来源：围棋投研 今天有很多同行都期待着收盘，想看看上证指数有没有罕见的十连阳，结果是做到了十连阳，不过收盘 略微下跌。 坦白说，我倒不是很关心指数，因为近期市场太过于结构化，不同投资者的体验感是天差地别，基本和 指数涨跌无关。 先说最兴奋的一群人，在我的接触范围里，就是商业航天和机器人投资者。 商业航天被誉为真正的星辰大海，一纸《商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准》，上面支持商业化 关键期的火箭企业能够加快上市，再次把行情推向高潮。 有人说，商业航天看不到业绩啊！没错，但市场要的就是没有业绩，这样就更有想象空间，"宇宙人"不 算估值，只需要相信人类的新未来。 当然，卖方机构肯定不能这样说，不然显得特别不专业。怎么办呢？就是狂摁计算器，努力算出远期的 市场规模和业绩，尽量去解释得通。 就以光伏板块为例，市场给到"太空光伏"的测算如下： 有计算出万亿市场规模的，大概逻辑是10万颗卫星*单颗用50平方*单平2万元=1000亿，叠加马斯克规 划的每年新增100GW太空算力，直接突破万亿规模； 有直接算出3倍市值空间的，算法是未来3年马斯克SpaceX每年发射星舰145次*每次80颗卫星*每颗800 万价值量*30% ...

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has released guidelines to support commercial rocket companies in applying for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board under the fifth listing standard, marking a significant step in the commercialization of the commercial space industry [1][2]. Group 1: Policy and Regulatory Framework - The guidelines provide a pathway for commercial rocket enterprises to access the capital market, particularly for those with substantial revenue and technological capabilities [2][3]. - The National Space Administration has introduced a three-year action plan focusing on the high-quality and safe development of commercial space, indicating a strategic opportunity for the industry [1][3]. Group 2: Industry Development and Opportunities - The commercial rocket sector is positioned as a core component of the commercial space industry, with the potential to drive advancements in related fields such as advanced materials and precision manufacturing [2][4]. - The successful launch of medium and large reusable rockets is identified as a critical milestone for validating the commercial viability of these technologies, which aligns with national development goals [3][4]. Group 3: Financial Implications - The guidelines allow for early access to capital markets for commercial rocket companies that may not yet be profitable but possess core technologies and growth potential, facilitating equity financing [3][4]. - The introduction of these guidelines is seen as a strong signal of support from national and regulatory bodies for the development of strategic emerging industries [3][4].

Group 1: IPO Guidelines and Market Trends - The Shanghai Stock Exchange released IPO guidelines for commercial rocket companies on December 26, 2025, enhancing the adaptability and inclusiveness of the listing standards[6] - Eight commercial aerospace companies have filed for IPO guidance, with Blue Arrow Aerospace expected to be the first to list after passing recent evaluations[9] - The overall market showed strong upward movement in the fourth week of December, with the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50 Index rising by 3.90% and 2.85%, respectively[11] Group 2: New Stock Performance - Four new stocks listed during the week, with an average first-day increase of approximately 200%, including gains of 255.09% for Jianxin Superconductor and 231.48% for Nabai Chuan[4] - A/B class investors earned returns of 30.35 and 28.27 thousand yuan per account from these new stocks, translating to a yield increase of 0.61‰ and 0.57‰ for a 500 million yuan account size[4] - The new stock index experienced a slight decline of 0.02%, while the near-term new stock index rose by 0.22%[11] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Risks - The new stock market showed signs of a slight pullback, with an average decline of 0.79% across 37 new stocks, indicating mixed performance[4] - There is a risk of reduced subscription rates for new stock purchases and compliance risks related to internal systems for offline investors[4] - The net active selling in the new stock sector amounted to 59.21 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.63 billion yuan from the previous week, with institutional investors contributing to this reduction[28]

21世纪经济报道记者 雷若馨 深圳报道 12月30日，航空航天ETF天弘（159241）涨1.24%，商业航天（BK0963）连续4个交易日上涨，累计涨 幅达10.8%。二者均创历史新高。 今年6月18日，证监会重启科创板第五套上市标准，将包括商业航天在内的多个行业一并纳入"未盈利也 可申报"的绿色通道，一度被视作商业航天行业的"历史性风口"。头部商业火箭纷纷宣布进入上市辅导 阶段。 如今，最新发布的标准五《适用指引》，在旧版基础上细化了对商业火箭上市的指引，增加了多项补充 说明，为更多未盈利但强科创属性的商业航天企业打开了大门。 前不久，马斯克旗下Space X确认计划于2026年中后期启动IPO，目标估值约1.5万亿美元（约合人民币 10.6万亿），拟募资规模超300亿美元，有望成为人类历史上规模最大的IPO。 12月26日，上交所发布《发行上市审核规则适用指引第9号——商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标 准》（简称《适用指引》），对于商业火箭上市条件提供清晰路径。 当下，多家头部商业火箭企业已进入IPO倒计时。Space X万亿美元市值刺激，叠加《适用指引》新规发 布，资本市场已然沸腾。 2019年正式 ...

强一股份上市，科创板公司达600家。 12月30日，强一股份在上交所科创板上市，开盘价为265.60元，较发行价上涨212.14%。至此，科创板 公司已达600家。数据显示，科创板600家公司IPO和再融资合计募集资金超1.1万亿元，总市值超10万亿 元。 从2019年7月22日首批25家公司起步，科创板拾级而上，历时近六年半的时间，逐步开出600朵"硬科 技"之花。据悉，科创板600家公司中有389家公司入选国家级专精特新"小巨人"企业名录，65家公司被 评为制造业"单项冠军"示范企业，49家公司主营产品被评为制造业"单项冠军"产品，合计（去重后418 家）占板块公司总数70%。 科技型企业往往需要在前期投入大量资本、经历长期研发，才能实现技术突破和积累。科创板以更大力 度支持突破关键核心技术的科技型企业发展，持续提升制度包容性、适应性和吸引力、竞争力，更好服 务科技创新和新质生产力发展。 今年10月28日，科创板科创成长层首批新注册公司——禾元生物、西安奕材、必贝特正式上市，这是我 国境内资本市场时隔逾两年再次迎来未盈利企业。此后，摩尔线程、昂瑞微、沐曦股份．．．．．．一 家又一家未盈利企业，借助科创板平 ...

股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 据不完全统计，目前已有至少10家商业航天企业开启IPO进程，5家主营业务为运载火箭，分别为蓝箭 航天、星际荣耀、中科宇航、星河动力、天兵科技。12月26日，上海证券交易所制定了《上海证券交易 所发行上市审核规则适用指引第9号——商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准》，《指引》共十四 条，对商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准作出了细化规定。 《指引》首次明确商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准的细化要求。第五套标准以"市值+研发"替 代传统盈利指标，要求企业市值不低于40亿元，且具备核心技术突破与阶段性成果。方正证券李鲁靖指 出，目前蓝箭航天IPO辅导工作正式完成，同时多家民营火箭公司均于下半年陆续完成IPO辅导备案， 民营火箭公司IPO将迎来加速浪潮，同时从明年开始的密集招标释放的大量订单将提升企业业绩，看好 2026年将成为商业航天发展的关键年份，行业有望迎来戴维斯双击。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has released guidelines to support commercial rocket companies in listing on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, marking a significant step for China's commercial space industry as it seeks to enhance its competitiveness and technological capabilities [1][2]. Group 1: Guidelines Overview - The guidelines consist of 14 provisions focusing on four main areas: technological advantages, phased achievements, necessary approvals from relevant authorities, and significant market potential [2]. - The guidelines emphasize the importance of "hard technology" attributes for companies, requiring them to have relevant qualifications in research and manufacturing, and to obtain launch permits before commercial rocket launches [3]. - Companies must demonstrate significant technological advantages and have achieved specific milestones, such as successfully launching a reusable medium to large rocket payload into orbit [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Context and Support - The guidelines aim to enhance the inclusivity and adaptability of the capital market, supporting the development of commercial rockets as a key component of China's space industry [2][6]. - The commercial space sector is seen as a vital force in advancing the aerospace industry and achieving national strategic goals, with a projected market potential reaching trillions [6][7]. - The guidelines are part of a broader trend of increasing support for commercial space enterprises, with several companies already preparing for IPOs under the new standards [7][8]. Group 3: Market Position and Commercialization - Companies seeking to list must hold a prominent position in the industry, have a clear target market, and demonstrate a competitive edge over rivals [5]. - The guidelines also require companies to have a clear commercialization plan from technology validation to large-scale operations [5]. - The capital market's support is crucial for overcoming challenges in technology complexity, funding, and long development cycles, which are currently hindering the large-scale commercialization of commercial rockets [7][8].

国内 1. 华泰证券：关注具备增产降本能力、天然气业务增量的高分红能源寡头 华泰证券研报表示，长期而言，考虑主要产油国边际成本及"利重于量"诉求，油价中枢存60美元/桶底 部支撑，具备增产降本能力及天然气业务增量的能源龙头企业或将显现配置机遇。 中信证券研报称，近期，DR001逐步下探，距离利率走廊下沿只剩5bps，意味着在下一次降息之前，资 金利率继续下探的空间有限。另一方面，结合央行2025年四季度货政例会的表述，"防范资金空转"暂时 不再强调，资金利率抬升概率也不大，预计后续资金利率将维持低位运行。 5. 中信证券：头部民营商业火箭企业IPO进程或将提速 中信证券研报称，2025年12月26日，上交所发布《商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准指引》，标 志着商业火箭企业登陆资本市场的通道正式打通、标准全面明确。在政策对"承担国家任务、参与国家 工程项目""可重复使用技术""行业地位"的强调之下，头部民营商业火箭企业IPO进程或将提速。商业火 箭作为商业航天的"运载底座"，其产业化进程将直接带动卫星制造、地面设备、空间应用等上下游环节 的需求爆发。 6. 中信证券：2026年春节白酒实际动销有望维持平稳 ...

Group 1 - The global IPO market is expected to recover significantly in 2025, primarily supported by a fundamental shift in the global liquidity environment as major central banks, led by the Federal Reserve, begin to lower interest rates after a period of aggressive rate hikes [2] - In the US stock market, private equity and venture capital are leading the financing of AI startups, with significant investments from firms like SoftBank into OpenAI, indicating a trend towards rapid IPOs to exit before potential market shifts [2] - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a dual-driven liquidity support from both domestic and international capital, which is crucial for large IPO projects [2] Group 2 - Despite volatility in global stock markets, the IPO market is thriving, particularly in Hong Kong, where the number of pending IPO applications has surged from 84 at the beginning of the year to 331, suggesting an acceleration in IPO transactions by year-end [3] - Hong Kong is leading in IPO fundraising, with a total expected to reach HKD 2787.03 million (approximately USD 35.9 billion), surpassing the Nasdaq's USD 25.8 billion, marking the highest level since 2021 [4] - If SPACs are included, the Nasdaq remains the top market for IPO fundraising, with a total of USD 46 billion [6] Group 3 - Other regions, such as India and Japan, are also seeing active IPO markets, with over 200 companies in India receiving approval or submitting IPO applications, the highest in 27 years, and Japan's IPO fundraising expected to reach JPY 1.2 trillion (approximately USD 770 million), the highest since 2018 [8] - The largest IPO in the US this year was Medline, raising USD 6.265 billion, followed by Venture Global and Coreweave, indicating strong interest in healthcare and energy sectors [9] - In Hong Kong, the largest IPO was by CATL, raising HKD 310.06 million (approximately USD 39.88 billion), reflecting strong demand for battery technology [10] Group 4 - The IPO market is expected to become more crowded in 2026, with a shift in focus from recovery to competition and differentiation, driven by high listing enthusiasm and urgent capital exit needs [13] - Major tech companies, including SpaceX and AI firms like OpenAI and Anthropic, are planning IPOs in 2026, which could lead to the largest IPO wave in history [14][15] - The backlog of IPO applications in Hong Kong is expected to exacerbate the crowded market situation, with a significant number of companies from various sectors, including biotech and AI, preparing to go public [16] Group 5 - Despite a shift towards a more accommodative global liquidity environment, capital is not flowing evenly across markets, with the US stock market, particularly the Nasdaq, maintaining a competitive edge in attracting large IPOs [17] - The competition for top projects between the US and Hong Kong markets may lead to a relative disadvantage for Hong Kong, despite local support from "southbound funds" [17] - Investors are advised to focus on high-quality assets with long-term competitive advantages in a crowded IPO market, emphasizing the importance of valuation discipline [18]

当一个产业支持政策细化为一份"操作手册"，中国商业航天站在了一个新起点上。 12月26日，上海证券交易所正式发布《上海证券交易所发行上市审核规则适用指引第9号——商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准》 （以下简称《指引》），对商业火箭企业登陆科创板作出明确规范，提供了一份更明确的"参考清单"。 2025年6月，证监会发布《关于在科创板设置科创成长层增强制度包容性适应性的意见》，在相关政策解读和配套举措中，明确提出扩大 科创板第五套上市标准的适用范围，将商业航天等前沿科技领域纳入重点支持方向。 此次发布的《指引》则聚焦商业火箭这一细分赛道，在既有制度方向上，将原则性支持转化为可操作的审核标准和量化要求。 这一新规的出台恰逢其时，商业航天企业的上市需求早已显现。据证监会官网披露，蓝箭航天目前已完成IPO辅导验收，正式向科创板 发起冲刺；天兵科技、星河动力、中科宇航等商业航天公司也在2025年下半年密集启动IPO辅导备案。 在这样的背景下，《指引》的出台恰逢其时。它相当于一份详细的"操作手册"，把此前模糊的标准写得明明白白，符合条件的火箭公司 可以按这个标准去申请IPO。 面对如此密集的上市需求，为什么是商业火箭企 ...