Core Insights - The company reported a 7.1% increase in revenue from continuing operations to RMB 6.8376 billion for the first half of 2025 [1] - The main brand revenue grew by 4.5% to RMB 6.0525 billion, while the professional sports segment saw a significant increase of 32.5% to RMB 785.1 million [1] - Gross margin stood at 45.0%, with operating profit rising by 9.1% to RMB 1.3048 billion [1] - Shareholders' profit attributable to the company was RMB 913.6 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.5%, with earnings per share at 34.6 cents [1] - The board declared an interim dividend of 18.0 Hong Kong cents per share [1] Business Performance - As of June 30, 2025, the company operated 6,360 adult stores and 1,564 youth stores in mainland China, with 155 stores for Saucony [1] - E-commerce emerged as a key growth driver, accounting for over 30% of the main brand's revenue and achieving double-digit year-on-year growth [1] - The company's balance sheet remains robust, with net cash and cash equivalents increasing to RMB 1.9128 billion [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nike's lawsuit against Edison Chen, founder of CLOT, initially reported as a claim for $126.6 million, was later corrected to approximately $12,661.5, highlighting a significant clerical error but also raising questions about the deteriorating relationship between the two parties after nearly 20 years of collaboration [1][2][3] Group 1: Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Central District of California, naming Edison Chen and his company Juice Los Angeles LLC as defendants [2] - The corrected claim amount of $12,661.5 pertains to unpaid "goods and services" during Juice Los Angeles LLC's tenure as a Nike distributor, with Chen personally liable as a guarantor [2][3] - The initial high claim amount led to speculation about potential breaches of non-compete agreements or intellectual property disputes following Chen's shift to Adidas [2][3] Group 2: Historical Context of CLOT and Nike - CLOT was founded in 2003 by Edison Chen and Kevin Poon, aiming to bridge Eastern and Western cultures through fashion [5] - The partnership with Nike began with the Air Max1 "Kiss of Death," which incorporated Chinese cultural elements into sneaker design, setting a precedent for future collaborations [6][12] - Over the years, CLOT has produced several iconic designs, including the "Red Silk" Air Force 1, which featured a unique "tearable" upper design, enhancing its market appeal [8][10] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Brand Relationships - The collaboration between CLOT and Nike has been characterized by rapid product updates and high-quality offerings, maintaining a strong market presence [12] - Recent changes in Nike's distribution strategy, including a shift towards direct-to-consumer sales, have led to tensions with distributors like Juice, which may have contributed to the lawsuit [22] - The decline in Juice's physical store presence and sales performance, particularly in the face of rising online platforms, reflects broader challenges in the retail landscape for sneaker brands [21][22]

Group 1: Beauty Sector Insights - Mao Ge Ping's department store same-store sales growth exceeds 10% YoY, while shopping plaza stores show over 20% growth[2] - Average customer spending in department stores is around 600-900 yuan, higher than 300-600 yuan in shopping centers, reflecting different customer demographics[2] - Mao Ge Ping expects over 20% sales growth for the full year of 2025[2] Group 2: Skincare and Product Focus - Mao Ge Ping's product mix consists of approximately 50% makeup, 45% skincare, and 5% perfume, with a strong reliance on star products in skincare[3] - The skincare segment still heavily depends on caviar star products, which account for over half of skincare sales[3] Group 3: Jewelry Market Trends - From January to July 2025, sales of Chow Tai Fook, Chow Sang Sang, and Zhou Liu Fu declined by 10%-20% YoY, while CHJ Jewellery increased by 40% YoY[4] - CHJ Jewellery's growth is attributed to lower gold prices and fixed-price products that attract consumers[4] Group 4: Sports Apparel Performance - Adidas and Nike's average customer spending decreased to 800-1500 yuan, while Anta and Li Ning increased to 500-700 yuan[5] - Columbia's sales grew by 10-15% YoY, while The North Face and Jack Wolfskin saw declines of 5-10% YoY[5]

研究报告 Research Report 17 Aug 2025 中国 & 香港 & 美国可选消费 China (A-share) & Hong Kong & US Discretionary 可选消费 W33 周度趋势解析：海外消费表现优异，新消费主题股价稳健回暖 Week 33 Discretionary Trends: Overseas Consumption Performs Well, New Consumption- Themed Stocks Steadily Recover [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus | [Table_Info] | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股票名称 | 评级 | 股票名称 | 评级 | | 耐克 | Outperform 德业股份 | | Outperform | | 美的集团 | Outperform 波司登 | | Outperform | | 京东集团 | Outperform 石头科技 | | Outperform | | 格力电器 | Outperform 永辉超市 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - Nike's lawsuit against Edison Chen, founder of CLOT, initially reported as a claim for $126.6 million, was later corrected to approximately $12,661.5, highlighting a clerical error but raising questions about the relationship between the two parties [1][2][5]. Group 1: Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Central District of California, naming Edison Chen and his company Juice Los Angeles LLC as defendants [3]. - The corrected claim amount of $12,661.5 pertains to unpaid "goods and services" during Juice Los Angeles LLC's role as a distributor for Nike [6]. - Chen is personally liable as he is the guarantor for Juice's account with Nike, indicating a direct financial responsibility [6]. Group 2: Implications of the Lawsuit - The lawsuit signifies a notable shift in the long-standing partnership, as Nike's decision to publicly sue a partner of nearly 20 years over a relatively small amount is unusual for a company with annual revenues in the billions [2][4]. - Speculation arose regarding potential breaches of non-compete agreements or intellectual property disputes, especially following Chen's recent partnership with Adidas after ending his collaboration with Nike [4][7]. - The incident has led to discussions about the deterioration of the relationship between Nike and Chen, contrasting with the previously perceived amicable conclusion of their contract [7][25]. Group 3: Background on CLOT and Edison Chen - CLOT was founded in 2003 by Edison Chen and Kevin Poon, aiming to bridge Eastern and Western cultures through fashion [10]. - The brand has collaborated with multiple companies, including Nike, leveraging Chen's celebrity status to penetrate the Asia-Pacific market [11]. - CLOT's designs often incorporate Chinese cultural elements, with notable collaborations like the Air Max1 "Kiss of Death," which reflects traditional Chinese philosophy [13][18]. Group 4: Market Context and Trends - The lawsuit occurs against a backdrop of Nike's aggressive legal strategies to protect its brand, as seen in previous lawsuits against other companies [31][32]. - The retail landscape for CLOT's Juice stores has been challenging, with a significant reduction in physical locations and sales impacted by market dynamics and consumer behavior [33][35]. - The shift in Chen's partnership from Nike to Adidas may reflect broader trends in brand positioning and consumer perception within the sneaker and streetwear markets [38].

Core Points - Adidas faces controversy over its new shoe "Oaxaca Slip-On," which is accused of cultural appropriation of traditional Mexican huarache sandals, leading to strong criticism from Mexican politicians [2] - The company has issued an apology, acknowledging the cultural significance of the Mexican indigenous community and the craftsmanship involved [2] - The shoe was developed in collaboration with Mexican designer Willy Chavarría, who also apologized for the unauthorized use of cultural elements [2] Financial Performance - Footwear contributes over half of Adidas's revenue in 2024, aiding the company in returning to profitability [3] - Adidas experienced a decline in net profit from 2021 to 2023, with 2023 marking its first loss since 1992 [4] - Key drivers for revenue growth in footwear include soccer shoes, running shoes, and the resurgence of classic models like Samba, which saw a 300% increase in sales [4] Recent Financial Results - In Q2 2025, Adidas reported global revenue of €5.952 billion, a 2.2% year-on-year increase, with net profit rising by 94.6% to €369 million [5] - Footwear revenue grew by 9%, with the ADIZERO 0 series running business increasing by over 25% [5] Impact of Tariffs - Adidas's CEO, Gulden, indicated that the company faced tens of millions of euros in impact from tariffs in Q2, with an expected increase in product costs of €200 million in the U.S. [6] - The company does not plan to pass on increased costs to other markets [6] Cultural Appropriation Context - The controversy surrounding cultural appropriation differs from simple plagiarism, as it involves unclear boundaries of original IP and adjustments made to distinguish from the original [7] - Experts suggest that brands should communicate with original IP holders before using cultural elements to avoid potential infringement [8]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened high but closed lower, with the Hang Seng Index down by 0.37%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down by 0.97%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 0.23% [2] - The total market turnover increased to HKD 270.12 billion, with short selling amounting to HKD 19.42 billion, representing 13.66% of the total turnover [2] - Northbound capital saw a net inflow of HKD 1.034 billion, with the most bought stocks being China Life, Alibaba, Li Auto, and SMIC, while Tencent, Meituan, and Crystal International saw the most net selling [2] Group 2: Company Analysis - 361 Degrees (1361.HK) - 361 Degrees reported a revenue increase of 11% year-on-year to HKD 5.7 billion for the first half of 2025, with net profit rising by 9% to HKD 860 million [9][10] - The company declared a dividend of HKD 0.204 per share, raising the payout ratio to 45% [9][10] - The e-commerce channel showed strong performance with a 45% year-on-year growth, accounting for 32% of total revenue, and the gross margin improved to 41.5% due to cost control and price increases [10][11] - The company is actively exploring new channel development opportunities, with plans to increase the number of super stores to 100 by the end of the year [11] Group 3: Industry Insights - The biotechnology sector experienced a surge following the announcement of positive clinical trial results for a new drug by Rongchang Biotech, leading to significant gains in related stocks [3] - Insurance stocks performed strongly, with Sunshine Insurance rising over 7% and other major insurers also closing higher [4] - The overall consumer environment remains challenging, yet 361 Degrees has maintained its full-year guidance, indicating resilience in its business strategy [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - On Holding AG, a Swiss sports brand known for its high-performance running shoes, has experienced rapid growth, achieving over 1 billion Swiss francs in revenue for the first time in 2022 and projected to reach 2.318 billion Swiss francs in 2024, doubling its revenue in just two years [3][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - On Holding AG is recognized as the "Apple of the running world" due to its innovative technology and unique product experience, which have disrupted the industry [3]. - The company has adopted a global growth strategy focusing on stable growth in Europe and North America while rapidly expanding in Asia, particularly China, which is expected to become its second-largest market [4]. - For the fiscal year 2025 Q2, On reported a net sales increase of 32% to 749 million Swiss francs, with the Asia-Pacific market seeing a remarkable 101.3% growth to 119 million Swiss francs [4]. Group 2: Financial Challenges - Despite the revenue growth, On Holding AG reported a significant net profit decline of 232.7%, shifting from a profit of 30.8 million Swiss francs in the previous year to a loss of 40.9 million Swiss francs, attributed to foreign exchange losses from the appreciation of the Swiss franc [4][5]. - The company's management is prioritizing market share and brand strength over short-term profits, a common strategy in the fast-moving consumer goods and sportswear sectors [5]. - The future challenge lies in managing expense growth, maintaining gross margins, and transitioning to a profit model as revenue growth slows; failure to balance these factors could lead to a scale trap and increased losses [5].

Core Viewpoint - 361 Degrees reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 11% to 5.7 billion yuan and a net profit growth of 9% to 860 million yuan for the first half of 2025, while maintaining its annual guidance despite a challenging consumer environment [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 11% to 5.7 billion yuan, with adult products growing by 10.9% and children's clothing by 11.4% [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 9% to 860 million yuan [2]. - The company declared a dividend of 20.4 Hong Kong cents per share, with a payout ratio increasing from 40% to 45% [2]. Sales Channels and Product Performance - E-commerce sales showed strong performance, growing by 45% and accounting for 32% of total revenue, with exclusive products making up 85% of e-commerce sales [1][2]. - The gross profit margin improved to 41.5%, driven by cost control and increased product prices, with adult and children's clothing margins at 42.5% and 41.6%, respectively [1]. Operational Developments - The company significantly improved its operating cash flow, increasing 2.27 times to 524 million yuan, attributed to reduced inventory and improved payment terms [1]. - 361 Degrees is actively exploring new channel development opportunities, with 49 "super stores" opened by the end of the first half of 2025, aiming to reach 100 by year-end [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the introduction of new store formats, which may contribute to revenue growth [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 0.60, 0.69, and 0.76 yuan, respectively, with a target price of 6.6 Hong Kong dollars based on a 10x PE ratio for 2025 [2].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue increase of 11% year-on-year for H1 2025, driven by strong growth in e-commerce and a focus on professional sports branding [1][2][3] - The company has shown a consistent increase in dividend payout ratio, reaching 45% in H1 2025, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [1] - The company has improved its operational cash flow significantly, with a 227% year-on-year increase in operating cash flow for H1 2025, attributed to better accounts receivable management [3] Revenue Performance - Total revenue for H1 2025 reached 5.7 billion yuan, with e-commerce contributing 1.82 billion yuan, marking a 45% increase and accounting for 31.8% of total revenue [1] - Adult business revenue was 4.44 billion yuan, up 10.8%, while children's business revenue was 1.26 billion yuan, up 11.4% [2] - Footwear and accessories saw significant growth, with revenues of 3.29 billion yuan and 0.3 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting increases of 15.7% and 83.2% [2] Store Expansion and Cash Flow - The company operated 7,026 retail outlets as of mid-2025, with 5,669 located in mainland China, and an average store area increase to 156 square meters [3] - The new "super premium store" format has opened 49 locations, expected to drive further growth due to its diverse product offerings [3] - Operating cash flow for H1 2025 was 520 million yuan, showing a substantial improvement in operational efficiency [3] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 1.315 billion yuan, 1.493 billion yuan, and 1.688 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 14.5%, 13.49%, and 13.1% [3]