这届年轻人开始组团"打野"了 ·年报收官！A股十大"盈利王"出炉A股2024年年报披露收官！数据显示，去年有77家上市公司归母净利 润超100亿元，其中24家来自银行业、10家来自非银金融行业。归母净利润最高的10家公司分别为：工 商银行、建设银行、农业银行、中国银行、中国石油、招商银行、中国移动、中国海油、中国平安、中 国人寿。第一名去年赚了这个数。详情>> ·小城 "钞能力"显现，"五一"假期县域酒店消费升级"五一"假期即将开启，旅游市场已经升温，带动酒 店预订高峰。根据携程发布的报告，今年假期旅游消费呈现长线爆发、跨境双向升温、县域逆袭三大特 征。在"请4休11"拼假策略带动下，跨市住宿订单占比已突破80%，县域市场高星酒店消费反超高线城 市，入境游订单同比激增173%，全民开启"假日经济新玩法"。详情>> ·1.65万亿！A股狂撒红包雨，工行最"壕"！10家公司股息率超10%截至4月30日10时，A股共有5402家上 市公司披露2024年年报，3645家上市公司拟进行现金分红，占比约为67.48%；预计分红总规模达1.65万 亿元。多家头部公司狂撒"红包雨"。从现金分红金额看，合计226家上市公司派现 ...

| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 3,012,812 | 2,937,981 | 3,039,996 | 3,002,751 | 3,003,101 | | 同比（%） | (6.99) | (2.48) | 3.47 | (1.23) | 0.01 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 161,414 | 164,676 | 166,843 | 172,062 | 178,656 | | 同比（%） | 8.52 | 2.02 | 1.32 | 3.13 | 3.83 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.88 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 0.98 | | P/E（A） | 9.00 | 8.82 | 8.71 | 8.45 | 8.13 | | P/E（H） | 6.07 | 5.95 | 5.88 | 5.70 | 5.49 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投 ...

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Economic Outlook - The S&P 500 index is perceived to have peaked this year, with 93% of investors expecting it to remain below 6000 points in the next 12 months, and 40% predicting it will stay between 5000-5500 points [1] - Concerns about trade wars and tariffs are leading to expectations of economic stagnation, with 61% of investors anticipating stagflation in the U.S. economy over the next year [1][2] - The Trump administration's tariff policies are projected to reduce U.S. GDP growth expectations to 0.5% by 2025, with tariffs causing production costs to rise by 5%-15% for companies reliant on imported materials [2] Group 2: Technology Sector Insights - Despite overall market pessimism, 41% of investors remain optimistic about the "Mag-7/GenAI theme," indicating a willingness to invest in technology giants [1] - Alibaba's Qwen3 series models have been released, showcasing significant advancements in AI capabilities and a reduction in deployment costs, making it competitive against top models like OpenAI's [3][4] - The technology sector, particularly AI, is expected to continue attracting investment, with a focus on the performance and strategic developments of major players [4][10] Group 3: Corporate Performance and Strategic Challenges - Apple's upcoming earnings report is anticipated to slightly exceed market expectations, but investors are more focused on strategic issues such as tariff risks and AI strategy [5][6] - BP reported a 49% decline in first-quarter profits, attributed to weak oil prices, while the CEO remains optimistic about the company's strategic adjustments [7][8] - UPS is exploring the deployment of humanoid robots in its logistics network, reflecting a strong interest in automation within the logistics industry [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zhongman Petroleum (603619.SH) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that in Q1 2025, Zhongman Petroleum achieved a revenue of 943 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 17% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12.96%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 230 million yuan, up 34% year-on-year and 301% quarter-on-quarter [1][3] - The report indicates that the increase in net profit is primarily driven by the engineering segment, which saw significant profit growth compared to the previous year when it faced challenges due to rig relocations [3] - The company’s oil and gas production totaled 277,200 tons in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.51%, with crude oil production at 218,800 tons, up 10.62% year-on-year [3] - The report notes that the development of the Iraq oil and gas blocks is progressing steadily, with the first joint management meeting for the EBN and MF projects completed, which is expected to positively impact future operational performance [3] Financial Summary - For the fiscal years 2023 to 2027, the total revenue is projected to grow from 3,732 million yuan in 2023 to 6,766 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.7%, 10.8%, 8.5%, 18.7%, and 27.1% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 812 million yuan in 2023 to 1,697 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 68.3%, -10.6%, 24.5%, 30.8%, and 43.6% [4] - The report projects the earnings per share (EPS) to rise from 1.76 yuan in 2023 to 3.67 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 8.94 to 4.28 [4][3]

金十数据整理：每日港股市场要闻速递（4月30日 周三） 1. 曹操出行在港交所提交IPO申请。 2. 新华保险 (01336.HK) ：拟出资不超过100亿元认购私募基金(国丰兴华鸿鹄志远二期私募证券投资基 金)份额。 3. 工商银行 (01398.HK) ：一季度营收2046.88亿元，同比减少2.61%；净利润841.56亿元，同比减少 3.99%。 4. 建设银行 (00939.HK) ：一季度经营收入1859.9亿元，同比减少4.76%；净利润833.51亿元，同比减少 3.99%。 5. 农业银行 (01288.HK)：一季度营收1867.35亿元，同比增长0.32%；净利润为719.31亿元，同比增长 2.2%。 6. 中国银行 (03988.HK) ：一季度营收1649.11亿元，同比增加2.41%；净利润586.44亿元，同比减少 2.22%。 7. 邮储银行 (01658.HK)：一季度营收894.06亿元，同比减少0.1%；净利润252.46亿元，同比减少 2.62%。 8. 招商银行 (03968.HK) ：一季度营收837.31亿元，同比减少3.11%；净利润372.86亿元，同比减少 ...

巴西国家石油公司第一季度生产了277万桶/日油当量的原油、天然气及液化天然气。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][6] Core Views - The report highlights that the company achieved excellent performance in Q1 2025, demonstrating its investment value even in adverse conditions [1][6] - The company reported a total revenue of 1068.54 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 365.63 billion yuan, down 7.95% year-on-year but up 71.84% quarter-on-quarter [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 365.63 billion yuan, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.77 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.33% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 75.00% [1] - The company's revenue and net profit figures indicate resilience despite a challenging market environment [1][6] Production and Output - The company produced 145.5 million barrels of oil liquids in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.62% [3] - Natural gas production reached 2530 billion cubic feet, up 10.24% year-on-year and 8.63% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to contributions from specific projects [3] Pricing and Costs - The average oil price realized by the company was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 6.10% year-on-year but up 2.57 USD per barrel quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company maintained a low oil cost of 27.03 USD per barrel, which is a decrease from the previous year, indicating effective cost management [4] Capital Expenditure and Future Outlook - The company reported capital expenditures of 27.7 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a stable budget for 2025 set between 1250-1350 billion yuan [5] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a net profit of 1364.41 billion yuan in 2025, with expected growth rates of -1.1%, 4.3%, and 5.3% for the following years [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for Petrobras (PBR) is 1.69, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, with 62.5% of recommendations being Strong Buy [2][5]. Brokerage Recommendation Trends - The ABR is based on recommendations from eight brokerage firms, with five firms rating it as Strong Buy [2]. - Despite the positive ABR, reliance solely on brokerage recommendations may not be advisable, as studies show they often fail to guide investors effectively [5][10]. Zacks Rank vs. ABR - Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock rating tool, categorizes stocks from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) and is based on earnings estimate revisions, which correlate strongly with stock price movements [8][11]. - The ABR is calculated from brokerage recommendations and may not be timely, while Zacks Rank reflects the latest earnings estimates [9][12]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Petrobras has declined by 6.2% over the past month to $2.94, indicating growing pessimism among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [13]. - This decline in earnings estimates has resulted in a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) for Petrobras, suggesting caution despite the positive ABR [14].

Performance Summary - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 204.688 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.61% year-on-year, and a net profit of 84.156 billion yuan, down 3.99% [3] - China Construction Bank (00939.HK) had Q1 operating income of 185.99 billion yuan, down 4.76% year-on-year, with a net profit of 83.351 billion yuan, also down 3.99% [3] - Agricultural Bank of China (01288.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 186.735 billion yuan, an increase of 0.32% year-on-year, and a net profit of 71.931 billion yuan, up 2.2% [3] - Bank of China (03988.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 164.911 billion yuan, an increase of 2.41% year-on-year, but a net profit of 58.644 billion yuan, down 2.22% [3] - Postal Savings Bank of China (01658.HK) had Q1 revenue of 89.406 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.1%, and a net profit of 25.246 billion yuan, down 2.62% [3] - China Merchants Bank (03968.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 83.731 billion yuan, down 3.11% year-on-year, with a net profit of 37.286 billion yuan, down 2.08% [3] - Bank of Communications (03328.HK) had Q1 net operating income of 66.44 billion yuan, down 1.13%, but a net profit of 25.372 billion yuan, up 1.54% [3] - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 17.649 billion USD, down 14.95%, and a post-tax profit of 7.57 billion USD, down 30.15% [3] - China People's Insurance Group (01339.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 156.589 billion yuan, up 12.8%, and a net profit of 12.849 billion yuan, up 43.4% [3] - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 110.177 billion yuan, down 8.9%, but a net profit of 28.802 billion yuan, up 39.5% [3] - New China Life Insurance (01336.HK) had Q1 revenue of 33.402 billion yuan, up 26.1%, and a net profit of 5.882 billion yuan, up 19% [3] - China National Petroleum Corporation (00857.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 753.108 billion yuan, down 7.3%, but a net profit of 46.809 billion yuan, up 2.3% [3] - CNOOC (00883.HK) had Q1 revenue of 106.854 billion yuan, down 4.1%, and a net profit of 36.563 billion yuan, down 7.9% [3] - Huadian International Power (01071.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 26.577 billion yuan, down 14.14%, but a net profit of 1.93 billion yuan, up 3.66% [3] - China International Marine Containers (01880.HK) had Q1 revenue of 16.746 billion yuan, down 10.96%, and a net profit of 1.938 billion yuan, down 15.98% [3] - Air China (00753.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 40.023 billion yuan, down 0.11%, with a net loss of 2.044 billion yuan, an increase of 22.07% [3] - CITIC Securities (06030.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 17.761 billion yuan, up 29.13%, and a net profit of 6.545 billion yuan, up 32% [3] - China Galaxy Securities (06881.HK) reported Q1 revenue of approximately 7.558 billion yuan, up 4.77%, and a net profit of approximately 3.016 billion yuan, up 84.86% [3] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities (06066.HK) had Q1 operating income of 4.919 billion yuan, up 14.54%, and a net profit of 1.843 billion yuan, up 50.07% [3] - Huatai Securities (06886.HK) reported Q1 revenue of approximately 8.232 billion yuan, up 34.83%, and a net profit of approximately 3.642 billion yuan, up 58.97% [3] - China Railway Construction (01186.HK) had Q1 revenue of 256.762 billion yuan, down 6.61%, and a net profit of 5.151 billion yuan, down 14.51% [3] - China Energy Engineering (03996.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 100.371 billion yuan, up 3.05%, and a net profit of 1.612 billion yuan, up 8.83% [3] - Times Electric (03898.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 4.537 billion yuan, up 14.81%, and a net profit of 631 million yuan, up 13.42% [3] - Midea Group (00300.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 127.839 billion yuan, up 20.49%, and a net profit of 12.422 billion yuan, up 38.02% [3] - WH Group (00288.HK) had Q1 revenue of 6.554 billion USD, up 6.0%, and a profit of 364 million USD, up 20.9% [3] - Suncity Group (00880.HK) reported Q1 total revenue of 7.48 billion HKD, up 8.1%, and a net profit of 31 million HKD, turning profitable [3] - COSCO Shipping Ports (01199.HK) had Q1 revenue of 3.82 billion USD, up 14.7%, and a net profit of 839 million USD, up 33.5% [3] - Flat Glass Group (06865.HK) reported Q1 revenue of 4.079 billion yuan, down 28.76%, and a net profit of 106 million yuan, down 86.03% [3] - Zoomlion Heavy Industry (01157.HK) achieved Q1 revenue of 12.117 billion yuan, up 2.92%, and a net profit of 1.41 billion yuan, up 53.98% [3] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) reported Q1 revenue of approximately 3.772 billion yuan, down 25.43%, with a net loss of approximately 356 million yuan, narrowing by 18.93% [3] - Qingdao Port (06198.HK) had Q1 revenue of 4.807 billion yuan, up 8.51%, and a net profit of 1.402 billion yuan, up 6.51% [3] - China Shipbuilding Defense (00317.HK) reported Q1 revenue of approximately 3.641 billion yuan, up 29.73%, and a net profit of approximately 184 million yuan, up about 11 times [3] - Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical (00874.HK) had Q1 revenue of 22.473 billion yuan, down 2.06%, and a net profit of 1.821 billion yuan, down 6.99% [3] Investment Activities - New China Life Insurance (01336.HK) plans to invest no more than 10 billion yuan to subscribe to a private fund [4] - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) intends to invest 2 billion yuan to establish a partnership [4] Contract Signing - China Metallurgical Group (01618.HK) reported a new contract signing amount of 230.66 billion yuan in Q1, a decrease of 27.2% year-on-year, with overseas contracts amounting to 12.04 billion yuan, down 35.7% [5] Energy Production - Xin Tian Green Energy (00956.HK) completed power generation of 4.5442 million MWh in Q1, an increase of 10.37% year-on-year [6] - China Power (02380.HK) reported total electricity sales of 30.7477 million MWh in the first three months, up 2.59% year-on-year, with March sales of 10.9617 million MWh, up 3.95% [6] - Qingdao Port (06198.HK) achieved a total cargo throughput of 177 million tons in the first three months, up 2.9% year-on-year [6] Licensing Agreement - Fuhong Hanlin (02696.HK) entered into a licensing agreement with Sandoz AG for the commercialization of HLX13 in specified regions [6] Privatization Offer - Dingsheng Creation (00113.HK) received a privatization offer at a premium of approximately 50.63%, with a maximum cash consideration of about 1.0986 billion HKD [7] Share Buybacks - AIA Group (01299.HK) repurchased shares for 342.6 million HKD, buying back 6.2592 million shares at prices between 54.25 and 55.35 HKD [8] - J&T Express-W (01519.HK) repurchased shares for 9.2485 million HKD, buying back 1.54 million shares at prices between 5.98 and 6.03 HKD [8]

受战略调整和油价下跌拖累，英国石油巨头BP2025年第一季度净利润未达预期。 "我们是一个强大且独立的公司，而且我们正在实现行业领先的增长。如果我们能继续像第 一季度这么好的表现，那我一点也不担心，BP未来会很棒！" 当前，油价因需求担忧持续走低，布伦特原油期货价格已跌至65.19美元/桶，较一年前的84美元大幅回 落。不过Auchincloss强调，即使油价波动，BP通过原油、天然气和成品油三大业务线布局，收入结构 多元，整体计划不会受到明显影响。 在宣布战略调整不到两个月后，BP遭激进投资者Elliott施压，要求减少绿色转型、加强油气业务布局。 Elliott目前持有BP超5%股份，成为公司第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德。 本月初BP年度股东大会上，约四分之一股东（24.3%）投票反对董事长Helge Lund连任，反映出市场对 管理层的不满。尽管Lund已计划明年辞职，投资者对其继任者寄予厚望。荷兰激进投资者Follow This创 始人Mark van Baal表示，希望新董事长能够兼顾气候责任与长期价值，而非单纯迎合短期压力。 4月29日，BP公布2025年Q1业绩报告，要点如下： 为重建投资者信心，B ...