Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][10]. Core Views - The completion of the preliminary design for China's first 1 million kilowatt fourth-generation commercial fast reactor marks a significant advancement in the country's nuclear energy strategy [2][16]. - The public utility sector saw a 7.64% increase in the total market value of fund holdings, reaching 63.28 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a focus on hydropower companies [3][17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of coal and electricity prices moving downward, which is expected to maintain reasonable profitability for thermal power companies [4][25]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.69%, while the public utility index fell by 0.27% and the environmental index increased by 1.66% [1][15]. - Within the power sector, thermal power decreased by 0.29%, hydropower by 1.31%, while new energy generation rose by 1.24% [1][28]. Important Events - The preliminary design of the CFR1000 fast reactor has been completed, which is crucial for energy security and sustainable development in China [2][16]. - In August 2025, the electricity trading price in Jiangsu was 393.8 yuan per megawatt-hour, with a total transaction volume of 12.353 billion kilowatt-hours [2][16]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading new energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [4][25]. - The report suggests focusing on water and waste incineration sectors, which are entering a mature phase, and highlights investment opportunities in companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [4][26]. Fund Holdings - In Q2 2025, the total market value of fund holdings in the public utility sector was 63.28 billion yuan, with a notable increase in hydropower and gas sectors, while thermal power saw a decrease [3][19]. - The environmental sector's fund holdings totaled 7.352 billion yuan, showing a slight decrease from the previous quarter [21][23]. Key Company Predictions and Ratings - Huadian International, Longyuan Power, and China Nuclear Power are among the recommended companies with an "Outperform" rating [10][25]. - The report highlights the strong growth potential in the domestic waste oil recycling industry, recommending companies like Shanggou Environmental [4][26].

面对现代化产业体系建设，一场围绕产业转型升级和产业格局重塑的并购大戏，正在南粤大地上演。 从政策层面来看，政策红利是开启此轮并购浪潮的重要起因。从去年9月份"并购六条"落地，到今年年 初广东省政府印发《关于高质量发展资本市场助力广东现代化建设的若干措施》，均鼓励各地市完善对 上市公司并购重组的支持政策，支持科技型企业、传统产业企业并购重组。 川财证券首席经济学家陈雳表示，本轮并购重组政策有两大重点突破，一是支持收购有助于补链强链、 提升关键技术水平的优质未盈利资产；二是允许运作规范的企业基于产业升级需求，开展符合商业逻辑 的跨行业并购。而此前监管对这两方面的并购政策较为谨慎。 一系列新政策支持下，企业间的并购需求迅速被激活。截至2025年5月底，广东全省正在进行中的上市 公司并购重组128家次，涉及金额557.34亿元；其中，重大资产重组22家次，涉及金额159.1亿元。 从产业层面来看，广东资本市场底蕴丰厚，成为推动此轮并购浪潮的核心动能。 在需求侧，广东有大批量的优质上市公司长期深耕主业，对产业发展有深刻认知，具备多维度的投后赋 能能力，能够利用并购重组工具高效整合和拓展产业链。 近日，广东证监局披露，自 ...

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Broad-based Index Rotation Strategy - **Model Construction Idea**: The strategy is based on the marginal changes in the "heat" (attention) of broad-based indices. By identifying the index with the highest weekly heat change rate, the strategy rotates into that index. If the "Other" group (stocks not included in the four main indices) has the highest heat change rate, the strategy remains in cash[7][13]. - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the weekly heat change rate for the components of four major indices (CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, CSI 2000) and the "Other" group. 2. Smooth the weekly heat change rate using a 2-week moving average (MA2). 3. At the end of each week, invest in the index with the highest MA2 heat change rate. If the "Other" group has the highest rate, remain in cash[13][16]. - **Model Evaluation**: The strategy demonstrates a clear logic of leveraging market sentiment shifts to generate returns[13]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Broad-based Index Rotation Strategy - **Annualized Return**: 8.74% since 2017[16] - **Maximum Drawdown**: 23.5%[16] - **2025 YTD Return**: 20.9%[16] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Total Heat Indicator - **Factor Construction Idea**: The total heat indicator aggregates the attention metrics (e.g., browsing, watchlist additions, and clicks) of individual stocks. It is normalized as a percentage of the total market and scaled by 10,000. This indicator serves as a proxy for market sentiment[7]. - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Aggregate the browsing, watchlist, and click counts for each stock. 2. Normalize the aggregated value as a percentage of the total market. 3. Multiply the normalized value by 10,000 to obtain the total heat indicator, with a range of [0, 10,000][7]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures market sentiment and can be used to identify mispricing due to overreaction or underreaction[7]. 2. Factor Name: Weekly Heat Change Rate (MA2) - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the weekly change in the total heat indicator, smoothed using a 2-week moving average. It reflects short-term sentiment dynamics[13][20]. - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the weekly change rate of the total heat indicator for each stock. 2. Smooth the weekly change rate using a 2-week moving average (MA2)[13][20]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor is useful for identifying short-term sentiment-driven opportunities in broad-based indices, industries, and concepts[13][20]. 3. Factor Name: Concept Heat Ranking - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor ranks concepts based on their weekly heat change rates. It identifies the top and bottom concepts for constructing portfolios[28][31]. - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Rank concepts by their weekly heat change rates. 2. Select the top 5 concepts with the highest heat change rates. 3. Construct two portfolios: - **TOP Portfolio**: Select the top 10 stocks with the highest total heat within each of the top 5 concepts. - **BOTTOM Portfolio**: Select the bottom 10 stocks with the lowest total heat within each of the top 5 concepts[31]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor captures the behavioral tendencies of investors, leveraging the rapid price adjustments in high-attention stocks[28][31]. --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Total Heat Indicator - **No specific backtesting results provided** 2. Weekly Heat Change Rate (MA2) - **No specific backtesting results provided** 3. Concept Heat Ranking - **BOTTOM Portfolio Annualized Return**: 15.71%[33] - **BOTTOM Portfolio Maximum Drawdown**: 28.89%[33] - **2025 YTD Return for BOTTOM Portfolio**: 29.2%[33]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw high research activity from public funds, with 128 institutions participating in 539 research instances covering 104 stocks across 24 industries from July 21 to July 27, 2025 [1][2] - The computer industry was the most favored by public funds, with Nengke Technology and SuperMap Software being the top two researched stocks, receiving 35 and 28 research instances respectively [1][2] - The Yajiang concept stocks also attracted significant attention, with Zhejiang Fu Holdings, Dayu Water-saving, and Haopeng Technology being researched 24, 20, and 17 times respectively [1][2] Group 2 - A total of 19 industries received attention from public funds, with each industry being researched at least 10 times, averaging more than 2 instances per working day [2] - The computer industry led with 83 research instances, followed by the electronic and pharmaceutical sectors, each receiving 53 instances [3] - The pharmaceutical sector had 12 stocks researched, ranking second in terms of the number of stocks receiving attention, just behind the electronic industry [3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.17% today, with a trading volume of 841.35 million shares and a transaction value of 1,138.73 billion yuan, an increase of 1.39% compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included Non-Bank Financials (up 1.11%), Defense and Military (up 1.04%), and Pharmaceutical and Biological (up 0.88%) [1]. - The sectors with the largest declines were Coal (down 2.46%), Steel (down 1.84%), and Beauty and Personal Care (down 1.59%) [2]. Detailed Industry Data - Non-Bank Financials: - Change: +1.11% - Transaction Value: 647.20 billion yuan (up 11.70%) - Leading Stock: Zhongyin Securities (up 6.61%) [1] - Defense and Military: - Change: +1.04% - Transaction Value: 496.34 billion yuan (up 57.68%) - Leading Stock: Xinguang Optoelectronics (up 13.27%) [1] - Pharmaceutical and Biological: - Change: +0.88% - Transaction Value: 986.89 billion yuan (down 13.87%) - Leading Stock: Erkang Pharmaceutical (up 14.89%) [1] - Coal: - Change: -2.46% - Transaction Value: 95.76 billion yuan (down 14.49%) - Leading Stock: Shanxi Coking Coal (down 6.18%) [2] - Steel: - Change: -1.84% - Transaction Value: 129.93 billion yuan (down 18.37%) - Leading Stock: Liugang Co. (down 8.58%) [2] - Beauty and Personal Care: - Change: -1.59% - Transaction Value: 52.80 billion yuan (down 7.19%) - Leading Stock: Baiya Co. (down 7.94%) [2]

Core Insights - Sumitomo Electric Group showcased its POREFLON membrane materials and ViLEP reciprocating device model at the third China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo, emphasizing the importance of the event for product and technology exposure [1] - The theme "Rooted in China, Linking the World" reflects the company's strategy to enhance R&D capabilities in China to better meet local market demands [1][2] - The company has over 90 affiliated companies in China, employing more than 40,000 people, and its supply chain spans various sectors including environmental energy, information communication, and industrial materials [1] Collaboration and Innovation - At the expo, Sumitomo Electric highlighted its cutting-edge technologies and solutions in the energy, information communication, and mobility sectors, particularly focusing on water treatment solutions [2] - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed with SuKe Environmental for the ViLEP3.0 water treatment technology, which significantly reduces energy consumption by over 90% compared to traditional methods [2] - The collaboration exemplifies a tightly integrated supply chain process, combining superior membrane materials with innovative system designs to advance technology [2] Sustainable Development Goals - Sumitomo Electric shared its vision for 2030, focusing on creating a "green earth and a comfortable life," with accelerated technological innovation in key business areas [3] - The establishment of a joint venture with SuKe Environmental aims to integrate wastewater treatment technology with urban development in China, promoting environmental technology collaboration between China and Japan [3] - The company emphasizes the need for industry-wide cooperation to achieve sustainable development goals, evaluating suppliers' environmental performance and providing low-carbon products to support customers' decarbonization efforts [3]

Core Insights - The number of PPP projects in China is steadily increasing as the domestic COVID-19 situation improves, with a total of 7,093 projects recorded and a total investment of 20.42 trillion yuan [1][2] - The PPP model is seen as an effective way for local governments to develop infrastructure and public service projects without increasing their debt burden, while also attracting social capital [1][4] Group 1: Project Distribution - The top five provinces by project count are Guizhou (525 projects, 744.4 billion yuan), Guangdong (505 projects, 490.9 billion yuan), Anhui (492 projects, 464.8 billion yuan), Shandong (457 projects, 349 billion yuan), and Zhejiang (454 projects, 852.3 billion yuan), accounting for 34% of total projects and 14% of total investment [2] - The leading sectors for PPP projects include urban infrastructure (2,817 projects, 42.028 trillion yuan), agriculture, forestry, and water conservancy (893 projects, 11.8188 trillion yuan), social undertakings (819 projects, 588.3 billion yuan), transportation (771 projects, 21.539 trillion yuan), and environmental protection (757 projects, 38.09 billion yuan), which together represent 85% of total projects and 94% of total investment [2] Group 2: Investment and Policy Recommendations - The PPP model is recognized as a stabilizing factor in investment, particularly in balancing government debt pressure and encouraging private capital participation [2][3] - To better attract private investment in major projects, three key areas need to be addressed: improving and stabilizing the policy environment, increasing financing support, and enhancing information disclosure [3][4] - The government should actively promote high-quality projects to private enterprises, provide policy incentives for capital tools like special bonds and asset-backed securities, and ensure comprehensive financial support from banks for capable private enterprises [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the role of the securities industry in supporting national strategies and enhancing financial services for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), particularly in the context of the ongoing technological revolution and capital market reforms [1][2]. Group 1: Service Model and Strategy - Guosen Securities aims to build a professional system to empower technology enterprises, facilitating their growth from inception to maturity, which aligns with the "Shenzhen speed" of innovation [2][4]. - The company focuses on three core capabilities: creating a competitive full-chain service system for technology enterprises, establishing a precise investment system through its platforms, and covering strategic sectors like new energy and high-end equipment with comprehensive services [4][5]. - As of the end of 2024, over 70% of the IPO projects Guosen Securities has sponsored are strategic emerging enterprises, with a total investment of approximately 50 billion yuan in private equity projects [4]. Group 2: Competitive Advantages - Guosen Securities combines the characteristics of a state-owned enterprise with market-oriented traits, which enhances its ability to serve technology enterprises effectively [5][6]. - The company emphasizes empathy and market-oriented solutions, which fosters strong connections with private technology enterprises [5]. Group 3: Client Service Mechanisms - Guosen Securities implements a collaborative mechanism to quickly respond to the needs of technology enterprises, focusing on a customer classification and tiered service model [6][7]. - The company promotes a collaborative service model in key regions and establishes a large client manager service mechanism to provide tailored financial services [7]. Group 4: Project Evaluation and Selection - The company focuses on hard technology projects, with a project reserve structure that emphasizes sectors like TMT, new materials, and high-end manufacturing [8][9]. - Guosen Securities employs a "customer validation" model to assess the technological advancement and market fit of potential investments, using feedback from downstream clients as a critical decision-making factor [13][14]. Group 5: Regional Development and Collaboration - Guosen Securities supports the "20+8" industrial cluster development in Shenzhen by providing full-cycle services and leveraging its private fund management capabilities [15][16]. - The company has successfully facilitated significant financing for state-owned enterprises, demonstrating its ability to navigate complex transactions and provide valuable insights [17][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the public utilities and environmental sectors, particularly in electricity and natural gas [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in electricity consumption in June, driven by the tertiary sector and residential usage, with a total electricity consumption of 8,670 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.4% [15][17]. - Natural gas consumption showed a slight increase in June, with a total apparent consumption of 35.05 billion m³, up 1.4% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in industry sentiment [21][48]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing optimization of energy structure in China, with significant contributions from renewable energy sources, particularly solar and nuclear power [2][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: June Consumption Growth Accelerates - In June, the industrial electricity generation reached 7,963 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [7][9]. - The breakdown of electricity generation types shows a decline in hydropower by 4.0%, while nuclear power grew by 10.3%, and solar power surged by 18.3% [9][15]. - The report notes that the second industry contributed significantly to the electricity increment, accounting for 38% of the total increase [16][17]. 2. Natural Gas: Global Price Decline and June Consumption Growth - The report states that the apparent consumption of natural gas in June was 35.05 billion m³, marking a 1.4% increase year-on-year [21][48]. - The average price of LNG in Northeast Asia decreased to $11.90/mmBtu, reflecting a broader trend of declining global gas prices [22][41]. - The report anticipates that the long-term outlook for natural gas will improve due to rising LNG export capacities from the US and the Middle East [48]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The public utilities and environmental sectors underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, while the electrical equipment sector outperformed [50]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The report mentions the increase in installed capacity for solar and wind energy, with solar capacity growing by 54.2% year-on-year [53]. - It highlights the ongoing construction of large seawater desalination projects in coastal provinces to support high water-consuming industries [53]. 5. Key Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the public utilities and environmental sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities [60].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the environmental protection industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The environmental sector saw a slight decline in fund holdings, with a total market value of 7.5 billion compared to 8.06 billion in the previous quarter [3][14] - The environmental sector index increased by 1.66%, underperforming the broader market, which rose by 1.67% [3][9] - Key segments within the environmental sector showed varied performance, with the resource recovery segment rising by 8.32% and other segments like solid waste management and water treatment also showing positive growth [3][9] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of July 25, the environmental sector index increased by 1.66%, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.67% to 3593.66 [3][9] - The top-performing sectors included construction materials and coal, while banking and utilities lagged behind [3][9] Fund Holdings - In Q2 2025, the total market value of fund holdings in the environmental sector was 7.5 billion, accounting for 0.1% of total fund holdings, down from 8.06 billion in Q1 [3][14] - The garbage incineration segment had the highest market value among holdings, with significant increases in fund ownership for companies like Huanlan Environment and Shanghai Washba [14][20] Industry Dynamics - A significant project, the first integrated green electricity supply project for data centers, was launched in Inner Mongolia, aligning with national carbon neutrality goals [24] - Sichuan Province announced a special bond issuance of 85.26698 billion, focusing on project construction and repayment of government debts [25] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "14th Five-Year Plan" will maintain high demand for energy conservation and environmental protection, with a focus on water and waste incineration sectors as stable investment opportunities [45][46] - Key recommendations include Huanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, with additional attention to companies like Wangneng Environment and Junxin Co. [46]