（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 中信证券认为，横向对比光模块，强增长逻辑、高产业壁垒/定位决定了AI PCB有望获得超额估值。历 史来看，2023年以来，由于光模块龙头公司率先进入全球AI算力供应链，业绩增长周期相对前置，且 市场对光模块（爆发增长）和PCB（从周期复苏到快速成长行业）的发展属性认知存在差异，PCB估值 整体相对较低（2023年以来光模块的预测PE（当年度）均值/峰值分别为26x、83x，而PCB为23x、 37x）。但目前AI PCB公司逐步进入全球算力链，供不应求关系获得市场认知，估值已逐步超过光模 块。展望后续，AI PCB行业具有逻辑强（持续升规迭代，量价双升）、产业阶位高（从组件供应商身 份向AI芯片协作开发者身份升级）的超额价值。 资料显示，5G通信ETF（515050），跟踪中证5G通信主题指数，深度聚焦英伟达、苹果、华为产业 链，覆盖了多个AI算力、6G、PCB、通信设备、服务器、光模块、消费电子、半导体、物联网等细分 行业的龙头个股。相关ETF全称：华夏中证5G通信主题ETF（515050），场外联接(A类：008086；C 类：008087)。 7月14日，A股三大指数高开，T ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The AI server market is expected to maintain strong growth in Q3 2025, with companies like Quanta, Wistron, and Hon Hai projecting triple-digit revenue growth for the year. [1][4] - The overall performance of the AI computing industry in Taiwan's stock market for the first half of 2025 was robust, with significant revenue increases for AI server manufacturers. [2] Company-Specific Insights - Quanta's AI server revenue share is projected to rise from 60% in Q1 to 70% in Q2, while Wistron's share is expected to increase to 50%-60%, and Inventec's to 30%-40%. [1][2] - Hon Hai's cloud network business showed strong growth compared to the same period last year. [1][2] Market Trends and Projections - The lithium battery business is expected to see a slowdown in demand in the second half of the year due to earlier-than-expected orders and currency impacts, with overall performance anticipated to remain flat or show slight growth. [5] - NVIDIA's GPU series is fully transitioning to liquid cooling, with significant market share in liquid cooling components for large cloud providers. [6] Component and Supply Chain Developments - The PCB industry is experiencing growth driven by smooth GPU supply, particularly from NVIDIA's new GPU shipments and traditional PC business. [7] - BMC shipments in the first half of the year were primarily driven by AI servers, with general servers also benefiting from AI applications. [8] Advanced Technology and Future Plans - TSMC is expected to see a transformation in its advanced packaging technology, with new facilities in the U.S. projected to begin construction in 2028. [3][9] - TSMC's AI chip business revenue is forecasted to double by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 45% over the next five years. [3][9] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies across various segments include: - AI Processors: Haiguang Information, Cambricon - Computing Rental: Xiechuang Data, Hongjing Technology, Youfang Technology, Yingfeng Environment - Server Systems: Industrial Fulian, Zhongke Shuguang, Inspur Information, Huqin Technology - Core Components: - PCB: Shenghong Technology, Hude Electronics - Optical Modules: Jinyisheng, Tianfu Communication, Zhongji Xuchuang - Cooling: Shuguang Shuchuang, Feirongda - Copper Connections: Huafeng Technology - CPU: Haiguang Information, Longxin Zhongke [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent market dynamics, particularly focusing on the performance of brokerage firms and rare earths, highlighting the significant rise in the Hong Kong brokerage ETF and the overall market index movements driven by banking and insurance sectors. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong brokerage ETF surged nearly 5%, while the Shanghai Composite Index experienced a high opening, reaching 3550 before a significant afternoon drop due to banking sector sell-offs [1][2] - The banking sector's rapid decline reflects the GJD's effective control over the index, with a notable drop in the banking index after reaching historical highs earlier in the day [2][3] Group 2: Fund Flow and Sector Rotation - The afternoon sell-off in banks indicates a shift in funds from high-performing stocks to lower-valued ones, with strong performance observed in the Sci-Tech 50 index and a rebound in previously underperforming sectors like liquor companies [3][4] - The adjustment in the banking sector is seen as a controlled rhythm rather than a directional change, with expectations of gradual upward movement in the index aligned with upcoming policy changes [3][4] Group 3: Earnings Forecasts - The article emphasizes the importance of upcoming mid-year earnings reports, with several sectors expected to show strong performance, particularly in PCB companies benefiting from the AI industry [4][5] - Other sectors highlighted include chemicals, cyclical goods, and agriculture, with specific mentions of rare earths and new energy metals showing strong earnings potential due to declining energy costs [4][6] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is also noted for exceeding expectations, with significant gains in the overall sector driven by strong performances from key companies [5][6] Group 4: Investment Strategy - The article suggests that the current market environment is characterized by volatility, with a focus on sector rotation and earnings expectations, indicating that investors need to be selective to avoid losses amidst the fluctuations [6][7]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively rose today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.01%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.61%, the ChiNext Index up 0.8%, and the North Star 50 Index up 0.9% [1] - The total market turnover reached 173.66 billion yuan, an increase of 22.15 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 2,900 stocks in the market experienced gains [1] Sector Performance - The rare earth permanent magnet sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Northern Rare Earth (600111), Baogang Co. (600010), and China Rare Earth (000831) hitting the daily limit [1] - The large financial sector also performed strongly, with multiple stocks such as Bank of China Securities (601696), Zhongyuan Securities (601375), and Nanhua Futures (603093) reaching the daily limit [1] - The CRO (Contract Research Organization) sector was active, with stocks like Kelaiying (002821) and WuXi AppTec (603259) hitting the daily limit [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector remained active, with China Nonferrous Metal (000758), Hunan Silver (002716), and Wolong New Energy (600173) also hitting the daily limit [1] Declining Sectors - The banking sector saw a decline in the afternoon, with over 30 stocks such as Changsha Bank (601577), Qingnong Commercial Bank (002958), and Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) experiencing losses [1] - The PCB (Printed Circuit Board) sector collectively adjusted, with Jin'an Guoji (002636) hitting the daily limit down, and stocks like International Composites (301526), Yihau New Materials (301176), and Shiming Technology (300522) showing significant declines [1] - The silicon energy sector also faced a pullback, with Huaguang Huaneng (600475) hitting the daily limit down, and stocks like Silicon Treasure Technology (300019), Shuangliang Energy (600481), and Daqo Energy experiencing declines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in its performance driven by the increasing demand for high-end products related to AI computing and high-speed switches, supported by its capacity expansion plans in Huangshi and other locations [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 between RMB 16.5 billion and RMB 17.5 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.63% to 53.40%. The non-recurring net profit is expected to be between RMB 16.1 billion and RMB 17.1 billion, also reflecting a growth of 44.85% to 53.85% [2]. - For Q2, the estimated net profit is around RMB 9.4 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 49.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.0% [2]. Capacity Expansion - The company plans to invest up to RMB 36 billion in potential projects in Huangshi from July 2025 to June 2031 to meet future operational needs [2]. - The company is accelerating domestic capacity upgrades and expansions, with a planned investment of RMB 4.3 billion in Kunshan for AI high-density interconnect multilayer board capacity [2]. - The expansion in Huangshi is expected to enhance the company's ability to secure orders for AI server PCBs from overseas ASIC clients [2][3]. Market Positioning - The company is strategically positioned to capture demand from leading North American clients in the AI computing sector, with a focus on high-layer HDI/HLC designs that are increasingly complex [3]. - The anticipated increase in the proportion of high-layer boards and high-end HDI products is expected to significantly enhance the company's profitability [3]. Long-term Growth Outlook - The company’s long-term growth logic is clear, with a focus on expanding high-end production capacity domestically and internationally, which is expected to open up new growth opportunities [3]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting a positive outlook based on the strong Q2 performance and capacity release [3].

Group 1 - The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion, an increase of approximately 200 billion compared to the same trading day of the previous period [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.55%, with sectors such as brokerage, rare earth permanent magnets, shipbuilding, software development, diversified finance, and CRO showing significant gains [1] - Approximately 3,400 stocks rose while 1,800 stocks declined, indicating a net outflow of main funds of about 7 billion [1] Group 2 - The banking, PCB, gaming, power equipment, and urban renewal sectors experienced weakness [1]

Core Viewpoint - Company expects a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, while non-recurring net profit is projected to increase dramatically due to improved operational management and product structure optimization [2][3] Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 15 million to 22.5 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 67.83% to 78.56% [2] - The non-recurring net profit is expected to be between 60 million and 80 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 4700% to 6300% [2][3] - The decline in net profit is attributed to the absence of investment income from the sale of a subsidiary, which generated 77.01 million yuan in the same period last year [3] Subsidiary Sale - The company is adjusting the sale price of its 60% stake in Shanghai Jinban Technology Co., Ltd. to no less than 71 million yuan, marking the second price reduction this year [2][6] - This is the third attempt to sell the subsidiary, with previous attempts failing to attract qualified buyers, leading to a price drop from approximately 127 million yuan to the current price [6][9] - The repeated failure to sell the subsidiary raises concerns about its asset attractiveness and may impact the company's resource allocation and financial structure [6][9] Industry Context - The company operates in the electronic industry, focusing on the research, production, and sales of copper-clad laminates, which are widely used in various sectors including home appliances and communications [4] - The PCB sector has seen increased activity, with the company's PCB business reporting a revenue of 168 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.81% [4] - Despite revenue growth, the company faces challenges due to intense competition and declining profit margins in the consumer electronics sector [4][5] Performance of Subsidiary - Shanghai Jinban's performance has not met expectations, with cumulative non-recurring net profit significantly below the promised figures, leading to financial pressure on the company [7][8] - The subsidiary's poor performance is attributed to weak demand in the electronic industry and increased competition, resulting in reduced orders and lower product prices [8][9] - The company has entered into a performance compensation agreement with the former shareholders of Shanghai Jinban, requiring them to pay 70 million yuan due to unmet performance commitments [10]

Market Overview - The market experienced a strong upward trend in the early session, with both the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index rising over 1% [1] - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index was at 3546.50 points, up 1.05%, with a trading volume of 438.2 billion; the Shenzhen Component Index was at 10731.19 points, up 0.94%, with a trading volume of 578 billion; the ChiNext Index was at 2215.53 points, up 1.19%, with a trading volume of 277.4 billion [1] Sector Performance - The rare earth permanent magnet sector saw a collective surge, with over ten stocks, including Northern Rare Earth, hitting the daily limit [2] - The financial sector showed strong performance, with major financial stocks experiencing upward momentum, and the stock "Zhinan Zhen" reaching a historical high [2] - The CRO sector also saw a significant rise, with WuXi AppTec hitting the daily limit [2] - Conversely, the PCB sector continued to adjust downwards, with Jin'an Guoji hitting the daily limit down [2] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities highlighted that "stable return" assets are characterized by low volatility, low drawdown, and continuous returns, with a focus on profitability and dividend stability [3] - The report noted that the banking sector's foundation for "stable returns" has been further solidified due to macroeconomic and regulatory policies, as well as increased holdings by insurance funds, public offerings, and AMC companies [3] - It is expected that trading funds will focus on undervalued stocks, while allocation funds will continue to favor beta stocks [3] Economic Outlook - Jiahe Fund projected that in July, the economy would show structural recovery characteristics, supported by manufacturing and infrastructure investments, while consumer spending continues to recover moderately [4] - The report indicated that the central bank's policy remains stable, but significant easing is unlikely due to concerns over fund circulation [4] - Key variables affecting the market include policy expectations from the Politburo meeting in late July and uncertainties from geopolitical issues and U.S. Federal Reserve policy adjustments [4] - The fund suggested focusing on sectors benefiting from domestic demand, such as automotive and retail, while monitoring policy signals and overseas risk developments [4] Industry Development Initiatives - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasized the importance of developing foundational and industrial software for implementing the manufacturing power strategy [5] - The Shanghai Fengxian District government released an action plan for the development of general new materials, focusing on advanced process integrated circuit materials, including high-purity targets and semiconductor packaging materials [6] - The plan aims to accelerate domestic substitution and promote the establishment of an industrial chain ecosystem [6]

今日A股早盘震荡走高， 沪指、创业板指双双涨超1%，沪深两市半日成交额1.02万亿，较上个交易 日放量937亿。 盘面上热点较为杂乱，个股涨多跌少，全市场超2800只个股上涨。 板块方面，稀土永磁、证券、有色金属、CRO等板块涨幅居前，PCB、游戏、电网设备、消 费电子等板块跌幅居前。截至收盘，沪指涨1.05%，深成指涨0.94%，创业板指涨1.19%。 从板块来看，稀土永磁概念股集体爆发，北方稀土等10余股涨停。 大金融股震荡走强，指南 针创历史新高。CRO概念股一度冲高，药明康德涨停。下跌方面，PCB概念股持续调整，金 安国纪跌停。 ...

Market Overview - The market showed a strong upward trend in the morning, with both the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index rising over 1% [1] - The total trading volume in the morning session reached 1.03 trillion [1] Sector Performance - The rare earth permanent magnet sector experienced a collective surge, with stocks such as Northern Rare Earth, Baogang Co., and Shenghe Resources hitting the daily limit [1] - Financial stocks, including brokerage and banking sectors, continued their strong performance, with stocks like China Merchants Bank and Harbin Investment hitting the daily limit, while Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Zhihang Innovation reached new highs [1] - The innovative drug concept remained active, with stocks like WuXi AppTec, Kailai Pharmaceutical, and Lianhuan Pharmaceutical also hitting the daily limit [1] - Conversely, the PCB concept stocks faced adjustments, with Jin'an Guoji hitting the daily limit down [1] Stock Movement - A total of 2,667 stocks rose, with 50 stocks hitting the daily limit up; 2,237 stocks declined, with 10 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] - 21 stocks experienced a "炸板" (a term indicating a stock hitting the limit up and then falling back), with a rate of 33% [1]