鹏华基金研究部副总经理王海青表示："市场向上趋势与主线并未改变，短期调整给投资者带来较好的 布局机会。我们看好以科技为代表的先进制造业，以有色、化工为代表的周期股，以及非银方向绩优标 的。" 近期，不少专业投资人已开始为跨年行情做准备。 经过回调的港股创新药板块依然受到机构关注。从基本面来看，嘉实基金大健康研究总监、嘉实互融精 选基金经理郝淼分析称，当前行业基本面依然良好，创新药出海趋势仍在持续。创新药产业链包括上游 的CXO、科研服务（试剂、设备、耗材等）。今年创新药出海带动了整个链条的资金好转，上游企业 订单及业绩均有所改善。随着创新药持续出海，上游产业链景气度有望持续提升。不过，创新药是长期 赛道，不宜过度追高，可在板块情绪相对低落、出现回调时布局，中长期持有体验可能更好。 Choice数据显示，11月18日至12月18日，公募基金密集调研，较为青睐的上市公司包括中科曙光、海光 信息、立讯精密、长安汽车、杰瑞股份、世纪华通、广联航空、九号公司、伟创电气、斯菱股份。这些 公司多属于制造业，细分行业方向包括计算机、集成电路、乘用车、消费电子、油田服务、游戏娱乐、 航空设备等。 事实上，不少机构认为，市场短期 ...

Core Insights - Honeywell has signed multiple cooperation agreements with Chinese companies during the 8th China International Import Expo held in Shanghai, focusing on aviation materials procurement and maintenance [1][3]. Group 1: Cooperation with China Eastern Airlines - China Eastern Airlines and Honeywell have established a partnership in the field of aviation materials procurement and maintenance, with plans to explore further collaboration in materials distribution [1][3]. - The agreements include a stable and timely aviation materials supply plan from Honeywell to ensure the continuous and stable operation of China Eastern Airlines' fleet [3]. - Honeywell will assist China Eastern Airlines in reducing operational costs and shortening repair cycles through a long-term materials maintenance agreement, supporting the airline's sustainable development goals [3]. Group 2: Partnership with China Aviation Supplies Group - Honeywell has also signed multiple procurement and distribution cooperation agreements with China Aviation Supplies Group during the expo [5]. - The agreements include the provision of advanced products such as Auxiliary Power Units (APU) and avionics equipment to China Aviation Supplies [5]. - China Aviation Supplies has obtained conditional exclusive distribution rights for Honeywell's HGT750[C] Auxiliary Power Units and related Line Replaceable Units (LRUs) as part of a previous agreement [5].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. soybean industry is facing a crisis due to tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, leading to a significant loss of market share to Brazil, which has become the primary supplier to China [5][12][21] Group 1: Impact of Tariffs - Following the U.S. imposition of a 10% tariff on China in March 2025, China retaliated with a 10% tariff on U.S. soybeans, resulting in a total tariff rate of 13% [5] - The cost of U.S. soybeans increased by $45 per ton, causing a loss of price competitiveness against Brazilian soybeans, which are priced 20-30% lower [5][12] - U.S. soybean exports to China are projected to drop to 14 million tons in 2025, only one-third of the peak level in 2017 [7] Group 2: Political Ramifications - The agricultural states, traditionally Republican strongholds, are experiencing discontent among farmers due to the tariff policies, with only 38% of farmers in soybean-producing areas indicating continued support for the Republican Party [8] - Trump's urgency to secure soybean orders is driven by the upcoming 2026 midterm elections, as dissatisfaction among farmers could jeopardize his political support [8][11] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Brazil's soybean exports to China are expected to reach 34.5 million tons in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18%, indicating a stable supply chain [12] - China is reducing its dependence on U.S. soybeans by adjusting feed formulations, which has led to a 15% decrease in soybean meal usage, equating to a reduction of 15 million tons in import demand [12] - Domestic soybean production in China is projected to increase by 8% in 2025, further mitigating reliance on imports [12] Group 4: Strategic Responses - The U.S. is facing a trade deficit of $295.4 billion, and the ongoing tariff war could result in a permanent loss of the Chinese market for U.S. soybeans [11] - China's response to U.S. trade policies includes diversifying soybean imports and leveraging its position in rare earth exports to pressure U.S. industries [19] - The trade conflict highlights a fundamental clash between two development models, with China strategically navigating external pressures while the U.S. remains entrenched in unilateralism [21]

Economic Growth - France's GDP grew by 0.3% in Q2, slightly above the forecasted 0.2% [1] - Household consumption rebounded with a 0.1% increase, following a 0.3% decline in Q1 [1] Domestic Demand - Final domestic demand (excluding inventory) stagnated, contributing zero to economic growth [1] - The contribution of external trade to economic growth was negative, with exports increasing by 0.2% and imports by 0.8%, resulting in a 0.2 percentage point drag [1] Inventory and Manufacturing - Businesses increased inventory, contributing 0.5 percentage points to growth, primarily from the transportation equipment sector, especially aerospace and automotive [1] - Concerns were raised about the increase in inventory indicating unsold goods, suggesting a fragile economic foundation [1] Future Outlook - Economic experts express concerns about the sustainability of growth, noting weak domestic demand and a lack of new manufacturing orders [1]