Workflow
动力煤期货
icon
Search documents
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年9月23日)-20250923
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-23 02:14
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on September 23, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads. 3. Summary by Catalog Power Coal - The basis data from September 16 to 22, 2025, shows that the basis on September 22 was - 96.4 yuan/ton, gradually increasing from - 113.4 yuan/ton on September 16. The spreads of 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, and 9 - month vs 5 - month were all 0.0 [1][2] Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: The basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt from September 16 to 22, 2025, and their price ratios and basis values are presented. For example, on September 22, the basis of INE crude oil was 84.22 yuan/ton [7] - **Chemical Commodities**: - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from September 16 to 22, 2025, are provided. For instance, the basis of rubber on September 22 was - 915 yuan/ton [9] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol for 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, and 9 - month vs 5 - month are given. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of rubber was - 20 yuan/ton [11] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from September 16 to 22, 2025, are presented. For example, on September 22, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2198 yuan/ton [11] Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from September 16 to 22, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of rebar on September 22 was 105.0 yuan/ton [21] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal for 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9(10) - month vs 1 - month, and 9(10) - month vs 5 - month are provided. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of rebar was 58.0 yuan/ton [20] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from September 16 to 22, 2025, are presented. For example, on September 22, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.92 [20] Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from September 16 to 22, 2025, are given. For example, the basis of copper on September 22 was - 30 yuan/ton [28] - **London Market**: The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on September 22, 2025, are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was (72.44) [34] Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from September 16 to 22, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on September 22 was 148 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of various agricultural products for 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, and 9 - month vs 5 - month are given. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of soybeans No.1 was 41 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from September 16 to 22, 2025, are presented. For example, on September 22, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.81 [40] Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from September 16 to 22, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on September 22 was 38.61 [51] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 for next - month vs current - month and next - quarter vs current - quarter are provided. For example, the next - month vs current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 15.6 [51]
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年9月19日)-20250919
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 03:29
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures products on September 19, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads. 3. Summary by Directory Power Coal - The basis data for power coal from September 12 to September 18, 2025, is presented. On September 18, the basis was - 102.4 yuan/ton, showing a narrowing trend compared to previous days [1][2]. Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: Basis data for fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are provided. For example, on September 18, the basis of INE crude oil was 5.25 yuan/ton [7]. - **Chemical Commodities**: - Basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are given. For instance, on September 18, the basis of rubber was - 770 yuan/ton [9]. - Inter - period spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, etc., and inter - variety spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc., from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are presented [10]. Black Metals - **Inter - period Spreads**: Inter - period spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided, including 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9(10) - month minus 1 - month, and 9(10) - month minus 5 - month spreads [20]. - **Inter - variety Spreads**: Inter - variety spreads such as the ratio of rebar to iron ore, rebar to coke, and coke to coking coal, as well as the difference between rebar and hot - rolled coil from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are shown [20]. - **Basis**: Basis data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are presented [21]. Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: Basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin in the domestic market from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are provided [28]. - **London Market**: LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on September 18, 2025, are presented [33]. Agricultural Products - **Basis**: Basis data for soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are given [38]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Inter - period spreads for various agricultural products, including soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, etc., are provided [38]. - **Inter - variety Spreads**: Inter - variety spreads such as the ratio of soybeans to corn, soybean oil to soybean meal, and the difference between soybean meal and rapeseed meal from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are presented [38]. Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: Basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from September 12 to September 18, 2025, are provided [50]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Inter - period spreads for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, including the difference between the next - month contract and the current - month contract and the next - quarter contract and the current - quarter contract, are presented [50].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20250918
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-18 02:02
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report is a daily report on futures product arbitrage data from Baocheng Futures on September 18, 2025, presenting basis, inter - period, and cross - variety data for various futures products [1][5][21][27][39][51] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Power Coal - The basis data for power coal from September 11 to September 17, 2025, shows that the basis on September 17 was - 108.4 yuan/ton, gradually increasing from - 126.4 yuan/ton on September 11. The 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 inter - period spreads were all 0.0 during this period [2] 3.2 Energy and Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - For energy commodities, basis data for fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt are provided from September 11 to September 17, 2025. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on September 17 was 20.13 yuan/ton [7] 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from September 11 to September 17, 2025, shows different trends. For instance, the basis of rubber on September 17 was - 830 yuan/ton, improving from - 1005 yuan/ton on September 11 [9] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 inter - period spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 inter - period spread of PVC was 301 yuan/ton [10] - **Cross - variety Spreads**: The cross - variety spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from September 11 to September 17, 2025, are given. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread on September 17 was 2282 yuan/ton [10] 3.3 Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from September 11 to September 17, 2025, shows fluctuations. For example, the basis of rebar on September 17 was 72.0 yuan/ton [21] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1, 9(10) - 1, and 9(10) - 5 inter - period spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 inter - period spread of rebar was 71.0 yuan/ton [20] - **Cross - variety Spreads**: The cross - variety spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from September 11 to September 17, 2025, are presented. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio on September 17 was 3.94 [20] 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from September 11 to September 17, 2025, shows different changes. For example, the basis of copper on September 17 was 20 yuan/ton [28] 3.4.2 London Market - Data for LME non - ferrous metals on September 17, 2025, including LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF price, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss, are provided. For example, the LME premium/discount of copper was (71.13) [33] 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from September 11 to September 17, 2025, shows trends. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on September 17 was 165 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 inter - period spreads for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, etc., are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 inter - period spread of soybeans No.1 was 45 yuan/ton [40] - **Cross - variety Spreads**: The cross - variety spreads such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from September 11 to September 17, 2025, are given. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio on September 17 was 1.81 [40] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from September 11 to September 17, 2025, shows changes. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on September 17 was - 2.18 [52] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The next - month - current - month and next - quarter - current - quarter inter - period spreads for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are provided. For example, the next - month - current - month inter - period spread of CSI 300 was - 10.2 [52]
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20250917
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 02:00
Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on September 17, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, aiming to provide data reference for investors [1][5][21][27][40][51]. 3. Summary by Category 3.1 Power Coal - **Base Difference**: On September 16, 2025, the base difference was - 113.4 yuan/ton, showing a narrowing trend compared with previous days [2]. - **Spread**: The spreads of 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month were all 0.0 [2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: The base differences of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and other energy commodities on different dates are presented, such as the base difference of INE crude oil being 16.04 yuan/ton on September 16, 2025 [7]. - **Chemical Commodities** - **Base Difference**: The base differences of rubber, methanol, PTA, etc. on different dates are provided, for example, the base difference of rubber was - 890 yuan/ton on September 16, 2025 [9]. - **Spread**: The spreads of 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month for various chemical products were mostly 0.0. The cross - variety spreads like LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc. on different dates are also given, e.g., the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2296 yuan/ton on September 16, 2025 [10]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Spread** - **Cross - Period**: The cross - period spreads of rebar, iron ore, etc. are shown, for example, the 5 - 1 month spread of rebar was 68.0 yuan/ton [20]. - **Cross - Variety**: The cross - variety spreads such as screw/ore, screw/coke on different dates are presented, e.g., the screw/ore ratio was 3.93 on September 16, 2025 [20]. - **Base Difference**: The base differences of rebar, iron ore, etc. on different dates are provided, like the base difference of rebar was 114.0 yuan/ton on September 16, 2025 [21]. 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: The domestic base differences of copper, aluminum, etc. on different dates are given, for example, the base difference of copper was - 80 yuan/ton on September 16, 2025 [28]. - **London Market**: The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss of LME non - ferrous metals on September 16, 2025 are presented, such as the LME spread of copper being (59.26) [34]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Base Difference**: The base differences of soybeans, soybean meal, etc. on different dates are provided, for example, the base difference of soybeans was 136 yuan/ton on September 16, 2025 [40]. - **Spread** - **Cross - Period**: The cross - period spreads of various agricultural products are shown, e.g., the 5 - 1 month spread of soybeans was 47 [40]. - **Cross - Variety**: The cross - variety spreads such as soybean/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal on different dates are presented, like the soybean/corn ratio was 1.81 on September 16, 2025 [40]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Base Difference**: On September 16, 2025, the base differences of CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. were 6.54, - 2.78, etc. respectively [52]. - **Spread**: The cross - period spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. are given, for example, the next - month - current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 10.0 [52].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20250916
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-16 02:12
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties of Baocheng Futures on September 16, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1][5][21][27][39][50]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - The report shows the basis and spread data of power coal from September 9 to September 15, 2025. The basis on September 15 was - 115.4 yuan/ton, while the spreads of 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 were all 0 [2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - Data on the basis, ratio, and other indicators of energy commodities such as fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from September 9 to September 15, 2025 are presented. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on September 15 was 99.61 yuan/ton, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1408 [7]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - The basis, spread, and cross - variety spread data of chemical commodities such as rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP are provided. For instance, the basis of rubber on September 15 was - 995 yuan/ton, and the LLDPE - PVC spread on September 15 was 2304 yuan/ton [9][10]. 3.3 Black Metals - Cross - period and cross - variety spread data of black metals including rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are given. For example, the 5 - 1 cross - period spread of rebar was 65.0 yuan/ton, and the screw/ore ratio on September 15 was 3.92 [20]. 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of non - ferrous metals such as copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from September 9 to September 15, 2025 are presented. For example, the basis of copper on September 15 was 10 yuan/ton [28]. 3.4.2 London Market - Data on LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss of LME non - ferrous metals on September 15, 2025 are provided. For example, the LME spread of copper was (61.93), and the Shanghai - London ratio was 8.02 [34]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - The basis, cross - period, and cross - variety spread data of agricultural products such as soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, and rapeseed meal are provided. For example, the basis of soybeans on September 15 was 121 yuan/ton, and the soybean/corn ratio on September 15 was 1.81 [39]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - The basis and cross - period spread data of stock index futures including CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from September 9 to September 15, 2025 are presented. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on September 15 was 5.26, and the next - month - to - current - month spread was - 9.2 [51].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20250915
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 02:54
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025 年 9 月 15 日) 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | 动力煤 (元/吨) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/09/12 | -121.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/09/11 | -126.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/09/10 | -126.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/09/09 | -126.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/09/08 | -124.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 二、能源化工 www.bcqhgs.com 2 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1-5层 2025/09/12 2025/09/11 2025/09/10 2025/09/09 ...
宝城期货动力煤早报-20250908
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-08 02:26
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core View of the Report - The reference view for thermal coal spot is "oscillation". The core logic is that as of September 4, the total coal inventory at 9 ports in the Bohai Rim was 22.552 million tons, with a weekly de - stocking of 32,500 tons and 52,700 tons lower than the same period last year. The rapid de - stocking of coal at northern ports during the peak summer demand period this year was one of the main factors supporting the previous rise in coal prices. With the subsequent weakening of demand, the port de - stocking speed will gradually slow down and start to accumulate inventory. The off - season expectation drives the price to run weakly, but there was positive news about "anti - involution" in the market this Friday. Although the coal industry is not in the scope of the nine "anti - involution" industries in the rumor, it is still necessary to pay attention to whether the coal industry association and coal enterprises will introduce new policies or self - discipline measures to cooperate with the "anti - involution" work [5] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog Variety View Reference - Time cycle definition: Short - term is within one week, and medium - term is from two weeks to one month [1] Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Commodity Futures Black Sector - For thermal coal spot, the intraday and medium - term reference view is "oscillation". The core logic is related to port coal inventory changes and market news about "anti - involution" [5]
甲醇聚烯烃早报-20250905
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 05:09
Group 1: Methanol and Polyolefins Overall - The report is a methanol polyolefins morning report from the energy and chemical team of the research center on September 5, 2025 [1][2] Group 2: Methanol Market - The trading logic is that port pressure is transmitted to the inland. The inland has seasonal stocking demand and new device stocking increment from Lianhong, but ports will cause continuous backflow impact. The current price is based on inland prices, and the inland situation is crucial later [2] - Xingxing is expected to start operation in early September, but inventory is still accumulating. Backflow can relieve port pressure but will affect inland valuation. Currently, valuation and inventory are average, and the driving force is weak. It's necessary to wait before bottom - fishing [2] - Import variables include India's purchase of Iranian products and unplanned maintenance [2] Group 3: Polyethylene Market - Two - oil inventory is neutral year - on - year. Upstream two - oil and coal chemical industries are destocking, social inventory is flat. Downstream raw material and finished product inventories are neutral. Overall inventory is neutral. The 09 basis is about - 110 in North China and - 50 in East China [3] - External markets in Europe, America, and Southeast Asia are stable. Import profit is around - 200 with no further increment for now. Non - standard HD injection molding prices are stable, other spreads are volatile, and LD is weakening [3] - September maintenance is flat compared to the previous month. Recently, domestic linear production has decreased month - on - month. Attention should be paid to LL - HD conversion and US quotations. New device pressure in 2025 is large, and the commissioning of new devices should be monitored [3] Group 4: Polypropylene Market - Polypropylene upstream two - oil and mid - stream are destocking. In terms of valuation, the basis is - 60, non - standard spreads are neutral, and import profit is around - 700. Exports have been good this year [3] - Non - standard spreads are neutral. European and American markets are stable. PDH profit is around - 400, propylene is volatile, and powder production start - up is stable. Drawstring production scheduling is neutral [3] - Future supply is expected to increase slightly month - on - month. Current downstream orders are average, and raw material and finished product inventories are neutral. Under the background of over - capacity, the 01 contract is expected to have a slightly excessive supply pressure. If exports continue to increase or there are many PDH device maintenance, the supply pressure can be alleviated to a neutral level [3] Group 5: PVC Market - The basis of 01 contract is maintained at - 270, and the factory - delivery basis is - 480. Downstream start - up is seasonally weak, and the willingness to hold goods at low prices is strong. Mid - and upstream inventories are continuously accumulating [3] - Summer seasonal maintenance of northwest devices has a load center between the spring maintenance and the high production in Q1. Pay attention to production commissioning and export continuity in Q4. Near - term export orders have slightly declined [3] - Coal sentiment is positive, blue - carbon cost is stable, and calcium carbide profit is under pressure due to PVC maintenance. The counter - offer for caustic soda exports is FOB380. Pay attention to whether subsequent export orders can support high - level caustic soda. PVC comprehensive profit is - 100 [3] - Currently, the static inventory contradiction is accumulating slowly, cost is stable, downstream performance is average, and the macro situation is neutral. Pay attention to exports, coal prices, commercial housing sales, terminal orders, and start - up [3]
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20250905
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 02:00
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report is a daily report on futures variety arbitrage data from Baocheng Futures on September 5, 2025, presenting the basis, inter - period, and inter - variety data of various futures varieties including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Thermal Coal - The basis data of thermal coal from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are - 111.4, - 113.4, - 117.4, - 120.4, - 121.4 yuan/ton respectively, and the 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads are all 0 [1][2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - The basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are presented, such as the basis of INE crude oil on September 4 is 142.49 yuan/ton, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt is 0.1382 [7]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of rubber on September 4 is - 910 yuan/ton [9]. - **Inter - period**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of rubber is 75 yuan/ton [11]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are presented. For example, on September 4, LLDPE - PVC is 2354 yuan/ton [11]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Inter - period**: The 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of rebar is 48.0 yuan/ton [21]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety data such as the ratio of rebar to iron ore, rebar to coke, coke to coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are presented. For example, on September 4, the ratio of rebar to iron ore is 3.97 [21]. - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are given. For example, the basis of rebar on September 4 is 93.0 yuan/ton [22]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are presented. For example, the basis of copper on September 4 is 250 yuan/ton [29]. 3.4.2 London Market - The LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on September 4, 2025, are provided. For example, the LME premium/discount of copper is (67.16) [35]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc. from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are given. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on September 4 is 95 yuan/ton [42]. - **Inter - period**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of various agricultural products are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of soybeans No.1 is 46 yuan/ton [42]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety data such as the ratio of soybeans No.1 to corn, soybeans No.2 to corn, soybean oil to soybean meal, etc. from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are provided. For example, on September 4, the ratio of soybeans No.1 to corn is 1.80 [42]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from August 29, 2025, to September 4, 2025, are presented. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on September 4 is 15.81 [54]. - **Inter - period**: The spreads of the next - month minus the current - month and the next - quarter minus the current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are given. For example, the next - month minus the current - month spread of CSI 300 is - 9.4 [54].
宝城期货动力煤早报-20250904
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-09-04 01:31
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report believes that the spot price of thermal coal is expected to remain weakly running in the near - term, and the callback space of coal prices in this round may be relatively limited due to the supply - side support brought by the "anti - involution" policy [4]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Content 1. Price and Market Situation - The reference view for the spot price of thermal coal is "oscillation" in the short - term and medium - term. The market atmosphere has turned weak again as the peak season for thermal coal is coming to an end, but the price decline space is limited [4]. 2. Supply - side Factors - In late August, safety supervision in major production areas remained strict. With the approaching of the September 3rd parade, the frequency and thoroughness of coal mine safety supervision increased, suppressing coal mine production [4]. 3. Demand - side Factors - Although the daily consumption of thermal coal remains high in the short - term, as the off - season approaches, terminal enterprises are becoming more and more hesitant, putting downward pressure on coal prices [4]. 4. Inventory Factors - As of August 22, the total coal inventory of 9 ports in the Bohai Rim was 2.3264 million tons, with a significant monthly destocking of 370,500 tons. The inventory was 76,600 tons lower than the same period last year, and the high - inventory advantage in the first half of the year has been basically digested [4].