另一方面，汽车股多数表现低迷，Q2毛利率大幅下降，比亚迪(002594)股份跌超5%，广汽集团 (601238)、吉利汽车、小鹏汽车皆有跌幅，中资券商股、纸业股、高铁基建股、乳制品股、体育用品股 齐跌，其中，中国交通建设跌6%，中信建投(601066)跌超3%。(格隆汇) | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生指数 | 25617.42 | +2.15% | | 800000 | | | | 国企指数 | 9121.87 | +1.95% | | 800100 | | | | 恒生科技指数 | 5798.96 | +2.20% | | 800700 | | | 格隆汇9月1日｜港股三大指数全天高位震荡，迎来9月开门红行情！黄金股与科技股联袂上攻，带领市 场做多情绪高涨。截止收盘，恒生指数涨2.15%上扬近550点，国企指数、恒生科技指数分别上涨1.95% 及2.2%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 09988 | ◎ NTEBBE | 137.100 | 18.50% | | 0193 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report - The gold market is in a stage of volatile upward movement, and the price center is expected to rise in the later stage. The reasons are as follows: in terms of the risk - aversion logic, the impact of tariffs is still fluctuating in the short term, and there is no significant progress in the Russia - Ukraine negotiations, so the long - term risk - aversion logic still exists; in terms of the investment logic, the central bank adjusted the monetary policy framework at the August annual meeting, greatly increasing the expectation of a September interest rate cut, with an expected interest rate cut of 50 - 75bp within the year, and the expected decline in interest rates will drive up the gold price [2]. Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. Market Review - In August, the gold price remained in a high - level volatile range, with the COMEX gold price fluctuating around $3380 - 3480 per ounce. The reasons for the price movement include high - level uncertainty in US tariff disputes in August and the lack of obvious progress in Russia - Ukraine negotiations, which maintained long - term risk - aversion sentiment; the adjustment of the monetary policy framework by the Federal Reserve at the Jackson Hole annual meeting in August increased the expectation of an interest rate cut, which may continue to drive up the gold price [7][8]. 2. Financial Attributes - The core of the financial attributes is the US Treasury real interest rate (represented by the ITIPS yield), and historical data shows an obvious negative correlation between the gold price and the real interest rate. It is mainly affected by US economic growth, inflation levels, and monetary policy, with monetary policy being the most direct influencing factor in the short to medium term [15]. - The US economic situation: In the second quarter of 2025, the US GDP's quarter - on - quarter annualized rate was 3%, showing an obvious recovery from the first quarter, but the year - on - year growth rate has been lower than the potential GDP growth rate for two consecutive quarters, indicating that the current US economic growth rate is still low. In July, the ISM manufacturing PMI fell slightly to 48%, still below the boom - bust line, and new orders were also below the boom - bust line, indicating a decline in the US manufacturing's prosperity after the suspension of interest rate cuts. In July 2025, the initial value of new non - farm payrolls was 73,000, significantly lower than the market expectation of 104,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, the highest since November 2021. In July, the US CPI rose 2.7% year - on - year, remaining flat with the previous value and slightly lower than the market expectation; it rose 0.2% month - on - month, a decline from the previous value of 0.3% [19][22][26]. - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy: The market's expectation of a September interest rate cut has risen to about 85%, mainly because the Federal Reserve adjusted the monetary policy framework at the August central bank annual meeting. There is a high probability of 2 - 3 interest rate cuts within the year. The Federal Reserve paused interest rate cuts in July, maintaining the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% - 4.50%. The previous June dot - plot showed that Federal Reserve officials thought there would be 2 interest rate cuts within the year, but there were differences [33][35][38]. 3. Monetary Attributes - In terms of monetary attributes, the impact of US dollar credit and other risk events is mainly considered. In August, the US dollar index fluctuated around the 97 - 98 level. With Powell's dovish statement at the August central bank annual meeting and Trump's intervention in the Federal Reserve Council, the US dollar index declined slightly in late August [40][44]. - The GPR risk indicator shows that the geopolitical risk level in the US declined in August compared with the previous two months, mainly due to the smooth progress of US tariff negotiations. The Russia - Ukraine negotiations are ongoing, and the geopolitical risk in the Middle East remains relatively tense [48]. 4. Commodity Attributes - In the long run, the supply of gold is sufficient as it is relatively stable. From 2023 - 2024, the global gold supply will continue to increase steadily. However, the domestic gold production may continue to decline year by year due to factors such as the decline in gold grades in mining areas and the pressure of environmental protection expenditures. In terms of demand, jewelry demand will drive the overall demand to pick up [51]. Hedging Strategies for Different Participants - For mining enterprises, smelting enterprises, and terminal consumers with inventory who are worried about the decline in the gold price, short - term negative factors suggest shorting gold futures for hedging, with the contract being au251. For smelting enterprises and terminal consumers who are purchasing raw materials and worried about the rise in the gold price, direct long - buying of gold futures is recommended, also with the contract au251 [2][4]. Key Data to Watch - The September Federal Reserve interest rate meeting and the August US economic data [2].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) experienced a significant stock price increase, reaching a historical high of 26.24 HKD on September 1, with a current increase of 8.8% to 26.22 HKD and a trading volume of 613 million HKD [1]

消息面上，受避险和降息预期共振，国际金价显著上涨。9月1日，现货黄金突破3480美元/盎司，日内 涨幅超1%，并创今年4月以来新高。多家国际金融机构看涨金价，瑞士银行目前已将2026年上半年国际 金价目标价上调至每盎司3700美元。美国银行的分析师则预计，到2026年上半年国际金价将触及每盎司 4000美元高位。 招金矿业(01818)涨近9%，高见26.24港元创历史新高。截至发稿，涨8.8%，报26.22港元，成交额6.13亿 港元。 今年上半年，招金矿业实现收入69.73亿元，同比劲增50.69%；归母净利润同比大增160.44%至14.4亿 元。湘财证券指出，在美联储降息预期升温及中长期降息周期下、美债压力加大导致美元走弱趋势加强 及央行储备多元化趋势驱动黄金储备中长期提升背景下，黄金价格有望长期看涨。叠加海域金矿、铁拓 金矿以及科马洪等金矿逐渐投产和扩产，公司黄金自产金产量有望持续增长，驱动公司未来业绩快速增 长。 ...

消息面上，受避险和降息预期共振，国际金价显著上涨。9月1日，现货黄金突破3480美元/盎司，日内 涨幅超1%，并创今年4月以来新高。多家国际金融机构看涨金价，瑞士银行目前已将2026年上半年国际 金价目标价上调至每盎司3700美元。美国银行的分析师则预计，到2026年上半年国际金价将触及每盎司 4000美元高位。 智通财经APP获悉，招金矿业(01818)涨近9%，高见26.24港元创历史新高。截至发稿，涨8.8%，报26.22 港元，成交额6.13亿港元。 今年上半年，招金矿业实现收入69.73亿元，同比劲增50.69%；归母净利润同比大增160.44%至14.4亿 元。湘财证券指出，在美联储降息预期升温及中长期降息周期下、美债压力加大导致美元走弱趋势加强 及央行储备多元化趋势驱动黄金储备中长期提升背景下，黄金价格有望长期看涨。叠加海域金矿、铁拓 金矿以及科马洪等金矿逐渐投产和扩产，公司黄金自产金产量有望持续增长，驱动公司未来业绩快速增 长。 ...

Group 1 - The "2025 International Gold Industry Development Conference and Gold Mining Technology Conference" was held in Zhaoyuan, Shandong, focusing on topics such as "Gold Market and Finance" and "Innovation in Gold Mining Technology" [1] - The conference emphasized digital transformation, resource conservation, macroeconomic trends, and the integration of gold production and finance [1] - The Shandong Provincial Geological and Mineral Bureau's Sixth Geological Team participated and presented a report at the conference [1] Group 2 - Senior Engineer Yang Zhenliang presented on "Composite Framework Wave-like Structure Control Mining Model Driving New Technology for Deep Prospecting Prediction," showcasing a three-dimensional mineral prediction method based on structural control models [3] - The technology identifies structural anomalies formed by multi-stage stress, successfully predicting multiple prospecting targets in the Jiaoxi North region, demonstrating significant preliminary results [3] - The Sixth Geological Team plans to focus on deep prospecting theoretical and technical challenges, enhancing the application of three-dimensional mineral prediction and big data technology in prospecting practices [3]

Group 1 - Gold prices have reached $3,400 per ounce, marking a five-week high, influenced by expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [1] - Several gold mining companies reported strong mid-year earnings, with Zijin Mining's net profit reaching 23.292 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.41% [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold's net profit for the first half of the year was 1.107 billion yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 55.79% [1] - Zhaojin Mining's net profit surged to 1.440 billion yuan, reflecting a dramatic increase of 160.44% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - Gold stocks collectively rose, with China Gold International increasing by 4.97% to 105.7 HKD, Chifeng Jilong Gold up by 4.38% to 25.76 HKD, Zhaojin Mining rising by 4.42% to 24.1 HKD, and Lingbao Gold increasing by 4.15% to 12.8 HKD [2]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to face resistance around 24500-24600, with bearish investors holding overnight positions, while some bullish investors maintain positions with a target of 26000 [1] - The index closed at 25077, remaining below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with short-term technical signals indicating a "sell" [1] Group 2: Bilibili (09626.HK) - Bilibili's stock price rebounded from the lower Bollinger Band, closing at 180.9, with an intraday high of 183, approaching the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 185 [3] - Technical signals are neutral, with short-term resistance levels at 190.2 and 202.8, and support levels at 173.6 and 164 [3] Group 3: BYD Company (01211.HK) - BYD's stock price showed strong performance, closing at 114.4, above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with a cautious "buy" signal [8] - Resistance levels are identified at 120.4 and 125.4, while support levels are at 111.4 and 107.5, indicating a safe area for investors holding bullish positions [8] Group 4: PetroChina (00857.HK) - PetroChina's stock price closed at 7.51, near the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with a short-term technical signal indicating a "sell" [11] - Investors holding call options with a strike price of 8.88 face a significant out-of-the-money margin, which could increase if the stock price declines further [11] Group 5: Li Auto (02015.HK) - Li Auto's stock closed at 91.7, with a "buy" signal and resistance levels at 99.3 and 110.6, while support levels are at 88.3 and 83.1 [13] Group 6: Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) - Zhaojin Mining's stock price has risen from 19.4 to 24.1, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band, with a technical signal indicating a "sell" [20] - Support levels are identified at 22.3 and 21.1, suggesting potential areas for price stabilization [20]

Core Insights - The company Zhongjin Gold (600489) reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 35.067 billion yuan, up 22.9% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 2.695 billion yuan, up 54.64% [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was 20.208 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.49% - Net profit for Q2 2025 was 1.656 billion yuan, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 72.57% - Gross margin improved to 18.63%, up 12.71% year-on-year, while net margin increased to 9.66%, up 29.37% year-on-year [1] - The total of selling, administrative, and financial expenses was 1.159 billion yuan, accounting for 3.31% of revenue, a decrease of 16.34% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) rose to 0.56 yuan, an increase of 55.56% year-on-year, while operating cash flow per share improved to 0.02 yuan, up 117.82% year-on-year [1] Balance Sheet Highlights - Cash and cash equivalents increased to 10.646 billion yuan, up 20.41% year-on-year - Accounts receivable surged to 922 million yuan, a dramatic increase of 239.88% year-on-year - Interest-bearing debt rose to 18.594 billion yuan, a 5.48% increase year-on-year [1] Investment Sentiment - Analysts expect the company's performance for 2025 to reach 5.417 billion yuan, with an average EPS forecast of 1.12 yuan [3] - The company is held by two prominent fund managers, with recent increases in their positions, indicating positive sentiment towards the stock [3] Fund Holdings - Notable funds holding Zhongjin Gold include: - China Europe Dividend Advantage Mixed A: 28.455 million shares, newly entered the top ten - Yongying CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Stock ETF: 26.266 million shares, increased holdings - Dachen New Industry Mixed A: 23.849 million shares, increased holdings [4]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a recovery today, with the Hang Seng Index closing above 25,000 points, up 0.32% or 78.8 points at 25,077.62 points, with a total turnover of HKD 335.6 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Index has increased by 1.23% for the month, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.73% and 4.06%, respectively [1] - Everbright Securities noted that the overall profitability of Hong Kong stocks is relatively strong, with scarce assets in sectors like internet, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Blue Chip Performance - BYD Electronics (00285) rose by 7.3% to HKD 41.18, contributing 3.46 points to the Hang Seng Index, driven by expectations of increased market share in overseas consumer electronics [2] - WuXi Biologics (02269) increased by 6.96% to HKD 33.2, contributing 12.52 points, while CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) rose by 6.67% to HKD 10.07, contributing 8.01 points [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks mostly performed well, with Baidu up over 3%, JD.com up over 2%, and Meituan up 0.98% [3] - Biopharmaceutical stocks rebounded, with Rongchang Biologics rising over 11% and WuXi Biologics up nearly 7% [3] - Gold stocks showed strong performance, with Lingbao Gold surging 15% to a record high [3] Pharmaceutical Sector Developments - The upcoming World Lung Cancer Conference (WCLC) and European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) will showcase research results from several domestic innovative drugs [4] - Recent patent licensing agreements in August indicate a growing trend in the pharmaceutical sector, with Rongchang Biologics entering a deal worth up to CNY 5.25 billion [4] Gold Sector Performance - Gold prices reached a five-week high, surpassing USD 3,400 per ounce, with several gold mining companies reporting strong mid-year earnings [5] - Zijin Mining reported a net profit of CNY 23.29 billion for the first half of the year, up 54.41% year-on-year [5] Lithium Battery Sector Activity - The lithium battery sector was active, with TianNeng Power (00819) rising by 10.79% to HKD 8.11 [6] - Domestic battery production is expected to increase, with a 7.48% month-on-month rise in battery production capacity [6] Notable Stock Movements - Guotai Junan International (01788) surged by 15.69% after announcing cryptocurrency trading services for Hong Kong investors [7] - Xindong Company (02400) rose by 5.83% following a strong mid-year earnings report, with revenue up 38.8% [8] - Haier Smart Home (600690) saw a 4.63% increase, reporting a revenue of CNY 156.47 billion, up 10.2% year-on-year [9] - Aobo Holdings (00880) fell by 13.17% after reporting a loss of CNY 182 million, widening from the previous year [10] - ZTE Corporation (00763) declined by 9.27% after reporting a net profit drop of 11.77% [11] - China COSCO Shipping (601919) faced a 7% drop, with a significant decline in second-quarter profits [12]