Agricultural Products Market - The national market price of edible agricultural products increased by 0.4% from the previous week [1] - The average wholesale price of 30 types of vegetables was 5.69 yuan per kilogram, rising by 1.4%, with notable increases in prices of chives (14.8%), cabbage (8.4%), and asparagus lettuce (5.3%) [1] - The average wholesale price of 6 types of fruits saw a slight increase, with watermelon, grapes, and apples rising by 3.5%, 2.8%, and 0.3% respectively [1] - Wholesale prices of aquatic products slightly increased, with large hairtail, large yellow croaker, and silver carp rising by 0.8%, 0.8%, and 0.7% respectively [1] - Poultry product wholesale prices increased, with broiler chicken and eggs rising by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively [1] - Grain and oil wholesale prices showed slight fluctuations, with peanut oil rising by 0.1%, while rice and soybean oil decreased by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively [1] - Meat wholesale prices experienced minor fluctuations, with pork priced at 18.60 yuan per kilogram, decreasing by 0.5%, while beef and lamb increased by 0.1% [1] Production Materials Market - Coal prices saw a slight increase, with thermal coal, coking coal, and anthracite rising to 779 yuan, 1058 yuan, and 1164 yuan per ton, increasing by 1.4%, 0.5%, and 0.3% respectively [2] - Basic chemical raw material prices predominantly increased, with sulfuric acid and soda ash rising by 1.5% and 0.6%, while methanol and polypropylene decreased by 0.7% and 0.3% [2] - Prices of non-ferrous metals showed slight fluctuations, with copper decreasing by 1.7%, while zinc and aluminum increased by 0.9% and 0.7% respectively [2] - Refined oil wholesale prices remained stable with slight declines, as 0 diesel remained unchanged, while 95 and 92 gasoline decreased by 0.3% [2] - Fertilizer prices slightly decreased, with urea dropping by 0.4%, while compound fertilizers remained stable [2] - Steel prices experienced a slight decline, with hot-rolled strip steel, rebar, and high-speed wire rod priced at 3490 yuan, 3313 yuan, and 3513 yuan per ton, decreasing by 0.8%, 0.7%, and 0.5% respectively [2] - Rubber prices saw a slight decrease, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber falling by 2.5% and 1.5% respectively [2]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report title: Urea Morning Report [2] - Date: November 17, 2025 [2] - Author: Jin Zebin from Dayue Futures Investment Consulting Department [3] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 3: Core Viewpoints - The current daily production and operating rate of urea have rebounded again, while the comprehensive inventory has declined. The agricultural demand is weak in the short term, and the industrial demand is moderately weak. With the commissioning of new production capacities such as Xinjiang Zhongneng in the middle of the month, the supply - side pressure has increased again. The large price difference between domestic and foreign markets for exports has improved the export situation compared with the previous period, boosting the sentiment of the futures market. The domestic urea market is still in a state of oversupply. It is expected that the urea futures main contract will fluctuate today [4]. Group 4: Summary by Directory 1. Urea Overview - **Fundamentals**: Daily production and operating rate are rising, inventory is falling. Agricultural demand is weak, industrial demand is moderately weak. New production capacities increase supply - side pressure. Export improvement boosts market sentiment. Overall, the domestic market is oversupplied. The spot price of the delivery product is 1600 (unchanged), and the fundamentals are neutral [4]. - **Basis**: The basis of the UR2601 contract is - 52, with a premium/discount ratio of - 3.3%, indicating a bearish signal [4]. - **Inventory**: The UR comprehensive inventory is 1.566 million tons (- 92,000 tons), a bearish factor [4]. - **Futures Market**: The 20 - day moving average of the UR main contract is upward, and the closing price is above the 20 - day line, a bullish signal [4]. - **Main Position**: The net position of the UR main contract is short, and the short position is being reduced, a bearish signal [4]. - **Expectation**: The main contract of urea is expected to fluctuate today, considering the weak industrial and agricultural demand and the improved export situation [4]. - **Leverage Factors**: The positive factor is the improvement in exports; the negative factors are domestic oversupply and new production capacity commissioning. The main logic lies in international prices and marginal changes in domestic demand [5]. 2. Spot and Futures Market Quotes | Category | Details | |----|----| | Spot | The price of the spot delivery product is 1600 (unchanged); Shandong spot is 1600 (unchanged); Henan spot is 1610 (unchanged); FOB China is 2732 [6]. | | Futures | The price of the 01 contract is 1652 (- 6); the basis is - 52 (+ 6); UR05 is 1727 (- 4); UR09 is 1748 (- 6) [6]. | | Inventory | The number of warehouse receipts is 7183 (+ 225); UR comprehensive inventory is 1.566 million tons (- 92,000 tons); UR manufacturer inventory is 1.484 million tons (- 94,000 tons); UR port inventory is 82,000 tons (+ 3,000 tons) [6]. | 3. Supply - Demand Balance Sheet | Year | Capacity | Capacity Growth Rate | Production | Net Imports | PP Import Dependence | Apparent Consumption | Ending Inventory | Actual Consumption | Consumption Growth Rate | |----|----|----|----|----|----|----|----|----|----| | 2018 | - | 22.455 billion | - | 19.5681 billion | 4.4838 billion | 18.6% | 24.0519 billion | 236.6 million | 24.0519 billion | - | | 2019 | - | 24.455 billion | 8.9% | 22.4 billion | 4.8794 billion | 17.9% | 27.2794 billion | 378.6 million | 27.1374 billion | 12.8% | | 2020 | - | 28.255 billion | 15.5% | 25.8098 billion | 6.1912 billion | 19.3% | 32.001 billion | 378.3 million | 32.0013 billion | 17.9% | | 2021 | - | 31.485 billion | 11.4% | 29.2799 billion | 3.5241 billion | 10.7% | 32.804 billion | 357.2 million | 32.8251 billion | 2.6% | | 2022 | - | 34.135 billion | 8.4% | 29.6546 billion | 3.3537 billion | 10.2% | 33.0083 billion | 446.2 million | 32.9193 billion | 0.3% | | 2023 | - | 38.935 billion | 14.1% | 31.9359 billion | 2.9313 billion | 8.4% | 34.8672 billion | 446.5 million | 34.8669 billion | 5.9% | | 2024 | - | 44.185 billion | 13.5% | 34.25 billion | 3.6 billion | 9.5% | 37.85 billion | 514 million | 37.7825 billion | 8.4% | | 2025E | - | 49.06 billion | 11.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | [9]

Core Viewpoint - The "Low Emission Ammonia Fertilizer Initiative" (LEAF) was launched during COP30 in Brazil, aiming to accelerate the large-scale application of low-emission ammonia fertilizers to ensure food security while reducing greenhouse gas emissions [1][2] Group 1: Initiative Overview - LEAF is a coalition formed by governments, international organizations, and companies from various sectors including food, agriculture, and fertilizers [1] - Traditional ammonia fertilizer production emits approximately 510 million tons of greenhouse gases annually, comparable to the total emissions of Brazil or Germany [1] Group 2: Key Actions and Partnerships - The initiative is led by the Hydrogen Council, with core partners including the United Nations Industrial Development Organization, PepsiCo, and the International Fertilizer Association [2] - The "Public-Private Sector Action Statement" outlines three priority actions: narrowing cost gaps to stimulate demand, enhancing investment confidence through standardization and market mechanisms, and deepening public-private collaboration to improve policy frameworks and financial tools [2] - The statement is open for signing until November 20, coinciding with COP30's "Agriculture and Food Security" theme day [2] Group 3: Support and Resources - To support the initiative, the Hydrogen Council, along with stakeholders in the agriculture and food sectors, and McKinsey, released a "Roadmap for the Large-Scale Adoption of Low-Emission Ammonia Fertilizers," providing market analysis and data to guide the priority actions [2]

Core Viewpoint - The China Chemical Engineering Tianchen Company has commenced the foundational design of the calcium ammonium nitrate project for the Keshan Group's green fertilizer initiative in Kenya, marking it as the world's first integrated project for "geothermal electricity to hydrogen/ammonia/fertilizer" [1] Group 1: Project Overview - The project aims to create a demonstration project driven by geothermal energy for the production of hydrogen, ammonia, and green fertilizers [1] - It represents a significant achievement in the deepening cooperation between China and Kenya in the fields of new energy and chemicals [1] Group 2: Technological and Economic Impact - The project will utilize local geothermal resources to produce green hydrogen through water electrolysis, capture carbon dioxide at geothermal wellheads, and produce nitrogen for green ammonia, urea, and calcium ammonium nitrate [1] - It is expected to enhance Kenya's self-sufficiency in fertilizer production, improve agricultural productivity, and promote local employment while driving the development of upstream and downstream industries [1] Group 3: Strategic Goals - The company plans to leverage this project to enhance its advantages in integrating green energy and chemicals, constructing green hydrogen models, and engineering design and technology integration [1] - This initiative aims to contribute to the development of clean energy in Africa and provide an innovative example for deepening cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative in the East African region [1]

国泰君安期货·能源化工 尿素周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所 杨鈜汉 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021541 日期：2025年11月16日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 资料来源：钢联，隆众资讯，国泰君安期货研究 本周尿素观点：区间运行，估值重于驱动 06-30 07-10 07-20 07-30 08-09 08-19 08-29 09-08 09-18 09-28 10-08 10-18 10-28 11-07 11-17 11-27 12-07 12-17 12-27 晋开基差 2022 2023 2024 2025 | 供应 | • | 本周(20251106-1112)，中国尿素生产企业产量：137.69万吨，较上期涨2.24万吨，环比涨1.65%。周期内新增1家企业装置停车，3家停车装置恢复生产，同 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 时延续上周期的装置变化，本周产量继续增加。下周，中国尿素周产量预计139-140万吨附近，较本期小幅增加。下个周期预计1家企业装置计划停车， | | | ...

Meeting Details - The meeting was held on November 14, 2025, at 14:30, with online voting available from 9:15 to 15:00 [3][4] - The meeting was convened by the company's board of directors and hosted by Chairman Yuan Qirong [5][7] - The voting method combined both on-site and online voting [6] Attendance - A total of 294 shareholders participated, representing 195,646,272 shares, which is 25.8066% of the total voting shares [8] - Among them, 6 shareholders attended in person, representing 182,654,100 shares (24.0928% of total voting shares), while 288 participated via online voting, representing 12,992,172 shares (1.7137% of total voting shares) [8] - Small shareholders accounted for 293 participants, representing 13,595,472 shares (1.7933% of total voting shares) [9] Proposal Review and Voting Results - The proposal to reappoint the accounting firm was approved with 193,741,884 votes in favor (99.0266% of valid votes), 1,382,288 against (0.7065%), and 522,100 abstentions (0.2669%) [10][11] - Small shareholders voted 11,691,084 in favor (85.9925%), 1,382,288 against (10.1673%), and 522,100 abstentions (3.8402%) [10] Legal Opinion - The legal opinion was provided by Anhui Chengyi Law Firm, confirming that the meeting's procedures and voting results complied with legal and regulatory requirements [12] Reference Documents - The resolutions from the second temporary shareholders' meeting of Anhui Sierte Fertilizer Co., Ltd. and the legal opinion from Anhui Chengyi Law Firm are available for review [13]

Core Viewpoint - Gansu Xintian Fertilizer Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 10 million RMB, focusing on various agricultural and chemical services [1] Company Overview - The legal representative of Gansu Xintian Fertilizer Technology Co., Ltd. is Liu Wenxin [1] - The company has a registered capital of 10 million RMB [1] Business Scope - The company is involved in the production of fertilizers and pesticides, as well as their wholesale and retail [1] - Additional services include accommodation, catering, aquaculture, feed production, and road cargo transportation (excluding hazardous goods) [1] - General projects include mixed processing of soil and fertilizers, sales of fertilizers, technical services, and research and development of bio-organic fertilizers [1] - The company also engages in agricultural machinery services, sales of agricultural films, and various agricultural product services such as planting, harvesting, and storage [1]

天眼查App显示，近日，四川泥美人化肥有限公司成立，法定代表人为王修成，注册资本100万人民 币，经营范围为一般项目：化肥销售；肥料销售；技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转 让、技术推广；新鲜水果批发；新鲜水果零售；农副产品销售。（除依法须经批准的项目外，凭营业执 照依法自主开展经营活动）许可项目：肥料生产。（依法须经批准的项目，经相关部门批准后方可开展 经营活动，具体经营项目以相关部门批准文件或许可证件为准）（涉及国家规定实施准入特别管理措施 的除外）。 ...

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Urea Daily Report on November 14, 2025 [2] - Report Type: Energy and Chemical Research Report [2] - Report Focus: Urea Market in the Commodity Sector [1][2] Group 2: Market Review - Futures Market: Urea futures fluctuated and closed at 1652 (0/0%) [3] - Spot Market: Factory prices were weakly stable with general trading. Prices varied by region, e.g., Henan at 1560 - 1570 yuan/ton, Shandong small - sized at 1560 - 1600 yuan/ton [3] Group 3: Important Information - Urea Daily Output: On November 14, it was 20.33 tons, an increase of 0.58 tons from the previous workday and 1.86 tons from the same period last year [4] - Urea Operating Rate: On November 14, it was 84.08%, a 2.38% increase from 81.70% in the same period last year [4] Group 4: Logical Analysis - Market Sentiment: The impact of the new export quota news faded, and market sentiment cooled. Mainstream spot factory prices fell with weak trading [5] - Regional Analysis: Shandong expected falling prices due to weak demand; Henan expected to follow the downward trend; the delivery area and Northeast expected stable prices [5] - Supply and Demand: Supply increased as maintenance units returned. Demand was weak as the fourth - batch quota was issued, and domestic demand entered a "vacuum period" [5] - Price Forecast: With a loose supply - demand situation, urea prices are expected to continue to decline [5] Group 5: Trading Strategy - Unilateral Strategy: Short positions are recommended [6] - Arbitrage Strategy: Hold off on arbitrage operations [6] Group 6: Related Charts - Charts cover various aspects such as urea daily output, operating rate, production, enterprise inventory, and related downstream product data from 2022 - 2025 [10][14]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Urea spot new orders follow-up has slowed down. Affected by export news, the futures market has risen slightly and is expected to fluctuate in the short term. Agricultural autumn fertilization is ending, and compound fertilizer autumn fertilization is also wrapping up. Winter storage fertilizer production has not yet started on a large scale, and the overall operating rate has slightly decreased due to environmental protection factors. The operating rate of melamine has increased, with rigid demand for procurement. In the medium to long term, urea supply and demand remain relatively loose with the release of new production capacity. Gas-based plant maintenance in the fourth quarter is expected to start gradually in December. Affected by export quota news, urea enterprises' shipments have improved, factory inventories have decreased, and port inventories have slightly increased. The highest domestic inventory is still in Inner Mongolia. Attention should be paid to the operating rate of compound fertilizer plants in the Northeast, the raw material procurement rhythm, and the national off-season storage rhythm. According to Argus, urea producers have obtained a fourth batch of export quotas totaling 600,000 tons, which improves the year-end export outlook and is expected to support the spot market. On November 7, India's IPL issued a new round of urea import tenders, intending to tender 2.5 million tons, 1.25 million tons each for the east and west coasts. The tender closes on November 20, is valid until November 28, and the latest shipping date is January 15, 2026. Continuous attention should be paid to the spot procurement sentiment and rhythm [2] Summary by Directory 1. Urea Basis Structure - The report presents figures on Shandong and Henan urea small particle market prices, Shandong and Henan main continuous basis, urea main continuous contract price, and 1 - 5, 5 - 9, 9 - 1 spreads [3][4][5] 2. Urea Production - Figures on urea weekly production and urea plant maintenance loss volume are provided [4][5] 3. Urea Production Profit and Operating Rate - The report shows figures on production cost, spot production profit, and coal - based and gas - based capacity utilization rates [4][5] 4. Urea Overseas Prices and Export Profit - Figures on urea small particle FOB prices in the Baltic Sea, large particle CFR prices in Southeast Asia, small and large particle FOB and CFR prices in China, and urea export and on - screen export profits are presented [4][5] 5. Urea Downstream Operating Rate and Orders - Figures on compound fertilizer operating rate, melamine operating rate, and pending order days are provided [4][5] 6. Urea Inventory and Warehouse Receipts - Figures on upstream factory inventories, port inventories, raw material inventory days of downstream urea manufacturers in Hebei, futures warehouse receipts, and main contract positions and trading volumes are presented [4][5] Market Data - On November 13, 2025, the urea main contract closed at 1,658 yuan/ton (+3). The ex - factory price of small - particle urea in Henan was 1,610 yuan/ton (unchanged), in Shandong was 1,600 yuan/ton (unchanged), and in Jiangsu was 1,590 yuan/ton (-10). The price of small - block anthracite was 750 yuan/ton (unchanged). The Shandong basis was - 58 yuan/ton (-3), the Henan basis was - 48 yuan/ton (-3), and the Jiangsu basis was - 68 yuan/ton (-13). Urea production profit was 70 yuan/ton (unchanged), and export profit was 940 yuan/ton (+10) [1] - As of November 13, 2025, the enterprise capacity utilization rate was 84.08% (+0.08%), the total inventory of sample enterprises was 1.4836 million tons (-94,500 tons), and the port sample inventory was 82,000 tons (+3,000 tons) [1] - As of November 13, 2025, the compound fertilizer capacity utilization rate was 30.32% (-0.72%), the melamine capacity utilization rate was 57.48% (+4.28%), and the advance order days of urea enterprises were 7.71 days (+0.42 days) [1] Strategies - Unilateral: Range - bound, opportunistic cash - and - carry arbitrage - Inter - delivery: Wait and see - Inter - commodity: None [3]