每经AI快讯，11月21日，芝加哥期权交易所(CBOE)波动率指数触及逾一个月高位，一度上涨3.49点， 报27.15点。 ...

格隆汇11月19日｜安凯微公告，公司为提高资金使用效率及资金收益水平，在不影响公司正常经营的前 提下，在原有外汇衍生品交易额度1000万美元（含等值外币）的基础上，拟增加额度4500万元人民币 （含等值外币）用于金融衍生品交易（除外汇衍生品外的其他衍生品交易）。 ...

（责任编辑：宋政 HN002） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 格隆汇11月19日｜香港交易所发布公告，香港期货交易所有限公司已取得证监会批准于2025年11月28日 推出恒生生物科技指数期货。 ...

Core Insights - The US dollar index experienced fluctuations, briefly surpassing the 100 mark, and has risen for four consecutive trading days, currently trading around 99.80. The ongoing battle around the 100 level is influenced by increasing divisions within the Federal Reserve, weak economic data, and concerns over a government shutdown, although there are hidden supports within the US economy [1] - The primary driver for the dollar index's rise is a cautious shift in the Federal Reserve's policy outlook. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in December has dropped to 65%, down significantly from 94% a week prior. This change is attributed to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent statements indicating that the likelihood of a rate cut in December is far from certain, and policymakers should maintain a "wait-and-see" approach until official data is released [1] Technical Analysis - The daily chart of the dollar index shows that it has consistently held above the 99.36 level after breaking through it. The measured upward target is around 100.45, with the 100 mark serving as the first resistance level, followed by the measured target point of 100.45. Support for the dollar index is at 99.36, along with an upward trend line indicated in red on the chart [2]

Core Insights - The market is increasingly concerned about liquidity, leading traders to record levels of activity in a specific segment of the U.S. interest rate futures market, betting on potential changes in overnight loan rate spreads if the Federal Reserve takes action to alleviate financing pressures [1][2] - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group reported that the trading volume of futures related to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) and the federal funds rate reached historical peaks, with over 400,000 contracts traded for the one-month SOFR-federal funds basis [1] - The current SOFR is 4.27%, while the effective federal funds rate is 4.12%, indicating a spread of 15 basis points [1] Group 1 - Recent market pressure signals have led some Wall Street strategists to believe that the Federal Reserve will take action to improve market liquidity, although no measures were announced by Chairman Jerome Powell [2] - The lack of direct action from the Federal Reserve regarding repo rates initially caused disappointment in the market, resulting in a new wave of activity in SOFR-federal funds basis trading, particularly for November contracts [2] - Traders are repositioning in anticipation of a potential policy shift from the Federal Reserve, while also aiming to mitigate risks amid ongoing financing pressures [2] Group 2 - The liquidity pressures are expected to persist into November, driven by the continued reduction of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet and the U.S. Treasury's issuance of more short-term debt, which will absorb significant cash from the market [2]

Group 1 - The overall CPI in the US for September increased by only 0.3% month-on-month, lower than the expected 0.4% [2] - The year-on-year CPI growth remained at 3%, also below the expected 3.1% [2] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.2% month-on-month and 3% year-on-year, both below expectations, indicating a significant easing of inflationary pressures [2] Group 2 - Following the CPI report, US Treasury yields across all maturities declined, with the 10-year yield dropping to 3.966%, falling below the 4% mark [2] - The market perceives a higher likelihood of the Federal Reserve implementing interest rate cuts in the near term, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut at the upcoming October meeting nearing 100% [2] - The probability of a second rate cut in December has surged to 98.5%, reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more accommodative stance by year-end [2] Group 3 - The current trading price of silver T+D is above 11350, with a slight increase of 0.28% reported at 11382 yuan/kg [1] - The highest price reached today was 11481 yuan/kg, while the lowest was 11267 yuan/kg, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in silver T+D [1] - Key resistance levels for silver T+D are noted at 11400-11800, with support levels at 10000-11200 [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - CME Group generated revenue of $1.5 billion in Q3 2025, down 3% from Q3 2024, with an average rate per contract of $0.702, resulting in clearing and transaction fees of $1.2 billion [9][10] - Market data revenue reached a record $203 million, up 14% year-over-year [9] - Adjusted operating income was $1.1 billion, reflecting a 68.4% operating margin, with adjusted net income at $978 million and adjusted diluted earnings per share at $2.68, both slightly above the previous year's figures [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average daily volume for the quarter was 25.3 million contracts, marking the second highest in CME's history for Q3 [5] - The crypto complex traded a record 340,000 contracts per day, up over 225% compared to the previous year, driven by the success of Solana and XRP futures [6] - New products such as credit futures and one-ounce gold futures also achieved record volumes in Q3 [6][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Open interest at the end of September reached 126 million contracts, the highest in five years, with continued growth into October [5] - CME maintained a 76% market share in WTI futures, up from 74% in the previous quarter, and 91% in WTI options [61] Company Strategy and Development Direction - CME Group is focused on innovation and expanding product offerings, including the introduction of 24/7 trading for cryptocurrency futures and options starting early next year [8] - The partnership with FanDuel aims to enhance retail strategy, potentially reaching 13 million accounts [14][16] - The company is also extending its FTSE Russell Index derivatives license through 2037 to ensure continuity and value for clients [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in future growth despite a general pullback in volatility across asset classes [5] - The focus remains on driving earnings growth through customer base expansion and innovative products [11] - Management acknowledged the importance of credibility in markets and the potential for growth in retail offerings without necessarily pursuing acquisitions [17] Other Important Information - CME Group's adjusted effective tax rate was 22.6% for the quarter [10] - Capital expenditures for Q3 were approximately $19 million, with cash at the end of the quarter around $2.6 billion [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about your long-term retail strategy? - Management highlighted the importance of the partnership with FanDuel and the potential to access 13 million accounts, emphasizing a strategy focused on distribution and efficiencies [14][16] Question: Is CME considering offering sports event contracts? - Management indicated readiness to offer sports event contracts in collaboration with FanDuel, pending government approval [24][39] Question: What is the outlook for energy volumes? - Management noted a slight decrease in energy volumes but highlighted growth in crude and natural gas markets, particularly in Europe and Asia [61] Question: How are you thinking about capital deployment after the oyster sale? - Management stated that proceeds from the sale were about $1.55 billion, with plans to review potential uses of capital with the board [67][69] Question: Can you elaborate on the 24/7 trading initiative? - Management confirmed plans for 24/7 trading of cryptocurrency futures by 2026, with ongoing assessments for other asset classes based on client demand [80][82]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $415 million for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4% [39] - EBITDA for the same period was $185 million, reflecting a significant increase of 1512% year-on-year [38] - Total customer deposits more than doubled to $3.1 billion, with an average deposit per active customer reaching approximately $17,000 [24][38] - The company ended the first half with cash balances of approximately $938 million and no debt [6][41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-OTC revenues accounted for approximately 13% of the group's total revenue in 2025, up from just 1% when the futures business was acquired in 2021 [23] - The futures business saw customer segregated funds grow to approximately $850 million, a 140% increase from the previous year [25] - 66% of OTC revenue was derived from customers who have been trading with the company for over three years, indicating strong customer retention [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expanded its geographic reach with new offerings in Japan and the conditional acquisition of MetaEquities in India [5] - The UAE and the US were highlighted as key markets driving growth [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deepen customer engagement and enhance retention through investments in technology and customer service [9] - The strategic roadmap focuses on diversification into non-OTC products and expanding operations in new markets [49] - The company is committed to being carbon negative by 2030 and has moved to a more energy-efficient headquarters [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the structural growth opportunities ahead and the positive momentum in the business [4] - The company is well-positioned to leverage its proprietary technology and regulatory licenses to drive future growth [20][47] Other Important Information - The company announced shareholder returns of $365 million for the year to date, equivalent to 11% of its market capitalization as of June 30, 2025 [6] - Plus500 has been recognized as the best-performing share in the FTSE All Share Index over the last twelve years [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of regulatory changes in India on MetaEquities - Management views the new regulatory changes in India as positive, as they support a more structured and regulated market environment [54][55] Question: Growth in non-OTC customer deposits - The company has exceeded its initial targets for non-OTC customer deposits, but management emphasizes the importance of balancing growth across both OTC and non-OTC segments [56][57] Question: Dynamics behind growth in customer deposits - Growth in customer deposits is driven by onboarding new institutional customers and introducing brokers, which has led to increased deposits from their customer bases [61][62] Question: Improvements in customer retention - The company has focused on enhancing its technology stack and integrating AI and big data capabilities to improve customer retention and reduce churn rates [64] Question: Future revenue acceleration from non-OTC products - Management anticipates continued growth in revenues from non-OTC products as the company invests in new fundamentals and expands its offerings [67] Question: Marketing efficiency improvements - The company has optimized its marketing strategies, leading to lower customer acquisition costs while increasing the quality of earnings and customer longevity [72]

Core Insights - Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME) reported a second-quarter average daily trading volume of 30.22 million contracts, meeting market expectations [1] - Revenue for the quarter was $1.7 billion, slightly above the expected $1.69 billion [1] - Adjusted earnings per share were $2.96, surpassing the forecast of $2.91 [1]

Group 1 - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) has updated its Bitcoin commodity trading volume report as of July 22 [1]