行 业 及 产 业 2025 年 10 月 10 日 摩尔线程：生态、架构、集群 看好 ——国产 ASIC 系列研究之 5 本期投资提示： 相关研究 《国产 ASIC：PD 分离和超节点——ASIC 系列研究之四》 2025/09/26 《国产算力趋势走强，沐曦领衔通用 GPU——国产 ASIC 系列研究之 3》 2025/09/24 证券分析师 黄忠煌 A0230519110001 huangzh@swsresearch.com 杨海晏 A0230518070003 yanghy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 曹峥 A0230525040002 caozheng@swsresearch.com 杨紫璇 A0230524070005 yangzx@swsresearch.com 王开元 A0230125030001 wangky@swsresearch.com 研 行 业 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 联系人 证 券 研 究 报 曹峥 (8621)23297818× caozheng@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 究 / 行 业 深 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.45%, gaining 390 points to close at 27,245 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 2.66% [1] - The early trading volume in Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 124 billion [1] Group 2: Gold and Lithium Stocks - Gold stocks surged due to rising safe-haven demand and interest rate cut expectations, with China Silver Group increasing over 30% and Zijin Mining International rising over 12% [1] - Lithium stocks also performed well, with Tianqi Lithium rising over 13% and Ganfeng Lithium increasing over 10%. The U.S. government announced it would hold a small stake in Lithium Americas, causing its stock to spike over 40% in after-hours trading [1] Group 3: Biotechnology and Solar Stocks - The Hang Seng Biotechnology Index rose over 2%, with Kintor Pharmaceutical increasing over 7% and Innovent Biologics rising over 4% [1] - In September, prices for polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries, and photovoltaic modules increased, with upstream prices rising more than downstream prices. Solar stocks generally rose, with Xinyi Solar increasing over 10% and Fuyao Glass rising over 6% [1] Group 4: Semiconductor and AI Stocks - Chip stocks continued to rise, with institutions stating that a new era for domestic AI chips has begun. SMIC rose over 9% to reach a new high, while Shanghai Fudan and Huahong Semiconductor increased by 4.39% and 5.56%, respectively [2] Group 5: Company-Specific Developments - Kuaishou-W rose over 7% due to recent upgrades in its AI capabilities [3] - Gaming company Goldin Financial Holdings increased over 7%, reporting a 29.6% year-on-year increase in total gaming revenue for the first three quarters [4] - Sanofi Biologics-B surged over 21% after announcing the initiation of Phase I clinical trials for its respiratory combined vaccine candidate [5] - New Ming China experienced a significant drop of over 83% in early trading, following multiple large-scale stock transfer records in September [6]

Group 1: Market Performance - Hong Kong chip stocks continue to rise, with increases of nearly 13%, over 8%, and more than 4%, all reaching historical highs [1] - Notable stock performances include BrainTech (+12.90%), SMIC (+8.30%), and Central China Technology (+4.73%) [2] Group 2: Industry Developments - DeepSeek and Zhiyu have announced the launch of new generation large models compatible with domestic chips, with DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp released on September 29 [2] - Major chip manufacturers such as Huawei Ascend, Cambricon, and Haiguang Information have completed adaptations for the new model, showcasing high compatibility and performance [2] Group 3: Price Trends - Micron has notified channels of an impending price increase of 20%-30% for storage products, with NAND flash and DRAM quotes paused for a week [3] - The market anticipates that Micron's NAND flash prices could rise by as much as 30%, indicating a new cycle in storage chip pricing [3]

节前最后一个交易日，芯片、科创人工智能板块领涨，澜起科技涨超7%，带动科创人工智能ETF(588730)涨3.14%，盘中净值创历史新高。 科创人工智能ETF跟踪上证科创板人工智能指数，聚焦于AI产业链最核心的算力芯片和智能硬件环节，半导体权重达54.1%，前三大权重股包含寒武纪（16.62%）、澜起科技（10%）和芯原股 得益于精准覆盖"AI芯片+AI应用"，资金大幅涌入科创人工智能ETF，近5日资金净流入额1.14亿元，最新规模17.47亿元。 科创人工智能、芯片股上涨，消息面上： 华鑫证券表示，国产AI芯片大时代已经来临，国产AI产业链从上游先进制程到先进封装，到下游字节阿里腾讯的模型加速迭代升级已经实现全产业链打通，坚定看好国产AI算力设施的加速突破 DeepSeek介绍，得益于新模型服务成本的大幅降低，官方API价格也相应下调，新价格即刻生效。在新的价格政策下，开发者调用DeepSeekAPI的成本将降低50%以上。 随后，多家国产芯片厂商宣布完成对DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp的适配。寒武纪发文称：已同步实现对深度求索公司最新模型DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp的适配，并开源大模型推理引擎v ...

Core Viewpoint - *ST Rendo (002647) announced an investment of 100 million yuan in Shenzhen Jiangyuan Technology Co., Ltd., acquiring a 4.1427% equity stake, indicating confidence in the domestic AI chip market and Jiangyuan's technological capabilities [1][1]. Investment Details - The investment will be executed through an increase in registered capital, with the completion of this capital increase resulting in a 4.1427% ownership in Jiangyuan Technology [1]. - Jiangyuan Technology, established in November 2022, focuses on the research and development of domestically produced AI chips and has successfully achieved mass production of advanced domestic chips [1][1]. Market Outlook - The company expresses optimism about the future market potential of domestic AI chips and recognizes Jiangyuan Technology's technical strength and growth prospects [1][1]. - However, the investment is characterized as a cross-industry investment, with no current specific synergy between Jiangyuan Technology and the company's main business, leading to significant uncertainty regarding future collaboration [1][1]. Investment Execution Uncertainty - The investment agreement has not yet been signed, and there are uncertainties regarding the subsequent implementation of the investment [1]. - Over the past decade, the company has signed approximately eight strategic cooperation agreements, with seven of them not progressing to execution [1]. Stock Market Reaction - Following the announcement, *ST Rendo's stock opened with a limit increase but experienced fluctuations, ultimately showing a slight increase of 0.41% to 7.35 yuan per share [1].

Group 1 - Company *ST Rendo (002647.SZ) announced an investment of 100 million yuan in Jiangyuan Technology through an increase in registered capital, resulting in a shareholding ratio of 4.1427% post-investment [1] - The funding sources for this investment include 50 million yuan from Rendo Holdings' own funds and 50 million yuan borrowed from Huilibao [1] - Jiangyuan Technology, established in November 2022, focuses on the development of domestically produced AI chips, aligning with the national strategy for autonomous computing power [1] Group 2 - The target company's products are based on 12-inch wafer chips, primarily delivered in the form of computing power cards for AI integrated machines and computing servers [1] - Jiangyuan Technology has completed the first generation chip product D1 and is launching the D10 computing power card, with plans for a second card product D20 and ongoing development of the second generation chip T800, expected to achieve mass production by 2026 [1] - The target company has completed its first and second rounds of financing, with this investment being part of the third round totaling 313.9 million yuan, involving various strategic investors [2] Group 3 - The investment is aimed at establishing a second growth line for the company, with a post-investment shareholding not exceeding 5%, and no involvement in the management or operations of Jiangyuan Technology [2] - There is significant uncertainty regarding the potential for future collaboration between Jiangyuan Technology and the company's main business, as the investment is considered a cross-industry investment [2]

Group 1 - Company *ST Rendo (002647.SZ) announced an investment of 100 million yuan in Jiangyuan Technology through an increase in registered capital, resulting in a shareholding ratio of 4.1427% post-investment [1] - The funding for this investment comes from the company's internal self-owned funds, with 50 million yuan from Rendo Holdings and 50 million yuan borrowed from Huilibao [1] - Jiangyuan Technology, established in November 2022, focuses on the development of domestically produced AI chips, aligning with the national strategy for autonomous computing power [1] Group 2 - The target company's products are based on 12-inch wafer chips, primarily delivered in the form of computing power cards for AI integrated machines and computing servers, with applications in intelligent terminals and computing centers [1] - Jiangyuan Technology has completed the first generation chip product D1 and is launching the D10 computing power card, with plans for a second card product D20 and ongoing development of the second generation chip T800, expected to achieve mass production by 2026 [1] - The company has completed its first and second rounds of financing, with this investment being part of the third round totaling 313.9 million yuan, involving various strategic investors [2]

Group 1 - Microsoft's new microfluidic liquid cooling technology is a significant topic of discussion in the market, showcasing an aggressive approach to cooling solutions at the wafer level rather than just packaging [1][3] - Alibaba announced an increase in capital expenditure to 380 billion, indicating a strong trend towards investment in AI chips, particularly in light of Nvidia's 1 trillion impact [9][10] - The collaboration between Alibaba and Haiguang to establish a joint venture for a large-scale cluster with 110,000 computing chips marks a shift from business collaboration to capital binding [11] Group 2 - The penetration rate of AI chatbots is rapidly increasing, with global investments in AI reaching 400 billion in the past year and expected to exceed 4 trillion over the next five years, indicating strong capital inflow into the industry [12] - Haiguang's latest BW 1000 GPU achieves significant performance metrics, with FP64 performance at 30 TFLOPS and FP32 at 60 TFLOPS, positioning it competitively against Nvidia's H100 [13] - Haiguang's HSL technology aims to enhance ecosystem compatibility and improve CPU-GPU connection efficiency, potentially facilitating entry into the internet sector and establishing influence [14][15]

Market Overview - During the past week (September 15-19), the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.30%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 2.34%. The CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.44%, and the computer (Shenwan) index dropped by 0.16%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.15 percentage points, underperforming the ChiNext Index by 2.49 percentage points, and outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.29 percentage points, ranking 14th among all industries [1][2]. Industry Insights - The rise of domestic AI chips is accelerating technological self-reliance. Alibaba's latest PPU chip, developed by its subsidiary Pingtouge, has surpassed NVIDIA's A800 in key performance metrics and is comparable to the H20. The PPU features 96GB of HBM2e memory, exceeding the A800's 80GB and matching the H20's capacity. It also boasts a bandwidth of 700GB/s, higher than the A800's 400GB/s, and supports PCIe5.0×15, outperforming the A800's PCIe4.0×16 [3][4]. - Baidu is testing its self-developed Kunlun chip P800 for training its new Wenxin large model. The Kunlun chip has shown strong performance in a centralized procurement project for AI computing devices, winning significant market shares in multiple categories, with a total contract value reaching the billion level [3][4]. - Huawei announced a three-year product iteration roadmap for its Ascend AI chips, planning to release four new models from 2026 to 2028. The first model, Ascend 950PR, will be launched in Q1 2026, featuring Huawei's self-developed HBM [3][4]. - Haiguang Information announced the opening of its CPU interconnect bus protocol to build a more efficient computing ecosystem, aiming to unleash the potential of domestic computing power [4]. Investment Opportunities - Companies to watch include: - Computing Power: Huafeng Technology, Shenling Environment, Cambricon, Haiguang Information, and Anbotong [6]. - AIDC: Kehua Data, Yunsai Zhili, Hongxin Electronics, Runjian Shares, Runze Technology, and Dataport [6]. - AI Applications: Kingsoft Office, iFlytek, Dingjie Zhizhi, Hand Information, Zhuoyi Information, and Puyuan Information [6]. Corporate Developments - Cambricon received approval for a private placement to raise up to 3.985 billion yuan, with net proceeds intended for AI chip and software platform projects [5]. - Moer Thread is set to have its IPO reviewed by the Shanghai Stock Exchange on September 26, 2025 [5].

Core Viewpoint - Recent market funds have increasingly concentrated on the upstream of the semiconductor industry chain, particularly in the semiconductor equipment sector, which has shown remarkable performance due to supportive policies and capital influx [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Changchuan Technology's stock has reached a 20% limit-up, with a recent price of 80.27, marking a total market value of 506.1 billion [2][3] - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters to be between 827 million and 877 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 131.39% to 145.38% [5] - For the third quarter, the anticipated net profit is between 400 million and 450 million, indicating a year-on-year increase of 180.67% to 215.75% [5] Group 2: Industry Trends - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing multiple favorable catalysts, including Huawei's announcement of its chip roadmap for the next three years, which is expected to accelerate the development of domestic AI chips [7] - The global semiconductor equipment market saw a shipment value of $33.07 billion in Q2, a 24% year-on-year increase, with China's market share reaching approximately 34.4%, maintaining its position as the largest semiconductor equipment market globally [8][9] - The domestic semiconductor equipment market has significant growth potential, with projections indicating that the localization rate of equipment could rise from about 20% to between 60% and 100%, suggesting a 3-5 times expansion opportunity [9]