Core Points - The meeting held on November 6 in Shangqiu focused on promoting high-quality development in the Jiangsu, Anhui, Shandong, and Henan provinces, emphasizing collaboration among ten cities [1][2] - The ten cities involved are Xuzhou, Lianyungang, and Suqian from Jiangsu; Zaozhuang, Heze, Jining, and Linyi from Shandong; Huaibei and Suzhou from Anhui; and Shangqiu from Henan [1] - A comprehensive agreement was signed covering key areas such as logistics, social credit, circulation systems, social insurance, human resources, market regulation, bidding, medical testing mutual recognition, statistical reform, and ecological protection [1] Historical Context - The cooperation among the provinces has a long history, dating back to the 1980s with the establishment of regional economic cooperation organizations [2] - In December 2018, a meeting in Xuzhou led to the signing of the Huaihai Economic Zone Collaborative Development Strategic Cooperation Framework Agreement, marking a shift from loose to tight cooperation [2] - The "Action Plan for Collaborative Promotion of High-Quality Development in the Jiangsu, Anhui, Shandong, and Henan Provinces" is set to be released in 2024, outlining the goals and tasks for collaboration [2] Regional Advantages - The ten cities are strategically located, benefiting from major national strategies such as the rise of the central region, Yangtze River Delta integration, and ecological protection in the Yellow River basin [3] - Shangqiu is recognized as a national transportation hub and a significant coal base, with its counties developing unique industrial characteristics [3] - Notable industries in Shangqiu include diamond powder production, sports shoe manufacturing, and refrigerator production, contributing to the region's advanced manufacturing cluster [3] Development Initiatives - Shangqiu has actively engaged in building partnerships with various provinces and cities, signing cooperation agreements with 138 cities across 17 provinces [4] - The city is implementing a three-year action plan for cultural development, aiming to enhance its cultural brand and connectivity with major economic zones [4] - The collaborative efforts among the four provinces and ten cities are expected to create a vibrant picture of regional high-quality development through deep cooperation and breaking down administrative barriers [4]

Group 1 - The 10th Huashang Cultural Festival was held in Shangqiu, showcasing the city's historical significance as a commercial hub and providing a platform for cultural exchange among global Chinese merchants [2][21] - The Wangzhuang archaeological site, which dates back approximately 5000 years, was recognized as one of the top ten archaeological discoveries in 2023, highlighting the region's rich cultural heritage and its role in the development of Chinese commerce [3][21] - Shangqiu is increasingly recognized for its strategic position and the growth of local industrial clusters, particularly in manufacturing, which has been bolstered by the return of entrepreneurs and the transfer of industries from eastern regions [6][7] Group 2 - The local economy is diversifying, with significant developments in various sectors such as footwear manufacturing in Suixian, where over 600 shoe-related enterprises have established operations, achieving an annual production capacity of 350 million pairs [10] - Yucheng has become a leading producer of steel tape measures, with an annual output of nearly 1.5 billion units, capturing 85% of the domestic market and 65% of the global market [11] - The diamond industry in Zhecheng has transformed, with the region being a major producer of diamond powder and synthetic diamonds, contributing significantly to high-end manufacturing sectors [13][14] Group 3 - The refrigeration industry in Minquan is thriving, with the production of refrigerators and cold storage vehicles accounting for a significant portion of the national market, and innovations in smart manufacturing are being implemented [15][17] - The establishment of the "Minquan-Qingdao Port" sea-rail intermodal service has enhanced export capabilities for local businesses, allowing them to compete more effectively in the global market [18][19] - The overall economic development in Shangqiu is supported by a comprehensive transportation system and favorable business environment, attracting investment and fostering collaboration with various provinces [21][23]

Sales and Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company sold 8.89 million refrigerators and freezers, a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [2] - Washing machine sales reached 1.69 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 1.8% [2] - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 9.476 billion yuan, up 5.74% year-on-year [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 638 million yuan, reflecting a 14.15% increase, marking 16 consecutive quarters of positive year-on-year growth [2] - Operating cash flow reached 1.371 billion yuan, a significant increase of 74.48% year-on-year [3] Market and Export Performance - Domestic sales of refrigerators and freezers in China remained flat at 29.53 million units in the first half of 2025, while exports totaled 40.48 million units, up 4.75% [2] - The company achieved 72.47 billion yuan in overseas market revenue, a year-on-year increase of 8.99% [4] - The company has maintained its position as the top exporter of refrigerators in China for 16 consecutive years and has led exports to Europe for 17 years [4] Research and Development - R&D investment in the first half of 2025 was 311 million yuan, accounting for 3.28% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 9.16% [2] - The company received the "Special Award" from the China Federation of Commerce for its original molecular magnetic freshness technology [6] Product Sales and Strategy - Revenue from refrigerator and freezer business was 8.047 billion yuan, up 5.71% year-on-year, while washing machine revenue was 1.361 billion yuan, increasing by 5.98% [5] - The company is focusing on increasing the proportion of mid-to-high-end products, which has led to a 0.6 percentage point increase in overall gross margin [5] Automation and Manufacturing - The company has implemented advanced automation production lines and smart warehousing systems, significantly improving production efficiency [7] - The smart manufacturing project for high-end refrigerators with an annual production capacity of 2.8 million units has been successfully launched [7] Dividend Policy - The company currently has negative retained earnings and has not met the conditions for profit distribution as per its articles of association [8]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 9.476 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.74%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 638 million yuan, up 14.15% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.876 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.36%, and a net profit of 337 million yuan, growing by 0.78% year-on-year [1] Industry Overview - The Chinese refrigerator and freezer export industry faced a 27% decline in export volume to the U.S. due to tariff disruptions, leading to an overall export growth rate slowdown to 4.8% [2] - Despite the challenges, the company's overseas business grew, with revenue reaching 7.247 billion yuan, an increase of 8.99% year-on-year, and self-owned brand revenue growing by 66%, outperforming the industry average [2] - The overall gross margin for the company's overseas business was 24.21%, showing a slight decrease of 0.06 percentage points year-on-year, indicating stable margins [2] Product Performance - The company's refrigerators and freezers generated revenue of 8.047 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, with a gross margin of 25.35%, up 0.61 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The washing machine segment achieved revenue of 1.361 billion yuan, a 6.0% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 11.38%, up 0.87 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company's subsidiary, Oma Refrigerator, reported revenue of 7.035 billion yuan, a 7.1% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.092 billion yuan, up 5.7% year-on-year, maintaining its position as the top exporter of refrigerators in China for 16 consecutive years [2] Strategic Developments - The company plans to establish a new production base in Thailand, expected to add 1.4 million units of refrigerator capacity and 300,000 units of freezer capacity, enhancing its global capacity allocation and risk resilience [3] Valuation - The company is focused on governance optimization and white goods operations, maintaining a global strategy. EPS estimates for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.05, 1.15, and 1.26 yuan per share, respectively, with a revised PE valuation of 13x, leading to a target price of 13.65 yuan, reflecting a 7% upside [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for TCL Smart Home (002668) with a target price based on the last closing price of 10.68 [1][6]. Core Insights - TCL Smart Home reported a stable operation in Q2 2025, with significant overseas brand performance, achieving a revenue of 94.76 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.47%, and a net profit of 6.38 billion yuan, up 14.15% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, TCL Smart Home's revenue was 94.76 billion yuan (+5.47%), with a net profit of 6.38 billion yuan (+14.15%) and a non-recurring net profit of 6.23 billion yuan (+11.51%). In Q2 2025, revenue was 48.77 billion yuan (+2.36%), net profit was 3.37 billion yuan (+0.78%), and non-recurring net profit was 3.29 billion yuan (-1.76%) [3][4]. Product and Market Performance - The overseas self-owned brand revenue increased by 66% year-on-year in H1 2025. Revenue from refrigerators and washing machines was 80.47 billion yuan and 13.61 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 5.71% and 5.98%. The external sales growth outperformed the industry average [4][5]. Profitability and Cost Management - In Q2 2025, the gross margin was 24.20% (-1.15 percentage points), influenced by intensified industry competition and exchange rate fluctuations. However, product structure optimization contributed positively to the gross margin [5][6]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in the refrigeration sector, with ongoing capacity expansion and plans for new production bases. The forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 11.58 billion yuan, 12.85 billion yuan, and 13.79 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.07, 1.19, and 1.27 yuan [6][7].

文 ｜ 朱昱锟 王文聪 霍商贤 王伟达 美方加征关税，家电企业通过产能出海积极应对。近期，美国对华再加关税，引发资本市场关注，我们认为，主要家电企业已采取相应措施进行 应对：短期来说，出口型公司已提前进行海外备货，降低业绩影响；中长期维度，主要企业已积极布局东南亚、墨西哥产能，减少关税影响。需 要留意的是，中东、拉美等新兴市场也在起量，有助于降低美国订单波动对国内企业的影响。 ▍ 美国对华加征关税，对美弊大于利。 2 0 2 5年特朗普执政以来，3个月内对贸易伙伴持续加征关税，征收对象范围不断扩大、征收力度增强。目前美方对中国整体关税达到1 3 5%，其 中空调/冰箱税率在1 5 0%附近，中国企业在东南亚的生产基地也受关税波及。从全球家电产能分布（图1）、美国对中国家电依赖度来看，美国 对中国家电企业征收高额关税，弊大于利。根据美国作者萨拉·邦焦尔尼所写的《离开中国制造的一年》，美国民众若完全脱离中国制造的商 品，则生活成本与购物难度皆会增加。 | | 公布时间 | 生效时间 | 征收对象 | 加税幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | . 中国商品加征 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Haier Smart Home is maintained at "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 285.98 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 18.74 billion yuan, up 12.9% [15][17] - The dividend payout ratio increased to 48.01%, with a cash dividend amounting to 8.997 billion yuan [15] - The company is focusing on high-end product strategies and expanding its market share both domestically and internationally, with significant growth in emerging markets [34][40] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 285.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 18.74 billion yuan, with a quarterly revenue of 83.01 billion yuan in Q4, reflecting a 9.9% year-on-year increase [15][19] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 27.8%, while the net profit margin was 6.8% [55][57] Domestic Market - Domestic revenue reached 141.68 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 13.7% and accounting for 49.8% of total revenue [22][28] - The company continues to enhance its market share in various product categories, with significant growth in high-end brands [27][29] International Market - The overseas revenue for 2024 was 142.9 billion yuan, marking a 5.3% increase and representing 50.2% of total revenue [34][35] - The company is expanding its presence in emerging markets, with notable growth in South Asia and the Middle East [40][41] Product Segmentation - Revenue from air conditioning, refrigeration, and water appliances showed positive growth, with air conditioning revenue increasing by 7.4% [52][57] - The company is focusing on high-end product offerings and has seen a rise in market share across various segments [41][50] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing digital transformation and cost-reduction strategies to enhance operational efficiency [55] - Ongoing mergers and acquisitions are aimed at strengthening the company's position in the HVAC industry and expanding its product portfolio [15][34]