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如何锻造穿越周期的耐心资本?——读《柏基投资之道》
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-23 18:02
Core Insights - The article discusses the investment philosophy and historical performance of Baillie Gifford, a century-old investment firm that has achieved remarkable returns through its long-term global growth strategy [4][5][9]. Company History - Baillie Gifford was founded in 1908 as a law firm and transitioned into investment management after recognizing an opportunity in the rubber market during an economic downturn [6][7]. - The firm has evolved significantly over the past century, adapting to various economic cycles and crises, including the Great Depression and the 2008 financial crisis [4][8]. Investment Philosophy - The firm's core investment strategy, termed "long-term global growth strategy," has yielded impressive returns, with its flagship product, the Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (SMT), achieving a total return of 13.64 times over nearly 20 years, compared to 3.85 times for the S&P 500 [5][9]. - Baillie Gifford emphasizes a long-term perspective, believing that a company's competitive advantages take at least five years to manifest, and thus focuses on investments that can maximize returns through compounding over time [10][12]. Research and Evaluation Framework - The firm employs a unique evaluation framework known as the "Ten Questions," which assesses companies based on their potential for growth, competitive advantages, and cultural fit, rather than solely on traditional financial metrics [14][15]. - Baillie Gifford prioritizes qualitative assessments, seeking to understand how companies can achieve high returns over a five to ten-year horizon [12][14]. Academic Collaboration - The firm collaborates closely with academic institutions to gain insights into long-term industry trends, which informs its investment decisions and helps it navigate market volatility [18][20]. - Key theories from scholars, such as the concept of "increasing returns" and the characteristics of "extreme winners," guide Baillie Gifford's investment strategy, focusing on companies that can achieve significant market advantages [19][20]. Evolution and Adaptation - Over its history, Baillie Gifford has continuously evolved its investment approach, moving from a global perspective to a focus on U.S. equities in the mid-20th century, and now emphasizing a long-term growth strategy in the 21st century [21].
海外资管机构月报:10月美国股票型ETF资金净流入超千亿,当前规模已超10万亿美元-20251123
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-23 11:40
10 月美国股票型 ETF 资金净流入超千亿,当前规模已超 10 万亿美元 证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 海外资管机构月报 美国公募基金市场月度收益 2025 年 10 月,美国股票型基金业绩中位数强于债券基金,弱于国际股票基 金和资产配置基金。具体来看,10 月美国股票型基金、国际股票型基金、 债券型基金、资产配置型基金收益中位数分别为 0.56%、0.89%、0.51%、 1.20%。 美国非货币公募基金资金流向 按管理方式:2025 年 10 月,主动管理型基金整体净流入 190 亿美元,被动 基金整体净流入 1118 亿美元。 按资产类型:2025 年 10 月,美国市场开放式基金中,债券型基金资金净流 入较多,为 275 亿美元,股票型基金资金净流出较多,为 970 亿美元。 2025 年 10 月,美国市场 ETF 中,股票型、债券型 ETF 资金净流入较多, 分别达 1044 亿、490 亿美元。 值得注意的是,在股票型基金中,开放式基金与 ETF 资金流向相反,表现 为资金流出开放式基金并流入 ETF。 头部资管机构资金净流入 美国开放式基金规模 Top10 资管机构大部分均有资金 ...
东方汇理:AI对美GDP贡献2.5%,投资应多元精选
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 07:15
应对方式有三:倾向持有股票、布局更广、极度精 选,低配或不碰未证明实力的大市值公司。 本文由 Al 算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 和讯财经 和而不同 迅达天下 【11月23日东方汇理资管发布2026投资展望,对AI投资给出多元建议】当日,东方汇理资产管理亚洲 相关人员在2026投资展望发布会发言,认为从技术整体发展看,AI并非泡沫,目前对美国GDP贡献约 2.5%,仍处早期阶段。 他们担心美国股市后半段极高的估值集中度,指出AI投资要采取多元化策略, 关注股权估值、流动性指标等。 早期企业用自有现金储备支应资本开支,如今部分美股七巨头开始进 入债券市场融资,AI相关企业成投资级美元债市场最大发债主体。 过去两个月,七巨头类公司在投资 级债券市场发行约1600亿美元债券,其CDS利差上升,发债成本变高,但发债规模/市值比例仍合理。 管理组合的"焦虑感"源于发债、砸钱热度汹涌,应对方式有三:倾向持有股票、布局更广、极度精选, 低配或不碰未证明实力的大市值公司。 本文由 AI 算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 扫码查看原文 ...
伯克希尔重仓买入谷歌,巴菲特退休前夕策略引关注
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-11-23 02:58
Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway has made a surprising investment by acquiring 17.84 million shares of Alphabet, making it the company's tenth-largest holding, which contrasts with Warren Buffett's long-standing principle of avoiding businesses that are not well understood [1][3]. Investment Strategy Shift - This investment marks a significant departure from Buffett's traditional investment philosophy, as it involves entering the complex technology sector and paying a high valuation, approximately 40 times the tracking free cash flow, compared to the S&P 500's average of about 26 times since 1991 [3]. - The timing of this investment coincides with a critical leadership transition at Berkshire, with speculation that the incoming CEO, Greg Abel, may have played a key role in this decision, indicating a potential shift in the company's investment logic towards accepting higher premiums for future growth [3][4]. Future Growth Expectations - Analysts suggest that for the valuation to become reasonable, Alphabet needs to achieve an annual free cash flow growth rate of 13% to 23% over the next three to five years, despite its current free cash flow margin of about 19%, which is weaker than Nvidia's margin of 44% [3]. - This investment places Berkshire at the center of the ongoing debate on whether the AI-related investments on Wall Street are overvalued [3].
今年来国寿资产长三角专项投资超50亿
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 00:45
今年以来,国寿资产支持长三角系列资产支持专项计划密集落地,投资规模超过50亿元,为上海企业盘 活存量资产注入强劲动力。具体来看,为进一步支持上海消费基础设施建设,国寿资产通过投资百联股 份ABS项目优先级份额,盘活金山、川沙两大购物中心存量资产;通过投资张江人工智能岛ABS项目, 将国内首个"5G+AI"全场景商用示范园区的优质资产纳入配置。 截至2025年三季度末,国寿资产合并管理资产规模近7万亿元,合并管理第三方业务规模超9100亿元, 服务实体经济投资规模超4万亿元,科技金融、绿色金融、普惠金融等投资规模稳步增长。在2025年IPE 全球资管机构排名中,国寿资产位列全球第29位、中国第1位。 ...
综合金融与健康管理双轮驱动,中国平安再推新服务
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 09:03
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China Ping An has launched the "Yuxiang Guoyi" and "Family Office" services in Changsha, emphasizing the integration of comprehensive financial services with healthcare and elderly care through technological empowerment [1][3] Group 2 - China Ping An has established a comprehensive financial business system centered on insurance, banking, and asset management, while also developing a healthcare service ecosystem represented by Ping An Health and Peking University International Hospital [3] - The launch of the "Yuxiang Guoyi" service aligns with the growing public demand for high-quality health management and wealth protection, integrating traditional Chinese medicine wisdom with modern medical technology [3] - The "Family Office" service aims to provide high-net-worth clients with systematic and professional support in wealth inheritance, tax planning, and family governance, leveraging the group's comprehensive financial advantages [3]
新华鲜报·规划建议新看点丨准入又准营!塑造吸引外资新优势
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-22 07:33
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of implementing "access and operation" to attract foreign investment, highlighting measures such as reducing the negative list for foreign investment access and promoting efficient and secure cross-border data flow [1][3]. - The article discusses the need to address specific issues in market access, such as localizing licensing and certification, ensuring compliance in cross-border data flow, and maintaining fairness in government procurement and market competition [3]. - Recent improvements in the approval process for qualified foreign investors have been noted, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission approving applications in record time, indicating a potential new norm for foreign investment entry [4]. Group 2 - There is a seamless transition from "access" to "operation" for an increasing number of foreign enterprises, with the removal of restrictions in the manufacturing sector and the expansion of pilot programs in the service industry [5]. - The article highlights the importance of shifting from a government supply-oriented approach to an enterprise demand-oriented approach, enhancing governance transparency and precision [6]. - Various localities are simplifying processes for foreign enterprises, such as business registration and work permits for foreign employees, to create a conducive environment for foreign investment [6].
新首相高市早苗“蜜月期”戛然而止?日本面临股债汇三杀,股市一周蒸发1270亿美元
智通财经网· 2025-11-22 02:41
智通财经APP注意到,市场对日本新任首相高市早苗的热情已然消退:过去一周东京上市公司市值蒸发约1270亿美元,日元和政府债券亦大幅下跌。 虽然消费者有理由为她开启疫情以来最大规模额外支出计划而欢呼,但投资者却担心日本可能正在透支财力。他们同时还担忧,日本央行短期内加息以抑制 通胀的可能性正在降低。 一些大型资产管理公司已开始瞄准日本债务市场的弱点,而日元则持续低迷,自10月初高市早苗赢得自民党总裁之位以来,日元已成为兑美元表现最差的主 要货币。 突显政府面临挑战的是,交易员周五基本上无视了财务大臣片山皋月的警告,她提醒投机者当局可能会干预汇市以支撑本币。 "市场对日本官员的言论正在变得不敏感,"澳大利亚国民银行外汇策略师罗德里戈·卡特里尔表示,并补充说日元正变成一种"玩物"。"有坚实的宏观理由证 明日元走弱是合理的。" 在股市,风险已超出与刺激措施相关的紧张情绪。周五日本股市被席卷亚洲的跌势波及,科技股遭遇重挫。 在上月高市早苗掌权时上涨后,包含日本许多大型出口商和科技公司的日经225指数本周收跌3.5%。更广泛的东证指数下跌1.8%。 纵观东京所有上市公司,本周市值损失约20万亿日元,相当于1270亿美元。 ...
睿远基金专户封盘、公募筹备上新:陈光明被贴上了“双标”的标签?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 12:15
与专户端的"收口"同步,睿远在公募端的节奏也有新动作。证监会行政许可进度显示,11月17日,睿远上报了"研选均衡三年持有期混合",而在此之前,近 一年时间里公司没有申报新的公募产品。截至目前,睿远公募产品仍为5只,包括成长价值、均衡价值三年持有、港股通核心价值以及两只固收+品种。 10月中旬起,多家代销渠道向客户发出通知:由陈光明亲自管理的睿远洞见价值系列专户将自2025年11月起暂停新老客户申购,恢复时间未定。据多方确 认,该系列此前已长期严控规模,新客户申购早已关闭,此次全面封盘意味着连老客户追加通道也被暂时冻结。在行情回暖、规模快速增长的情况下,这一 动作被外界解读为管理人主动踩刹车、保护策略稳定性的体现。 与此同时,证监会公示信息显示,睿远在11月17日报送了"睿远研选均衡三年持有期混合型发起式基金"。这是继2024年上报港股通核心价值混合后,公司时 隔一年多再次申报公募新品。专户端"收口"与公募端"上新"几乎同步出现,使得市场重新关注不同类型投资者在产品节奏与资源分配上的微妙感受。 从专户封盘到再报新品 洞见价值系列是睿远体系中最具代表性的专户产品线,也是陈光明近年来长期管理的核心资产组合。2018 ...
国寿资产年内投资长三角系列资产支持专项计划超50亿元
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-11-21 12:06
Core Insights - China Life Asset Management Co., Ltd. has actively supported the implementation of asset-backed special plans in the Yangtze River Delta, with an investment scale exceeding 5 billion yuan this year, injecting strong momentum into revitalizing existing assets for Shanghai enterprises [1][2] Group 1: Investment Projects - The company invested in the Bailian Co., Ltd. ABS project to support the construction of consumer infrastructure in Shanghai, revitalizing existing assets in two major shopping centers with a rental rate consistently above 95% [1] - Investment in the Zhangjiang Artificial Intelligence Island ABS project captures opportunities in Shanghai's innovation center, incorporating high-quality assets from the first "5G+AI" commercial demonstration park in China [1] - The investment in the Jinqiao Group's rental housing ABS project addresses the housing difficulties faced by talent in strategic emerging industries, providing nearly 5,000 rental units [2] Group 2: Financial Performance and Strategy - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company manages nearly 7 trillion yuan in assets, with over 910 billion yuan in third-party business, and has invested over 4 trillion yuan in the real economy [2] - The successful implementation of these projects is attributed to the company's stable, long-term funding advantages and rigorous risk control system [2] - The company aims to continue leveraging insurance fund advantages to focus on the construction needs of Shanghai's "five centers," using innovative tools like asset securitization to deepen cooperation with local state-owned enterprises [2]