商业航天和人工智能。商业航天方面，2025 年 12 月 23 日 10:00，长征十二号甲遥一运载火箭在酒泉卫星发射中心东风商业航天创 新试验区顺利点火升空，并成功将载荷送入预定轨道，实现"入轨成功"，但 一级火箭回收未实现预定软着陆目标。上海证券交易所正式发布并实施商业火 箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准，其中最关键的技术指标是：企业需在申报 前实现至少一次采用可重复使用技术的中大型运载火箭发射载荷成功入轨。人 工智能方面，12 月 18 日，路透社报道称， OpenAI 正与部分投资者就新一轮 融资展开初步讨论，拟募集资金规模最高或达 1000 亿美元。据知情人士透露， 这轮仍处于早期阶段的融资若按目标全额筹集，公司估值或将高达 8300 亿美 元。 【主题与产业趋势】长征十二号甲入轨成功，商业航天 IPO 新规落地。2025 年 12 月 23 日 10:00，长征十二号甲遥一运载火箭在酒泉卫星发射中心东风商 业航天创新试验区顺利点火 ...

对于今天9连阳，上午是没有疑问的，下午跳水后我认为也是没有疑问的，主要是金融板块上涨，对沪指有明显的带动作用，可创业板并没有这种板块，于 是今天下跌了。其实自上周五开始，市场就已经不是普涨状态，都是待涨数据更多一些，今天指数虽然收出9连涨，但个股并没有任何的超卖信号。如果你 非得盯沪指看，明天说不定是这两天待涨的个股领涨，这两天扛指数的个股休整，所以光讨论指数是没有意义的。看赚钱效应，近期最强还是商业航天，其 次是机器人，两条主线各不相扰，如果你抓住了主线，这就是牛市，但如果抓住这两天待涨的，甚至上上周到今天还是待涨的，那指数那怕是10连阳与你又 何干呢？我觉得现在的指数已经不能用正常的观察手段去分析，如果主力真要涨，我认为涨到春节后也是可以的。所以关键的问题不是讨论昨天是不是10连 阳，而是指数走稳了，应该看好那些方向，在那些题材里配置可能跑赢市场，这样会更有讨论意义。 中线策略分析：【整体情况】 今天涨停过10家的有航天，机器人和ST板块，涨停数据排序是23-16-14-5-5，很明显，低于10家涨停的断层非常大，再加上航天8连板，机器人4连板，ST板 块6连板，大家想到啥？庄家抱团！对的，现在就是庄家抱 ...

A股复盘 | 航天停不下来了 / 2025.12.29 "萝卜纸巾"猫——大开门真的火了，赶上了2025年最后一班网络快车，我看到好几个财经博主今天用了和他相关的梗！ 我们也连夜做了个，以表达我的持仓里既没有航天也没有机器人的心情！蒸蚌！ 先说航天吧，也正如网友评论，停不下来了， 都在车上，要死一起死！ 不过资金开始炒细分赛道了了！一是工业级3D打印为代表的增材制造技术，再就是产业链上游的关键材料。 当然还是有高手的，左手航天右手机器人，也曾在算力硬件大赚一笔！ 周 报 下 面 有 人 评 论 今 天 见 分 歧！确 实 分 歧 了！0.0 4 % 涨 幅 练 成 了 九 阳 神 功！ 先走落袋，后走买单！ | 序号 | 九连阳时间区间 | 累计涨幅 | 后续一个月市场表现 (参考) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 1997年8月20日 - 9月1日 | 约 4.5% | 下跌 10.13% 6 | | 2 | 2007年8月2日 - 8月14日 | 约 5.6% | 上涨 11.35% 3 (另一数据为上涨9.02% 6 ) | | 3 | 2015年3月11日 - 3月 ...

1、行情 指数全天小幅震荡，个股出现一定回落。 题材方面，航天板块持续走强，神剑股份8连板，大业股份、中国卫星4连板，中超控股、苏州高新、航天发展2连板，中衡设计、金风科技、海 格通信、宏英智能、雷科防务、魅视科技、航天环宇（20CM）、派克新材、九丰能源先后涨停； 碳纤维概念集体发力，神剑股份8连板，吉林化纤、和顺科技（20CM）涨停，吉林碳谷涨超20%，光威复材涨超10%，中复神鹰、南京聚隆、道 生天合、精工科技、国恩股份等集体大涨； 数字人民币板块上午冲高回落，但午后再度发力大涨，御银股份回封，翠微股份直线拉板，恒宝股份一度摸板，拉卡拉涨超12%，四方精创、华 峰超纤、东港股份、楚天龙等集体走强； 机器人概念午后发力，锋龙股份4连板，天奇股份3连板，五洲新春、步科股份（20CM）、瑞松科技（20CM）、上纬新材（20CM）等纷纷涨 停，昊志机电、力星股份、龙洲股份等大涨； 此外，PEEK材料、华为概念、脑科学等均有局部强势表现，锂电池重挫，乳业、有色、医药、水产等跌幅居前。 截至收盘，沪指收涨0.04%，深成指、创业板指分别收跌0.49%、0.66%，市场超3300股下跌，近2000股上涨。 2、数字人 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market in 2025 experienced a significant upward trend after a rapid decline in early April, characterized by a concentrated focus on "new productive forces" and driven by policy, events, and industry developments [1] Group 1: AI Hardware and Chip Market - The launch of the DeepSeek-R1 model in January 2025, with a training cost of approximately $294,000, disrupted the belief that top models required tens of millions of dollars, leading to a surge in domestic AI hardware stocks [3] - The performance of computing power chip stocks was remarkable, with Tianpu Co. achieving a maximum increase of over 1300% in 2025, while Dongxin Co. and Chipone Co. both exceeded 300% [5] - The collaboration between Nvidia and OpenAI, valued at $100 billion, highlighted the competitive landscape in AI chips, with significant demand for H100 GPUs for training next-generation models [4] Group 2: Storage Chip Market - The demand for storage chips surged, with prices for DRAM and NAND Flash increasing by over 300% since September 2025, driven by the focus on HBM and DDR5 technologies [9] - Companies like Shannon Semiconductor saw a maximum increase of over 600% in 2025, while others like Demingli and Jiangbolong exceeded 200% [9] Group 3: Commodities and Precious Metals - The decline in the US dollar and the Fed's interest rate cuts led to a significant rise in commodity prices, with gold increasing by over 70% and silver by over 170% in 2025 [11] - The demand for industrial metals surged due to new industries, with copper prices rising over 40%, and several companies in the precious metals sector saw increases exceeding 200% [11] Group 4: Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a boom in Q4 2025, driven by government support and successful rocket launches, with companies like Shunhao Co. and Feiwo Technology seeing maximum increases of over 450% [13] Group 5: Energy Storage and Lithium Battery Industry - The global energy storage demand is expected to grow significantly, with projections of over 60% growth in 2026, leading to price increases in lithium and related materials [15] - Companies in the energy storage sector, such as Yidong Electronics and Zhenhua Co., saw maximum increases of over 270%, while lithium battery companies like Haike New Energy exceeded 560% [15] Group 6: Regional Policy Impacts - The Fujian and Hainan regions experienced significant market activity due to new policies, with Fujian stocks like Haixia Innovation seeing increases over 500% and Hainan stocks like Zhongtung High-tech exceeding 180% [18][22]

证券研究报告 | 宏观定期报告 2025 年 12 月 29 日 央国企动态系列报告之 54 —央企负责人年会定调价值创造，专业整合与新兴产业布 局双线推进 频率：双周 2025 年 12 月召开的中央企业负责人会议，为 2026 年国资国企工作确立了 "深化改革"与"价值创造"的核心主线，并突出强调"推进战略性、专业化 重组整合"。 风险提示：国企改革的推进进度不及预期，或后续政策方向发生变化；报告中 列示上市公司不涉及投资建议。 定期报告 相关报告 1、《央国企动态系列报告之 53—央国企整合呈现多元模 式，深度契合"十五五"资产 盘活主线》2025-12-15 2、《央国企动态系列报告之 52—"新三年行动"收官在 即，央国企资本运作提速 》 2025-12-1 林喜鹏 S1090522050001 linxipeng@cmschina.com.cn 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 ❑ 顶层设计明确年度主线，价值创造与专业化整合成为核心。央企负责人会 议为 2026 年工作定调，强调以"一利五率"和"加强上市公司质量与市 值管理"为抓手深化价值创造，并将大力推进战略性、专业化重组整合和 高质量并购置于突出战略位 ...

【12月29日连板股分析：连板股晋级率近五成 中国卫星4连板创历史新高】今日共72股涨停，连板股总 数18只，其中三连板及以上个股10只，上一交易日共21只连板股，连板股晋级率47.61%（不含ST股、 退市股）。个股方面，全市场连续第二个交易日超3000只个股下跌，短线情绪有所减弱。高位连板龙头 依旧受资金追捧，胜通能源走出12连板，神剑股份T字涨停晋级8连板。不过值得注意的是，大跌个股 数量激增，合兴包装、圣晖集成、百大集团、安记食品等前期人气股跌停，宏源药业、佳缘科技等跌超 10%。板块方面，商业航天概念继续爆发，权重中国卫星走出4连板创历史新高，总市值突破1000亿。 此外，神剑股份8连板，大业股份、鲁信创投4连板，泰尔股份3连板，人气股航天发展再度走出2连板， 参股蓝箭航天的金风科技3天2板；机器人概念延续强势，优必选产业链的锋龙股份4连板，天奇股份3连 板，恒勃股份、步科股份、瑞松科技20CM涨停，消息面上，工信部人形机器人与具身智能标准化技术 委员会成立会议日前在京召开，标委会主要承担人形机器人与具身智能基础共性、关键技术等领域行业 标准制修订工作。 转自：智通财经 ...

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices showed mixed performance on December 29, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.04% to 3965.28 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.49% to 13537.1 points and the ChiNext Index dropped 0.66% to 3222.61 points [2] - A total of 1993 stocks rose while 3325 stocks fell across the exchanges, with a total trading volume of 21,393 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous day's 21,601 billion yuan [3] Sector Performance - The defense and military sector saw strong gains, with several stocks hitting the daily limit or rising over 10%, including Aerospace Huanyu and Guangwei Composites [5] - The oil and petrochemical sector led the market, with stocks like Intercontinental Oil and Unified Shares reaching the daily limit, while several banks also experienced gains of over 3% [5] - The lithium battery supply chain faced declines, with significant drops in retail stocks and sectors like Hainan Free Trade Zone and cross-border e-commerce [2][5] Market Outlook - Citic Securities indicated that the A-share market has entered a cross-year rally, driven by positive signals from the Shanghai Composite Index and optimistic expectations from institutional investors [7] - The market is expected to experience a "spring surge" as liquidity improves and policy expectations rise, with the overall market showing signs of strength [7] - Guosheng Securities noted that while the market is still in a phase of adjustment, there are opportunities for investors to position themselves ahead of potential upward movements [8] Investment Recommendations - Huatai Securities suggested that despite a short-term market adjustment, there is potential for a spring rally, recommending investments in sectors such as batteries, chemicals, military, and consumer goods [9] - The report emphasized the importance of focusing on stocks with pricing power and policy support within these sectors [9]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations in the afternoon, with mixed performance across the three major indices. The Shanghai Composite Index slightly increased, achieving a nine-day winning streak, while the ChiNext Index saw a decline of over 1% at one point. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.14 trillion, a decrease of 20.9 billion from the previous trading day. Overall, more stocks declined than rose, with over 3,300 stocks falling [2]. Sector Performance - The humanoid robot sector saw significant gains, with companies like Boke Technology hitting the daily limit of a 20% increase, marking a historical high. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology recently held a meeting to establish standards for humanoid robots and embodied intelligence, which is expected to drive further growth in this sector [4]. - The digital currency sector also performed well, with Lakala rising nearly 12% and other companies like Cuiwei Co. and Sifang Jingchuang seeing gains. This follows the People's Bank of China revising rules for the cross-border payment system to support the development of cross-border RMB business [5]. Real Estate Policy Impact - Following adjustments to real estate policies in Beijing, the average daily transaction volume of new residential properties increased by 44.6% compared to the period before the policy change. The new policy is expected to have a ripple effect on other cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen, although market differentiation remains evident, particularly in non-core areas [6][7]. Healthcare Sector - The basic medical insurance fund's total income for the first eleven months of 2025 reached 2.632 trillion, with total expenditures of 2.110 trillion. The fund's operation remains stable, with contributions from both employee and resident insurance systems [8]. Investment Insights - Guojin Securities highlighted that a new investment theme is emerging in the commodity market, with a focus on industrial resources like copper, aluminum, tin, lithium, and crude oil. The report suggests that the recovery of global manufacturing and the rebound in domestic consumption will create opportunities in sectors such as aviation, hotels, and non-bank financial services [9][10].

| 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅量 | 现价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688623 | 航天环宇 | +20.00% | 52.87 | | 301005 | 超捷股份 | +16.35% | 159.40 | | 300203 | 吴志机电 | +15.15% | 53.80 | | 300699 | 光威复材 | +14.86% | 40.05 | | 300337 | 银邦股份 | +14.18% | 15.62 | | 002471 | 中超控股 | +10.06% | 6.89 | | 603017 | 中衡设计 | +10.04% | 11.62 | | 002465 | 海格通信 | +10.04% | 15.35 | | 603936 | 博敏电子 | +10.03% | 12.95 | | 002361 | 神剑股份 | +10.02% | 14.49 | | 000547 | 航大发展 | +10.01% | 30.98 | | 001229 | 魅视科技 | +10.01% | 42.75 | | 602030 | 九丰能源 | +10.01% | 45. ...