Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the report Glass Summary Price and Change - On June 13, 2025, the price of 5mm large - plate glass from Shahe Anquan was 1113.0, with a weekly change of - 8.0 and a daily change of 0.0; FG09 contract price was 976.0, with a weekly change of - 21.0 and a daily change of - 5.0 [3] - The price of 5mm large - plate glass from Shahe Great Wall remained at 1096.0 from June 6 - 13, with no weekly or daily change; FG01 contract price was 1035.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 19.0 and a daily change of - 5.0 [3] - Shahe 5mm large - plate low - price was 1096.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 30.0 and a daily change of - 8.0; FG 9 - 1 spread was - 59.0, with a weekly change of - 2.0 and no daily change [3] - The price of 5mm large - plate glass from Wuhan Changli remained at 1080.0 from June 6 - 13, with no change; 09 Hebei basis was 61.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 68.0 and a daily change of - 3.0 [3] - Hubei large - plate low - price remained at 990.0 from June 6 - 13, with no change; 09 Hubei basis was 14.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of 21.0 and a daily change of 5.0 [3] - South China 5mm large - plate low - price was 1400.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 20.0 and no daily change [3] - Shandong 5mm large - plate price remained at 1160.0 from June 6 - 13, with no change [3] Profit and Cost - North China coal - fired profit was 232.9 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 17.0 and a daily change of 2.5; North China coal - fired cost was 863.1, with a weekly change of - 13.0 and a daily change of - 10.5 [3] - South China natural gas profit was - 141.7 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 20.0 and no daily change; North China natural gas profit was - 252.9, with a weekly change of - 17.4 and a daily change of 2.5 [3] - 09FG surface natural gas profit was - 372.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 9.2 and a daily change of - 1.0; 01FG surface natural gas profit was - 312.4, with a weekly change of - 9.6 and a daily change of - 2.5 [3] Spot and Sales - Glass spot: Shahe traders' price was around 1095, with average trading volume and insufficient spot and futures sources; Hubei factories' low - price was around 980, with fair trading volume; new spot and futures price was 960, with average trading volume [3] - Glass sales: Shahe's sales rate was 94, Hubei's was 103, East China's was 102, and South China's was 94 [3] Soda Ash Summary Price and Change - On June 13, 2025, the price of heavy soda ash in Shahe was 1200.0, with a weekly change of - 50.0 and a daily change of - 30.0; SA05 contract price was 1204.0, with a weekly change of - 38.0 and a daily change of - 8.0 [3] - The price of heavy soda ash in Central China was 1165.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 55.0 and a daily change of - 45.0; SA01 contract price was 1153.0, with a weekly change of - 45.0 and a daily change of - 12.0 [3] - The price of heavy soda ash in South China remained at 1510.0 from June 6 - 13, with no change; SA09 contract price was 1156.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 56.0 and a daily change of - 19.0 [3] - The price of heavy soda ash in Qinghai remained at 1030.0 from June 6 - 13, with no change; SA09 Shahe basis was 44.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of 6.0 and a daily change of - 11.0 [3] - The price of light soda ash in North China remained at 1200.0 from June 6 - 13, with no change; SA month - spread 09 - 01 was 3.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 11.0 and a daily change of - 7.0 [3] - The price of light soda ash in Central China was 1180.0 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 20.0 and no daily change [3] Profit and Cost - North China ammonia - soda profit was - 126.3 on June 13, with a weekly change of - 20.0 and a daily change of - 50.0; North China ammonia - soda cost was 1286.3, with a weekly change of - 40.0 and no daily change [3] - North China combined - soda profit was 7.4 on June 13, with a weekly change of 23.1 and a daily change of - 48.0 [3] Spot and Industry - Spot: The spot price of heavy soda ash at Hebei delivery warehouses was around 1160, and that at Shahe warehouses was around 1200 [3] - Industry: Factory warehouses were accumulating inventory, and Yuanxing had over - produced [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information provided in the documents. 2. Core Views of the Reports Natural Rubber - Under the expectation of increasing supply and weakening demand, the subsequent rubber price is expected to remain weak. Adopt a strategy of shorting on rebounds above 14,000. Pay attention to the raw material supply in each producing area and macro - event disturbances [2]. Industrial Silicon - Although the demand for industrial silicon is expected to improve in June, the supply increase is larger, and the inventory is expected to accumulate, putting pressure on the price. However, due to the low absolute price and the enhancement of disk procurement, there may be price rebounds, and the price is expected to fluctuate at a low level. If the polysilicon production increases, it is beneficial for the arbitrage of buying industrial silicon and shorting polysilicon [5]. Polysilicon - In June, there is no obvious improvement in the fundamentals. There is a high probability of a decline in demand, and the supply does not decrease accordingly, so there is a risk of inventory accumulation. Hold short positions cautiously and pay attention to the spread structure and polysilicon production. If the polysilicon production increases, it is beneficial for the arbitrage of buying industrial silicon and shorting polysilicon [6]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Soda Ash**: The supply is gradually recovering, the demand has no obvious growth, and the inventory is under pressure after the maintenance. Continue to hold previous short positions and track the implementation of maintenance [7]. - **Glass**: It still faces over - supply pressure, and the price may continue to be under pressure. Adopt a short - term bearish strategy and wait for more cold - repair implementation to bring a real reversal [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Natural Rubber Spot Prices and Basis - Yunnan Guofu all - latex rubber (SCRWF) in Shanghai rose from 13,750 to 13,850, an increase of 0.73%. The all - latex basis (switched to the 2509 contract) increased by 289.29% [2]. Monthly Spreads - The 9 - 1 spread decreased by 2.38%, the 1 - 5 spread decreased by 25.00%, and the 5 - 9 spread increased by 3.41% [2]. Fundamental Data - In April, Thailand's production decreased by 29.16%, Indonesia's by 7.26%, and India's by 14.34%, while China's increased by 42.30 thousand tons. The weekly开工率 of semi - steel tires increased by 4.12 percentage points, and that of all - steel tires decreased by 2.23 percentage points. Domestic tire production in April decreased by 5.07%, tire exports by 7.87%, and natural rubber imports by 11.93%. In May, the import of natural and synthetic rubber decreased by 12.03% [2]. Inventory Changes - The bonded area inventory decreased by 0.80%, and the natural rubber factory - warehouse futures inventory on the SHFE increased by 23.99% [2]. Industrial Silicon Spot Prices and Basis - The prices of East China oxygen - permeable SI5530, SI4210, and Xinjiang 99 silicon remained unchanged. The basis of relevant varieties decreased, with the largest decline of 29.90% [5]. Monthly Spreads - The spreads of 2506 - 2507, 2507 - 2508, 2509 - 2510, and 2510 - 2511 increased, with the largest increase of 266.67% [5]. Fundamental Data - In April, the national industrial silicon production decreased by 12.10%, Xinjiang's by 20.55%, Yunnan's increased by 9.35%, and Sichuan's increased by 145.65%. The national开工率 decreased by 11.37%, Xinjiang's by 22.18%, Yunnan's by 9.21%, and Sichuan's increased by 1389.80%. In May, the production of silicone DMC increased by 6.48%, polysilicon by 0.73%, and recycled aluminum alloy decreased by 0.66%. The industrial silicon export in April increased by 1.64% [5]. Inventory Changes - Xinjiang's factory - warehouse inventory decreased by 2.15%, Yunnan's increased by 2.79%, Sichuan's increased by 0.44%, the social inventory decreased by 2.56%, the warehouse receipt inventory decreased by 0.51%, and the non - warehouse receipt inventory decreased by 4.59% [5]. Polysilicon Spot Prices and Basis - The average prices of N - type re - feedstock, N - type granular silicon decreased by 1.37% and 1.47% respectively, while the average price of P - type cauliflower material remained unchanged. The basis of relevant materials increased, with the largest increase of 8.65% [6]. Futures Prices and Monthly Spreads - The PS2506 contract decreased by 1.96%. The spreads of PS2506 - PS2507 increased by 22.00%, while others decreased, with the largest decline of 40.85% [6]. Fundamental Data - Weekly silicon wafer production increased by 0.46%, and polysilicon production increased by 8.18%. In May, polysilicon production increased by 0.73%. In April, polysilicon imports decreased by 7.10%, exports decreased by 10.40%, silicon wafer imports decreased by 32.03%, exports increased by 28.29%, and the net export of silicon wafers increased by 42.57%. In May, the silicon wafer demand decreased by 8.10% [6]. Inventory Changes - Polysilicon inventory increased by 2.23%, and silicon wafer inventory decreased by 3.40%. The polysilicon warehouse receipts remained unchanged [6]. Glass and Soda Ash Glass - Related Prices and Spreads - The spot prices in North China, East China, Central China, and South China remained unchanged. The glass 2505 contract decreased by 1.37%, and the 2509 contract decreased by 1.70%. The 05 basis increased by 27.78% [7]. Soda Ash - Related Prices and Spreads - The spot prices in North China, East China, Central China, and Northwest China remained unchanged. The soda ash 2505 contract decreased by 1.06%, and the 2509 contract decreased by 2.20%. The 05 basis increased by 7.43% [7]. Supply - The soda ash operating rate increased by 8.06%, the weekly soda ash production increased by 8.04%, the float glass daily melting volume decreased by 0.70%, the photovoltaic daily melting volume decreased by 1.00%, and the 3.2mm coating mainstream price decreased by 4.76% [7]. Inventory - The glass factory - warehouse inventory increased by 2.84%, the soda ash factory - warehouse inventory increased by 3.82%, the soda ash delivery warehouse inventory decreased by 5.87%, and the glass factory's soda ash inventory days increased by 15.91% [7]. Real Estate Data Year - on - Year - The new construction area increased by 2.99%, the construction area decreased by 7.56%, the completion area increased by 15.67%, and the sales area increased by 12.13% [7].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents the price, profit, and inventory data of glass and soda ash on different dates, reflecting the market dynamics and trends of these two industries [1] 3. Summary by Related Categories Glass - **Price Changes**: From June 5 to June 12, 2025, the price of 5mm glass plates in different regions showed various changes. For example, the price of the 5mm large - plate of Shahe Anquan decreased by 8.0, while the FG09 contract price increased by 18.0 and then decreased by 17.0 on June 12 [1] - **Profit Situation**: The profits of different production methods and regions also varied. The profit of North China's coal - fired glass decreased by 6.5 and then increased by 0.4, and the profit of South China's natural gas - fired glass decreased by 20.0 [1] - **Spot and Sales**: The spot price of Shahe traders is around 1104, with average transactions and insufficient spot and futures supply. The low - price of Hubei factories is around 980, with fair transactions. The new spot and futures price is 960, with average transactions. The sales rates in different regions are as follows: Shahe 87, Hubei 105, East China 105, and South China 107 [1] Soda Ash - **Price Changes**: From June 5 to June 12, 2025, the price of heavy soda ash in different regions also changed. For example, the price of Shahe heavy soda ash decreased by 20.0, and the SA05 contract price decreased by 24.0 and then decreased by 13.0 on June 12 [1] - **Profit Situation**: The profits of different production methods in North China increased. The profit of North China's ammonia - soda method increased by 30.0 and then 40.0, and the profit of North China's combined - soda method increased by 65.5 and then 56.4 [1] - **Spot and Industry Situation**: The spot price of heavy soda ash in Hebei's delivery warehouse is around 1180, and the price in Shahe warehouse is around 1210. The factory warehouses are accumulating inventory, and Yuanxing has over - produced [1]

现货：重碱河北交割库现货报价在1210左右，沙河库1230左右 产业：厂库累库。远兴超产 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 河北鑫利4.8mm（折5mm） 2022 2023 2024 2025 (600) (400) (200) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 华北玻璃生产利润（气） 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1104 1113 1104 990 969 998 1015 1056 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 沙河德金 沙河安全 沙河低价 湖北低价 07合约 09合约 11合约 01合约 玻璃价格结构 今日(6/11） 昨日(6/10） 一周前(6/4） 一月前(5/12） (500) 0 500 1,000 1,500 华南玻璃利润（气） 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 玻璃：河北低价大板 2019 2 ...

然橡胶产业期现目报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年6月12日 Z0021810 寇帝斯 | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 6月11日 | 6月10日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 云南国营全乳胶(SCRWF):上海 | 13750 | 13850 | -100 | -0.72% | | | 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) | -140 | વર્ત | -185 | -411.11% | 元/吨 | | 泰标混合胶报价 | 13850 | 13750 | 100 | 0.73% | | | 非标价差 | -40 | -રેર | 15 | 27.27% | | | 杯胶：国际市场:FOB中间价 | 46.65 | 46.20 | 0.45 | 0.97% | 泰铢/公斤 | | 胶水： 国际市场: FOB中间价 | 56.50 | 56.25 | 0.25 | 0.44% | | | 天然橡胶:胶块:西双版纳州 | 12200 | 12200 | 0 | 0.00% | ...

| | | | | | 玻璃纯碱早报 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | 研究中心能化团队 | | 2025/6/11 | | | | | | | | 玻 璃 | | | | | | | | 2025/6/3 | | 2025/6/9 | | 2025/6/10 周度变化 日度变化 | | | 2025/6/3 | 2025/6/9 | | 2025/6/10 周度变化 日度变化 | | | 沙河安全 5mm大 板 | 1121.0 | 1121.0 | 1113.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 | FG09合约 | 954.0 | 1006.0 | 995.0 | 41.0 | -11.0 | | 沙河长城 5mm大板 | 1096.0 | 1109.0 | 1100.0 | 4.0 | -9.0 | FG01合约 | 1014.0 | 1066.0 | 1054.0 | 40.0 | -12.0 | | 沙河5mm大 板低价 | 1 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - No core viewpoints are explicitly stated in the provided reports. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Glass - **Price Changes**: From June 3 to June 9, 2025, the price of 5mm glass in different regions showed various changes. For example, the price of Wuhan Changli 5mm large - plate decreased by 60.0, while the price of Shaguo Great Wall 5mm large - plate increased by 13.0 [1]. - **Contract Price Changes**: FG09 contract price increased from 954.0 on June 3 to 1006.0 on June 9, and FG01 contract price increased from 1014.0 to 1066.0 during the same period [1]. - **Profit Changes**: The profit of North China coal - fired glass increased by 22.4 from June 3 to June 9, and the profit of North China natural gas glass increased by 22.0 [1]. - **Spot and Sales**: Shaguo traders' glass price was around 1126 with average trading volume, and the transaction of Hubei's factory low - price glass was good [1]. - **Production and Sales Ratio**: The production - sales ratio in Shaguo was 97, in Hubei was 95, in East China was 93, and in South China was 100 [1]. Soda Ash - **Price Changes**: From June 3 to June 9, 2025, the price of Shaguo heavy soda ash increased by 10.0, and the price of North China light soda ash increased by 30.0 [1]. - **Contract Price Changes**: SA05 contract price increased from 1221.0 on June 3 to 1235.0 on June 9, and SA01 contract price increased from 1175.0 to 1193.0 [1]. - **Profit Changes**: The profit of North China ammonia - soda method decreased by 0.6, and the profit of North China combined - soda method decreased by 14.7 [1]. - **Spot and Industry Situation**: The spot price of heavy soda ash in Hebei delivery warehouse was around 1210, and the inventory in factory warehouses increased [1].

【玻璃纯碱（ 】 低位价格弹性大，市场情绪易波动 国贸期货 黑色金属研究中心 2025-06-09 黄志鸿 从业资格证号：F3051824 投资咨询证号：Z0015761 本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议；期市有风险，投资需谨慎 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】31号 01 PART ONE 主要观点及策略概述 玻璃:供需双弱 | 影响因素 | 驱动 | 主要逻辑 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 供给 | 偏空 | 产量下降。本周全国浮法玻璃日产量为15.68万吨，行业开工率为75.68%，比29日-0.34个百分点；产能利用率为78.14%，比29日-0.47个百分 | | | | | | 点。本周2条产线放水，1条产线点火，但点火产线暂无玻璃产出，整体来看供应量呈现下降趋势。下周1条产线存在冷修预期，2条产线计划点 | | | | | | 火，产量持稳为主。 | | | | 需求 | 偏空 | 需求预期走弱，淡季来临，需求或边际下滑。稳增长压力较大，中期地产颓势难挽，竣工数据同比延续下滑，后市需求担忧犹存。 ...

| | | | | | 玻璃纯碱早报 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 玻 璃 | | | 研究中心能化团队 | | | 2025/6/9 | | | 2025/5/30 | 2025/6/5 | | 2025/6/6 周度变化 日度变化 | | | 2025/5/30 | 2025/6/5 | | 2025/6/6 周度变化 日度变化 | | | 沙河安全 5mm大 板 | 1134.0 | 1121.0 | 1121.0 | -13.0 | 0.0 | FG09合约 | 982.0 | 963.0 | 997.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | | 沙河长城 5mm大板 | 1113.0 | 1113.0 | 1126.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | FG01合约 | 1043.0 | 1018.0 | 1054.0 | 11.0 | 36.0 | | 沙河5mm大 板低价 | 1113.0 | 1113.0 | 1121.0 | 8.0 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Core Views Glass - Short - term: The glass market is expected to have a short - term rebound due to low valuation. The spot market has seen improved recent transactions, but the upcoming rainy season may have a short - term impact. - Medium - term: It is a volatile market. Attention should be paid to the real - estate debt repayment peak in June and the suppression of the Hubei warehouse receipts on the market. The upside is limited, but so is the downside. - Long - term: The 09 contract, a peak - season contract, is priced at a large loss, indicating high future volatility. - Bullish factors: Policy support for real - estate acquisition, increased government financial support, enhanced expectations for the completion of pre - sold housing, low spot prices (below the 25% historical percentile), long - term losses of manufacturers, and peak - season expectations for the 09 contract. - Bearish factors: The real - estate market is unlikely to have a substantial improvement, and there is still significant inventory pressure in Hubei, and the trading sector depends on the real - estate market's continuous improvement [6]. 纯碱 - Short - term: The market is expected to rebound due to low valuation, but the spot price is difficult to increase, and the futures increase leads to a weakening basis, resulting in greater delivery pressure. - Medium - term: It is a volatile market. The core factors are high production and high inventory, with limited long - term shortage expectations. The cost collapse pressure is not fully reflected in the price. The expected production reduction in June is weak, but July or August may be the next maintenance peak. - Potential supporting factors: Low price difference between light and heavy soda, good exports this year, and high inventory concentration, but they need the improvement of the glass market to ferment [7]. Summary by Directory Glass: Supply - side Situation Introduction - Cold - repaired production lines in 2025 have a total daily melting capacity of 8010 tons/day [10]. - Ignited production lines in 2025 have a total daily melting capacity of 9210 tons/day [11]. - Potential new ignition production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 13000 tons/day, with some planned for 2025 and others with undetermined ignition times [13]. - Potential复产 ignition production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 7830 tons, mainly concentrated in South and Southwest China [14]. - Potential cold - repaired production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 7850 tons/day, with various planned cold - repair times [16]. - The glass industry's production reduction space in the first half of the year is expected to be limited, with the current in - production capacity at around 156,000 tons/day, a peak of 178,000 tons/day in 2021, and a recent low of 148,000 - 150,000 tons/day [17][18]. Glass: Price and Profit - Recent transactions have slightly declined, with little overall change. The price in Shahe is around 1140 - 1180 yuan/ton, 1000 - 1100 yuan/ton in Hubei (some manufacturers reduced prices by 40 yuan/ton), and 1280 - 1400 yuan/ton in East China (some manufacturers reduced prices by 20 - 40 yuan/ton) [24][28]. - The futures market has rebounded, the basis is weak, and the month - spread is stable. The spot market is stable, and the month - spread has limited upside due to near - month warehouse receipts [30][33]. - The profit of glass production using petroleum coke as fuel is around - 111 yuan/ton, and that using natural gas and coal as fuel is between - 170 and 91 yuan/ton [34][38]. Glass: Inventory and Downstream Start - up - During the Dragon Boat Festival, weak market transactions led to an increase in inventory across the country. Large manufacturers have better order situations than small ones [41][43]. - The price difference between Central China and Jiangsu and Zhejiang has returned to normal and is widening, which is beneficial for inventory reduction in Hubei [47]. Photovoltaic Glass: Price, Profit, Capacity, and Inventory - Prices are falling, recent orders are slightly decreasing, glass manufacturers' shipments are average, and local inventory is increasing. The price of 2.0mm coated panels is around 12.5 yuan/square meter, a 3.85% month - on - month decline, and the 3.2mm coated panels are around 20.5 yuan/square meter, a 2.38% month - on - month decline [54][56]. - The market is gradually weakening, and it may enter a production - reduction cycle. Market transactions have slightly declined, and inventory has slightly increased, with the sample inventory days at about 29.72 days, a 1.94% month - on - month increase [57][63]. 纯碱: Supply and Maintenance - Maintenance of soda ash has almost reached its peak, and there may be less maintenance in June. The current capacity utilization rate is 80.8% (78.6% last week), and the weekly production of heavy soda ash is 382,200 tons [66][68]. - The inventory is around 1.627 million tons, with 79,000 tons of light soda ash and 837,000 tons of heavy soda ash [75]. 纯碱: Price and Profit - Prices in most regions remain unchanged. The nominal prices in Shahe and Hubei are around 1250 - 1350 yuan/ton [84][85]. - The basis is weak in the short term, and the spot market fluctuates within a narrow range. The market is influenced by the impact of delivery goods and maintenance. - The profit of the joint - alkali method in East China (excluding Shandong) is 178 yuan/ton, and that of the ammonia - alkali method in North China is 50 yuan/ton [90].