Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive outlook for the logistics and transportation sector, particularly highlighting companies like SF Holding and China National Aviation [2][4]. Core Views - The express delivery sector saw a year-on-year growth of 2.3% in December, with major companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition [2]. - The logistics sector is advised to focus on smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. recommended due to improved demand [3]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a slight decline in flight volumes, but major airlines like China Southern Airlines and Air China are expected to turn profitable in 2025 [4]. - The shipping sector shows a significant increase in dry bulk shipping index (BDI) by 14.2% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend [5]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index fell by 1.3% during the week of January 24-30, 2026, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 0.1%, indicating underperformance in the transportation sector [12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping Ports - The shipping market is adjusting, with the SCFI index down by 9.7% week-on-week, reflecting weak demand in the long-distance shipping market [20]. - The export container shipping index (CCFI) is at 1175.59 points, down 2.7% week-on-week and down 21.9% year-on-year [21]. Aviation Airports - In December 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 60.6 million, a 6% increase year-on-year, with domestic routes showing a similar growth [53]. - Major airlines are expected to see improved profitability, with Air China and China Southern Airlines projected to return to profit in 2025 [4]. Rail and Road - National railway passenger volume in December 2025 was 323 million, up 8.52% year-on-year, while freight volume decreased by 2.60% [72]. - The road freight volume for the same period was 37.97 billion tons, showing a slight increase of 0.62% year-on-year [77].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive outlook for the logistics and transportation sector, particularly highlighting companies like SF Holding and China National Aviation [2][4]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a year-on-year growth of 2.3% in December, with major companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition [2]. - The logistics sector is experiencing a recovery in demand, with a recommendation for Haicheng Co. due to its focus on smart logistics [3]. - The aviation sector is expected to see improved profitability as supply constraints ease, with recommendations for China National Aviation and Southern Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index fell by 1.3% during the week of January 24-30, 2026, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 0.1%, indicating underperformance against the broader market [12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping Ports - The shipping market is adjusting, with the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) at 1175.59 points, down 2.7% week-on-week and down 21.9% year-on-year [21]. - The dry bulk shipping index (BDI) increased by 14.2% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in dry bulk demand [34]. Aviation Airports - In December 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 60.6 million, a 6% year-on-year increase, with domestic routes showing strong performance [53]. - Major airlines are expected to improve profitability, with China National Airlines and Southern Airlines highlighted for their potential [4]. Rail and Road - National railway passenger volume increased by 8.52% year-on-year in December 2025, while road freight volume showed a slight increase of 0.62% [72]. - The report notes a decline in truck traffic on highways, with a 3.32% decrease week-on-week [34]. Recommendations - The report recommends investing in SF Holding for its valuation and resilience, and in Haicheng Co. for its smart logistics initiatives [2][3]. - The aviation sector is also recommended for investment, particularly in China National Aviation and Southern Airlines due to expected profit recovery [4].

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|航空机场 亏损收敛、扭亏兑现，内需叙事启新篇 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-01-31 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]许可 SAC 执证号：S0260523120004 SFC CE No. BUY008 0755-88285832 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 02/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 航空机场 沪深300 | | xuke@gf.com.cn | | --- | --- | | 分析师： | 陈宇 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260524100002 | | | SFC CE No. BLW740 | | | 021-38003771 | | | shchenyu@gf.com.cn | 证券研究报告 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] [Table_Title] 航空机场行业 ...

行 业 及 产 业 交通运输/ 航空机场 2026 年 01 月 30 日 相关研究 《航空"反内卷"初见成效——航空迎来 黄金时代系列报告》 2026/01/20 《景气度持续提升，从量变到质变—— 2025 下半年航空板块投资策略》 2025/06/12 《全球格局持续演变，静待我国航司迈入 成熟期——2025 航空及海外飞机制造链 年度策略》 2024/11/27 《航空出行渐入常态，再强调"国际+供 给"双主线——2024 航空机场中期策 略》 2024/06/14 《不同周期阶段的不同演绎，民航业东升 西降趋势确定-2024 航空机场投资展望》 2023/12/05 证券分析师 王凯婕 A0230525110001 wangkj@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 罗石 A0230524080012 luoshi@swsresearch.com 郑逸欢 A0230526010001 zhengyh@swsresearch.com 联系人 王凯婕 A0230525110001 wangkj@swsresearch.com 本 ...

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes the resilience of the A-share market amidst multiple overseas risks and signals of regulatory easing in China, suggesting that the relationship between market performance and regulatory changes warrants further consideration [5][12] - It highlights the significant outperformance of the A-share market compared to other major indices, particularly the CSI 300, which has faced substantial redemption pressure [5][12] - The report suggests that investors should not overly worry about the CSI 300's performance, as it has already aligned with regulatory easing requirements, reducing the necessity for further pressure [5][12] Group 2: Economic Insights - China's exports continued to show strong performance in December, driven by overseas investment during a global easing cycle, positively impacting sectors like electrical and mechanical equipment [6][13] - Domestic consumption is recovering, with a rebound in per capita consumer spending in the fourth quarter, aligning with the report's annual strategy predictions [6][13] - The report notes that recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing real estate are expected to support synchronized recovery in both domestic and external demand [6][13] Group 3: Asset Allocation and Investment Recommendations - The report identifies a dual focus for 2026 on physical assets and Chinese assets, with thematic investments being essential [7][16] - Recommended sectors include physical assets such as copper, aluminum, tin, gold, lithium, and oil, alongside Chinese equipment export chains like electrical grid equipment and renewable energy [7][16] - The report also highlights sectors benefiting from capital market expansion and improving long-term asset returns, such as non-bank financials and consumer sectors like aviation and duty-free retail [7][16] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - **Yunnan Aluminum Co. (000807.SZ)**: The report recommends a long-term investment due to favorable conditions for aluminum exports and a strong balance sheet, with potential for increased dividends [18] - **Hua Aluminum (600301.SH)**: The company is seen as a strong growth candidate due to rising tin and antimony prices and its position as a key beneficiary of metal consolidation in Guangxi [19] - **Yingliu Co. (603308.SH)**: The report anticipates a surge in global gas turbine demand, positioning the company to increase its market share in turbine blades [20] - **Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ)**: The company is recognized for its strong cash flow from cement operations and potential for significant dividends [21] - **Pop Mart (9992.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in the entertainment market through IP incubation and diverse monetization strategies [22] - **China Duty Free Group (601888.SH)**: The company is projected to strengthen its market position in the duty-free sector, benefiting from increased inbound tourism and overseas expansion [24] - **China Southern Airlines (1055.HK)**: The airline is expected to benefit from improved industry supply-demand dynamics and a large fleet size [25] - **Li Auto (2015.HK)**: The company is focusing on advancements in AI and smart driving technology, with expectations for increased vehicle sales [26] - **Lante Optics (688127.SH)**: The company is positioned to benefit from strong demand in automotive and smart imaging sectors [27] - **InnoCare Pharma (9606.HK)**: The company is advancing in the ADC field with a robust pipeline and partnerships, with several products nearing clinical registration [29]

证券研究报告 南方航空(600029.SH) 投资评级： 买入（首次） ——枢纽网络优势巩固，复苏弹性有望释放 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 SAC：S1350525070001 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 联系人 交通运输 | 航空机场 非金融|首次覆盖报告 证券分析师 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 29 日 投资要点： 风险提示。人民币汇率波动，油价上涨，出行需求不及预期，地缘政治风险。 | | 盈利预测与估值（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8.28/5.35 | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 营业收入（百万元） | 159,929 ...

Market Overview - The aviation and airport sector declined by 0.49% on January 29, with Huaxia Airlines leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] Stock Performance - Shanghai Airport (600009) closed at 30.95, up 1.14% with a trading volume of 196,800 shares and a turnover of 605 million yuan [1] - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 17.68, up 0.68% with a trading volume of 80,100 shares and a turnover of 141 million yuan [1] - Baiyun Airport (600004) closed at 9.58, up 0.21% with a trading volume of 197,200 shares and a turnover of 188 million yuan [1] - Shenzhen Airport (000089) closed at 7.24, down 0.14% with a trading volume of 212,700 shares and a turnover of 153 million yuan [1] - Spring Airlines (601021) closed at 55.95, down 0.25% with a trading volume of 42,400 shares and a turnover of 236 million yuan [1] - HNA Holding (600221) closed at 1.68, down 0.59% with a trading volume of 3,055,900 shares and a turnover of 513 million yuan [1] - China Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 7.20, down 1.10% with a trading volume of 1,070,300 shares and a turnover of 768 million yuan [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 242 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 230 million yuan [3] - Major stocks like Shanghai Airport and Shenzhen Airport had varying net inflows and outflows from different investor types [4] - Shanghai Airport had a net inflow of 28.37 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 39.44 million yuan [4] - China Southern Airlines had a net outflow of 10.48 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 22.85 million yuan from retail investors [4] ETF Performance - The Aerospace ETF (product code: 159227) tracked the National Aerospace Industry Index and saw a 3.00% increase over the last five days, with a net redemption of 78.67 million yuan [6] - The General Aviation ETF (product code: 159230) tracked the National General Aviation Industry Index and had a 2.17% increase, with a net redemption of 5.55 million yuan [7] - The Tourism ETF (product code: 562510) tracked the China Securities Tourism Theme Index and decreased by 4.77%, with a net inflow of 8.09 million yuan [7]

Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a decline of 2.33% on January 28, with China Eastern Airlines leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.27% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% [1][3]. Market Performance - The closing prices and performance of key stocks in the aviation and airport sector are as follows: - Shenzhen Airport: 7.25, +1.26%, volume 211,700, turnover 153 million [1] - Xiamen Airport: 17.56, +0.98%, volume 60,500, turnover 106 million [1] - Baiyun Airport: 9.56, +0.53%, volume 226,700, turnover 217 million [1] - China Eastern Airlines: 5.44, -5.88%, volume 2,833,500, turnover 1.571 billion [3] - China Southern Airlines: 7.28, -3.58%, volume 1,041,200, turnover 767 million [3] - China National Aviation: 8.37, -2.33%, volume 985,600, turnover 828 million [3] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 99.48 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 14.7 million, and speculative funds had a net inflow of 247 million [4]. - The capital flow for specific stocks includes: - China Eastern Airlines: net inflow from institutions 29.99 million, net outflow from retail -12.8 million [4] - Shenzhen Airport: net inflow from institutions 28.87 million, net outflow from retail -24.85 million [4] - China National Aviation: net inflow from speculative funds 48.49 million, net outflow from retail -49.32 million [4] ETF Performance - Aerospace ETF (Product Code: 159227) tracked the aerospace industry index, with a five-day decline of 2.64% and a net subscription of 85.38 million [6]. - General Aviation ETF (Product Code: 159230) tracked the general aviation industry index, with a five-day decline of 2.52% and a net redemption of -39.41 million [7]. - Tourism ETF (Product Code: 562510) tracked the tourism theme index, with a five-day decline of 4.37% and a net subscription of 7.42 million [7].

Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a decline of 0.82% on January 27, with Spring Airlines leading the drop, while the overall Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.18% [1]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4139.9, up 0.18% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14329.91, up 0.09% [1]. Individual Stock Performance - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 17.39, up 0.58% with a trading volume of 50,100 shares and a turnover of 86.41 million yuan - Shenzhen Airport (000089) closed at 7.16, up 0.14% with a trading volume of 167,000 shares and a turnover of 119 million yuan - Shanghai Airport (600009) closed at 30.94, down 0.35% with a trading volume of 183,700 shares and a turnover of 569 million yuan - Spring Airlines (601021) closed at 57.01, down 1.93% with a trading volume of 49,400 shares and a turnover of 28.5 million yuan [1][3]. Capital Flow Analysis - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 53.6 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 46.2 million yuan - Speculative funds had a net inflow of 99.8 million yuan [3][4]. Individual Stock Capital Flow - China National Airlines (601111) had a net outflow of 41.69 million yuan from institutional investors, with a retail net outflow of 32.64 million yuan - Shenzhen Airport (000089) saw a net inflow of 25.27 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 19.11 million yuan - Shanghai Airport (600009) had a net inflow of 4.72 million yuan from speculative funds, but a net outflow of 54.46 million yuan from retail investors [4]. ETF Performance - Aerospace ETF (159227) tracked the national aerospace industry index, with a recent five-day change of 6.64% and a net subscription of 190 million yuan - General Aviation ETF (159230) tracked the national general aviation industry index, with a recent five-day change of 5.15% and a net redemption of 14.27 million yuan - Tourism ETF (562510) tracked the China Securities tourism theme index, with a recent five-day change of -1.79% and a net subscription of 10.83 million yuan [6][7].

证券研究报告 交通运输 行业定期报告 投资要点： hyzqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 26 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 SAC：S1350525070001 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 民航春运有望景气，快递格局分化延续 投资评级： 看好（维持） —交通运输行业周报（2026 年 1 月 19 日-2026 年 1 月 25 日） 板块表现： 2）中通快递召开 2026 全国网络工作会议，强调"行稳致远"。1 月 20 日，中通快 递召开 2026 年全国网络工作会议。会议剖析当前中通面临的挑战和机遇，展望行业 未来发展，明确了中通作为行业龙头对维护行业健康高质量发展的责任定位，要求 全网调优降本练好内功，旗帜鲜明带头"反内卷"。董事长赖梅松要求中通全网思 想统一，步调一致，以 ...