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锌期货日报-20250925
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-25 03:03
Group 1: General Information - Report Name: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: September 25, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating is provided in the report. Group 3: Core Views - Domestic processing fees lack upward momentum, with local quotes showing a narrow decline but no downward trend [7]. - Although smelters' comprehensive profits have shrunk, they remain at a relatively high level. More smelters are undergoing maintenance in September, and the output is expected to decline by 1 - 20,000 tons month - on - month, with the monthly output expected to be around 600,000 tons. The supply side generally remains loose [7]. - Thanks to the resumption of previously shut - down and reduced - production facilities, the operating rates of galvanizing and zinc oxide have slightly increased. However, overall consumption is not ideal during the peak consumption season. The operating rate in the primary consumption sector has increased month - on - month but is weaker than the same period last year. Social inventories decreased slightly on Monday [7]. - There is still some bargain - hunting replenishment by downstream enterprises when zinc prices fall, but most of the previous price - fixing has been completed, and the spot premium has limited upward momentum. Zinc prices are expected to fluctuate between 21,800 - 22,500 yuan [7]. Group 4: Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: - For the contract "2510" of Shanghai Zinc, the opening price was 21,930 yuan/ton, the closing price was 21,845 yuan/ton, the highest was 21,980 yuan/ton, the lowest was 21,830 yuan/ton, the change was - 100 yuan/ton, the change rate was - 0.46%, the trading volume was 2,510, and the open interest was 42,441 with a decrease of 5,600 [7]. - For the contract "2511" of Shanghai Zinc, the opening price was 21,895 yuan/ton, the closing price was 21,860 yuan/ton, the highest was 21,985 yuan/ton, the lowest was 21,860 yuan/ton, the change was - 95 yuan/ton, the change rate was - 0.43%, the trading volume was 2,511, and the open interest was 141,867 with an increase of 1,495 [7]. - For the contract "2512" of Shanghai Zinc, the opening price was 21,905 yuan/ton, the closing price was 21,875 yuan/ton, the highest was 21,990 yuan/ton, the lowest was 21,870 yuan/ton, the change was - 80 yuan/ton, the change rate was - 0.36%, the trading volume was 2,512, and the open interest was 49,776 with an increase of 5,966 [7]. Group 5: Industry News - On September 24, 2025, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was concentrated between 21,920 - 22,035 yuan/ton, that of Shuangyan was between 22,050 - 22,165 yuan/ton, and that of 1 zinc was between 21,850 - 21,965 yuan/ton [8]. - In the Ningbo market, the mainstream brand 0 zinc was traded at around 21,890 - 21,995 yuan/ton. The regular brands in Ningbo were quoted at a discount of 25 yuan/ton to the "2510" contract and a premium of 30 yuan/ton to Shanghai spot [8]. - In the Tianjin market, 0 zinc ingots were mainly traded between 21,890 - 22,010 yuan/ton, and 1 zinc ingots were traded around 21,800 - 21,920 yuan/ton. The price of Huludao zinc was 22,580 yuan/ton [8]. - In the Guangdong market, 0 zinc was mainly traded between 21,845 - 21,995 yuan/ton. The mainstream brands were quoted at a discount of 70 yuan/ton to the "2511" contract and at par with Shanghai spot [8]. Group 6: Data Overview - The report mentions data on the weekly inventory of SMM's seven - region zinc ingots (in 10,000 tons), LME zinc inventory (in tons), the price trends of zinc in two markets, and SHFE's inter - month spread, but specific data values are not provided [13][15]
建信期货锌期货日报-20250924
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-09-24 02:06
Report Information - Report Name: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: September 24, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - The domestic base metals all declined. The main contract of SHFE zinc, ZN2511, closed at 21,845 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan or 0.68%, with increased trading volume and decreased open interest. The LME zinc inventory decreased by 1,050 tons to 45,775 tons, and the high overseas spot premium and soft squeeze supported the zinc price. The domestic processing fee has limited upward momentum, and the SMM monthly domestic TC for zinc concentrate is 3,850 yuan/metal ton, while the SMM imported zinc concentrate index rose by 2 dollars/dry ton to 98.25 dollars/dry ton. The price of by - product sulfuric acid has stabilized and declined. Although the comprehensive profit has shrunk, it is still at a relatively high level. In September, due to more smelter overhauls and supply shortages in some secondary zinc enterprises, the monthly output is expected to decline by 1 - 20,000 tons to around 600,000 tons, and the supply side remains generally loose. On the demand side, the operating rates of galvanizing and zinc oxide have increased slightly, but the overall consumption in the peak season is not ideal. The operating rate in the primary consumption field has increased month - on - month but is weaker than the same period last year. The social inventory decreased slightly on Monday. There is still some bargain - hunting replenishment when the zinc price falls, but the previous price fixing is basically completed, and the increase in the spot premium is limited. The zinc price is expected to fluctuate between 21,800 - 22,500 yuan [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: The opening, closing, highest, and lowest prices, as well as the changes in prices and open interest of different SHFE zinc contracts (ZN2510, ZN2511, ZN2512) are presented. For example, ZN2511 opened at 22,080 yuan/ton, closed at 21,845 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan or 0.68%, and the open interest increased by 9,947 lots to 140,372 lots [7]. - **Inventory and Premium**: The LME zinc inventory decreased by 1,050 tons to 45,775 tons, and the overseas spot premium is high (0 - 3B45.99). The domestic processing fee has limited upward momentum, and the SMM monthly domestic TC for zinc concentrate is 3,850 yuan/metal ton, while the SMM imported zinc concentrate index rose by 2 dollars/dry ton to 98.25 dollars/dry ton [7]. - **Supply and Demand**: In September, due to more smelter overhauls and supply shortages in some secondary zinc enterprises, the monthly output is expected to decline by 1 - 20,000 tons to around 600,000 tons. On the demand side, the operating rates of galvanizing and zinc oxide have increased slightly, but the overall consumption in the peak season is not ideal. The social inventory decreased slightly on Monday [7]. 2. Industry News - **Price and Premium in Different Markets**: On September 23, 2025, the mainstream transaction prices of 0 zinc, 1 zinc, and high - end brands like Shuangyan in different markets (Shanghai, Ningbo, Tianjin, Guangdong) are provided, along with the premiums or discounts of different brands against relevant contracts in different trading periods [8][9]. 3. Data Overview - **Data Sources**: The data in the report are from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures, including the weekly inventory of SMM seven - region zinc ingots, LME zinc inventory, the price trends of zinc in two markets, and SHFE month - to - month spreads [12][17].
锌期货日报-20250829
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 02:24
Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 29, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The Shanghai zinc futures opened with a gap down, leading the decline in the non - ferrous sector. The main contract 2510 closed at 22,170 yuan/ton, down 180 yuan or 0.81%, with increased volume and open interest. The LME zinc inventory decreased to below 60,000 tons, and the squeeze - out risk still exists due to the low - inventory pattern. The SHFE/LME ratio remains low, and the zinc ingot import window remains closed. The supply side is abundant as the refined zinc output is expected to increase to 621,500 tons in August. The downstream demand is still weak, and the开工 rates of galvanizing and zinc oxide are expected to hover at low levels. The external market is supported by interest - rate cut expectations and low inventory, showing an upward - biased trend. The internal - weak and external - strong pattern continues, and the domestic market is unlikely to decline deeply due to the influence of the external market. The SHFE zinc is oscillating between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, testing the 22,000 - yuan integer mark [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: The opening, closing, highest, and lowest prices, as well as the price changes, price change rates, open interest, and open - interest changes of SHFE zinc contracts 2509, 2510, and 2511 are provided. For example, the main contract 2510 opened at 22,210 yuan/ton, closed at 22,170 yuan/ton, down 180 yuan or 0.81%, with an open interest increase of 6,801 lots to 114,628 lots [7]. - **Market Situation Analysis**: The LME zinc inventory decreased to below 60,000 tons, and the 0 - 3 spread is C7.6. The SHFE/LME ratio is low, and the zinc ingot import window remains closed. The import zinc concentrate processing fee continues to rise, with the zinc concentrate index rising by 2.2 dollars/dry ton to 92 dollars/dry ton, and the domestic TC remains at 3,900 yuan/metal ton. The refinery operating rate is at a high level, and the refined zinc output in August is expected to reach 621,500 tons. The downstream demand is weak, and the production and transportation in North China are restricted due to stricter environmental protection during the military parade. The external market is supported by interest - rate cut expectations and low inventory, while the domestic market is affected by the external market and is oscillating between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, testing the 22,000 - yuan integer mark [7]. 2. Industry News - **Zinc Price and Premium Information**: On August 28, 2025, the mainstream transaction prices of 0 zinc, 1 zinc, and high - end brands in different markets (such as Shanghai, Ningbo, Tianjin, and Guangdong) are provided, along with the premium or discount information of different brands relative to the SMM average price, futures contracts, and other market prices. For example, in the Shanghai market, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc is 22,105 - 22,190 yuan/ton, and the high - end brand Shuangyan is traded at 22,225 - 22,300 yuan/ton [8]. 3. Data Overview - **Data Charts**: The report mentions data charts such as the price trends of zinc in two markets, SHFE monthly spreads, SMM seven - region zinc ingot weekly inventory, and LME zinc inventory, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [11][15]
锌期货日报-20250826
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-26 03:13
Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 26, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Group 2: Market Review - Futures Market Quotes: - For SHFE Zinc 2509, the opening price was 22,230 yuan/ton, the closing price was 22,375 yuan/ton, up 115 yuan or 0.52%, with a trading volume of 38,685 lots and a decrease of 4,326 lots in open interest [7]. - For SHFE Zinc 2510, the opening price was 22,220 yuan/ton, the closing price was 22,395 yuan/ton, up 150 yuan or 0.67%, with a trading volume of 105,259 lots and a decrease of 2,533 lots in open interest [7]. - For SHFE Zinc 2511, the opening price was 22,210 yuan/ton, the closing price was 22,390 yuan/ton, up 160 yuan or 0.72%, with a trading volume of 38,208 lots and an increase of 1,139 lots in open interest [7]. - Market Analysis: The speech at the Jackson Hole meeting signaled a potential interest rate cut, leading to a continuous recovery in risk appetite and a general rise in the non - ferrous metals sector. The main SHFE Zinc contract 2510 closed at 22,395 yuan/ton, up 150 yuan or 0.67%, with increased volume and decreased open interest. The 09 - 10 spread was C20. The LME market was closed for the Summer Bank Holiday. The import zinc concentrate processing fee continued to rise, with the zinc concentrate index increasing by 2.2 dollars/dry ton to 92 dollars/dry ton, and the domestic TC remained stable at 3,900 yuan/metal ton. Refinery operating rates remained high, and domestic maintenance in August was limited, with refined zinc production expected to increase to 621,500 tons, keeping the supply side abundant. Downstream demand remained weak at the end of the off - season, and due to the impact of the military parade, environmental protection became stricter, restricting production and transportation in North China. The operating rates of galvanizing and zinc oxide were expected to hover at low levels. The external market was supported by interest rate cut expectations and low inventories, making it prone to rise and difficult to fall. The pattern of a strong external market and a weak domestic market continued. The domestic market was driven by the external market and was unlikely to fall deeply. SHFE Zinc was in a wide - range oscillation, and in the short term, it might test the 22,500 yuan/ton mark [7]. Group 3: Industry News - On August 25, 2025, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was concentrated between 22,340 - 22,415 yuan/ton, Shuangyan was traded between 22,450 - 22,525 yuan/ton, and 1 zinc was traded between 22,270 - 22,345 yuan/ton. In the morning, the market quoted a premium of 10 - 30 yuan/ton to the SMM average price, and there were few quotes against the market. In the second trading session, ordinary domestic zinc was quoted at a discount of 10 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, Honglu - v was quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, Huize was quoted at a premium of 50 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, and high - end brand Shuangyan was quoted at a premium of 100 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract [8]. - In the Ningbo market, the mainstream brand 0 zinc was traded at around 22,300 - 22,365 yuan/ton. The regular brands in Ningbo were quoted at a discount of 50 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract and a discount of 10 yuan/ton to the Shanghai spot price. In the first period, Qilin was quoted at a discount of 50 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract; in the second period, traders' quotes remained the same as the previous period [8]. - In the Tianjin market, 0 zinc ingots were mainly traded between 22,290 - 22,390 yuan/ton, Zijin was traded between 22,310 - 22,400 yuan/ton, and 1 zinc ingots were traded around 22,230 - 22,310 yuan/ton. Huludao was quoted at 23,010 yuan/ton. Ordinary 0 zinc was quoted at a discount of 30 - 60 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, Zijin was quoted at a discount of 20 - 40 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, and the Tianjin market was at a discount of about 20 yuan/ton compared to the Shanghai market [8]. - In Guangdong, the mainstream 0 zinc was traded between 22,250 - 22,375 yuan/ton. The mainstream brands were quoted at a discount of 70 yuan/ton to the 2510 contract and at par with the Shanghai spot price, and the price difference between Shanghai and Guangdong narrowed. In the first period, holders quoted a discount of 110 - 50 yuan/ton for Qilin, Mengzi, Danxia, Anning, and Feilong; in the second period, the quotes remained the same [8][9]. Group 4: Data Overview - The report includes charts such as the price trends of zinc in two markets, SHFE monthly spreads, SMM's weekly inventory of zinc ingots in seven regions, and LME zinc inventories, with data sources from Wind, SMM, and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [11][13]
锌期货日报-20250822
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 02:22
Group 1: General Information - Report Name: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 22, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Group 2: Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: - The main contract of SHFE zinc 2510 closed at 22,240 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan with a 0.14% increase, with reduced volume and positions. The positions decreased by 568 lots to 110,426 lots. - LME zinc inventory decreased by 1,875 tons to 69,375 tons, with the entire decline from Singapore. The 0 - 3 spread was C9.33. - The domestic zinc market has a core contradiction of abundant concentrates and sufficient refined zinc, and social inventory has been accumulating, reflecting the surplus pressure. From January to July, the cumulative year - on - year increase in imported zinc concentrates was 45.2%. In August, the processing fee continued to rise, with the imported zinc concentrate index at 90.3 US dollars/dry ton and the domestic zinc concentrate TC stable at 3,900 yuan/metal ton. High TC and high sulfuric acid prices have expanded smelters' profit margins. In August, there were few domestic maintenance activities, and the refined zinc output may increase to 621,500 tons. - The downstream is in the off - season, and although there are policy supports on the demand side, the weakness is still obvious. The operating load in the primary consumption field remains at a low level. Overall, the pattern of strong overseas and weak domestic markets continues. The domestic market is difficult to fall deeply due to the influence of the overseas market. There is an expectation of a switch from the off - season to the peak season in late August, and the callback space of SHFE zinc is limited, with short - term wide - range fluctuations [7]. Group 3: Industry News - **Shanghai Market**: On August 21, 2025, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was 22,240 - 22,305 yuan/ton, and that of Shuangyan was 22,360 - 22,415 yuan/ton. In the morning, the market quoted a premium of 20 - 40 yuan/ton to the SMM average price. In the second trading session, ordinary domestic zinc was quoted at a discount of 10 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract [8]. - **Ningbo Market**: The mainstream price of 0 zinc was 22,220 - 22,275 yuan/ton. The regular brands in Ningbo were quoted at a discount of 40 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract and at par to the Shanghai spot price [8]. - **Tianjin Market**: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was 22,210 - 22,280 yuan/ton, and that of Zijin was 22,230 - 22,310 yuan/ton. 0 zinc was generally quoted at a discount of 30 - 50 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, and Zijin was quoted at a discount of 0 - 30 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract. The Tianjin market was at a discount of about 20 yuan/ton to the Shanghai market [8][9]. - **Guangdong Market**: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was 22,150 - 22,255 yuan/ton. The mainstream brands were quoted at a discount of 70 yuan/ton to the 2510 contract and at a discount of 30 yuan/ton to the Shanghai spot price, and the price difference between Shanghai and Guangdong narrowed [9]. Group 4: Data Overview - The report provides data on the seven - region weekly zinc ingot inventory of SMM, LME zinc inventory, the price trends of zinc in two markets, and the SHFE monthly spread, with data sources from Wind, SMM, and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [13][14]
建信期货锌期货日报-20250819
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-19 01:37
Report Information - Report Name: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 19, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned Core View - The core contradiction of abundant zinc ore and refined zinc in the zinc market is more prominent during the off - season of demand, and the inventory accumulation trend continues. The zinc market supply remains loose, and the demand is hard to improve substantially as it has not stepped out of the off - season. Although the macro - atmosphere is warm, the weak fundamental pattern is difficult to resonate with it. The Shanghai zinc has given back its previous gains, and the current pattern of strong overseas and weak domestic continues. The domestic market is driven by the overseas market and is unlikely to fall deeply. There is an expectation of a switch from the off - season to the peak season for demand in the second half of the month, and the callback space of Shanghai zinc is limited, with short - term wide - range fluctuations as the main trend [7] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: The main contract of Shanghai zinc (2509) closed at 22,340 yuan/ton, down 180 yuan, a decline of 0.80%, with reduced volume and positions, and the position was 69,630 lots. The 2510 contract closed at 22,360 yuan/ton, down 185 yuan, a decline of 0.82%, and the position increased by 5,691 lots to 96,755 lots. The 2511 contract closed at 22,360 yuan/ton, down 190 yuan, a decline of 0.84%, and the position decreased by 63,418 lots to 27,646 lots [7] - **Fundamentals**: The supply of zinc ore is loose, which pushes up the processing fee. The import zinc concentrate index is reported at 82.25 US dollars/dry ton, and the monthly average TC of domestic zinc concentrates by SMM remains stable at 3,900 yuan/metal ton. High TC and high sulfuric acid prices year - on - year drive the continuous expansion of smelters' profit margins, and smelters have sufficient production enthusiasm. The domestic refined zinc output in August may increase to 621,500 tons, and the supply side remains abundant. The downstream off - season characteristics are significant. Although there are demand - supporting policies, the weakness is hard to cover in the short term, and the operating load in the primary consumption field is still in a weak range [7] 2. Industry News - **August 18, 2025 Transactions**: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was concentrated at 22,305 - 22,415 yuan/ton, and Shuangyan was traded at 22,385 - 22,525 yuan/ton. The mainstream transaction price of 1 zinc was 22,235 - 22,345 yuan/ton. In the morning, the market quoted a premium of 20 - 30 yuan/ton to the SMM average price, and there were few quotes against the market. In the second trading session, ordinary domestic brands quoted a discount of 20 - 10 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, Honglu - v quoted at par to the 2509 contract, Huize quoted a premium of 50 - 60 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, and the high - price brand Shuangyan quoted a premium of 60 - 100 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract [8] - **Regional Market Conditions**: In the Ningbo market, the mainstream brand 0 zinc was traded at about 22,285 - 22,375 yuan/ton, and the regular brands in Ningbo quoted a discount of 50 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract and at par to the Shanghai spot. In the Tianjin market, 0 zinc ingots were mainly traded at 22,270 - 22,400 yuan/ton, and Zijin was traded at 22,310 - 22,420 yuan/ton. 1 zinc ingots were traded at around 22,210 - 22,3320 yuan/ton, and the price of Huludao was 22,950 yuan/ton. In the Guangdong market, the mainstream 0 zinc was traded at 22,225 - 22,380 yuan/ton, and the mainstream brands quoted a discount of 90 yuan/ton to the 2510 contract and a discount of 20 yuan/ton to the Shanghai spot [8][9] 3. Data Overview - Not elaborated in the provided content
锌期货日报-20250814
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-14 02:00
Report Information - Report Name: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 14, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. Core View - The short - term bullish sentiment dominates again, and SHFE zinc continues to rise without fundamental support. Investors are advised to be cautious about chasing high prices [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - Futures market: For SHFE zinc 2508, the opening price was 22,460 yuan/ton, the closing price was 22,560 yuan/ton, with a rise of 75 yuan and a gain of 0.33%. The position was 4,550, a decrease of 485. For SHFE zinc 2509, the opening price was 22,485 yuan/ton, the closing price was 22,590 yuan/ton, up 85 yuan or 0.38%. The position was 93,386, a decrease of 1,509. For SHFE zinc 2510, the opening price was 22,490 yuan/ton, the closing price was 22,610 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan or 0.40%. The position was 77,158, an increase of 4,219 [7]. - Market influence factors: The US July CPI data was released, with the year - on - year growth rate slightly lower than expected. The inflation data strengthened the expectation of an interest rate cut in September. SHFE zinc reached a high of 22,775 yuan/ton at night, but the intraday gain declined. The main contract 2509 closed at 22,600 yuan/ton, up 55 yuan or 0.24%, with reduced volume and positions, and funds flowing out. The positions migrated to far - month contracts. The top 20 positions in total held more long and short positions, and the net short positions increased by 491 lots [7]. - Fundamentals: In August, the domestic zinc concentrate processing fee remained stable at 3,900 yuan/metal ton, and the imported zinc concentrate increased by 3.5 dollars/dry ton to 82.25 dollars/dry ton. The core contradiction of abundant zinc concentrate and zinc ingots in the market was more prominent during the off - season of demand. The inventory accumulation trend was confirmed, and the social inventory continued to increase at the beginning of the week, reaching 119,000 tons. LME zinc inventory continued to decrease to below 80,000 tons, and the 0 - 3 spread was C4.76. The problem of low inventory and high cancellation ratio still existed. The market was strong overseas and weak domestically, and the low price ratio was difficult to improve. The import window remained closed [7]. - Spot market: The increase in the futures price put pressure on the purchasing sentiment, and the premium continued to decline. The premium in Shanghai market for contract 09 was at a discount of 20 yuan/ton, the premium in Tianjin market compared to Shanghai was at a discount of 10 yuan/ton, and the premium in Guangdong market for contract 09 was at a discount of 75 yuan/ton, and at a discount of 20 yuan/ton compared to Shanghai. The price difference between Shanghai and Guangdong remained the same [7]. 2. Industry News - On August 13, 2025, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was concentrated between 22,585 - 22,665 yuan/ton, and Shuangyan zinc was traded between 22,695 - 22,785 yuan/ton. The mainstream transaction price of 1 zinc was between 22,515 - 22,595 yuan/ton. In the morning, the market quoted a premium of 10 - 20 yuan/ton to the SMM average price, and there were few quotes against the futures price. In the second trading session, the common domestic brands were quoted at a discount of 20 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, Honglu - v was at a discount of 20 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, Huize was at a premium of 50 - 60 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, and the high - end brand Shuangyan was at a premium of 90 - 100 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract [8]. - In the Ningbo market, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was around 22,565 - 22,635 yuan/ton. The common brands in Ningbo were quoted at a discount of 45 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract and at a premium of 10 yuan/ton to the Shanghai spot price. In the first period, Yongchang was quoted at a discount of 40 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, Anning was at a discount of 30 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, and Qilin was at a premium of 10 - 20 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract for delivery. In the second period, Yongchang's quote was further reduced to around - 50 yuan/ton, and the quotes of other traders remained the same as the previous period [8]. - In the Tianjin market, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc ingots was between 22,550 - 22,650 yuan/ton, and Zijin zinc was traded between 22,590 - 22,670 yuan/ton. The transaction price of 1 zinc ingots was around 22,490 - 22,570 yuan/ton, and Huludao zinc was quoted at 23,160 yuan/ton. The common 0 zinc was quoted at a discount of 30 - 50 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract, and Zijin zinc was quoted at a discount of 10 - 20 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract. The premium in Tianjin market compared to Shanghai was at a discount of about 10 yuan/ton [8][9]. - In the Guangdong market, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was between 22,500 - 22,630 yuan/ton. The mainstream brands were quoted at a discount of 75 yuan/ton to the 2509 contract and at a discount of 20 yuan/ton to the Shanghai spot price. In the first period, the holders of goods quoted a discount of 105 - 55 yuan/ton for Qilin, Mengzi, Danxia, Anning, and Lanxin zinc. In the second period, Qilin, Mengzi, Feilong, Anning, and Lanxin zinc were still at a discount of 105 - 55 yuan/ton [9]. 3. Data Overview - The report provides data on the weekly inventory of SMM's seven - region zinc ingots, LME zinc inventory, the price trends of zinc in two markets, and the SHFE monthly spread, with data sources including Wind, SMM, and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [13][14]
建信期货锌期货日报-20250806
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-08-06 03:01
Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: August 6, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Nonferrous Metals Research Team [4] - Researchers: Peng Jinglin, Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei [4] Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints - The Shanghai zinc market rebounded compared to the previous day, with the main contract ZN2509 closing at 22,380 yuan/ton, up 175 yuan or 0.79%. The trading volume decreased, and the open interest decreased by 4,253 lots to 98,475 lots. The net short position of the top 20 seats decreased by 3,045 lots [7]. - The average monthly TC of domestic zinc concentrates in August increased by 100 yuan to 3,900 yuan/metal ton. Supported by high TC and high by - product profits, smelting enterprises are highly motivated to produce, and the overall zinc ingot supply remains strong [7]. - The "trade - in" policy for consumer goods continues, and the third batch of funds has been allocated. There is an expected increase in zinc demand from infrastructure in the second half of the year. However, the demand is currently weak in the short term, and the operating rates of galvanizing and die - casting zinc alloy are still at historically low levels [7]. - The core contradiction of abundant zinc ore and sufficient zinc ingots in the zinc market is more prominent during the off - season of demand, and the social inventory has continued to accumulate to over 100,000 tons. Short - term bears have closed their positions, but as the price rebounds, the downstream purchasing sentiment has worsened, the spot premium has weakened, and the rebound height of Shanghai zinc is limited, operating in the middle - lower range of the Bollinger Bands [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: The opening, closing, highest, and lowest prices, as well as the changes and percentage changes of different Shanghai zinc contracts (2508, 2509, 2510) are presented. The main contract ZN2509 had specific price and trading volume changes [7]. - **Supply and Demand Situation**: High TC and by - product profits support strong zinc ingot supply. Demand policies exist, but short - term demand is weak, and the operating rates of related industries are low. The supply - demand contradiction leads to inventory accumulation [7]. - **Market Trend**: The short - term rebound of Shanghai zinc is limited, and it operates in the middle - lower range of the Bollinger Bands [7]. 2. Industry News - **Price and Premium in Different Regions**: The mainstream transaction prices and premiums of 0 zinc and 1 zinc in different regions (including Shanghai, Ningbo, Tianjin, and Guangdong) are reported, showing price differences and market characteristics in each region [8][9]. 3. Data Overview - **Graphs**: The report includes graphs such as the price trends of zinc in two markets, SHFE monthly spreads, SMM seven - region zinc ingot weekly inventory, and LME zinc inventory, with data sources from Wind, SMM, and the research and development department of CCB Futures [11][13]
锌期货日报-20250731
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-31 02:15
Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: July 31, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The Politburo meeting had no unexpectedly stimulating policies and emphasized regulating disorderly competition. The non - ferrous sector oscillated narrowly. The main contract of Shanghai zinc 2509 closed at 22,670 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan with a 0.04% increase, with volume up and positions down. The zinc concentrate processing fee continued to rise, and the overall zinc ingot supply remained strong. Although infrastructure demand may increase in the second half of the year, short - term downstream demand was weak, and domestic and foreign inventories were diverging. The zinc market was in a weak oscillation [7]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: For SHFE zinc 2508, it opened at 22,595 yuan/ton, closed at 22,635 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan with a 0.04% increase, and the open interest decreased by 3,108 lots to 17,354 lots. For SHFE zinc 2509, it opened at 22,640 yuan/ton, closed at 22,670 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan with a 0.04% increase, and the open interest decreased by 1,371 lots to 116,245 lots. For SHFE zinc 2510, it opened at 22,640 yuan/ton, closed at 22,695 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan with a 0.13% increase, and the open interest increased by 7,261 lots to 61,298 lots [7]. - **Market Analysis**: The processing fee continued to rise, and the overall zinc ingot supply was strong. Although infrastructure demand may increase in the second half of the year, short - term downstream demand was weak. Domestic social inventory increased by 0.54 million tons to 10.37 million tons, while LME zinc inventory decreased by 3,100 tons to 109,050 tons. The spot premium was weak, and the zinc market was in a weak oscillation [7]. 2. Industry News - **July 30, 2025**: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was 22,680 - 22,780 yuan/ton, and that of 1 zinc was 22,610 - 22,710 yuan/ton. Different regions had different price ranges and premium/discount situations. For example, in the Ningbo market, the mainstream brand 0 zinc was traded at 22,640 - 22,720 yuan/ton [8][9]. 3. Data Overview - **Graphs**: The report includes graphs such as the price trends of zinc in two markets, SHFE monthly spreads, SMM's weekly inventory of zinc ingots in seven regions, and LME zinc inventory [10][12]
建信期货锌期货日报-20250730
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-30 01:53
Report Information - Report Title: Zinc Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: July 30, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Peng Jinglin, Yu Feifei [3][4] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The commodity market sentiment declined. The main contract of SHFE zinc closed at 22,655 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan or 0.35%. The total long and short positions of the top 20 seats both decreased, and the net long positions decreased by 3,447 lots. [7] - The processing fee continued to rise. The imported zinc concentrate index rose to $76.25 per dry ton, and the weekly processing fee of domestic Zn50 zinc concentrate remained flat at 3,800 yuan/ton. With the profits from sulfuric acid and minor metals at a high level year-on-year, enterprises' production enthusiasm was high, and some new zinc ingot production capacities were gradually released. The overall zinc ingot supply remained strong. [7] - In the second half of the year, infrastructure investment may increase the demand for zinc. However, the short-term operating rates of galvanizing and die-casting zinc remained at a low level compared to the same period, and downstream buyers were cautious due to high prices. [7] - The inventory performance was divided between domestic and overseas markets. The domestic social inventory increased by 0.54 million tons to 10.37 million tons, while the LME zinc inventory continued to decrease by 3,350 tons to 112,150 tons. The 0 - 3 spread was 1.95C, and the cancelled warrant ratio was 48.64%. [7] - The spot premium remained basically stable. The Shanghai market had a premium of 80 yuan/ton over the 08 contract, the Tianjin market was at a discount of 40 yuan/ton compared to the Shanghai market, and the Guangdong market was at a discount of 80 yuan/ton compared to the 09 contract and 40 yuan/ton compared to the Shanghai market. The price difference between Shanghai and Guangdong narrowed. [7] - The zinc concentrate supply remained loose, and the surplus pressure during the off - season of demand was gradually reflected in the inventory. Although the short - term sentiment declined, the anti - involution was not over, and SHFE zinc oscillated weakly. [7] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - **Futures Market Quotes**: - SHFE zinc 2508 opened at 22,630 yuan/ton, closed at 22,610 yuan/ton, with a high of 22,690 yuan/ton, a low of 22,555 yuan/ton, down 70 yuan or 0.31%. The open interest was 20,462 lots, a decrease of 5,070 lots. [7] - SHFE zinc 2509 opened at 22,645 yuan/ton, closed at 22,655 yuan/ton, with a high of 22,725 yuan/ton, a low of 22,580 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan or 0.35%. The open interest was 117,616 lots, a decrease of 6,845 lots. [7] - SHFE zinc 2510 opened at 22,665 yuan/ton, closed at 22,675 yuan/ton, with a high of 22,735 yuan/ton, a low of 22,585 yuan/ton, down 65 yuan or 0.29%. The open interest was 54,037 lots, an increase of 3,567 lots. [7] - **Supply and Demand**: The supply of zinc ingots was strong, and the demand was weak in the short term. The inventory performance was divided between domestic and overseas markets. [7] - **Spot Market**: The spot premium remained stable, and the price difference between regions changed. [7] 2. Industry News - **Shanghai Market**: On July 29, 2025, the mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was concentrated between 22,650 - 22,785 yuan/ton, and the double - swallow brand was traded between 22,730 - 22,855 yuan/ton. The 1 zinc was traded between 22,580 - 22,715 yuan/ton. [8] - **Ningbo Market**: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was around 22,590 - 22,705 yuan/ton. The local brands had a premium of 5 yuan/ton over the 2508 contract and a premium of 10 yuan/ton over the Shanghai spot price. [8] - **Tianjin Market**: The 0 zinc was traded between 22,510 - 22,660 yuan/ton, and the 1 zinc was traded around 22,430 - 22,560 yuan/ton. The Huludao brand was priced at 23,120 yuan/ton. [8][9] - **Guangdong Market**: The mainstream transaction price of 0 zinc was between 22,470 - 22,655 yuan/ton. The mainstream brands were at a discount of 80 yuan/ton compared to the 2509 contract and a discount of 40 yuan/ton compared to the Shanghai spot price. The price difference between Shanghai and Guangdong narrowed. [9] 3. Data Overview - The report provided figures on the weekly inventory of SMM's seven - region zinc ingots, LME zinc inventory, the price trends of zinc in two markets, and the SHFE monthly spread, but specific data descriptions were not detailed in the text. [11][13]