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狼真的来了!“AI第一轮就业大冲击”已至,矛头直指年轻人
华尔街见闻· 2025-08-10 12:25
人工智能正在成为裁员的主要推手之一, 应届毕业生和年轻科技从业者的失业率正在上升。 8月10日周日,美银Hartnett表示, 美国毕业生失业率从2023年12月的4.0%飙升至8.1%,人工智能已开始颠覆美国就业市场 。 据人力资源机构Challenger, Gray & Christmas的最新数据, 仅今年前七个月,美国就有超过1万个岗位的消失与生成式AI的应用直接相关。 该机构认为, AI 已跃升为年度前五大裁员原因之一。 整体来看,2025年美国企业宣布的裁员总数已超过80.6万,创下自2020年以来同期最高纪录。其中,科技行业是重灾区,已有超8.9万个岗位被削减, 自2023 年以来至少有2.7万个科技岗位因AI自动化而被取代。 初级岗位首当其冲 AI正在直接取代大量初级岗位。 面向Z世代的求职平台Handshake数据显示,初级职位的招聘信息(尤其是企业类岗位)同比下降了15%。过去两年里,在招 聘信息中提到AI的雇主数量激增了400%。 这些被AI"接手"的工作,大多是原本由初级员工完成的。耶鲁大学管理学院组织行为学副教授Botelho表示,受冲击最大的是初级员工,许多刚毕业的新员工从 事的都 ...
美联储降息之际,是美国最危险的时候
雪球· 2025-08-10 06:19
Group 1 - The article discusses the paradox of why funds may flow back to the Chinese stock market instead of the US stock market when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates [3][4]. - It highlights that the day the Federal Reserve cuts rates is often when risks in the US and US stock market are at their highest [4][5]. - The article notes that 80% of S&P 500 companies reported earnings that exceeded expectations, but this is largely due to significantly lowered expectations following the trade war [6][12]. Group 2 - There is a severe structural differentiation in earnings, with the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 contributing nearly all of the profit growth [8][7]. - The article questions whether rate cuts truly benefit the economy, suggesting that they can expose underlying problems rather than solve them [14][21]. - It draws a parallel to past events, such as the 2007 rate cuts that preceded a market crash, indicating that rate cuts can have both positive and negative consequences [16][20]. Group 3 - The article discusses the complexities of cross-border capital flows, stating that when the US lowers interest rates, capital may flow out of the US, potentially leading to a decline in the US stock market [32][33]. - It emphasizes that the US economy is highly open, and capital inflows during rate hikes can lead to inflation, complicating the economic landscape [30][31]. - The article also mentions that the current economic situation in China, characterized by low domestic liquidity, contrasts with the US's high liquidity, which can lead to different market dynamics [33][34]. Group 4 - The article posits that the Federal Reserve's influence is changing, as countries with significant capital in the US can exert pressure on US financial policies [42][44]. - It suggests that if a country like China raises interest rates significantly, it could lead to a rapid outflow of capital from the US, creating challenges for the US economy [46][48]. - The article indicates that the Chinese central bank has been managing its monetary policy to avoid destabilizing the US economy while also addressing its own economic needs [51][54]. Group 5 - The article contrasts the different contexts of last year's and this year's rate cuts, noting that last year's cuts were accompanied by significant government spending, which helped stabilize market rates [58][61]. - It warns that this year's rate cuts could lead to more pronounced capital outflows due to changes in interest rate differentials [62][64]. - The article concludes that the upcoming rate cuts by the Federal Reserve represent a significant risk, and the response from the Chinese central bank will be crucial in managing potential fallout [75][74].
狼真的来了!“AI第一轮就业大冲击”已至,矛头直指年轻人
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-08-10 02:47
Core Insights - The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) is significantly impacting the job market, particularly for recent graduates and young tech workers, leading to increased unemployment rates [1][3][5] Group 1: Employment Trends - The unemployment rate for U.S. graduates surged from 4.0% in December 2023 to 8.1% due to AI disruptions [1] - Over 1 million jobs lost in the first seven months of the year are directly linked to the application of generative AI [1] - The total number of layoffs announced by U.S. companies in 2025 is projected to exceed 806,000, the highest for the same period since 2020, with the tech sector being the most affected [1] Group 2: Impact on Entry-Level Positions - Entry-level positions are the most vulnerable, with job postings for these roles declining by 15% year-over-year [2] - The number of employers mentioning AI in job postings has increased by 400% over the past two years, indicating a shift in hiring practices [2] - Many entry-level tasks, such as data collection and basic chart creation, are now being performed by AI, leading to a reduction in entry-level job openings [2] Group 3: Challenges for Young Workers - Nearly half of U.S. Gen Z job seekers believe AI has devalued their degrees, contributing to a rising unemployment rate of 6% among recent graduates [3] - The unemployment rate for young employees in the tech sector has increased by approximately 3 percentage points this year, significantly higher than the overall tech industry rate [3] - The tech industry's share of overall employment has been declining since the past three years, with recruitment levels falling below historical trends [3] Group 4: Corporate Strategies and AI Integration - Companies like Shopify and McKinsey are openly adopting AI in their operations, leading to changes in hiring strategies [6] - AI is reportedly responsible for generating about 30% of code in certain projects at Alphabet and Microsoft, while Salesforce claims that AI accounts for 50% of its internal work [6]
布米普特拉北京投资基金管理有限公司:多重原因正导致美国企业大幅裁员
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-09 18:31
Group 1 - The U.S. job market is experiencing a significant increase in layoffs, with over 62,000 job cuts announced in July, marking a 140% increase compared to the same period last year, and the second-highest level in a decade, only behind the peak during the pandemic in 2020 [1][8] - The technology sector is particularly affected, with over 10,000 jobs lost due to artificial intelligence in just one month, and Intel announcing a 15% reduction in its global workforce, while Microsoft is undergoing its second round of layoffs this year, impacting 9,000 employees [3][6] - Retail industry layoffs have surged by 249% year-on-year, with over 80,000 job cuts in the first seven months of the year, attributed to tariff pressures, inflation, and weak consumer demand [6][8] Group 2 - Cumulative layoffs for the year have reached over 800,000, a 75% increase compared to the same period last year, surpassing the total layoffs for the entire previous year [8] - The automotive sector announced over 4,900 layoffs in July, the highest since November of the previous year, also linked to tariff impacts [6] - Non-profit organizations have faced severe budget cuts, resulting in 17,800 layoffs this year, a staggering 413% increase year-on-year [6][8]
非常看好中国资产!景林资产,二季度持仓曝光!
券商中国· 2025-08-09 15:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights significant adjustments in the overseas holdings of domestic private equity firms, particularly focusing on the changes in the portfolio of Jinglin Asset Management [1][2][3] Group 2 - Jinglin Asset's top holdings in US stocks as of the end of Q2 2025 include Meta, which accounts for 25.46% of its portfolio, with a market value exceeding $730 million [2] - The total value of Jinglin Asset's US stock holdings reached $2.873 billion, approximately 20.6 billion RMB, indicating a substantial shift towards internet companies [2] - The firm has sold off several major tech stocks, including Apple, UnitedHealth Group, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Pfizer, Legend Biotech, and ZTO Express [2] - The new focus on internet stocks is evident, with significant positions in companies like NetEase, Manbang Group, Pinduoduo, Futu Holdings, and 360 DigiTech [2] Group 3 - Jinglin Asset expressed optimism about China's future development, noting a shift in the competitive strength of Chinese companies from being undervalued to attracting global investment [3] - The new generation of Chinese entrepreneurs is seen as having advantages over the previous generation, leveraging a strong supply chain and engineering talent to create aesthetically pleasing products [3] - Dongfang Harbor's overseas fund has also accelerated its portfolio adjustments, reducing holdings in Nvidia, Amazon, and Apple, while increasing positions in Alphabet, Montreal Bank, and initiating purchases of Tesla, Netflix, and Coinbase [3]
纳指再创新高,苹果本周累涨逾13%
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-08-08 23:59
2025.08.09 周五,美国股市收盘上涨,纳斯达克指数连续第二日刷新历史收盘纪录。降息预期的持续升温推动科技 股普遍走高,苹果等大型成分股表现亮眼。 截至收盘,道指收涨206.97点,涨0.47%,报44175.61点;标普500指数收涨49.45点,涨0.78%,报 6389.45点;纳指收涨207.32点,涨0.98%,报21450.02点。 三大指数本周均录得上涨,道指累涨1.35%,纳指累涨3.87%,标普500指数累涨2.43%。 科技巨头领涨,苹果股价延续涨势收高4%,本周累计涨幅超13%,创下自2020年7月以来的最佳周表 现。本周早些时候,美国总统特朗普宣布,苹果将在美国追加投资1000亿美元,使未来四年在美总投资 承诺达到6000亿美元,消息提振了市场对科技行业的信心。标普500科技指数同步走高,谷歌、特斯拉 涨超2%;英伟达涨超1%,股价创收盘新高。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.26%,热门中概股涨跌不一,蔚来涨超3%,小鹏汽车涨近3%,携程跌超 5%,哔哩哔哩、爱奇艺、名创优品跌超1%。 宏观经济层面,近期疲软的经济数据强化了市场对美联储年内降息的押注。芝商所美联储观察 (FedWa ...
纳指再创新高涨近1%!苹果本周累涨逾13%
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 23:30
苹果涨超4%,本周涨幅超13%,创下自2020年7月以来的最佳周表现。 * 纳指连续第二日创收盘纪录新高 * 苹果本周累涨逾13% 科技巨头领涨,苹果股价延续涨势收高4%,本周累计涨幅超13%,创下自2020年7月以来的最佳周表 现。本周早些时候,美国总统特朗普宣布,苹果将在美国追加投资1000亿美元,使未来四年在美总投资 承诺达到6000亿美元,消息提振了市场对科技行业的信心。标普500科技指数同步走高,谷歌、特斯拉 涨超2%;英伟达涨超1%,股价创收盘新高。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.26%,热门中概股涨跌不一,蔚来涨超3%,小鹏汽车涨近3%,携程跌超 5%,哔哩哔哩、爱奇艺、名创优品跌超1%。 宏观经济层面,近期疲软的经济数据强化了市场对美联储年内降息的押注。芝商所美联储观察 (FedWatch)工具显示,交易员预计9月降息的概率接近90%,并倾向于年底前至少降息两次。 投资者还在密切关注美联储人事动向。继阿德里安娜·库格勒上周意外宣布离任后,特朗普在周四晚间 提名白宫经济顾问委员会主席斯蒂芬·米兰(Stephen Miran)出任临时理事,任期至2026年1月31日。分 析人士认为,这一任命虽属短期 ...
日本东证指数首次站上3000点,纽约期金创新高,美元小幅走强,油价下跌
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-08-08 06:36
Group 1 - The easing of US-Japan trade relations and strong earnings reports from major Japanese tech companies have boosted market sentiment, leading to an increase in Asian stock markets [1][2] - The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index rose by 0.4%, marking its fifth consecutive day of gains, while the Nikkei 225 Index increased by 1.9% and the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX) reached a new high above 3000 points [1][2] - Japanese automotive stocks, including Toyota and Honda, saw price increases, and SoftBank's stock surged over 10% due to its return to profitability, reaching a historical high [1][2] Group 2 - The agreement between the US and Japan on tariff issues includes a unified 15% tariff on Japanese goods, which is lower than the previously threatened 25% rate by the Trump administration [1][2] - The S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both rose by over 0.1%, indicating a potential third consecutive day of gains [1] - The US Treasury prices showed slight increases, with the 10-year Treasury yield declining by approximately 1 basis point [2]
拓宽融资渠道 巩义助力企业解燃眉之急
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 12:20
8月7日,记者从巩义市市场监管局获悉,该局以知识产权质押融资和认证贷为抓手,打出金融助企"组合拳",有效化解中小微企业"融资难"问题。目前,两 项融资渠道累计金额已超1亿元。 河南日报客户端记者 康亚飞 通讯员 梅娜娜 & pt 9 e 1999 - / and The ITA r and "有专利、有技术,就是缺资金扩大生产,多亏'知识产权贷',让我们的专利变成了'活资金'!"巩义市某"专精特新"科技企业负责人感慨道。 以"认证"增"信用",拓宽融资渠道。依托当地企业持有的众多CCC认证和管理体系认证,巩义市市场监管局联合金融机构推出"认证贷"。该产品以认证证书 为信用担保,无需实物抵押,最高授信2000万元,覆盖全市获证企业,并开辟绿色通道快速审批。自6月推行以来,已发放贷款3000万元,实现"认证换信 用、信用融资金"。 (2 0 I f 巩义市专精特新企业银企对接会 巩义市专精特新企业银企对接会 师川银行观众女行 武义市创新蓝雷网 邦州银行队又支智 民义市市场监管局 2020年4月24日 and He states TT T 11 1 t I U l 0 an s and o - O - 科创金融宣讲 ...
汉桑科技龙虎榜:1家机构进卖出前5 净卖出共661万元
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-08-06 09:38
中国经济网北京8月6日讯汉桑科技(301491.SZ)今日在深交所创业板上市,截至收盘报82.89元,涨幅186.72%。 | 序号 代码 | 【日】【的】【不】【,】【在】【,】【在】【,】【的】【,】【的】【,】【的】【,】【 | | | 市场总 | 机构净买额占 | 流通 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 机构数 机构数 | 总额(万) 总额(万) 泽额(万)多 成交额(万) | | | 总成交额比 | 换毛塞 中值 | | | 17 301491 汉桑科技 明细 股吧 82.89 186.72% | | 0.00 660.98 | -660.98 | 204796.74 | -0.32% | 81.70% 22.44 | 一 无价格涨 | 龙虎榜数据显示,今日,卖出汉桑科技金额最大的前五名中,1家为机构专用席位。经统计,机构席位今日卖出汉桑科技净额为660.98万元。 | >> | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | ...