Core Viewpoint - The company is transforming from a traditional manufacturing entity into a core supplier in the intelligent equipment sector by leveraging technological synergies in the dual waves of the new energy vehicle and robotics industries [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - The company has established a dedicated subsidiary in 2023 for the development of robotic joints and motors, with several products already developed and samples sent to clients [1]. - The company has a leading market position in various segments, including micro-special motors and controllers, new energy vehicle drive assemblies, and automotive engine control systems, with a global market share of approximately 75% in multifunctional household sewing machine motors [1][2]. - The company is actively responding to national initiatives to develop "new quality productivity" by expanding into robotic joints and electric aircraft drive systems [2]. Group 2: Financial and R&D Investments - The company's R&D expenses are projected to reach nearly 178 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 7.2% of its revenue [2]. - The company has applied for 33 patents related to humanoid robot joints, with 2 already granted [2]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with plans for 1.8 million units at its Lishui base and 3 million units at its Deqing base, currently achieving 1 million and 800,000 units of actual production capacity, respectively [2]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Market Position - The company has established partnerships with several leading domestic and international automotive manufacturers, including SAIC-GM Wuling, SAIC Group, and Volkswagen, for its new energy drive motor series [2]. - The company's subsidiary, Shanghai Haineng, is expected to see significant revenue and profit growth in 2024 from its automotive engine control system business, which is a core area in automotive electronics with high technical barriers [3]. - The company aims to leverage its proprietary technology and brand advantages in the engine controller field to tackle challenges related to clean low-carbon energy sources, supporting national "dual carbon" strategies [3].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of Fulin Precision (300432) meets market expectations, driven by dual engines of iron-lithium and robotics, with a target price adjustment to 31.5 yuan and a "buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 8.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47%, and a net profit of 400 million yuan, up 173.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 12.4%, an increase of 6.9 percentage points [1] - In Q4 2024, revenue is projected at 2.59 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 63.5% and a year-on-year increase of 13.1%, while net profit is expected to be 90 million yuan, down 161.2% quarter-on-quarter and 51.9% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue is anticipated to be 2.7 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 80.3% and a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, with a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 211.9% quarter-on-quarter and 43.7% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Iron-Lithium Business - In 2024, iron-lithium shipments are expected to reach 126,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of nearly 179%, with Q4 shipments at 44,000 tons, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26% [2] - For Q1 2025, shipments are projected to be nearly 50,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 170%, with a target of 250,000 tons for the year, doubling the previous year's output [2] - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit per ton of iron-lithium to 200 yuan in 2025, driven by cost reductions from self-supplied materials [2] Group 3: Automotive Parts Business - In 2024, the automotive parts business is expected to generate revenue of 3.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23%, with new energy components contributing 1.1 billion yuan, up 99% [3] - The gross margin for the automotive parts business is projected at 23.7%, contributing 860 million yuan in gross profit [3] - For Q1 2025, the automotive parts business is expected to contribute a net profit of 80 million yuan, with a stable growth forecast for the year [3] Group 4: Cost Control and Capital Expenditure - In 2024, operating expenses are projected at 620 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, with an expense ratio of 7.3% [4] - Capital expenditure for 2024 is expected to be 810 million yuan, down 32.3%, while Q1 2025 capital expenditure is projected at 300 million yuan, a significant quarter-on-quarter increase [4] - The company reported operating cash flow of 580 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 88.6% year-on-year [4] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The company has revised its net profit expectations for 2025-2026 to 960 million and 1.54 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 2.04 billion yuan, reflecting significant growth [4] - The target price is set at 31.5 yuan, with a PE ratio of 25x for 2026 [4] - Recent ratings show 7 buy ratings and 1 hold rating from 8 institutions, with an average target price of 27.12 yuan [5]

核心观点 市场表现： 2025年4月7日-4月11日，我们构建的国信人形机器人指数下跌8.43%，弱于沪深300指数5.55pct，弱于上证综合指数5.32pct，年初至今上涨14.1%。拓普集团下跌 12.49%，三花智控下跌10.57%，中鼎股份下跌11.22%，银轮股份下跌9.45%，北特科技下跌13.07%，双林股份上涨6.35%，贝斯特下跌8.98%，浙江荣泰下跌10.47%，祥鑫科技 下跌8.64%，双环传动下跌6.9%，斯菱股份下跌11.77%，豪能股份下跌9.05%，精锻科技下跌10.06%，蓝黛科技下跌12.18%，凌云股份下跌5.32%，旭升集团下跌11.79%，肇民 科技下跌12.19%，爱柯迪下跌9.84%。均胜电子下跌10.93%，征和工业下跌7.3%，美力科技下跌4.98%。 资料来源:wind,国信证券经济研究所整理 注:机器人股票指数 所选择公司为 50 家在公告或公开发布的投资者交流记录或交易所 互动平台信息中披露机器人相关业务的公司,如拓普集团、三花智 控、北特科技、鸣志电器等,并以 23/1/1 为 100 基点进行设置, 按照市值加权,后续本指数股票池会保持更新、调整。 ...

核心观点 市场表现： 2025年4月7日-4月11日，我们构建的国信人形机器人指数下跌8.43%，弱于沪深300指数5.55pct，弱于上证综合指数5.32pct，年初至今上涨14.1%。拓普集团下跌 12.49%，三花智控下跌10.57%，中鼎股份下跌11.22%，银轮股份下跌9.45%，北特科技下跌13.07%，双林股份上涨6.35%，贝斯特下跌8.98%，浙江荣泰下跌10.47%，祥鑫科技 下跌8.64%，双环传动下跌6.9%，斯菱股份下跌11.77%，豪能股份下跌9.05%，精锻科技下跌10.06%，蓝黛科技下跌12.18%，凌云股份下跌5.32%，旭升集团下跌11.79%，肇民 科技下跌12.19%，爱柯迪下跌9.84%。均胜电子下跌10.93%，征和工业下跌7.3%，美力科技下跌4.98%。 行业动态 ：1）宇树发布人形机器人G1拳击视频，王兴兴为浙江省干部上课；2）长城汽车与宇树科技达成战略合作；3）均胜集团与智元合资成立宁波普智未来机器人有限公 司；4）智元创始人彭志辉参加总理座谈会；5）傅利叶发布其首款开源人形机器人Fourier N1；6）特斯拉机器人团队成员杨硕离职创业机器人；7）广汽集 ...