Core Viewpoint - The company has approved the acquisition of an additional 9% stake in Yixing Tianshi Feed Co., Ltd., increasing its ownership from 51% to 60% [1] Group 1 - The fourth meeting of the company's fourth board of directors took place on November 17, 2025, where the acquisition proposal was reviewed and approved [1]

Core Insights - The feed sector experienced a slight increase of 0.07% on November 17, with Tianma Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3972.03, down 0.46%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13202.0, down 0.11% [1] Feed Sector Performance - Tianma Technology (603668) closed at 15.33, up 6.16% with a trading volume of 898,500 shares and a transaction value of 1.402 billion [1] - Other notable performers included: - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891) at 59.69, up 3.86% [1] - Zhenghong Technology (000702) at 7.65, up 1.06% [1] - Petty Holdings (300673) at 17.70, up 0.91% [1] - Guibao Pet (301498) at 72.62, up 0.54% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 118 million from institutional investors and 78.86 million from retail investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 197 million [2] - The capital flow for key stocks included: - Tianma Technology had a net inflow of 1.03 billion from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 130 million from retail investors [3] - Haida Group (002311) had a net inflow of 11.08 million from institutional investors [3] - Other stocks like Petty Holdings and Zhenghong Technology experienced net outflows from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - In October, the pig farming industry experienced a significant increase in the number of pigs slaughtered, leading to a sharp decline in pork prices due to oversupply and weakened demand [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In October, 14 listed pig companies collectively slaughtered 17.2 million pigs, representing a month-on-month increase of 23.20% and a year-on-year increase of 25.85% [1][2]. - Major companies such as Muyuan Foods, WH Group, and New Hope reported slaughter increases of 26.97%, 17.07%, and 20.87% respectively [1][2]. - The total number of market pigs slaughtered by these companies was approximately 15.4 million, with a month-on-month increase of 23.96% and a year-on-year increase of 24.58% [2]. Group 2: Price Dynamics - The increase in slaughter volume has led to a significant drop in pork prices, with most listed companies reporting a price decline of over 10% month-on-month and over 30% year-on-year [2]. - The average weight of slaughtered pigs increased to 126.27 kg, up by 1.09 kg month-on-month, indicating a trend towards heavier pigs being brought to market [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The current weak prices for both fattened pigs and piglets, alongside policy-driven factors, suggest that the pig farming industry may initiate a capacity reduction phase [4]. - The price of fattened pigs has fallen below 12 yuan per kg, while weaned piglet prices are around 200 yuan per head, indicating a phase of overall industry losses [4]. - Historical trends suggest that when both fattened and piglet prices are low, the industry is likely to undergo market-driven capacity reduction, which could support long-term price increases [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The pig farming sector is expected to benefit from recent policies and market dynamics that promote capacity reduction, enhancing long-term performance for companies like Muyuan Foods, WH Group, and others [5]. - The recovery in pig inventory is anticipated to boost demand for feed and veterinary products, benefiting companies in the downstream supply chain [5]. - The agricultural sector is showing positive trends with rising grain prices, presenting investment opportunities in large-scale agricultural companies [5].

Group 1: Livestock Industry Outlook - The livestock industry is expected to experience a significant reversal, with both beef and milk prices projected to rebound, driven by a reduction in domestic beef production capacity and a historical high in the meat-to-milk price ratio, which may accelerate the culling of dairy cows [1][15][45] - Domestic beef prices have been on a downward trend, with a cumulative decline of nearly 20% since June 2023, reaching a low of 23.77 CNY/kg by February 2025, while the market price for beef has dropped to 51.38 CNY/kg, down 6.5% year-on-year [15][21] - The supply of beef is expected to tighten as the number of cull cows decreases, leading to a potential price increase for beef starting in 2025, with prices anticipated to rise until 2027 [21][45] Group 2: Swine and Poultry Farming - The investment focus is shifting from cyclical trends to company management and cash flow generation, with leading companies in the swine and poultry sectors expected to benefit from improved cash flow and profitability amid industry-wide capacity reductions [2][9] - In the swine sector, the official capacity control is expected to enhance the cash flow of leading enterprises, positioning them as attractive investment opportunities [2][9] - The poultry sector is anticipated to see limited supply fluctuations, with leading companies likely to achieve higher cash flow and dividend returns as demand recovers [2][9] Group 3: Feed Industry Dynamics - The deepening industrialization of livestock farming and clear division of labor in the feed industry are expected to allow leading feed companies to further enhance their competitive advantages through technology and service [2][9][12] Group 4: Pet Industry Growth - The pet industry is viewed as a promising new consumption sector, benefiting from demographic trends, with domestic brands rapidly emerging. The performance of leading pet food companies is expected to show strong growth through 2026 [2][9][12] - Recommendations include leading domestic brands such as Guai Bao Pet and Zhong Chong Co., which are positioned to capitalize on the growing market [2][9][12] Group 5: Bulk Agricultural Products Overview - The agricultural products market is currently in a bottoming phase, with expectations of upward movement in the medium to long term. Key products include corn, soybeans, and oilseeds, which are projected to see stable supply and price support [3][9] - The domestic corn market is expected to maintain strong bottom support, while soybean imports are anticipated to rise, influencing domestic prices positively [3][9]

Group 1: Livestock Industry Outlook - The livestock industry is expected to experience a significant reversal, with both beef and milk prices projected to rebound, driven by a reduction in domestic beef production capacity and a historical high in the meat-milk price ratio, which may accelerate the culling of dairy cows [1][15][45] - Domestic beef prices have been on a downward trend, with a cumulative decline of nearly 20% since June 2023, reaching a low of 23.77 CNY/kg by February 2025, while the market price for beef has dropped to 51.38 CNY/kg, down 6.5% year-on-year [15][21] - The supply of beef is expected to tighten as the number of cull cows decreases, leading to a potential price increase for beef from 2025 to 2027, supported by both domestic and international market dynamics [21][45] Group 2: Swine and Poultry Farming - The swine industry is shifting focus from cyclical trends to company management and cash flow generation, with leading firms expected to benefit from improved cash flow due to capacity adjustments [2][9] - In poultry farming, supply fluctuations are anticipated to be limited, with leading companies likely to achieve higher cash flow and dividend returns as demand recovers [2][9] - The feed industry is expected to see increased industrialization and specialization, with leading feed companies leveraging technology and service advantages to enhance their competitive edge [2][9] Group 3: Pet Industry Insights - The pet industry is viewed as a promising new consumption sector, benefiting from demographic trends, with domestic brands rapidly emerging [2][9] - The performance of leading pet food companies is expected to remain strong, with significant growth potential similar to the rise of domestic brands in Japan [2][9] - Key recommendations include domestic brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co., which are positioned well in the market [2][9] Group 4: Agricultural Commodities Overview - Agricultural commodities are currently in a bottoming phase, with expectations of upward movement in the medium to long term [3][9] - Corn supply is expected to increase marginally in the short term, while the long-term outlook remains strong due to solid bottom support [3][9] - Soybean imports are anticipated to rise, driven by cost recovery, while oilseed supply is expected to increase moderately, supported by policy measures [3][9]

Core Insights - The event "Healthy Development of Spot and Futures Linkage" was successfully held in Chongqing Rongchang, focusing on the integration of the feed industry with futures and options markets [1][2] - The Rongchang District government emphasizes the importance of high-quality development in the pig industry and aims to create a synergistic ecosystem combining data, finance, and industry [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The event was organized by Southwest Futures in collaboration with the National Pig Big Data Center, gathering government agencies and feed-related enterprises to discuss new pathways for the feed industry [1] - Rongchang District is recognized as a core area for the national pig industry, highlighting its commitment to optimizing the business environment for feed enterprises and farming entities [1] Group 2: Strategic Focus - The conference centered on practical empowerment and precise matching, focusing on the core functions of futures and options related to feed (corn, soybean meal) and their application in enterprises [2] - Southwest Futures and the National Pig Big Data Center plan to deepen strategic cooperation to build a specialized platform for industry-finance collaboration, aiming to create a risk hedging service system [2] Group 3: Goals and Objectives - The initiative aims to leverage digital tools to address industry pain points and utilize financial innovation to hedge market risks, thereby empowering the entire pig industry chain for high-quality development [2]

Core Insights - The event "Healthy Development • Futures-Spot Linkage" was successfully held in Chongqing Rongchang, focusing on the integration of the feed industry with futures and spot markets [1][2] - Southwest Futures and the National Pig Big Data Center aim to deepen strategic cooperation to create a professional platform for industry-finance collaboration [2] Group 1: Event Overview - The conference gathered government agencies and feed-related companies to discuss new paths for the integration of the feed industry [1] - Rongchang District is recognized as a core area for the national pig industry, emphasizing high-quality development and collaboration with financial institutions [1] Group 2: Strategic Goals - The event emphasized practical empowerment and precise matching, focusing on the core functions of futures and options in the feed market [2] - A three-in-one risk hedging service system will be established, combining data empowerment, financial support, and industry upgrades to address industry pain points [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Jin Xin Nong's stock price has dropped by 5.07%, currently trading at 5.24 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 4.34 billion CNY [1] - Jin Xin Nong's main business involves the research, production, and sales of pig feed products, with revenue composition as follows: pig compound feed 49.43%, live pigs 32.10%, other feed 9.29%, pig concentrated feed 5.43%, pig premix feed 2.82%, others 0.58%, and feed raw materials 0.35% [1] Group 2 - Guotai Fund's Guotai Zhongzheng Livestock Breeding ETF (159865) is among the top ten circulating shareholders of Jin Xin Nong, having increased its holdings by 4.72 million shares in Q3, totaling 12.73 million shares, which is 1.58% of the circulating shares [2] - The Guotai Zhongzheng Livestock Breeding ETF has a current scale of 6.097 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 16.52% and a one-year return of 12.55% [2] - The fund manager, Liang Xing, has been in position for 9 years and 165 days, with the fund's total asset scale at 30.617 billion CNY and a best return of 1112.34% during his tenure [3]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the agricultural sector, particularly highlighting the resilience and growth potential in the pet food market and the cyclical recovery in the pig farming industry [1] Group 1: Pet Industry Performance - The pet food sales during the 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival reached 9.4 billion yuan, showcasing significant growth in the pet sector [11][12] - Major brands like Mai Fudi and Frigat led sales on platforms such as JD and Tmall, indicating strong competitive advantages [11][12] - The trend towards high-end and refined pet products is evident, with new processing techniques gaining market share [11][12][16] Group 2: Pig Farming Market Dynamics - As of November 14, 2025, the average price of pigs was 11.66 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 0.22 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decline of 4.79% [4][15] - The supply side is expected to contract due to overproduction in October and a reduction in breeding stock, while demand may increase due to seasonal consumption patterns [4][15] - The report suggests that the pig farming sector may enter a favorable investment phase as losses accelerate and market conditions stabilize [5][26] Group 3: Market Performance Overview - From November 10 to November 14, the agricultural index outperformed the broader market by 2.87 percentage points, with a 2.70% increase in the agricultural index compared to a 0.18% decline in the Shanghai Composite Index [28][29] - Key stocks such as Yuegui Co. and ST Jiawo saw significant gains, indicating strong performance within the agricultural sector [28][33] Group 4: Feed Industry Insights - The domestic feed market is benefiting from the recovery in livestock numbers and strong overseas demand, with a projected increase in feed production [26] - The report highlights the growth in feed production from 162 million tons in 2010 to 315 million tons in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.86% [26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in pig production in October, leading to ongoing supply pressure and price declines in the market [2][8]. - The report emphasizes the potential for long-term performance improvement in the pig farming sector due to recent policies and market dynamics driving capacity reduction [3][48]. Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - In October, the total pig output from 14 listed companies reached 17.2 million heads, a month-on-month increase of 23.20% and a year-on-year increase of 25.85% [11]. - The average weight of pigs at slaughter increased to 126.27 kg, reflecting a slight month-on-month rise [15][17]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, with specific stocks such as Muyuan Foods (牧原股份), Wens Foodstuffs (温氏股份), and others identified as potential investments [3][48]. - It also suggests opportunities in the feed and animal health sectors, driven by rising demand as pig inventories recover [3][48]. Market Trends - The report notes a downward trend in pig prices, with the average price dropping significantly due to increased supply and reduced consumer demand post-holiday season [13][17]. - The report indicates that the current price of pigs is around 11.73 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 1.51% [17]. Agricultural Products - The report discusses the broader agricultural landscape, noting that grain prices are on an upward trend, which presents investment opportunities in the planting and seed sectors [3][48]. - It highlights the ongoing replenishment cycle in the rubber market, with prices currently at 15,215 yuan/ton, down 1.47% week-on-week [45].