Report Overview - The report date is August 7, 2025, and it focuses on stock index options, suggesting that in a volatile and rising volatility environment with a change in implied volatility correlation, long - position investors can consider a protective put strategy [1] Market Data Statistics Underlying Market Statistics - The closing prices of the Shanghai Composite 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, and CSI 1000 Index are 2798.31, 4114.67, and 6862.15 respectively, with changes of 0.89, 1.18, and 0.84. Their trading volumes are 42.34 billion, 198.64 billion, and 261.39 billion hands respectively, with changes of 1.16 billion, 21.97 billion, and 3.26 billion hands [2] - For various ETFs, such as Shanghai Composite 50 ETF, Huatai - Berich 300 ETF, etc., their closing prices, price changes, trading volumes, and volume changes are also presented in detail [2] Option Market Statistics - The trading volumes and changes, open interests and changes, VL - PCR, OI - PCR, and the strike prices with the largest call and put open interests (near - month) are provided for different index options and ETF options, like Shanghai Composite 50 Index Option, CSI 300 Index Option, etc. For example, the trading volume of Shanghai Composite 50 Index Option is 32374, with a change of 3863 [2] Option Volatility Statistics - The ATM - IV, IV changes, same - term HV, HV changes, Skew, Skew changes, and VIX and its changes are reported for near - month and next - month options of different types. For instance, the near - month ATM - IV of Shanghai Composite 50 Index Option is 11.75%, with an IV change of 0.21% [5] Option Types Analysis Shanghai Composite 50 Index Option - Multiple charts show the full - contract PCR,主力 contract skewness trend, volatility cone, and volatility term structure, providing a comprehensive view of its market performance [8][9] CSI 300 Index Option - Similar to the Shanghai Composite 50 Index Option, there are charts for full - contract PCR,主力 contract skewness trend, volatility cone, and volatility term structure to analyze its characteristics [12][13] CSI 1000 Index Option - The report presents relevant charts for this option type, including主力 contract volatility, full - contract PCR,主力 contract skewness, volatility cone, and volatility term structure [15][16] Various ETF Options - For Shanghai Composite 50 ETF Option, Huatai - Berich 300 ETF Option, and other ETF options, their respective主力 contract volatility, full - contract PCR,主力 contract skewness, volatility cone, and volatility term structure are analyzed through charts [18][22]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The equity market continues to rise, with a positive attitude towards the subsequent market in August. One can continue to hold IM long - positions in stock index futures. In stock index options, it is recommended to continue holding covered positions and guard against small - cap corrections. For treasury bond futures, the market is still digesting the Politburo meeting news, and the short - end may perform better in the future, with a relatively high odds of steepening the yield curve in the medium term [1][2][3] Summary by Directory 1. Market Views Stock Index Futures - The small - cap style is strong. The basis, spreads, and total positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts have different changes. The market shows that small - caps are stronger than large - caps, with multiple industry themes rising. Several market signals are worthy of attention, and the short - term market trend can be more positive. It is recommended to hold IM [7] Stock Index Options - The strategy is to use covered positions while guarding against small - and medium - cap corrections. The underlying market rose across the board, and the option market liquidity is relatively stable. The sentiment indicators show that the seller has a strong expectation of an upward trend, and there is some caution towards small - and medium - caps. Volatility fluctuates, and it is recommended to continue the covered position strategy and reduce the directional exposure on the small - cap side in the short term [8] Treasury Bond Futures - The market is continuing to digest the Politburo meeting information. The treasury bond futures rose, and the long - end of the treasury bond cash bonds performed better than the short - end. The short - term bond market sentiment has recovered, but in the medium term, it is expected to continue to fluctuate weakly. Different strategies are recommended for different trading purposes [9][10] 2. Economic Calendar - The economic data of the United States, China, and Europe in the current week are presented, including indicators such as the US factory orders, ISM non - manufacturing PMI, China's trade balance, and the UK central bank benchmark interest rate [11] 3. Important Information and News Tracking - In transportation, relevant departments have issued a plan to innovate the investment and financing model for rural roads. In the non - banking financial sector, Shanghai has introduced measures to promote the high - quality development of commercial health insurance. In the industrial Internet field, Hubei has made progress in the digital transformation of industrial enterprises [12][13] 4. Derivatives Market Monitoring - Data on stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures are to be monitored, but specific data details are not fully provided in the given content [14][18][30]

Report Summary Core View The stock index options showed an upward movement with a decreasing volatility, and the implied volatility premium narrowed [1]. Market Data Summary Underlying Market Statistics - **Indices**: The Shanghai Composite 50 Index closed at 2790.73, up 21.34 points, with a trading volume of 41.26 billion hands, a decrease of 0.70 billion hands. The CSI 300 Index closed at 4103.45, up 32.75 points, with a trading volume of 178.85 billion hands, an increase of 16.58 billion hands. The CSI 1000 Index closed at 6787.48, up 47.79 points, with a trading volume of 223.72 billion hands, an increase of 10.23 billion hands [2]. - **ETFs**: The Shanghai Composite 50 ETF closed at 2.912, up 0.022, with a trading volume of 7.24 billion hands, an increase of 2.44 billion hands. The Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF closed at 4.183, up 0.031, with a trading volume of 5.48 billion hands, an increase of 1.13 billion hands [2]. Option Market Statistics - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of Shanghai Composite 50 Index Options was 30,577, an increase of 280, and the open interest was 72,824, a decrease of 1,212. The trading volume of CSI 300 Index Options was 78,143, an increase of 5,831, and the open interest was 205,892, an increase of 668 [2]. - **Volatility and PCR**: The ATM-IV of Shanghai Composite 50 Index Options was 11.59%, a decrease of 0.57%, and the VL-PCR was 48.61%, and the OI-PCR was 57.04%. The ATM-IV of CSI 300 Index Options was 11.16%, a decrease of 1.41%, and the VL-PCR was 52.69%, and the OI-PCR was 70.72% [2][5]. Individual Option Analysis The report provides detailed analysis and charts for various options, including Shanghai Composite 50 Index Options, CSI 300 Index Options, CSI 1000 Index Options, and multiple ETF options, covering aspects such as PCR, skew, volatility cone, and volatility term structure [8][12][15].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report maintains a cautiously optimistic view on the market [1] 2. Core View of the Report - Last week, the domestic stock market declined slightly, and the continuous upward trend weakened. Multiple factors, including profit - taking pressure, trade negotiation uncertainties, and the Fed's non - interest - rate - cut decision, led to the market's pullback. However, the overall decline was limited. In the long run, the current valuation of broad - based indices is still low, economic stimulus policies are taking effect, the Fed's interest - rate cut is approaching, and the RMB exchange rate remains strong, so the internal and external environment continues to improve [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overview - The domestic stock market declined slightly last week, with major broad - based indices falling by about - 1%. Multiple factors, such as profit - taking pressure after the Shanghai Composite Index reached 3600 points, uncertainties in Sino - US trade negotiations, and the Fed's non - interest - rate - cut decision, caused the market to pull back. But there are also positive factors, like the possible extension of the trade truce and the increased probability of a Fed rate cut in September. The market sentiment remains relatively optimistic, and a cautiously optimistic view is maintained [1] Options Market - Since the overall market decline was small, the implied volatility (IV) of financial options changed little and is currently at a relatively moderate level. The IV of 50 and 300 options is around 14%, while that of CSI 1000 and ChiNext Index options is between 17% - 23%. The options position PCR is at a moderately high level [2] Strategy Outlook - The index has briefly pulled back, and the options IV is relatively moderate. It is advisable to continue holding indices with relatively low valuations, such as the CSI 300 and ChiNext Index. Given the uncertainties in Sino - US trade negotiations, if the stock position is large or some call options are already held, consider buying near - month out - of - the - money put options for hedging. A long - term optimistic view is maintained, so continue to hold far - month CSI 300 or ChiNext Index call options. Although the far - month futures discount of CSI 1000 has narrowed to some extent, the absolute value is still large, so the covered call strategy of going long on highly discounted futures and selling at - the - money or out - of - the - money call options still has some room [3] Market Overview - From July 18 - 25, 2025, various indices and ETFs showed different degrees of decline. For example, the Shanghai 50ETF closed at 2.88, down 1.37%, with an IV of 13.55%; the Shanghai 50 Index closed at 2754.13, down 1.48%, with an IV of 13.32%; the CSI 300 Index closed at 4054.93, down 1.75%, with an IV of 13.27%, etc. The trading volume and position PCR of each option also varied [4]

Core Points - The China Interbank Market Dealers Association (NAFMII) has issued a notice to enhance the information services for credit default swaps (CDS) in the interbank market, aiming to promote the development of credit risk mitigation tools and improve market price discovery [1][16] - Quoting institutions are required to submit quotes on the NAFMII platform during specified hours and must provide bilateral quotes for a list of 36 reference entities [1][10] - The notice outlines the rights and obligations of quoting institutions, including the establishment of internal control mechanisms and compliance with self-regulatory management by the association [4][7] Summary by Sections Information Services - The notice defines credit default swap information services as comprehensive services provided to market participants based on transaction and quote information [2] - Transaction information refers to the actual transaction reporting of CDS and credit risk mitigation contracts, while quote information pertains to the bilateral quotes formed by quoting institutions on the NAFMII platform [2] Quoting Institutions - Quoting institutions must open access to the NAFMII platform and submit required registration forms, ensuring the accuracy and completeness of their application materials [2][8] - Institutions have the right to access transaction and quote information conveniently and their quoting performance can serve as a reference for market evaluations [4][5] Obligations of Quoting Institutions - Quoting institutions are required to establish internal control mechanisms, appoint qualified personnel, and develop a comprehensive pricing mechanism for CDS [7][8] - They must submit their pricing methods to the association within one year and ensure the integrity of the information provided [8] Quoting Process - Quotes must be submitted daily between 8:30 AM and 4:30 PM, with institutions able to choose between intention quotes and reference quotes [10] - Institutions must provide bilateral quotes for standard contracts linked to the 36 reference entities, with specified minimum durations [10][11] Reference Entities - The list of reference entities will be dynamically updated based on industry, rating, debt stock, trading scale, and debt maturity distribution [11][12] - Entities that do not receive quotes for four consecutive weeks may be removed from the list, while new entities can be added based on specific criteria [11][12] Data Processing and Reporting - The association will process quoting data to create pricing curves, which will be published on the NAFMII platform [13] - Quoting institutions must report transaction information to the association the next business day after a trade is executed based on intention quotes [14] Compliance and Evaluation - Quoting institutions must adhere to principles of fairness, integrity, and must not manipulate market prices [12][15] - The association will evaluate quoting performance based on various metrics, including timeliness and price variation [14]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Core Viewpoints - This week, the A - share market rose first and then fell, with daily trading volume approaching 2 trillion at one point. Small - and medium - cap stocks outperformed large - cap stocks. The implied volatility of index options declined, and investors are advised to focus on the strength - weakness arbitrage opportunities among varieties and sell wide - straddles to short volatility [2] Summary by Directory 1. CSI 300 Index Options (IO) - The CSI 300 index's weekly line encountered resistance at the 250 - week moving average, with the Wednesday color K - line indicator remaining red; the daily line had two consecutive negative candles, and the daily three - color K - line indicator turned green [11][14] - The current - month contract of IF futures was at a larger discount to the underlying, and the discount of the next - month contract to the current - month contract also widened [22][25] - The trading volume of IO options increased, and the open interest rebounded. Both the options trading volume PCR and the options open interest PCR decreased, and the implied volatility declined. The underlying index fell below the strike - price range of the maximum open interest of call and put options [30][33][36] - The CSI 300 stock index futures' trading volume shrank, and the open interest decreased [27] - The 2508 contract of CSI 300 index options had the maximum open - interest strike prices of 4100 for call options and 4150 for put options, with the option pain point at 4100 [16] 2. CSI 1000 Index Options (MO) - The weekly line of the CSI 1000 index closed negative, with the Wednesday color K - line indicator remaining red; the daily line fell below the 10 - day moving average, and the daily three - color K - line indicator turned gray [40][43] - The current - month contract of IM futures was at a larger discount to the underlying, and the discount of the next - month contract to the current - month contract also widened [50][53] - The trading volume of MO options increased, and the open interest rebounded. Both the options trading volume PCR and the options open interest PCR decreased, and the implied volatility declined. The maximum open - interest strike prices of call and put options both moved down [59][62][65] - The trading volume of CSI 1000 stock index futures increased, and the open interest increased [56] - The 2508 contract of CSI 1000 index options had the maximum open - interest strike prices of 6700 for call options and 6400 for put options, with the option pain point at 6600 [45] 3. SSE 50 Index Options (HO) - The weekly line of the SSE 50 index encountered resistance at the 250 - week moving average, with the Wednesday color K - line indicator remaining red; the daily line fell below the 20 - day moving average, and the daily three - color K - line indicator turned green [69][72] - The current - month contract of IH futures changed to a discount to the underlying, while the next - month contract remained at a premium to the current - month contract [80][82] - The trading volume of HO options increased, and the open interest rebounded. The options trading volume PCR and the options open interest PCR first increased and then decreased, and the implied volatility declined. The maximum open - interest strike prices of call and put options both moved down [87][89][91] - The trading volume of SSE 50 stock index futures increased, but the open interest decreased [85] - The 2508 contract of SSE 50 index options had the maximum open - interest strike prices of 2800 for call options and 2700 for put options, with the option pain point at 2750 [74]

Summary - The overall market sentiment is neutral with a mixed signal from various indicators, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [3][6]. Group 1: Moving Averages - The 5-day simple moving average (SMA) is at 13697.2, and the exponential moving average (EMA) is at 13705.3, both indicating a buy signal [5]. - The 10-day SMA is at 13664.1 and EMA at 13684.5, also signaling a buy [5]. - The 20-day SMA is at 13667.3 and EMA at 13684.8, continuing the buy signal trend [5]. - The 50-day SMA is at 13759.3 and EMA at 13752.1, indicating a sell signal [6]. - The 100-day SMA is at 13876.3 and EMA at 13830.9, both suggesting a sell [6]. - The 200-day SMA is at 13935.4 and EMA at 13865.0, indicating a sell as well [6]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56.430, suggesting a buy [8]. - Stochastic indicators show a reading of 97.682, indicating overbought conditions [8]. - The Stochastic RSI is at 87.734, also indicating overbought conditions [8]. - The Average True Range (ATR) is at 33.3929, indicating high volatility [8]. - The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 38.957, suggesting a buy [8]. - The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at 168.7183, indicating a buy [8]. - The Rate of Change (ROC) is at 0.453, suggesting a buy [8]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - The overall buy signals are 6, sell signals are 6, and the summary is neutral [6]. - The strong buy signals are 7, with only 1 sell signal, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [9].

美股三大股指期货周一开盘微跌。 ...

Group 1: Futures Data - The Friday settlement price of the 10 - year Treasury bond futures T2509.CFE is 108.450 with a weekly increase of 0.24%, and T2512.CFE is 108.425 with a 0.20% increase [7]. - The Friday settlement price of the 5 - year Treasury bond futures TF2509.CFE is 105.730 with a 0.14% increase, and TF2512.CFE is 105.785 with a 0.13% increase [7]. - The Friday settlement price of the 2 - year Treasury bond futures TS2509.CFE is 102.352 with a 0.03% increase, and TS2512.CFE is 102.394 with a - 0.01% change [7]. - The Friday settlement price of the 30 - year Treasury bond futures TL2509.CFE is 119.090 with a 0.82% increase, and TL2512.CFE is 118.820 with a 0.78% increase [7]. Group 2: Spread Data - The spread of T2509 - T2512 is 0.025 with a weekly increase of 4.000; TF2509 - TF2512 is - 0.055 with no weekly change; TS2509 - TS2512 is - 0.042 with a - 0.432 weekly change [7]. - The spread of 2TS - T is 300.958 with a - 0.151 weekly change; 2TF - T is 103.010 with a 0.035 weekly change; TS - TF is 98.974 with a - 0.093 weekly change [7]. Group 3: Bond Yield Data - The Friday closing yield of the 1 - year Treasury bond is 1.37% with a - 1.49 BP weekly change; 2 - year is 1.42% with - 1.11 BP; 3 - year is 1.45% with - 2.39 BP; 5 - year is 1.57% with - 2.15 BP; 7 - year is 1.67% with - 2.21 BP; 10 - year is 1.71% with - 2.75 BP; 30 - year is 1.95% with - 2.70 BP [7]. - The Friday closing yield of the 1 - year CDB bond is 1.50% with a - 2.70 BP weekly change; 3 - year is 1.64% with - 2.25 BP; 5 - year is 1.67% with - 3.40 BP; 7 - year is 1.79% with - 3.20 BP; 10 - year is 1.76% with - 4.54 BP; 30 - year is 2.05% with - 2.70 BP [7]. Group 4: Funding Rate Data - The latest price of the inter - bank pledged repo rate DR001 is 1.31% with a - 20.35 BP weekly change; DR007 is 1.42% with - 22.81 BP; DR014 is 1.53% with - 13.51 BP [7]. - The latest price of the SHIBOR1M is 1.55% with a 0.40 BP weekly change; SHIBOR3M is 1.56% with a 0.40 BP weekly change [7].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The weekly market declined to varying degrees, with all three option underlying assets dropping by over 1%. The changes in the position PCR ratios showed divergence, with the position PCR of 50ETF and 300ETF continuing to fall, while the put contract position ratio of 500ETF increased. Considering the changes in the implied volatility curve structure, with the curve of 500ETF shifting to the left, indicating some cautious sentiment, it is believed that the current market risk preference level has decreased, and a cautious attitude towards small-cap growth stocks is recommended. This is relatively favorable for large-cap blue-chip underlying assets such as 50ETF and 300ETF [5][43]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Periodic and Spot Market Review 3.1.1 Underlying Asset Market - From July 28 to August 1, the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuated during the week, closing at 3559.95, with lower trading volume compared to the previous week. The Shenzhen Component Index fluctuated and declined during the week, with a decline of 1.58% compared to the previous week, closing at 10991.32, and lower trading volume compared to the previous week [2][8]. - 50ETF opened at 2.917 at the beginning of the week and closed at 2.876 at the end of the week, down 0.040 or 1.37% from the previous week, with a trading volume of 10.865 billion yuan. Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF opened at 4.203 at the beginning of the week and closed at 4.133 at the end of the week, down 0.070 or 1.67% from the previous week, with a trading volume of 17.173 billion yuan. Southern CSI 500ETF opened at 6.365 at the beginning of the week and closed at 6.287 at the end of the week, down 0.078 or 1.23% from the previous week, with a trading volume of 6.109 billion yuan [3][8]. 3.1.2 Futures Index Market - From July 28 to August 1, all contracts of the stock index futures IH closed down. Among them, contract IH2508 declined by -1.42%. All contracts of the stock index futures IF closed down. Among them, contract IF2508 declined by -1.93%. All contracts of the stock index futures IC closed down. Among them, contract IC2508 declined by -1.43% [9]. 3.2 Option Market Review 3.2.1 Trading and Position Holding Situation - From July 28 to August 1, the average daily trading volume of 50ETF options decreased compared to the previous week, while the total position increased. The average daily trading volume of 50ETF options for the week was 1,249,242 contracts, a decrease of 123,739 contracts from the previous week's average daily trading volume. The total position was 1,443,444 contracts, an increase of 202,752 contracts from the end of the previous week. The total position PCR was 0.84, a decrease of 0.14 from the end of the previous week [13]. - The average daily trading volume of Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF options decreased compared to the previous week, while the total position increased. The average daily trading volume of Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF options for the week was 1,165,780 contracts, a decrease of 219,482 contracts from the previous week's average daily trading volume. The total position was 1,284,104 contracts, an increase of 107,929 contracts from the end of the previous week. The total position PCR was 0.89, a decrease of 0.14 from the end of the previous week [15]. - The average daily trading volume of Southern CSI 500ETF options decreased compared to the previous week, while the total position increased. The average daily trading volume of Southern CSI 500ETF options for the week was 1,352,948 contracts, a decrease of 102,102 contracts from the previous week's average daily trading volume. The total position was 1,249,009 contracts, an increase of 165,492 contracts from the end of the previous week. The total position PCR was 1.07, an increase of 0.06 from the end of the previous week [19]. 3.2.2 Volatility Situation - **Historical Volatility**: As of August 1, the 5-day historical rolling volatility of 50ETF rose to 13.05%, near the 50th percentile of the five-year historical level. Currently, the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 40-day historical volatilities are 13.05%, 10.97%, 9.09%, and 9.07% respectively [22]. - The 5-day historical rolling volatility of Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF rose to 14.26%, near the 50th percentile of the five-year historical level. Currently, the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 40-day historical volatilities are 14.26%, 12.76%, 10.26%, and 9.74% respectively [25]. - The 5-day historical rolling volatility of Southern CSI 500ETF rose to 12.99%, near the 25th percentile of the five-year historical level. Currently, the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 40-day historical volatilities are 12.99%, 13.83%, 11.63%, and 11.80% respectively [26]. - **Implied Volatility**: On August 1, the implied volatility near the at-the-money level decreased, and the overall implied volatility level declined. For 50ETF and 300ETF, the slopes on both sides of the curve increased, indicating an increased market expectation of future volatility. For 500ETF, the curve shifted to the left, showing some cautious sentiment [29]. - **Comparison of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility Trends**: In terms of volatility, short-term volatility increased slightly, and monthly volatility followed suit. Implied volatility declined continuously during the week, and the volatility difference narrowed significantly. It is expected that historical volatility will continue to rise in the future, and the volatility difference will further narrow [36]. 3.3 Investment Recommendations - Given the market decline, the divergence in position PCR ratios, and the changes in the implied volatility curve structure, a cautious attitude towards small-cap growth stocks is recommended, and large-cap blue-chip underlying assets such as 50ETF and 300ETF are relatively favored [5][43].