Core Viewpoint - Yuxing Technology (08005) reported a significant decline in revenue and a shift from profit to loss for the six months ending June 30, 2025, primarily due to decreased rental income from the US IDC and a downturn in sales orders for information appliances [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of HKD 44.974 million, representing a year-on-year decrease of 62.75% [1] - The loss attributable to shareholders was HKD 29.992 million, compared to a profit of HKD 53.157 million in the same period last year [1] - Earnings per share showed a loss of HKD 0.0121 [1] Gross Profit Analysis - Gross profit fell by 56.1% to HKD 16.5 million, down from HKD 37.7 million for the period ending June 30, 2024 [1]

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - Non-US demand is expected to dominate future export trends, with July exports from China increasing by 7.2% year-on-year, compared to a previous value of 5.9% [5][6] - The indirect export surge continues, with South Korea and Vietnam showing significant export growth, indicating ongoing global industrial countries' export competition [6][7] - Future export performance may be influenced by the sustainability of non-US demand, particularly after the US implements import tariffs [7][8] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Guanghua New Network (光环新网) - Guanghua New Network, a leading IDC enterprise, has expanded into high-performance computing and aims to benefit from the growth in computing power, with projected net profits of 329 million, 446 million, and 565 million yuan for 2025-2027 [12][13] - The company has established a multi-heterogeneous computing power scheduling platform to support various applications, with a computing power scale exceeding 4000P as of April 2025 [13][14] - Guanghua's IDC business serves a diverse client base, including traditional cloud vendors and financial clients, with ongoing expansion plans across multiple regions [14] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (中宠股份) - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. reported a significant revenue increase of 24.32% year-on-year for H1 2025, with net profit rising by 42.56% [16][17] - The company’s domestic sales growth is attributed to strong performance in staple food products, with revenue from staple food increasing by 85.79% [18][20] - The company is expanding its global presence, with products sold in 73 countries and a new factory in Mexico expected to enhance profit margins [20] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - Haiguang Information (海光信息) - Haiguang Information's revenue for H1 2025 reached 5.464 billion yuan, a 45.21% increase year-on-year, with net profit growing by 40.78% [22] - The company plans to absorb and merge with Zhongke Shuguang to enhance vertical integration and market synergy, aiming to build a comprehensive capability from chip design to computing power services [23] - The projected net profits for Haiguang Information are 3.018 billion, 4.213 billion, and 5.806 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting strong growth potential in the domestic computing power sector [21][22] Group 5: Company-Specific Insights - Techtronic Industries (创科实业) - Techtronic Industries expects to complete its overseas capacity relocation by the end of 2025, which is anticipated to support accelerated growth in 2026 [25][26] - The company reported a revenue of 7.83 billion USD for H1 2025, a 7.1% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 630 million USD, reflecting a 14.2% growth [27] - The company is cautious about growth in H2 2025 due to uncertainties related to tariffs but remains optimistic about a recovery in 2026 driven by favorable market conditions [28]

Group 1 - The AI computing power industry chain remains active, with significant gains in related stocks and ETFs, particularly the AI ETF from the ChiNext market, which rose over 2.2% as of 9:35 AM on July 29 [1] - The Shanghai government has issued measures to further expand AI applications, including a 600 million yuan subsidy for computing power, aimed at reducing costs and supporting the development of large models [1] - The measures include a maximum 30% rent subsidy for entities renting computing power, with additional support for self-deployed computing facilities [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext AI ETF has seen a remarkable increase of 31.29% since June, significantly outperforming other similar AI ETFs [2] - The index for the ChiNext AI ETF has over 33% weight in optical modules, with leading companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication among the top three constituents [2] - The annual management fee for the ChiNext AI ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it the lowest comprehensive fee rate among comparable funds [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market opened lower but rebounded, with the duty-free store concept surging while AI computing power saw a slight pullback [1] - As of 10:06, the AI index on the ChiNext board, which includes over 30% optical modules, fell by 0.63%, with leading stocks like Guotou Intelligent rising by 4.47% and Tai Chen Guang dropping by 6.24% [1] - The Huaxia ChiNext AI ETF (159381) experienced a 0.45% decline, priced at 1.11 yuan, but has seen a cumulative increase of 2.12% over the past week [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext AI ETF aids investors in positioning within the optical module and computing power supply chain, tracking the ChiNext AI index with a daily price fluctuation limit of ±20% [2] - The index has over 33% weight in optical modules, with top three constituent stocks being Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication, alongside major players in chip design and cloud computing [2] - Guosheng Securities indicates that the demand for computing power is expected to grow significantly, with various segments of the supply chain likely to benefit, despite cautious market sentiment regarding future capital expenditures and ROI [2]

Industry Overview - The IDC industry is currently experiencing supply disruptions due to high-end chip supply issues in North America, but indicators such as shortened delivery times and improved shelf rates are showing positive trends that are expected to continue into the second half of the year [1] - In the medium to long term, the IDC industry maintains an upward trend in prosperity, with a focus on optimizing financing costs and power supply, as well as expanding value-added services [1] Demand Measurement Approaches - Four methodologies are proposed for measuring IDC demand: 1) Capital expenditure perspective, analyzing BBAT's capital expenditure plans to derive AI server demand and corresponding IDC energy consumption 2) Token usage perspective, linking token demand to FLOPS and GW requirements 3) Revenue perspective, predicting future IDC revenues of major listed companies to estimate market size 4) Server shipment perspective, tracking quarterly AI server shipments to infer IDC shelf demand [1] Valuation of IDC Companies - EBITDA is considered a more accurate reflection of a company's operational performance and industry characteristics compared to net profit, with EV/EBITDA being the preferred valuation method for IDC companies [2] - The North American IDC leader Equinix's transition to REITs is highlighted as a model for Chinese IDC companies, emphasizing the importance of REITs for tax and financing advantages and the expansion of value-added services [2] Investment Recommendations - Companies with strong EV/EBITDA valuations, significant reserves, advantageous locations, good customer structures, and favorable financing costs are expected to benefit from the current upward trend in the industry [3] - Specific companies to watch include: - GDS Holdings (IDC leader with substantial reserves and overseas market expansion) - Runze Technology (rapid capacity expansion and collaboration with ByteDance) - Aofei Data (core supplier to Baidu with favorable contract terms and active expansion) [3]

Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on sectors driven by domestic AI development such as servers and IDC, as well as sectors benefiting from overseas AI development like servers and optical modules [4]. Core Insights - Nvidia's H20 sales resumption in China has positively impacted the data center sector, leading to a surge in related stocks, indicating improved market sentiment regarding computing power supply [1][2]. - ASML and TSMC reported better-than-expected Q2 2025 earnings, driven by strong AI demand, with ASML's net sales reaching €7.7 billion, up 23.2% year-on-year, and TSMC's revenue at NT$933.8 billion, up 38.6% year-on-year [1][59]. - The release of new AI models is accelerating technological iterations, with increased demand for inference and agent computing power [1]. - Companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng have reported Q2 2025 earnings that exceeded market expectations, reflecting positive trends in the downstream industry [1][9]. Summary by Sections Server Sector - The server index increased by 4.59% this week and 3.96% this month, driven by accelerated AI computing investments from North American cloud providers like Google and Meta, which plan to invest $25 billion and hundreds of billions respectively in AI infrastructure [2][6]. - TSMC's optimistic forecast for 2025, expecting a 30% year-on-year sales growth, further validates strong downstream AI demand [6][59]. Optical Module Sector - The optical module index rose by 9.17% this week and 10.33% this month, with North American cloud providers driving demand for 800G optical modules [9]. - Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng are key suppliers in this sector, with projected net profits showing significant year-on-year growth [9]. IDC Sector - The IDC index increased by 5.28% this week and 4.31% this month, with the resumption of H20 supply alleviating previous chip shortages, indicating a potential turning point for the AIDC industry [12]. - The report anticipates continued growth in capital expenditures from domestic internet giants in the second half of 2025, supporting the domestic computing power chain [12].

Summary of IDC Industry Update and Company Recommendations Industry Overview - The IDC industry is shifting its core competitiveness from energy consumption metrics to scale effects and first-mover advantages in the AI era, with ultra-large IDC clusters, especially high-power clusters, becoming crucial. The power demand per cabinet has increased to over 100 kilowatts [1][4][6]. Key Points and Arguments - Long-term trends in computing power investment remain unchanged, although short-term adjustments may occur due to chip procurement and deployment rhythms. The growth in TOKEN volume and model iteration value continues to support ongoing investments, altering industry logic [1][5]. - The IDC sector has previously faced demand concerns, chip bans, and regulatory guidance, but the outlook is improving. The demand for computing power for AI model training is rapidly increasing, with major overseas companies accelerating data center construction [1][2][9]. - The chip ban previously led to a significant inventory write-down for NVIDIA's H20 servers, affecting approximately 390,000 server sales, corresponding to 160-200 megawatts of IT capacity. NVIDIA plans to launch the RTX Pro GPU, and domestic GPUs will also be delivered, alleviating tender and listing issues [1][10][11]. - Regulatory guidance has extended the approval time for energy consumption metrics, limiting local capacity oversupply, which benefits leading companies. The first batch of energy consumption metrics is expected to be approved in the third quarter [1][12]. Company-Specific Insights - Runze Technology has resumed its IDC renovation and is expected to achieve an 80%-90% listing rate by year-end, with a projected quarter-on-quarter performance increase. The company anticipates selling 200 megawatts of projects and delivering 220 megawatts of new projects, with a successful public REITs issuance expected to yield over 2 billion in investment returns [3][13][14]. - The company has a robust cash reserve of over 5 billion and plans to utilize public REITs for light asset operations, aiming to acquire related companies in the IDC industry [15]. - Runze Technology's energy consumption metrics have increased by 130% by the end of 2024, with all projects having the necessary metrics, laying a solid foundation for long-term growth [16]. Investment Opportunities and Risks - Despite recent pressures, the IDC sector is showing signs of recovery, with demand for high-power cabinets increasing. Short-term adjustments may present investment opportunities, particularly in companies with high-quality existing resources and listing rates [7][8]. - Recommended companies for further attention include: - GDS Holdings - Century Internet - Huayun Data - David Technology - Aofei Data - Data Port These companies have received high recognition in the market for their public REITs offerings and have various development highlights [17]. Overall Industry Outlook - The IDC sector's previous stock price suppression factors are improving, leading to a more optimistic outlook for future development. Runze Technology is the primary recommendation, with continued attention on other listed companies [18].

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing significant growth in sectors such as optical modules, AI computing power, and IDC computing power leasing, with the AI-focused ETF, Huaxia (159381), rising nearly 3% [1] - Zhongji Xuchuang, a leading optical module company, forecasts a net profit of 3.6 billion to 4.4 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 52.64% to 86.57% [1] - The company attributes its growth to strong capital expenditures from CSP customers and increasing demand for 400G and 800G optical modules driven by AI infrastructure and ASIC chips [1] Group 2 - The computing power sector shows high visibility in performance, strong industry sentiment, and significant capital attention, indicating potential for repeated activity [2] - The Huaxia AI ETF tracks the AI index of the ChiNext board, with over 33% weight in optical modules, and includes major companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication among its top holdings [2] - The ETF has a low management fee rate of 0.15% and a custody fee rate of 0.05%, making it competitive among similar funds [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a significant rise in sectors related to optical modules, optical communication, and the Nvidia supply chain, with the AI ETF tracking the ChiNext index increasing by 5.52% [1] - Key stocks in the AI ETF include leading optical module companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and Tianfu Communication, with the top ten holdings also featuring major players in chip design and cloud computing [1] - The ETF has a low annual management fee rate of 0.15% and a custody fee rate of 0.05%, making it one of the most cost-effective options in its category [2] Group 2 - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang is scheduled to attend the China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo on July 16, marking his third visit to China this year [2] - The demand for high-performance chips like GPUs is expected to drive a surge in related equipment needs, benefiting domestic leading manufacturers who have advantages in market share and technology [2] - The industry is anticipated to experience high growth, with leading companies likely to capture more market share due to their established positions and technological expertise [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market continues its recovery trend, with active sectors including lithium mining, central enterprise banks, and ultra-high voltage, while the TMT sector is preparing for a pullback [1] - The AI ETF on the ChiNext, Huaxia (159381), shows active buying interest, with funds being subscribed during trading [1] - Demand for high-performance chips like GPUs is expected to drive the demand for related equipment such as optical modules, PCBs, and switches, benefiting leading domestic manufacturers [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext AI ETF Huaxia (159381) tracks the ChiNext AI Index, selecting AI-focused companies listed on the ChiNext, with a daily price fluctuation limit of ±20% [2] - The optical module CPO concept stocks account for over 33% of the ETF's weight, with the top three constituent stocks being NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication [2] - The management fee rate is currently 0.15%, and the custody fee rate is 0.05%, making the overall fee rate the lowest among comparable funds [2]