男生普通话版 下载mp3 女声普通话版 下载mp3 粤语版 下载mp3 西南方言版 下载mp3 东北话版 下载mp3 上海话版 下载mp3 今日优选 传美加协议可能在下周达成、欧美关税谈判在朝正确方向推进 美国5月"小非农"远低于预期、服务业近一年来首次萎缩 特朗普再度喊话鲍威尔降息，透露普京将对俄机场遭袭事件做出重大回应 据悉沙特拟推动欧佩克+继续加速增产 新型电力系统建设第一批试点工作开展 A股延续反弹趋势，三大指数全线收涨，整体呈现普涨格局。截止收盘，沪指涨0.42%，深成指涨0.87%，创业板指涨1.11%。沪深两市全天成交额1.15万亿 元，较上个交易日放量116亿元。盘面上，全市场超3900只个股上涨。算力产业链强势反弹，太辰光涨超14%，中际旭创、华脉科技等跟涨。大消费板块全 天活跃，盐津铺子一度涨近7%创历史新高，乐惠国际、香飘飘等多股涨停。固态电池板块爆发，科恒股份、龙蟠科技、传艺科技等多股涨停。稀土板块全 天走强，广晟有色涨停，中科磁业，大地熊跟涨。物流、航空机场、军工装备板块跌幅居前。 乘联分会：预估5月新能源乘用车批发销量同比增38% 香港证监会考虑为专业投资者引入虚拟资产衍生品交易 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 电子消费行业领涨 A 股小幅上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：金融消费行业领涨 A 股震荡上 行》 2025-06-03 《市场分析：银行医药行业领涨 A 股震荡整 固》 2025-05-30 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股震荡上行》 2025-05-29 联系人： 李智 | | | 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 06 月 04 日 风险提示：海外超预期衰退，影响国内经济复苏进程；国内政 策及经济复苏进度不及预期；宏观经济超预期扰动；政策超预期 变化；国际关系变化带来经济环境变化；海外宏观流动性超预期 收紧；海外波动加剧。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共7页 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10 号18 楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周三（06 月 04 日）A 股市场高开高走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡上行，盘中沪指 ...

2025 年 6 月 4 日 行业研究 OPEC+加速增产利好油运需求提升，美线景气度维持高位 ——交通运输行业周报第41期（20250526-20250601） 要点 OPEC+加速增产，有望进一步提振原油运输需求。本周 OPEC+作出连续第 三个月大幅增产决策，该组织同意连续第三个月将石油产量提高 41.1 万桶/ 日，规模持平前两次增产。OPEC+曾经于 4 月、5 月宣布 5 月、6 月增产 41.1 万桶/日，为 3 月原定增产计划额的三倍。本轮 OPEC+增产的直接原因 是主要成员国的不遵守协议行为，特别是伊拉克和哈萨克斯坦，此外，由于 当前油价已低于美国页岩油的边际成本，OPEC+的连续增产计划将起到打击 美国页岩油产量的作用，从而提升自身在全球原油市场的份额。考虑到沙特 对低油价表现出接受态度，OPEC+增产或持续加速，对油运需求形成利好。 此外，地缘政治方面，近期俄乌谈判再起波澜，西方对俄制裁风险上升，欧 盟正在讨论对俄罗斯实施新一轮制裁，包括针对俄石油的相关措施、降低俄 石油和石油产品价格上限以及针对俄罗斯"影子舰队"船只的新限制措施。 我们认为今年以来对俄罗斯、伊朗"影子船队"制裁趋严， ...

2025 年 6 月 4 日 行业研究 OPEC+加速增产利好油运需求提升，美线景气度维持高位 ——交通运输行业周报第41期（20250526-20250601） 要点 OPEC+加速增产，有望进一步提振原油运输需求。本周 OPEC+作出连续第 三个月大幅增产决策，该组织同意连续第三个月将石油产量提高 41.1 万桶/ 日，规模持平前两次增产。OPEC+曾经于 4 月、5 月宣布 5 月、6 月增产 41.1 万桶/日，为 3 月原定增产计划额的三倍。本轮 OPEC+增产的直接原因 是主要成员国的不遵守协议行为，特别是伊拉克和哈萨克斯坦，此外，由于 当前油价已低于美国页岩油的边际成本，OPEC+的连续增产计划将起到打击 美国页岩油产量的作用，从而提升自身在全球原油市场的份额。考虑到沙特 对低油价表现出接受态度，OPEC+增产或持续加速，对油运需求形成利好。 此外，地缘政治方面，近期俄乌谈判再起波澜，西方对俄制裁风险上升，欧 盟正在讨论对俄罗斯实施新一轮制裁，包括针对俄石油的相关措施、降低俄 石油和石油产品价格上限以及针对俄罗斯"影子舰队"船只的新限制措施。 我们认为今年以来对俄罗斯、伊朗"影子船队"制裁趋严， ...

ETF Industry News - Major indices experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.02%, Shenzhen Component down 0.26%, and ChiNext down 0.31. Multiple transportation sector ETFs saw gains, including the Logistics Express ETF (516530.SH) up 1.23%, Logistics ETF (516910.SH) up 1.15%, and Transportation ETF (561320.SH) up 0.93 [1] - The logistics industry is expected to maintain rapid growth in 2024, despite a decline in package value and ticket prices due to trends towards smaller packages. Rail passenger volume is projected to grow at a double-digit rate in 2024, while road freight and passenger transport will continue to increase [1] - In the ETF market, as of the end of April, the Shanghai Stock Exchange had 680 ETFs with a total market value of 2.96 trillion yuan and total shares of 1.75 trillion. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange had 467 ETFs with a total market value of 1.09 trillion yuan and total shares of 866.68 billion [3][4] - The top three brokers in terms of ETF trading volume on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in April were Huatai Securities, China Galaxy, and CITIC Securities, with market shares of 10.94%, 8.52%, and 7.94% respectively [4] - The overall performance of ETFs showed that strategy-based ETFs had the best average return of 0.43%, while thematic ETFs had the worst average return of -0.37% [11] - The top three performing stock ETFs for the day were Communication ETF (515880.SH) with a return of 1.42%, 800 Cash Flow ETF (563990.SH) with 1.37%, and 180 Governance ETF (510010.SH) with 1.24% [13] - The top three stock ETFs by trading volume were A500 ETF Fund (512050.SH) with 2.798 billion yuan, A500 Index ETF (159351.SZ) with 2.533 billion yuan, and CSI 300 ETF (510300.SH) with 2.130 billion yuan [17]

Core Viewpoint - Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Co., Ltd. is planning to raise up to 160 million yuan through a private placement to improve liquidity and address a funding gap of approximately 206.95 million yuan over the next three years [1][4]. Company Announcements - The company intends to issue shares to specific investors, with the total amount not exceeding 160 million yuan, aimed at supplementing working capital [1][4]. - The company is involved in three litigation/arbitration cases, with a total amount in dispute of 61.95 million yuan [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported total revenue of approximately 7.42 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.44% [2]. - The net profit for 2024 reached approximately 965.75 million yuan, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 100.78% [2][4]. - The company’s total assets as of December 31, 2024, amounted to approximately 26.99 billion yuan, with total liabilities of about 8.41 billion yuan [2]. Shareholder Changes - The company plans to issue A-shares to its controlling shareholder, Airport Group, at a price of 7.63 yuan per share, with a maximum issuance of 209,698,558 shares [3][4]. - The issuance is subject to approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and registration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission [3].

Investment Rating - The report recommends investing in the logistics sector, specifically highlighting SF Holding as a strong candidate due to its valuation, operational resilience, and shareholder returns [2]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a year-on-year growth of 19.1% in business volume for April, while the average revenue per package decreased by 7% [2]. - The logistics sector is under pressure with domestic shipping prices for liquid chemicals declining, but there is a push towards smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. being recommended [3]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a recovery with an increase in flight operations and a new visa-free policy expected to boost inbound tourism [4]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index increased by 2.1% from May 10 to May 16, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1% [12]. Express Delivery - In April, the express delivery business volume reached 163.2 billion packages, a 19.1% increase year-on-year, with revenue of 121.28 billion yuan, up 10.8% [2]. - The average revenue per package was 7.43 yuan, down 7% year-on-year [2]. Logistics - The domestic shipping price for liquid chemicals was 163 yuan/ton, down 15.1% year-on-year [3]. - Hai Chen Co. is recommended due to its focus on smart logistics and improving demand in the consumer electronics sector [3]. Aviation and Airports - The average daily flight operations reached 14,919, a 5.58% increase year-on-year, with international flights up 17.67% [4]. - The introduction of visa-free travel for five countries is expected to enhance tourism [4]. Shipping - The export container shipping index (CCFI) was 1,104.88 points, down 0.1% week-on-week and down 20.5% year-on-year [22]. - The domestic container shipping index (PDCI) was 1,163 points, down 0.8% week-on-week but up 7.8% year-on-year [33]. Road and Rail - National highway truck traffic increased by 15.15% week-on-week, with a total of 51.75 million trucks [82]. - Railway passenger turnover was 1,121.34 billion person-kilometers, down 1.31% year-on-year [79].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The shipping industry is experiencing a surge in demand due to a recent temporary reduction in tariffs between China and the US, leading to a significant increase in shipping volumes on the US route. The average booking volume surged by 277% compared to the previous week [5] - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) rose by 10.0% week-on-week, indicating a strong recovery in shipping rates, particularly for routes to the US [6] - The logistics sector is showing resilience, with express delivery volumes in April increasing by 19.1% year-on-year, reflecting robust demand across various sectors [9] - The airline industry is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with a long-term supply-demand imbalance favoring growth in the sector [12] Summary by Sections Shipping Vessels - The recent tariff reductions have led to a surge in demand for shipping services, particularly on the US route, with a projected increase in freight rates over the next 2-3 months due to supply constraints [5] - The average weekly capacity for the US route is expected to be 500,000 TEU, down 6% from last year [5] - The oil tanker market is facing supply tightness due to limited new orders and an aging fleet, which is expected to sustain high demand in the coming years [12] Express Logistics - In April, the express delivery industry in China saw a business volume of 16.32 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, with revenue reaching 121.28 billion yuan, up 10.8% [9] - The concentration index for express delivery brands (CR8) was 86.7, indicating a stable competitive landscape [9] Aviation and Airports - The airline industry is poised for growth due to low supply growth and recovering demand, with key companies to watch including China Southern Airlines and Air China [12] - The passenger transport volume in March was approximately 59 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.5% [50] Overall Market Performance - From May 12 to May 16, the transportation index rose by 2.12%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [17] - The shipping sector saw the highest increase at 7.42%, indicating strong market performance [17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [1] Core Insights - The transportation industry is experiencing a steady demand increase despite price reductions, maintaining a healthy dividend [1] - The express delivery sector is facing intensified price competition, leading to operational divergence among companies, while direct-operated express companies are achieving stable growth [4][10] - The aviation sector is under pressure due to increased passenger volume but reduced ticket prices, with a slow improvement in supply-demand relationships [4][52] - The highway sector is seeing a recovery in traffic volume, resulting in profit restoration for most leading companies [4][59] - The shipping industry is experiencing mixed performance, with container shipping under pressure from external trade policies, while oil shipping is recovering [4][59] - The shipbuilding market is facing challenges due to fluctuating demand and pricing pressures [7] - Port operations are stable, with significant growth in cargo throughput [7] - The bulk supply chain is under pressure from weak demand, but leading companies are demonstrating resilience [7][32] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery industry saw a year-on-year business volume growth of 21.6% in Q1 2025, exceeding market expectations [14] - Major companies like YTO, Yunda, and Shentong reported business volumes of 6.78 billion, 6.08 billion, and 5.81 billion pieces respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.7%, 23.0%, and 26.6% [14] - The average revenue per package in Q1 2025 decreased by 8.8% year-on-year, indicating ongoing price competition [18] - The single-package profit for YTO, Yunda, and Shentong decreased by 25.3%, 36.7%, and 2.0% respectively [24] Aviation - The aviation sector experienced a 4.9% year-on-year increase in passenger volume in Q1 2025, reaching 186 million passengers [52] - The international passenger volume surpassed the 2019 level for the first time, indicating a recovery in international travel [52] - The average ticket price is under pressure, leading to a decline in unit revenue for major airlines [68] Highways - The highway sector is witnessing a steady recovery in traffic volume, contributing to profit growth for most leading companies [4][59] - Nine out of nineteen listed highway companies reported an increase in dividend yield year-on-year [4] Shipping - The container shipping index decreased by 12% year-on-year due to external trade uncertainties, while domestic shipping showed some recovery [4][59] - The oil shipping market is experiencing a recovery, but the bulk shipping market remains sluggish [4] Ports - Major ports achieved a cargo throughput of 4.222 billion tons in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.23% [7] Bulk Supply Chain - The bulk supply chain is facing challenges due to weak demand, but leading companies are adapting through operational optimizations [7][32] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the express delivery sector, such as ZTO Express, YTO Express, and Shentong Express, due to their stable operations and growth potential [32]

证券研究报告 | 2025年05月12日 春秋航空（601021.SH） 优于大市 票价仍具韧性，税前利润同比表现稳健 风险提示：宏观经济下滑，油价汇率剧烈波动，安全事故。 投资建议：维持 "优于大市"评级。 考虑到宏观经济增长承压、消费仍然疲软，下调盈利预测，预计 2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为 25.8 亿、31.4 亿、37.6 亿（25-26 年调整幅度分 别为-30.8%/-28.3%），由于春秋航空经营韧性强且长期具有成长空间，维 持"优于大市"评级。 | 盈利预测和财务指标 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 17,938 | 20,000 | 22,262 | 24,397 | 26,519 | | (+/-%) | 114.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 2257 | 2273 | 2579 | 3144 | 3762 | | (+/-%) | -174.4% | 0 ...