Group 1 - The company, Baolijia (301037.SZ), is collaborating with Evonik on bio-based research and development, with some products currently in the R&D phase [1] - Baolijia is a supplier of raw materials for coatings and does not produce coatings itself; inquiries about coating applications should be directed to coating companies [1] - The strategic cooperation agreement between Baolijia and Evonik aims to create a bio-based joint technology platform, focusing on bio-based methacrylic monomers and emulsion products for coating applications [3]

Core Insights - The article discusses the characteristics, industrial chain structure, production patterns, consumption, trade dynamics, and future trends of the propylene industry, highlighting its significance in the global chemical market [2][3][4][11][17]. Group 1: Basic Characteristics and Industrial Chain Structure - Propylene, with the chemical formula C3H6, is a leading chemical product globally, characterized as an unsaturated olefin with a planar triangular molecular structure [2]. - The physical properties of propylene include a melting point of -185.2℃, a boiling point of -47.7℃, and a liquid density of approximately 0.5139 g/cm3 at 20℃ [2]. - The propylene industrial chain is structured as a pyramid, comprising upstream diverse supply, midstream global circulation, and downstream extensive applications, with each segment closely linked [3][4]. Group 2: Production Patterns and Technological Pathways - Global propylene production capacity has expanded significantly from 56 million tons per year in 2000 to 168 million tons per year by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.5% [6]. - Northeast Asia accounts for 57% of global propylene production, with China contributing approximately 80% of the capacity increase in this region [6]. - The Middle East has seen an 837% increase in production capacity from 2000 to 2024, leveraging low-cost oil and gas resources [6]. - North America has developed a propylene production belt along the Gulf Coast, utilizing shale gas resources and propane dehydrogenation (PDH) technology [7][9]. Group 3: Consumption and Trade Dynamics - Northeast Asia is the core region for propylene consumption, accounting for 51.9% of global consumption in 2023, with China being the primary market [11]. - The consumption structure in North America shows a stable 11.8% share, with high-end polypropylene products making up 40% of the region's consumption [11]. - Global propylene trade exhibits a "multipolar cycle" characteristic, with China reducing its import dependency from 14% in 2019 to 3.5% in 2024 [12]. Group 4: China's Propylene Industry - China's propylene industry has undergone three development phases, significantly altering the global supply-demand landscape [14][15]. - The current phase is characterized by a shift towards quality improvement, with a diverse production structure including PDH (35%), steam cracking (29%), coal-to-olefins (18%), and catalytic cracking (18%) [15]. Group 5: Future Trends and Challenges - Global propylene capacity is expected to continue expanding, reaching 180 million tons by 2026, with China accounting for over 45% of this capacity [17]. - The fluctuation in raw material prices, particularly the price difference between propane and naphtha, significantly impacts the economic viability of production methods [17]. - The industry faces challenges in balancing raw material security, cost control, and low-carbon transformation, which will reshape the competitive landscape of the international energy and chemical markets [17].

8月18日，沪深两融数据显示，中化国际获融资买入额0.11亿元，居两市第1529位，当日融资偿还额0.17 亿元，净卖出647.35万元。 最近三个交易日，14日-18日，中化国际分别获融资买入0.19亿元、0.09亿元、0.11亿元。 融券方面，当日融券卖出0.00万股，净买入0.01万股。 来源：金融界 ...

Core Viewpoint - The price of TDI (Toluene Diisocyanate) has been continuously rising, with a cumulative increase of 40.94% since the beginning of the second half of the year, attributed to a significant reduction in production capacity [1] Industry Summary - As of August 18, the benchmark price of TDI reached 16,066.67 CNY per ton [1] - The East China TDI market is currently stable, characterized by a strong willingness to maintain prices from the supply side and a tight supply situation [1] - The TDI market is expected to continue a strong consolidation trend in the short term [1] Company Summary - There are four main publicly listed companies in the A-share market with TDI-related production capacity: Wanhua Chemical, Cangzhou Dahua, Beihua Chemical, and Hanjin Technology [1] - Wanhua Chemical is identified as the domestic leader in TDI production [1]

上世纪90年代，得益于开创性的探索，"郑州价格"引世界瞩目。进入本世纪，"中国制造"风靡全球。中 国期货市场加快对外开放进程，服务中国企业"走出去"、助力全球产业链供应链稳定畅通。特别是2018 年以来，郑州商品交易所（以下简称郑商所）通过推进品种国际化、便利境外参与者参与等制度举措， 提升"郑州价格"的国际影响力，在服务境内外企业跨境贸易上取得了积极成效。 30年后的今天，开放便捷的参与通道和权威有效的意见表达，使"郑州价格"被全球业者认可、参考和使 用。 国际现货定价不透明 PTA作为重要的大宗有机原料，经加工可制成衣物、饮料瓶等产品。经过多年发展，我国PTA产业链已 从依赖国外技术、生产力低下、竞争力弱的状态，发展成为具有国际竞争力的优势产业。根据化纤信息 网的数据，2024年，我国PTA年产能8600多万吨（2020年为4900多万吨），净出口量从2020年的23万吨 增至440万吨，上升了1813%，远销东南亚、欧洲、北美等地。 在2018年PTA期货引入境外交易者之前，我国PTA产业企业的境外贸易多通过直接找客户或经海外商社 引荐开展，定价依赖加工费模式和第三方评估的月均价，订单以一口价和长协为主 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The macro - economic recovery momentum needs to be strengthened, and it is expected that the monetary policy will remain loose. Treasury bond futures are expected to have no trend - based market, and a cautious attitude should be maintained [6]. - The long - term performance of Chinese equity assets is optimistic, and it is advisable to consider going long on stock index futures [9]. - The long - term bull market trend of precious metals is expected to continue, and it is advisable to consider going long on gold futures [12]. - For steel products such as rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, etc., investors can pay attention to buying opportunities during pull - backs and manage positions carefully [14][15]. - Crude oil prices are expected to be weak, and it is advisable to temporarily observe the main crude oil contract [22][23]. - For fuel oil, it is advisable to shrink the spread between high - and low - sulfur fuel oil [26]. - For synthetic rubber, wait for it to stabilize and participate in the rebound [28]. - For natural rubber, consider going long after a pull - back [31]. - PVC will continue to fluctuate at the bottom [32]. - Urea will fluctuate in the short - term and is expected to be bullish in the medium - term [35]. - PX will fluctuate and adjust in the short - term, and interval trading can be considered [36]. - PTA may have a pull - back adjustment in the short - term, and interval trading can be considered [37]. - Ethylene glycol may be suppressed by short - term supply increases, and interval trading is advisable, paying attention to port inventory and import changes [38]. - Short - fiber may fluctuate with costs in the short - term, and attention should be paid to cost changes and macro - policy adjustments [39]. - Bottle - grade chips are expected to fluctuate with the cost side [41]. - For soda ash, pay attention to controlling positions due to the increase in supply and weak demand [42]. - For glass, go short in the short - term, and pay attention to controlling positions due to capital - side disturbances before contract roll - over [43]. - For caustic soda, the price is expected to stabilize, and attention should be paid to the impact of imported ore on consumption and prices [45]. - For pulp, the supply contraction expectation dominates, but the demand improvement is of uncertain sustainability, and there is a game between high inventory and macro - sentiment [47]. - For lithium carbonate, the trading logic has shifted, and it is advisable for non - participating investors to operate with a light position and control risks [49]. - For copper, pay attention to buying opportunities for the main Shanghai copper contract [52][53]. - Tin and nickel prices are expected to fluctuate [54][55]. - For soybean oil and soybean meal, consider exiting long positions at stage highs and then look for long - entry opportunities after adjustment [57]. - For palm oil, consider reducing long positions and holding them lightly [60]. - For rapeseed meal and rapeseed oil, consider reducing long positions and holding them [62]. - Cotton prices are expected to be strong in the short - term [65]. - Sugar is recommended to be observed, showing interval - based fluctuations [69][70]. - Apple futures are expected to be affected by increased production [71]. - For live pigs, consider a reverse - spread strategy [74]. - For eggs, consider gradually taking profits on the 9 - 10 reverse spread [77]. - Corn prices have support at lower levels in the short - term and pressure at higher levels, and corn starch follows the corn market [79][80]. - Log prices are expected to be supported by bullish sentiment in the short - term [83]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Treasury Bonds - The previous trading day, most treasury bond futures closed down. The central bank conducted 238 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net injection of 116 billion yuan. The macro - economic recovery momentum needs to be strengthened, and treasury bond futures are expected to have no trend - based market [5][6]. Stock Index Futures - The previous trading day, stock index futures showed mixed performance. The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy. The long - term performance of Chinese equity assets is optimistic, and it is advisable to consider going long [8][9]. Precious Metals - The previous trading day, gold and silver futures closed down. The US retail sales data was stable, and the "anti - globalization" and "de - dollarization" trends are beneficial to gold. The long - term bull market trend of precious metals is expected to continue, and it is advisable to consider going long on gold futures [10][12]. Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil - The previous trading day, rebar and hot - rolled coil futures slightly declined. Policy changes dominate the market in the short - term, and the prices are expected to be determined by supply - demand fundamentals in the medium - term. The real estate downturn suppresses rebar prices, and investors can pay attention to buying opportunities during pull - backs [14]. Iron Ore - The previous trading day, iron ore futures slightly pulled back. Policy is the dominant factor, and iron ore prices follow coking coal. The high demand for hot metal supports prices, but the supply has increased. The short - term supply - demand pattern is strong, and investors can pay attention to buying opportunities during pull - backs [15]. Coking Coal and Coke - The previous trading day, coking coal and coke futures fluctuated and sorted. Policy affects supply, and prices may continue to adjust in the short - term. Investors can pay attention to buying opportunities during pull - backs [17]. Ferroalloys - The previous trading day, manganese silicon and silicon iron futures declined. Manganese ore supply and prices have changed, and the cost of ferroalloys has increased. The supply is excessive, and investors can consider long - entry opportunities at low levels [19][20]. Crude Oil - The previous trading day, INE crude oil fluctuated upwards and was blocked by the 5 - day moving average. The "Double - Putin" talks and CFTC data indicate that crude oil prices are expected to be weak, and it is advisable to temporarily observe [21][22]. Fuel Oil - The previous trading day, fuel oil fluctuated downwards. The Asian high - sulfur fuel oil market shows signs of improvement, but the supply in Singapore is still excessive. It is advisable to shrink the spread between high - and low - sulfur fuel oil [24][25]. Synthetic Rubber - The previous trading day, synthetic rubber futures rose. Losses have increased, supply has decreased, and the market sentiment is positive. Wait for it to stabilize and participate in the rebound [27]. Natural Rubber - The previous trading day, natural rubber futures rose. The macro - market sentiment has warmed up, and supply - side disruptions continue. Consider going long after a pull - back [29][31]. PVC - The previous trading day, PVC futures declined. The supply exceeds demand, but the downward space is limited. It will continue to fluctuate at the bottom [32]. Urea - The previous trading day, urea futures closed flat. The short - term fundamentals change little, and it will fluctuate. It is expected to be bullish in the medium - term [33][35]. PX - The previous trading day, PX futures rose. The supply has increased, and the cost support is weak. It will fluctuate and adjust in the short - term, and interval trading can be considered [36]. PTA - The previous trading day, PTA futures rose. The supply has slightly increased, demand has slightly improved, and the cost support is weak. It may have a pull - back adjustment in the short - term, and interval trading can be considered [37]. Ethylene Glycol - The previous trading day, ethylene glycol futures declined. The supply has increased, and the port inventory has accumulated. It may be suppressed by short - term supply increases, and interval trading is advisable [38]. Short - Fiber - The previous trading day, short - fiber futures rose. The supply is at a relatively high level, demand has improved, and the supply - demand contradiction is not significant. It may fluctuate with costs in the short - term [39]. Bottle - Grade Chips - The previous trading day, bottle - grade chips futures rose. The supply has decreased due to maintenance, and demand has recovered. It is expected to fluctuate with the cost side [40][41]. Soda Ash - The previous trading day, soda ash futures rose. Supply has increased, demand is weak, and the price is expected to decline. Pay attention to controlling positions [42]. Glass - The previous trading day, glass futures declined. The inventory reduction speed has slowed down, and demand is weak. Go short in the short - term, and pay attention to controlling positions due to capital - side disturbances [43]. Caustic Soda - The previous trading day, caustic soda futures declined. Supply has little change, and inventory has decreased. The use of imported ore may affect consumption and prices, and the price is expected to stabilize [44][45]. Pulp - The previous trading day, pulp futures rose slightly. The supply contraction expectation dominates, but the demand improvement is of uncertain sustainability. The inventory is high, and the price rebound space is limited [46][47]. Lithium Carbonate - The previous trading day, lithium carbonate futures rose. The trading logic has shifted, and it is advisable for non - participating investors to operate with a light position and control risks [48][49]. Copper - The previous trading day, Shanghai copper slightly fluctuated. The copper concentrate is in short supply, and the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation and smooth Sino - US trade negotiations support copper prices. Pay attention to buying opportunities [51][52]. Tin - The previous trading day, Shanghai tin fluctuated. The ore supply is tight, and the market expects the tin ore to resume production in the fourth quarter. The supply is still in short supply, and the price is expected to fluctuate [54]. Nickel - The previous trading day, Shanghai nickel rose. The ore price has weakened, the inventory has increased, and the demand is weak. The primary nickel is in an oversupply situation, and the price is expected to fluctuate [55]. Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal - The previous trading day, soybean oil and soybean meal futures declined. The USDA report lowered the US soybean planting area. The domestic soybean supply is loose, and the import cost has increased. Consider exiting long positions at stage highs and then look for long - entry opportunities after adjustment [56][57]. Palm Oil - Malaysian palm oil rose. The export volume in the first half of August increased. The domestic palm oil inventory has accumulated. Consider reducing long positions and holding them lightly [58][59]. Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil - Canadian rapeseed futures rose. China imposed anti - dumping duties on Canadian rapeseed. The domestic rapeseed supply may be tight in the short - term. Consider reducing long positions and holding them [61][62]. Cotton - The previous trading day, domestic cotton futures fluctuated. The US and global cotton supply - demand reports were favorable. The domestic cotton inventory has decreased, and textile exports have declined. The price is expected to be strong in the short - term [63][65]. Sugar - The previous trading day, domestic sugar futures rebounded slightly. The Brazilian sugar production has accelerated, and Thailand and India are expected to have a bumper harvest. The domestic inventory is low, but imports will be high before October. It is recommended to observe [67][69]. Apple - The previous trading day, apple futures fluctuated. The expected apple production increase has been confirmed. The inventory has decreased, and the price of early - maturing apples has declined [71]. Live Pigs - The previous trading day, the national average live - pig price declined. The supply in the north has increased, and the price is expected to be observed. The supply in the south is stable. The supply will increase in August, and it is advisable to consider a reverse - spread strategy [73][74]. Eggs - The previous trading day, the egg price rose slightly. The cost is high, and the inventory has increased. The supply in August is expected to increase, and consider gradually taking profits on the 9 - 10 reverse spread [75][77]. Corn and Corn Starch - The previous trading day, corn and corn starch futures declined. The domestic corn supply - demand is approaching balance, and the inventory pressure has decreased. The new - season corn is expected to have a bumper harvest, and the price has pressure. Corn starch follows the corn market [78][80]. Logs - The previous trading day, log futures rose. The expected arrival of New Zealand logs has decreased, and the inventory has declined. The trading volume has increased, and the price is expected to be supported by bullish sentiment in the short - term [81][83].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints of the Report - PX presents a short - term volatile market with increased supply and decreased demand, but terminal demand improvement may limit the downside space of the single - side price [1][6] - PTA is in a situation of weak reality and strong expectation, and the 9 - 1 month - spread reverse arbitrage is recommended, with the single - side turning into a volatile market pattern [1][7] - MEG is in a range - bound market, with the 9 - 1 month - spread operating in the range of - 50 to 0 and 1 - 5 reverse arbitrage, and attention should be paid to the improvement of terminal demand [1][7] Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market Dynamics - PX: On August 15, the PX price rebounded slightly, with the valuation at 827 dollars/ton, up 3 dollars from the 14th. South Korea's PX exports in July decreased by 2% month - on - month to 407,545 tons due to tariff uncertainties and weak demand from downstream PTA producers. Exports to the US dropped by 52% in July compared to June, while exports to China increased by 10% month - on - month to 373,458 tons [3][4] - PTA: On August 15, the PTA spot price rose to 4,660 yuan/ton [4] - MEG: Two MEG plants in East China with a total capacity of 1.9 million tons/year have been restarted [4] - Polyester: On August 15, the sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang were generally weak, with an average sales rate of around 40%. The sales of direct - spun polyester staple fiber improved moderately, with an average sales rate of 62% [5] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of p - xylene, PTA, and MEG is all 0, indicating a neutral view [6] Views and Suggestions - PX: The demand is improving, and the downside space of the single - side price may be limited. The domestic supply is abundant, while the supply in Japan and South Korea has a co - existence of restarts and overhauls, with little impact on production. Although PX supply increases and demand decreases, the improvement in terminal demand may limit the single - side decline [6] - PTA: The demand improves month - on - month, and the single - side turns into a volatile market. The 9 - 1 month - spread reverse arbitrage is maintained. The polyester operating rate is increasing, and the supply side is relatively stable [7] - MEG: Supply and demand both increase, and the single - side of ethylene glycol is in a volatile market. The 9 - 1 month - spread operates in the range of - 50 to 0, and 1 - 5 reverse arbitrage is recommended. The overall supply is at a high level, and the inventory is accumulating again [7][8]

Core Insights - Navigator Holdings Inc. indicates that Europe is rapidly becoming a major importer of U.S. ethylene as local production capacity declines [1] - In July, 75% of Europe's maritime ethylene demand was sourced from the U.S., marking a historical high [1] - The trend of increasing U.S. ethylene imports is expected to continue, particularly highlighted by Italy's cessation of local ethylene production [1] Group 1 - Oeyvind Lindeman notes that importing U.S. ethylene is a more favorable option for Europe to fill the domestic production gap [1] - Italy's ethylene production has ceased, leading to a significant increase in U.S. ethylene imports, especially since April [1] - Versalis in Italy shut down its Brindisi steam cracker in March and plans to close the Priolo cracker by the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - U.S. ethane exports have rebounded following the lifting of export license restrictions by the U.S. government on July 2 [1] - China has emerged as the largest buyer of U.S. ethane, with exports to China nearly halting during the license restriction period from May to June, but reaching a new high in July [1] - The demand for flexible ethane transport vessels has surged, coinciding with the operational launch of a new ethane export terminal in Beaumont, Texas, by Enterprise [1]

编者按：2018年，中国期货市场正式开启国际化步伐。近年来，从PTA期货引入境外交易者，到菜油、 菜粕、花生等期货价格成为全球重要基准，"郑州价格"影响力逐渐增强。保税交割、跨境点价等机制突 破壁垒，推动中国相关产业从"价格接受者"成为"规则参与者"。实践印证，开放的期货市场既是企业 的"稳定器"，也是全球资源配置的"导航仪"。备受关注的2025中国（郑州）国际期货论坛将于8月19日 至20日举行，将汇聚全球智慧，聚焦开放与合作，探讨中国期货价格影响力、跨境风险管理等议题，为 期货市场开放注入新动能。我们期待以论坛为契机，郑州期货市场进一步链接世界，让"郑州方案"成为 全球大宗商品定价体系中的"中国印记"，助力全球产业链稳定繁荣。本报今日推出"链世界 看郑州"专 题报道。 20世纪90年代，得益于开创性的探索，"郑州价格"令世界瞩目。进入21世纪，"中国制造"风靡全球。中 国期货市场加快对外开放进程，服务中国企业"走出去"、助力全球产业链供应链稳定畅通。2018年以 来，郑商所通过推进品种国际化、便利境外参与者参与等制度举措，提升"郑州价格"的国际影响力，在 服务境内外企业跨境贸易上取得了积极成效。 如今，开 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Zhengzhou Price" has gained international recognition and serves as a benchmark for cross-border trade, particularly in the PTA (Purified Terephthalic Acid) market, following the introduction of foreign traders to the futures market in 2018 [1][5][6]. Industry Development - The PTA industry in China has evolved from reliance on foreign technology to becoming a globally competitive sector, with annual production capacity increasing from over 49 million tons in 2020 to 86 million tons in 2024, and net exports rising from 230,000 tons to 4.4 million tons, a growth of 1813% [3][9]. - The introduction of PTA futures has allowed for a more transparent pricing mechanism, moving away from traditional pricing models that lacked real-time references and were prone to inaccuracies [4][5]. Market Dynamics - The "Zhengzhou Price" has become a crucial reference for negotiations between domestic and foreign companies, enhancing China's influence in the global market [5][6]. - The shift from fixed pricing to a futures-based pricing model has improved price transparency and reduced negotiation times from an average of 10 days to 1 day [8]. International Impact - The influence of "Zhengzhou Price" has expanded beyond regional references to become a global pricing benchmark, with significant adoption in international trade for commodities like vegetable oil and meal [7][8]. - The correlation between Zhengzhou futures prices and international benchmarks has increased, indicating a growing acceptance of Chinese pricing in global markets [8][9]. Future Outlook - The continued expansion of futures products and their international influence is expected to enhance the depth and breadth of "Zhengzhou Price" services globally, aligning with China's commitment to openness in its financial markets [9].