宁德时代港股创纪录溢价，分析师警示涨势或难以持续。 自5月20日上市以来，宁德时代港股股价累计上涨46%，远超其A股股价13%的涨幅，并较后者溢价30%，为市场最高水平。 同时，市场中大部分流通股份已被借出用于做空，目前几乎无额外股份可供借入，迫使做空者近期回补头寸，形成逼空效应，进一步推高 股价。 此外，宁德时代港股受到海外及全球投资者的青睐，也是H/A溢价扩大的重要原因。报告数据显示，自2025年一季度以来，宁德时代已成 为外资持股最多的A股，超越贵州茅台。 并且，部分全球或新兴市场基金因政策限制无法购买A股，或更倾向于H股，进一步加剧了港股估值溢价。 宁德时代7月生产料将超预期以及即将公布的二季度财报利好，也为其股价上涨提供了基本面支撑。 摩根大通预计，中国前六大电池制造商7月生产预期环比增长6%，超出此前担忧的减产预期。其中，宁德时代环比增长表现最为突出。 这一港股高溢价现象在约150家"A+H"双重上市公司中并不多见。 摩根大通分析师Rebecca Wen认为，宁德时代港股高溢价的原因主要是上市后锁定期导致的低流动性、做空股份被大量借出形成的逼空效 应，以及该股在全球投资者中的受欢迎程度。 港股股价 ...

近日，多氟多新材料股份有限公司年产3万吨超净高纯晶体六氟磷酸锂项目——三期工程竣工环境保护验收监测报告公示。 多氟多新材料股份有限公司年产3万吨超净高纯晶体六氟磷酸锂项目位于多氟多新材料股份有限公司现有厂区内，分三期建设，每期主要通过 对现有氢氟酸生产设施进行改造扩能，增加HF产能8428t/a；新建1套10000t/a的六氟磷酸锂生产装置，一期、二期利用副产盐酸制备氯化 钙，三期盐酸直接作为副产，同时配套新建部分生产设备和环保设施等。 三期工程在建设过程中，一是由于市场原因不再建设原料氟化锂生产装置，氟化锂直接外购；二是对五氯化磷生产装置进行优化，其余建设内 容不变，实际建设内容包括1 套生产能力为10000t/a的六氟磷酸锂生产装置，包括 五氟化磷装置、六氟磷酸锂合成装置及其他副产品。 此次验收范围为多氟多新材料股份有限公司年产3万吨超净高纯晶体六氟磷酸锂项目——三期工程，验收内容包括三期工程建设情况与废气、 废水、固废、 噪声等相关环境保护措施，实际生产能力包括主产品六氟磷酸锂10000t/a及其他副产品。 （ 来源：化工信息） 倒计时1天 2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会 暨轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 ...

2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会 三、大会议程 | ７月 11日 | 议题 | | 演讲嘉宾 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 论坛开幕式 | | | 09:00-09:20 | 主办方致辞 | 起点研究 创始人 李振强 | | 暨轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 时间： 7月11日 地址： 深圳宝安登喜路国际酒店2楼国际厅 一、活动背景及亮点 二、活动组织架构 活动名称： 2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会暨轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 活动主题： 换电之城 智慧两轮 活动地址： 深圳宝安登喜路国际酒店2楼国际厅 活动赞助 /演讲/合作单位： 小哈换电/嘟嘟换电/司马出行/雅迪科技集团/台铃集团/新日股份/汇创新能源/中兴派能/孚能科技/保力新/创明新能源/多氟多/ 博力威/睿恩新能源/诺达智慧/亿纬锂能/星恒电源/比克电池/鹏辉能源/时代瑞象/优旦科技/逸飞激光/盾创科技/博观科技/尚闻科技/小安科技/先导智能/鑫晟 达/精锐精密等 起点研究院（ SPIR）权威发布《2025中国两轮车换电及电池TOP排行榜及行业白皮书》，第五届中国两轮车换电及电池行业鲁班奖颁奖典礼，论 坛现场颁发换电 ...

多位经济学家指出，当前核心CPI仍处于"0时代"，低通胀格局短期内难以根本改变。未来物价走势仍需关注稳地产、促消费政策加力效果，以及潜在的"出 口转内销"可能带来的新压力。有分析预测，7月CPI同比可能再次转负，下半年推动物价合理回升将成为宏观政策的重要目标，这可能为财政政策和货币政 策提供更多操作空间。 【环球网财经综合报道】国家统计局数据显示，6月份居民消费价格指数（CPI）同比增速结束此前连续四个月的负增长，微幅上涨0.1%，这主要得益于工 业品价格回升以及促消费政策效果的逐步显现。工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）同比降幅则继续扩大至3.6%，反映出国内投资和出口需求仍显疲弱。一个 积极的变化是，汽车、光伏等此前竞争激烈、价格战频发的"内卷"行业，价格开始出现企稳回升的迹象。 国务院办公厅近日印发《关于进一步加大稳就业政策支持力度的通知》，从支持企业稳岗、激励企业扩岗、技能培训、就业服务、就业援助、风险防范和组 织保障等七个方面提出具体举措。提高失业保险稳岗返还比例，中小微企业最高可达90%；扩大稳岗扩岗专项贷款支持范围；对吸纳重点群体就业的企业给 予社保补贴等。这显示在关注物价的同时，稳就业依然是政策 ...

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 07 月 10 日 [Table_Title] 通胀仍在探底 [Table_Title2] [Table_Summary] 6 月 CPI 同比 0.1%，高于预期 0%，前月-0.1%；CPI 环比-0.1%，前月-0.2%，去年同期-0.2%。剔除食品 和能源的核心 CPI 同比 0.7%，前值 0.6%；环比 0%，前月 0%。PPI 同比-3.6%，预期-3.3%，前月-3.3%；PPI 环比-0.4%，前月-0.4%。CPI 环比跌幅收窄，核心 CPI 继续持平，PPI 跌幅连续四月不变，如何看待 6 月通胀 数据？ CPI 环比略强于季节性。6 月 CPI环比-0.1%，略高于 2021-2024 年同期均值（-0.2%），推动 CPI同比转正 （0.1%），此前四个月连续为负。此外 CPI同比转正，还受到"四舍五入"进位因素的影响，依据环比推算 6 月 CPI 同比在 0%附近。综合上半年来看，CPI 累计环比之和为-0.1%，是近年同期次低值，仅好于 2023 同期的- 0.5%，低于去年同期的 0.1%，反映出今年的价格修复 ...

Economic Overview - In June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% year-on-year, marking a shift from negative to positive growth, with food prices showing a reduced decline and non-food prices slightly rising [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 3.6% year-on-year, with a widening decline, indicating that living material prices performed better than production material prices [1] - The average CPI for the first half of the year was -0.1%, while the average PPI was -2.9%, reflecting a low overall price level in the domestic market [1] External Factors - International commodity prices have decreased, creating downward pressure on domestic prices, particularly affecting industries related to oil and gas, with oil and gas extraction prices down by 12.6% year-on-year and fuel prices down by 10.4% [1] - The rise of anti-globalization sentiments and "reciprocal tariffs" from the U.S. has led to increased trade barriers, impacting China's export industries and potentially leading to further price declines in related sectors [2] Internal Factors - The acceleration of energy structure transformation and the increase in green energy have contributed to lower energy prices, with coal mining and washing prices dropping by 21.8% year-on-year due to reduced demand for thermal power [2] - Intense market competition in certain industries, particularly in manufacturing, has led to price suppression, with many companies engaging in price wars due to product homogeneity [3] Structural Price Changes - Policies aimed at reducing "involution competition" have helped alleviate overcapacity in certain sectors, leading to a narrowing of price declines in industries such as automotive manufacturing and lithium battery production [3] - Consumption-boosting policies have positively impacted certain consumer goods sectors, resulting in price increases for items like arts and crafts, sports goods, and smart consumer products [4] - High-tech industries related to smart manufacturing and digital economy are experiencing rapid growth, with product prices showing a year-on-year increase, indicating a promising future for economic transformation [5]

Group 1: CPI Trends - In June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) turned from a decline to an increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while the month-on-month change decreased by 0.1%, narrowing the decline by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] - The marginal improvement in CPI is attributed to the rebound in industrial consumer goods prices and the upward pressure on domestic refined oil prices due to external factors [2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.7% year-on-year in June, marking a 0.1 percentage point increase from the previous month, the highest in nearly 14 months [3] Group 2: PPI Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.4% month-on-month in June, with the decline remaining consistent with the previous month, although some industry prices showed signs of stabilization and recovery [5] - The year-on-year decline in PPI expanded by 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, influenced by seasonal price declines in domestic raw materials and uncertainties in the international trade environment [5] - Certain sectors, such as the manufacturing of gasoline and new energy vehicles, saw a month-on-month price increase of 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, with year-on-year declines narrowing by 1.9 and 0.4 percentage points [6] Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Policy Impact - The implementation of more proactive macro policies has led to continuous improvement in the economic climate for both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors, addressing supply-demand structural issues and boosting the development speed of certain consumer goods and equipment manufacturing industries [4] - The effects of consumption promotion policies have been evident, with prices of durable consumer goods, home textiles, and household appliances rising by 2.0%, 2.0%, and 1.0% year-on-year, respectively [3] - The transition of the consumption market from "scale expansion" to "quality enhancement" is expected to further improve service consumption in culture and sports, driving a rebound in consumer prices [6]

21世纪经济报道见习记者冉黎黎 北京报道 7月9日，国家统计局发布6月份全国CPI（居民消费价格指数）和PPI（工业生产者出厂价格指数）数 据。其中，CPI同比上涨0.1%，环比下降0.1%；PPI同比下降3.6%，环比下降0.4%。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读表示，6月CPI同比上涨0.1%，为连续下降4个月后转涨。CPI 由降转涨主要受工业消费品价格有所回升影响。PPI环比下降0.4%，降幅与上月相同。受环比下降及对 比基数变动影响，PPI同比降幅比上月扩大0.3个百分点，但随着各项宏观政策加力实施，部分行业供需 关系有所改善，价格呈企稳回升态势。 前海开源基金首席经济学家、基金经理杨德龙对21世纪经济报道记者表示，6月份我国CPI同比上涨 0.1%，进入正增长区间；核心CPI涨幅创14个月新高，反映出稳增长政策逐步落地，效果逐步显现。 中国民生银行首席经济学家温彬对21世纪经济报道记者表示，CPI将呈现低位温和回升态势，PPI走出负 区间仍需时日。 国家统计局数据显示，2025年6月份，全国居民消费价格同比上涨0.1%。其中，城市上涨0.1%，农村下 降0.2%；食品价格下降0.3%，非食品价 ...

Group 1 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) turned positive in June after four consecutive months of decline, with a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [1][2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.7% year-on-year, marking a 14-month high, indicating improvements in supply-demand structures in certain industries [2][3] - Industrial producer prices (PPI) continued to face downward pressure, with a year-on-year decline of 3.6%, reflecting weak domestic demand and excess supply in the market [1][4] Group 2 - The decrease in CPI was less severe than seasonal trends, with food prices dropping by 0.4% month-on-month, while energy prices saw a slight increase due to rising international oil prices [3][4] - Certain consumer goods, such as gold and platinum jewelry, experienced significant price increases of 39.2% and 15.9% year-on-year, respectively, driven by changes in international commodity prices [2][4] - The implementation of consumption-boosting policies is expected to support price stability and recovery in various sectors, including automotive and household appliances [1][5] Group 3 - The PPI's month-on-month decline remained at 0.4%, with pressures from domestic demand weakness and external factors such as tariffs and slowing foreign demand [4][5] - Some industries, particularly high-tech and advanced manufacturing sectors, showed signs of price stabilization and recovery, indicating potential growth opportunities [5] - The overall economic environment remains complex, but macroeconomic policies aimed at stimulating consumption are anticipated to gradually restore domestic demand [5]

Core Insights - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June increased by 0.1% year-on-year, ending a four-month decline, primarily driven by a rebound in industrial consumer goods prices [2][3] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a stable trend in certain industries, despite a year-on-year decline, indicating improvements in supply-demand relationships [5][6] CPI Analysis - In June, the CPI rose 0.1% year-on-year, with food prices decreasing by 0.3% and non-food prices increasing by 0.1% [2] - The year-on-year decline in industrial consumer goods prices narrowed from 1.0% to 0.5%, contributing less to the CPI's downward pressure [2] - Notably, gold and platinum jewelry prices increased by 39.2% and 15.9% respectively, collectively contributing approximately 0.21 percentage points to the CPI increase [2] PPI Trends - The PPI's month-on-month decline remained unchanged, but the year-on-year decline widened by 0.3 percentage points [5] - Certain industries, such as the manufacturing of gasoline and new energy vehicles, saw price increases of 0.5% and 0.3% respectively, with year-on-year declines narrowing [5] - The prices of photovoltaic equipment and lithium-ion batteries decreased by 10.9% and 4.8% respectively, but the rate of decline has slowed [5][6] Sector-Specific Insights - The rental demand for housing increased during the graduation season, leading to a 0.1% rise in rental prices [4] - High-tech sectors are experiencing price increases, with integrated circuit packaging and testing prices rising by 3.1% [6] - The prices of daily necessities and clothing increased by 0.8% and 0.1% respectively, reflecting a growing demand for high-quality living [5][6]