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发展考验未止 | 2025年8月商业地产零售业态发展报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 12:25
Group 1 - The government is actively creating diverse consumption scenarios to stimulate spending, while short-term rental demand in the commercial market is under pressure in some core cities [5][7] - High-end commercial performance continues to be tested, with many companies reporting a year-on-year decline in retail property income for the first half of 2025 [11][18] - Shopping centers are adapting to popular consumption demands, with a high proportion of new stores being flagship locations and diverse types, including international and niche brands [19][21] Group 2 - The retail market shows uneven performance, with dining brands benefiting from delivery and store expansion, while high-end retail brands face significant challenges [23][24] - E-commerce platforms like JD and Taobao are intensifying competition in instant retail, enhancing their logistics capabilities to create a comprehensive retail ecosystem [31][32] - REITs performance continues to diverge, with Tianhong planning to apply for a REIT based on its Suzhou project, reflecting ongoing trends in the commercial real estate sector [34][40] Group 3 - The commercial market in core cities is experiencing differentiated supply rhythms, with cities like Beijing and Shenzhen seeing significant new supply, while others like Hangzhou show no new supply [8][9] - Vacancy rates vary significantly between cities, with Shenzhen having the lowest at 4.1%, while Shanghai and Chengdu are higher at 8.6% and 9% respectively [9] - In terms of rental levels, Shanghai has the highest average rent at 31.9 yuan/day/sqm, while Shenzhen has the lowest at 18.1 yuan/day/sqm [9] Group 4 - In the context of declining overall consumption growth, Ingka is planning to sell ten shopping centers in China, with the first three projects involving 16 billion yuan [10] - The privatization of Joy City is aimed at addressing market challenges and improving governance, with a buyback plan of 2.932 billion Hong Kong dollars [18] - The performance of high-end retail brands is mixed, with Hermes showing growth while Kering and LVMH face significant declines [27]