根据伦敦证券交易所集团（lseg）的数据以及路透社的测算，芯片巨头英伟达在刚刚过去的一年中跃升 为全球市值最高的公司，市值高达4.63万亿美元，超过了长期排名第一的苹果（4.04万亿美元）。与此 同时，谷歌母公司alphabet也从第四位升至第三位，超越了微软。alphabet当前的市值为3.79万亿美元 ——如果放在2024年，这一规模足以登顶全球第一。 不仅如此，芯片制造商博通（broadcom，排名第七）以及晶圆代工巨头台积电（tsmc）同样受益于汹涌 而来的人工智能需求。台积电是全球市值前十名中唯一的新面孔，也是继沙特阿美之后，全球市值第二 高、但并非来自美国的公司。 总体来看，美国企业依旧占据主导地位：在全球市值前20名中，美国公司占16席；在前100名中，占到 62家。如今，全球已有12家公司市值超过1万亿美元，而三年前这一数字还只有4家。 来源：市场资讯 （来源：DOLC） 多年来，苹果一直稳居全球市值最高公司的宝座。但如今，这家加州科技巨头被芯片制造商英伟达超 越。今年，人工智能浪潮席卷全球资本市场，相关企业纷纷从中获益。 PART 01 人工智能（ai）热潮牢牢吸引着全球股市的目光 同样来自 ...

2025年应该用什么标注？ 这是在历史留下浓墨重彩的一年。无论是宏大叙事，还是情绪幽微，或如雷霆，或如雨露，氤氲着变 化，积蓄着能量。从"十五五"规划建议、九三阅兵、关税博弈、顺差万亿，到DeepSeek横空出世、 LABUBU火遍全球、人形机器人"爆单"、芯片国产替代浪潮，再到黄金狂飙、外卖大战、哪吒"封神"、 短剧崛起……它们形成历史的合力，裹着无数的人们，奔流激荡，冲向历史的峡口。 无论月薪多少，国家大事与每个个体同气连枝，结成命运共同体。于国是数字经济，于人是数字生活， 赛博朋克，殊途同归。 新世纪过去四分之一，恰好在2025年，AI照耀蓝星。穹顶之下，我们要思考如何与AI相处。科技至 此，退无可退，卢比孔河边的骰子已经掷下。 这是从来没有过的"惊险一跳"，兴奋迷惘、跃跃欲试与焦虑恐惧，每一种情绪都是真实的，也是缠绕 的。国家衔枚疾走，只争朝夕，两个大国在AI、算法和算力上趸积起天文数字的基础设施投资，点亮 不同的科技树。个体在享受AI便利的同时，会担心自己被AI替代，担心未来被AI支配。"百万漕工衣食 所系"，从来都不是轻描淡写的适者生存。 世界处于巨变前夜，断层线肉眼可见，君子不立危墙之下。承载着 ...

中国芯片产业这几年走得真稳，尤其是中端，28纳米工艺已经玩得转转的，不光能自产，还能把价格压 下来卖出去。本来国际上这级别芯片一颗卖2500美元，大家都这么定着价，谁也不想先动。 可中芯国际直接甩出1500美元的价位，差不多六折，这得益于产业链从头到尾都国产化了。原材料采购 稳了，生产效率上去了，产量一爬升，成本自然就摊薄。 2024年底，这消息一出，亚洲市场那边订单就刷刷来，韩国三星和台湾台积电虽然强，但他们眼睛盯着 高端，没工夫在中端纠缠，中国正好捡了个空子。这不是一时冲动，而是战略性布局，先在中端站稳脚 跟，抢占份额，再图高端。 谁知道这步棋一走，欧美就坐不住了，阿斯麦的股价直接跌了16%，市值缩水不是闹着玩的。作为光刻 机老大，全球九成市场在它手里，这损失得心疼。 欧美企业不是没理由慌，他们依赖中国市场大得很，新能源汽车芯片这块儿，欧洲预计2027年市场能到 176亿美元，可要是销量上不去，全是空话。中国这边新能源汽车2024年卖了1286.6万辆，自给率目标 2025年冲70%，对外国芯片依赖越来越小。 中端发力 欧美震动 结果，美国商务部2024年12月2日又加了140个中国实体到管制清单，包括设 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" to the company with a target price of 103.01 CNY, compared to the current price of 77.43 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company aims to create a "Chinese version of TPU" to seize opportunities in AI inference, leveraging its subsidiaries to penetrate the AI consumer electronics market. The consumer segment is expected to realize its potential soon, while enterprise orders are rapidly increasing, indicating a broad future growth space [2][10]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 12.51 billion CNY, 16.07 billion CNY, and 19.54 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, respectively, with a focus on optimizing its revenue structure through both consumer and enterprise segments [10][17]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is expected to grow from 506 million CNY in 2023 to 1.95 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.6% [4][17]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to improve from -383 million CNY in 2023 to -208 million CNY in 2027, indicating a reduction in losses over the forecast period [4][17]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to increase from 20.94% in 2024 to 29.84% in 2027, driven by improvements in both consumer and enterprise segments [19]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Consumer segment revenue is anticipated to grow at a rate of 20% to 21% from 2025 to 2027, reaching approximately 4.87 million CNY, 5.89 million CNY, and 7.07 million CNY, respectively [14][15]. - Enterprise segment revenue is expected to see significant growth, with projections of 99.49%, 50.23%, and 30.11% year-on-year increases from 2025 to 2027, resulting in revenues of 4.96 million CNY, 7.45 million CNY, and 9.69 million CNY [15][16]. - Industry segment revenue is forecasted to grow modestly at 2% annually, reaching 2.59 million CNY, 2.64 million CNY, and 2.69 million CNY from 2025 to 2027 [16]. Valuation Analysis - The report utilizes both PS and PB valuation methods, concluding a reasonable valuation of 369.62 billion CNY, corresponding to a target price of 103.01 CNY [21][22]. - The company is expected to maintain a PS ratio of 23 times by 2026, reflecting its growth potential in the AI inference chip market [21][22]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is recognized as a leading player in the AI sector, focusing on AI inference chips and aiming to capitalize on the rapid growth of the AI market, which is projected to expand significantly in the coming years [25][44]. - The strategic acquisition of Qiancheng Technology is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in integrating AI technology with consumer electronics, thereby accelerating its market penetration [14][45].

Group 1: Domestic Chip Substitution - The rise of domestic AI chip manufacturers is marked by significant stock price increases, with companies like Cambrian Technology surpassing major firms like Kweichow Moutai [1] - The market anticipates more AI chip companies to go public, with notable performances from companies like Moer Technology and Muxi Co., which saw stock prices increase over four times on their debut [1] - The domestic market for intelligent computing chips is expected to grow from approximately 20% in 2024 to around 60% by 2029, indicating a strong trend towards domestic chip substitution [2] Group 2: AI Application Growth - The demand for AI inference is projected to continue growing as more AI applications are deployed, leading to increased procurement of domestic AI chips by data centers and cloud providers [2] - The shift in AI computing demand from training to inference presents opportunities for domestic chips, which can meet the lower performance requirements of inference tasks [1][2] Group 3: Quantum Computing Developments - Quantum technology is recognized as a strategic frontier technology, with significant breakthroughs expected in the coming years, although widespread application may still be 20 years away [6] - China's advancements in quantum communication and computing are noteworthy, with the "Zu Chongzhi No. 3" quantum computer expected to maintain a significant speed advantage over traditional supercomputers [6][7] Group 4: Commercial Space Acceleration - The commercial space sector is entering a new phase of rapid evolution, supported by government policies and increased capital investment [8] - The global commercial space market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 10.5% over the next five years, indicating strong demand and investment potential [8][9] Group 5: Solid-State Battery Innovations - Solid-state batteries are gaining attention as a transformative technology for electric vehicles, with several major automakers announcing plans for testing and production by 2026 [10][11] - Despite the excitement in the market, challenges remain in terms of cost, manufacturing processes, and achieving large-scale production [10][11] Group 6: L3 Autonomous Driving Advancements - The introduction of L3 autonomous driving technology is accelerating, with regulatory frameworks being established to support its commercial application [12][13] - The next few years are critical for the development of L3 technology, with expectations for increased vehicle production and improved algorithms [12][13] Group 7: Real Estate Debt Restructuring - Major real estate companies in China, such as Country Garden and Sunac, are successfully completing debt restructuring processes, which are crucial for their long-term recovery [14][15] - The restructuring methods include debt-to-equity swaps and extending repayment periods, aimed at reducing debt burdens and improving financial health [14]

Core Insights - The Chinese automotive industry is entering a new development phase as the "14th Five-Year Plan" concludes, with a focus on technological advancements and market dynamics [2] - Black Sesame Intelligence is positioned uniquely in the domestic automotive-grade AI chip sector, with few competitors capable of high-performance R&D and mass production [2] - The company is expanding its growth boundaries by entering the robotics market, leveraging its existing technology without needing to rebuild foundational capabilities [3] Group 1: Company Positioning - Black Sesame Intelligence has established a product lineup that meets core demands from mid to high-level autonomous driving, with ongoing projects in major automotive companies like Geely, BYD, and Dongfeng [2] - The company’s commercial status of "mass production, replicable, and scalable" is a critical factor for investors assessing the value of AI chip enterprises [2] Group 2: Growth Opportunities - In 2025, Black Sesame Intelligence will launch a multi-dimensional intelligent computing platform, marking its entry into the robotics sector, which is expected to have a shipment volume several times that of the automotive market [3] - The acquisition of Yizhi Electronics enhances Black Sesame's low-power chip capabilities, completing its product matrix from mid-high to full coverage of computing power [3] Group 3: Investment Logic - The value of Black Sesame Intelligence is derived not only from individual products or short-term orders but from its evolving platform capabilities, with automotive-grade chips providing stable cash flow and new markets like robotics offering high growth potential [3] - The company is recognized in the "2025 Automotive Industry Impact Yearbook" as a representative investment value enterprise due to its commercial progress in automotive-grade AI chips and forward-looking strategies in emerging sectors [4]

2025年最后一天，新机会出现了 A股最热门两个题材，目前似乎都在逐步的退潮，一个是白银为代表的贵金属和有色金属，昨天遭遇了黑色星期一，还有一个就是商业航天，早上还走得好 好的龙头股某某卫星继续冲击涨停，结果到了11点之后就开启了一路向下的态势，14点时从接近涨停板到了下跌3.5%，全天留下了比较长的上影线。 如果再向前追寻的话，就是大科技当中的CPO和芯片了，过去的两天芯片也确实走得相当不错，但整体上给人感觉脉冲的迹象比较明显，不过从这轮大科技 的主线逻辑看，我觉得主要还是CPO，毕竟业绩或者订单比较确定，但是从龙头股今天早上的表现看，出现了冲高回落，非常的不尽人意。 之所以讨论这些，给我的感觉是，市场这些不好的信号越来越明显了，短期热点有点枯竭的意思，接下来如果市场没有明确的热点，靠什么向上呢，这是我 们必须要面对的问题。 当然，还有一点，今天大家可能比较喜欢说上证指数10连阳了，但是各位可能忽视了一点，今天这根阳线跟过去的9根阳线相比都比较弱，为啥呢？因为今 天盘中的高点没有突破昨天的高点，之前说过，如果一个市场有持续的上涨能力的话，无论当日涨跌如何，但几乎每天都会创新高的，如果指数没有创新高 的能力， ...

（编辑 丛可心） 证券日报网讯 12月30日，景嘉微在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，长沙高性能计算研究中心（筹 建）由8家单位联合发起，该中心致力于打造开放、协同、国际化的创新平台，在高性能计算芯片、编 译工具链、软件生态与标准体系等方面开展联合攻关，加快科研成果转化，推动国产高性能计算产业稳 步发展。公司作为长沙高性能计算研究中心（筹建）的联合发起单位，将参与其软件生态构建，共同推 动国产GPU应用生态发展。 ...

【解剖大盘】 今天是港股期结日，午后出现一波拉升，显示多头情绪占优，收盘涨 0.86%。 外交部发言人宣布：韩国总统李在明将于 2026 年 1 月 4 日至 7 日对中国进行国事访问。从泰柬边境冲 突缓和到韩国来访，亚太地区依旧稳定。 资金涌入拉升汇率，12 月 30 日，在岸人民币兑美元升破 7.0 关口，最高触及 6.9960，涨幅达 0.1%，创 2023 年 5 月 17 日以来最高水平。主要受外资流入、经济增长复苏预期以及科技板块乐观情绪支撑。汇 率拉升同时，股市也同步跟进。 对于解放军东部战区"正义使命-2025"演习，特朗普在美国佛罗里达州对记者表示，他并不担心台海周 边局势，自己与中方关系很好，相信中方不会对台开展军事行动。 这种表态已经很明确，美国收缩回北美，亚太已经无暇顾及，重点方向在于自家后花园。当地时间 12 月 30 日，媒体援引知情人士消息称，受特朗普政府封锁施压，委内瑞拉国有炼油厂陷入储油空间耗 尽、库存持续积压的困境，该国国家石油公司(PDVSA)已于 12 月28 日启动境内部分油井的关停工作。 这势必引发石油供给的紧张，中海油(00883)、上海石油化工(00338)、中 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of participating in international exhibitions, particularly the electronica in Munich, as a means for companies in the chip industry to expand their horizons and gain insights into global market trends and opportunities [3][6]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The current major pain point for many companies in the chip distribution sector is intense competition and price pressure from domestic clients, leading to thin profit margins [6][7]. - Many businesses are caught in a cycle of effort without substantial returns, indicating that the issue lies not in hard work but in strategic direction [10][11]. Group 2: Benefits of International Exposure - Traveling abroad, particularly to Europe, allows companies to witness different stages of industrial development and gain insights that can be applied to their own operations [12][13]. - Direct interactions with potential partners and clients during international trips can lead to meaningful business relationships and collaborations [18][25]. Group 3: Upcoming Opportunities - The 2026 European study tour will include visits to Germany and France, focusing on deep engagement with local industries and institutions [27][37]. - The tour will feature two packages: a basic package aimed at cost-effectiveness and a premium package offering exclusive experiences and networking opportunities [28][34]. Group 4: Tour Highlights - The itinerary includes participation in the electronica exhibition, visits to key semiconductor companies, and interactions with top universities and research institutions [40][44]. - The tour aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the European semiconductor landscape, enhancing participants' knowledge and business strategies [42][43].