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谁在看好毛戈平?
36氪未来消费· 2025-04-22 02:48
一个非典型"高端"美妆的生存法则。 作者 | 贺哲馨 编辑 | 乔芊 "不是我今天做一个低端品牌,想着市场变好了,做高端品牌能赚更多钱,就也变成做高端品牌。" 4月1日,毛戈平在交流会上这样回答投资者的关于品牌定位的疑问。去年年底,毛戈平顶着"国货高端第一股"登陆香港,前不久发布了收入盈利大增的 首份财报后,最终收盘113港元,也创下上市以来股价的最高点,比上市首日大涨了117%。 不过,一路上扬的股价也为这只消费牛股惹来不少争议。 有资深财经观察人士向36氪表示,部分投资者对毛戈平的质疑包括:"公司个体的高增长与美 妆市场平价当道的现状有脱节,其次是我们会怀疑毛戈平本身的高端市场定位是不是能立得住。" 因此,本文试图探讨两个问题: 毛戈平所言的"高端"定位究竟该如何理解,它重要吗?以及,疯狂的股价上涨背后, 市场到底在为何买单? 但毛戈平显然不属于此列。 一是它主攻的底妆品类价格高,但相较于护肤品类溢价空间更小,价格上限低; 二是与珀莱雅主打线上渠道不同,毛戈平一 直重点布局百货,这是一个没那么快看到成绩的渠道。 百货以中高收入人群为目标,对价格敏感度低,但渠道会收取较高的扣点(25%-40%为主),部分高 ...
深度 | 70万家药店,还能跑出多少个“薇诺娜”?
FBeauty未来迹· 2025-04-21 12:49
或许你已经发现,走进家里小区楼下的药店,第一眼看到的可能不是药品,而是薇诺娜、可复 美、绽妍等品牌的护肤产品,这一幕正悄然成为中国药店的"新常态"。 近日,福瑞达生物公布了年内覆盖1 0个千万级OTC连锁的大计划。无独有偶,百雀羚也于年 初宣布正式入驻北京同仁堂渠道。随着线上红利逐渐见顶,不少品牌开始瞄准线下OTC专业渠 道掘金。 《FBe a u t y未来迹》经过调研发现,美妆在OTC渠道的生意,比起未开发的蓝海,更像是一支 蓄势待发的弓箭。在已经跑出薇诺娜这个十亿级销售规模美妆品牌的情况下,依旧还有巨大的 想象空间。 OTC渠道可以说是目前在线下分布最广的一类渠道,正如居民楼附近不一定会有化妆品店,但 一定会有药店,而这不是错觉。 根据薇诺娜母公司贝泰妮集团发布的2 0 2 4年上半年财报,OTC分销渠道销售模式实现营业收 入人民币3 5 , 4 7 0 . 1 4万元,约占主营业务收入1 2 . 7 1%,同比增长约2 0 . 0 1%。 按照这一增速, 薇诺娜在OTC的年销售规模大概率已经迈过1 0亿门槛。 据公开资料,薇诺娜从2 0 1 6年开始与连锁药房合作,彼时市场体量只有5 0万左右;8年后 ...
一周新消费NO.305|资生堂集团推出首个高端医美品牌;三只羊上线小杨臻选APP
新消费智库· 2025-04-20 13:04
这是新消费智库第 2 6 1 9 期文章 2. 水獭吨吨官宣上新春季限定冻干龙井茶 近日,水獭吨吨官宣上新春季限定冻干龙井茶,新品选用杭州龙井茶,采用鲜萃冻干 5.0 技术,低温冻住茶色香味, 0 糖 0 脂 0 卡,最大 程度保留茶叶原本味道,支持热泡冷泡。 ( TOPBRAND ) 3. 空刻冲泡意面口味上新 近日,空刻官宣其冲泡意面系列上新四种新口味。 上新的口味分别是:经典番茄肉酱、黑椒菌菇鸡肉、辣火鸡风味和金枪鱼柠香风味,该款 冲泡意面采用了 2 分钟免煮新技术,冲泡即可食用。 ( FBIF 食品饮料创新) 新消费导读 1.水獭吨吨官宣上新春季限定冻干龙井茶 2.空刻冲泡意面口味上新 3.达美乐中国今年Q1新开门店97家 4.三只羊上线小杨臻选APP 5.雀巢咖啡即饮系列官宣代言人虞书欣 6.凯乐石FUGA新门店或将落户上海新天地 7.王老吉将进入马来西亚市场 8.美国烧酒品牌Hello Soju完成680万美元融资 9.椰子水品牌if拟赴香港上市 10.杭州团家完成3000万元A轮融资 11.LYS美妆完成A轮融资 12.资生堂集团推出首个高端医美品牌 13.橘朵推出首个高性能彩妆副牌 . . . ...
美妆品牌“争艳”消博会
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-04-18 07:33
在第五届中国国际消费品博览会(以下简称"消博会"),美妆赛道又一次成为亮眼的存在。 据《中国经营报》记者不完全统计,包括雅诗兰黛、华熙生物、花西子、欧莱雅在内的多家美妆品牌亮 相。在现场,排队领小样、打卡拍照、产品体验等活动层出不穷,而美妆品类的站台也成为消博会现场 最热闹的地方之一。 实际上,在全球的免税市场中,化妆品的销售额占比一直都是名列前茅。本土品牌借消博会契机"秀肌 肉",国际品牌也想要进一步"掘金"中国市场,而在海南召开的消博会则成为了品牌商们集中展示自己 的窗口。 国际美妆品牌"掘金"中国市场 实际上,此前中国市场一直被众多国际化妆品牌视为业绩增长引擎,尤其是高端化妆品市场一直被国际 品牌牢牢占据。但如今,随着国货品牌的崛起,消费者需求分化、渠道生态重构,在韩妆逐渐淡出中国 市场之后,其余国际美妆巨头或也面临着时代的挑战。 国际美妆品牌在中国市场的光环或正在削减的具体表现,就包括在华业绩下滑。如雅诗兰黛集团2025财 年第二季度(2024年9月30日至12月31日),包括中国市场在内的亚太市场的净销售额同比减少11%至 12.87亿美元;欧莱雅2024年全年销售额同比增长5.6%,而北亚地区销售 ...
珀莱雅(603605):珀莱雅双抗上新,美白布局持续完善
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-17 07:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with projected PE ratios for 2024-2026 at 20X, 16X, and 13X respectively [4][5]. Core Insights - The company has launched a new whitening product, the "Double Anti-White Brightening Essence," which features innovative ingredients and technology aimed at enhancing skin brightness and reducing yellowing [2][3]. - The appointment of Yi Yangqianxi as the global brand ambassador is expected to strengthen the brand's market presence and appeal to younger consumers [4]. - Financial forecasts indicate significant growth in revenue and net profit, with expected net profits of 1.56 billion, 1.92 billion, and 2.36 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 30.7%, 23.1%, and 22.9% [4][5]. Summary by Sections Product Development - The new "Double Anti-White Brightening Essence" incorporates advanced ingredients such as tocopherol glycoside and grapefruit peel glycoside, focusing on reducing yellowing and enhancing skin brightness [2]. - The product's pricing is set at 239 yuan for 30ml, with a strong emphasis on scientific validation through rigorous testing [2][3]. Brand Strategy - The collaboration with Yi Yangqianxi aligns with the brand's commitment to innovation and youthfulness, aiming to provide effective skincare solutions [4]. - The brand's strategy includes continuous product upgrades and a focus on scientific efficacy to differentiate from competitors [3]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve total revenues of 11.75 billion, 14.40 billion, and 17.29 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 32.0%, 22.5%, and 20.1% [5][7]. - The net profit margins are expected to remain stable, with net profit rates around 13.41% to 13.66% over the forecast period [7][8].
国内外美妆品牌积极加速布局医美领域 “妆械合一” 美妆开新局
Guang Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-04-14 19:25
Core Insights - The trend of "makeup and medical integration" is gaining significant attention in the beauty industry, with major brands accelerating their entry into the medical aesthetics sector [1][5] - The medical aesthetics market is viewed as a new growth driver, despite the current early-stage development of the interaction between beauty and medical aesthetics [1][5] Industry Developments - Leading beauty brands are actively investing in the medical aesthetics sector, with various strategies such as investing in upstream research and launching related medical brands or products [2][3] - Notable actions include Shiseido's announcement of its first medical beauty brand in China, L'Oréal's strategic partnership with Tru Diagnostic, and Estée Lauder's collaboration with Jia Hui Medical in Shanghai [2][3] Domestic Market Movements - Domestic brands like Marubi and Gu Yu are also making significant moves in the medical aesthetics space, with Marubi investing in a medical materials R&D company and Gu Yu collaborating with a research institute to explore innovative medical products [3] - Other domestic brands such as Pechoin, Aimeike, and Furuida are also accelerating the integration of medical aesthetics and beauty [3] Market Potential - The medical aesthetics market in China is expected to reach a scale of 381.6 billion to 410.8 billion yuan by 2025, making it a crucial growth area globally [5][6] - The overlap between beauty and medical aesthetics consumer groups is driving beauty companies to enter the medical aesthetics market [5][6] Competitive Landscape - Differentiation is key for brands looking to penetrate the medical aesthetics market, as the sector faces high regulatory barriers and technical challenges [6][7] - The current market primarily features Class II medical devices, with brands focusing on consumer needs during the perioperative period of medical aesthetics [6] Industry Trends - The integration of beauty and medical aesthetics is reshaping the competitive landscape, with both domestic and international brands needing to adapt to a market transitioning from rapid growth to stable development [7] - The industry is undergoing a significant reshuffle, emphasizing the need for brands to balance consumer demand with the rigor of medical standards [7]
直击消博会丨上市公司积极参展,首发经济活力十足
证券时报· 2025-04-14 04:30
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significance of the fifth China International Consumer Products Expo (CICPE) as a platform for showcasing global consumer goods and promoting trade cooperation, particularly in the context of China's expanding market and the establishment of the Hainan Free Trade Port [2][6][10]. Group 1: Event Overview - The CICPE, held from April 13 to 18, features over 1,700 consumer enterprises and more than 4,100 brands from 71 countries and regions, with participation from 65 Fortune 500 companies [3][6]. - The event includes eight major exhibition halls focusing on various consumer trends such as technology, health, and green consumption [3][6]. Group 2: Economic and Trade Cooperation - The expo serves as a significant platform for deepening economic and trade cooperation, aiming for mutual benefits and enhanced interaction between global and Chinese enterprises [5][9]. - The Hainan Free Trade Port is expected to facilitate smoother trade and investment with policies like "zero tariffs, low tax rates, and simplified tax systems" [7][10]. Group 3: Consumer Market Insights - China's retail sales are projected to reach 48.8 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 3.5% increase from the previous year, with a cumulative import of 7.4 trillion yuan in consumer goods from 2021 to 2024 [10][11]. - The government is focused on expanding domestic demand and enhancing consumer spending through various initiatives, including promoting consumption upgrades and organizing consumption activities [11][12]. Group 4: Participation of Global Brands - The UK is the guest country of honor at this year's expo, showcasing 53 brands, which is double the number from the previous year [16][17]. - Major global brands like Estée Lauder, Volkswagen, and Charoen Pokphand Group are participating, indicating the expo's role as a barometer for the Chinese consumer market [13][19]. Group 5: Innovations and New Products - The expo will feature a new consumption technology exhibition area, showcasing innovations from leading tech companies like Huawei and Tesla [18]. - Numerous listed companies are participating, with many launching new products, highlighting the vitality of the "first launch economy" [20][22].
美妆巨头抢滩医美:欧莱雅科技转型背后的行业变局
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-13 05:05
Core Insights - The beauty and medical aesthetics sectors are increasingly merging, with significant interest from both international giants and local startups, indicating a strong growth trend in this area [1][5][31] - L'Oréal is a leading player in this trend, having made substantial investments and strategic moves to integrate beauty and medical aesthetics [2][10][17] Group 1: Industry Trends - Since 2024, there has been an unusual enthusiasm among beauty companies to enter the medical aesthetics business, with both high-end and budget brands participating [1] - The merger of beauty and medical aesthetics is not a new concept, but it is gaining momentum, with companies like L'Oréal leading the charge [1][5] - The retail sales of cosmetics in China fell by 1.1% in 2024, while the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.5%, highlighting the need for beauty brands to innovate and find new growth avenues [5] Group 2: Company Developments - In 2023, L'Oréal rebranded its active health cosmetics division to the skin science beauty division and launched its core brand, SkinCeuticals, in 2024 [2] - Estee Lauder's Clinique launched a series of medical device products, while Shiseido is set to introduce its first medical beauty brand in China [3] - Domestic brands like Shiseido and Up Beauty are also making strides in the medical aesthetics space, with new product launches and business developments [4] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - L'Oréal's beauty tech transformation strategy, initiated in 2018, focuses on integrating technology into beauty and medical aesthetics, with significant investments in digital R&D [6][8] - The company has established a comprehensive network for integrating beauty and medical aesthetics, including investments in high-end medical beauty chains and partnerships with biotech firms [17][18] - L'Oréal's SkinCeuticals brand has seen a 9.8% year-on-year growth, reaching €7.03 billion in revenue, making it the fastest-growing segment of the group [10] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The merging of beauty and medical aesthetics allows brands to create a closed-loop product offering, enhancing customer loyalty and repeat purchases [22] - The shift towards medical aesthetics is seen as a necessary strategy to avoid intense competition in traditional beauty markets [19][20] - However, the differing operational models and regulatory requirements between beauty and medical aesthetics present new challenges for companies [24][30]
104%疯狂关税,普通人都能囤什么
商业洞察· 2025-04-10 09:28
以下文章来源于真故研究室 ,作者杨梅 真故研究室 . 搞垮全球股市,只是特朗普关税战的前戏。一旦政策落地,被搞乱的还有全球的物价体系。 为了省钱,苹果总裁库克已经冲到了全球囤货的最前线。 3 月底,特朗普挥动"对等关税"的前 夕,苹果 3 天派出 5 架次满载 iPhone 及产品的货机,从印度直飞美国,以换来一点喘息之 机。 中国是苹果零部件最主要的产地,有投行给苹果算了一笔账,苹果公司制作一部手机,硬件加 上组装和测试,成本大约是 580 美元。特朗普对华关税 2.0 政策一旦落地,光是这些零部件 从中国打包出口到美国的税额,就会增加 296 多美元。 换算一下,也就是说,每一部苹果手机的成本都会上涨 50% 。再乘以销量,苹果公司估摸每 年因此要增加 85 亿美元左右的成本。如果全部转嫁给消费者, iPhone16 Pro Max 在美国零 售价将从现在的 1599 美元上涨到 2300 美元。 真问题,更商业 作者: 杨梅 来源: 真故研究室(ID: zhengulab ) 你可以不关心政治,但很难不关注自己的钱包。特朗普这次的关税组合拳,引发的全球经济震 荡才刚刚开始。之后全球供应链遭受重创,才是更 ...
走访300+消费公司后,我发现了一个超级品牌的共性
Hu Xiu· 2025-04-10 06:35
Core Insights - The core barrier for consumer goods and retail across cycles is the development of channels and brands, with a focus on how companies leverage these elements to create sustainable growth. Group 1: Channel Development - Super channels incubate super brands, with successful brands like Coca-Cola and Nestlé relying heavily on channel strength [2][10] - Companies like Lusi Co., which initially focused on international markets, have shifted to domestic markets by building strong channel networks rather than solely relying on social media platforms [5][8] - Lusi Co. has established a comprehensive channel presence, including major retail systems and online platforms, to support its brand growth [6][7][8] Group 2: Product Focus - The concept of "super products" is crucial, as seen in brands like Mixue Ice City and Luckin Coffee, which focus on strategic single products to drive brand recognition [11][12] - The case of "Boss Loves Fish" illustrates how focusing on a single product can lead to brand success, emphasizing the importance of product quality and differentiation [17][12] Group 3: Brand Power - The essence of consumer goods barriers lies in brand strength rather than just channel or product power, as highlighted by historical examples from Coca-Cola [40][41] - The evolution of brand competition has transitioned from product competition to marketing competition, emphasizing the importance of storytelling and content in brand development [43][50] Group 4: Content Strategy - Effective content strategy is essential for brand growth, with a focus on creating engaging narratives that resonate with consumers [51][62] - Brands must adapt their content to different platforms, understanding that each medium has unique characteristics and audience expectations [106][100] - Successful brands like Banmu Huatian have leveraged targeted content strategies across platforms to achieve significant sales growth [108][110] Group 5: Market Trends - The rise of new media platforms has transformed consumer engagement, with brands needing to adapt their strategies to remain relevant in a rapidly changing market [106][125] - The case of Zibo barbecue demonstrates how viral marketing can create significant brand awareness and consumer interest [70][72] Group 6: Case Studies - The example of "Ren Yang Yi Tou Niu" illustrates how storytelling and community engagement can enhance brand value and consumer loyalty [168][171] - The strategic use of KOLs (Key Opinion Leaders) in marketing campaigns can effectively drive brand recognition and sales [120][119]