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国泰君安期货商品研究晨报:黑色系列-20260331
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-03-31 01:46
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Views of the Report - Iron ore: There are expectations of a缓和 in negotiations, leading to a decline in ore prices [2][4]. - Rebar and hot - rolled coil: They are expected to fluctuate repeatedly [2][7]. - Ferrosilicon: Cost expectations are slightly rising, and bullish sentiment is high [2]. - Silicomanganese: Affected by energy information, it will have wide - range fluctuations [2][12]. - Coke: A round of price increase is expected to be implemented this week, with wide - range fluctuations [2][15]. - Coking coal: It will have wide - range fluctuations [2][16]. - Steam coal: Sentiment has weakened, and there is short - term callback pressure [2][19]. - Logs: The near - term prices are stronger than the long - term, and the positive spread is widening [2][21]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Iron Ore - **Fundamentals**: The closing price of I2605 was 813.0 yuan/ton, up 1.0 yuan/ton (0.12%); the position was 371,421 hands, a decrease of 15,823 hands. The prices of various iron ore grades showed different changes [4]. - **Macro and Industry News**: Previous structural contradictions drove iron ore prices up. Recently, there are expectations of a缓和 in negotiations, and the driving force is expected to weaken. The 2026 government work report aims to stabilize expectations, with GDP growth adjusted to 4.5% - 5.0%. The 247 steel enterprises' daily hot metal output increased by 2.94 tons to 231.09 tons [4]. - **Trend Intensity**: - 1, indicating a bearish outlook [5]. Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil - **Fundamentals**: For RB2605, the closing price was 3,139 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan/ton (0.58%); the trading volume was 616,755 hands, and the position was 976,441 hands, a decrease of 99,718 hands. For HC2605, the closing price was 3,308 yuan/ton, up 11 yuan/ton (0.33%); the trading volume was 283,214 hands, and the position was 846,816 hands, a decrease of 72,722 hands. Spot prices in different regions showed small increases [7]. - **Macro and Industry News**: In February 2026, China's steel exports increased in volume and price, while imports decreased. Steel production and inventory data showed different trends in March. Diplomatic efforts were made to promote peace talks. Steel production and inventory data of key enterprises in March showed various changes. Real estate investment decreased, while industrial added value and fixed - asset investment increased [8][9]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 for both rebar and hot - rolled coil, indicating a neutral outlook [9]. Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese - **Fundamentals**: For ferrosilicon 2605, the closing price was 6066 yuan/ton, up 54 yuan; for ferrosilicon 2607, it was 6190 yuan/ton, up 44 yuan. For silicomanganese 2605, the closing price was 6588 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan; for silicomanganese 2607, it was 6632 yuan/ton, up 12 yuan. Spot prices of ferrosilicon and silicomanganese also changed [12]. - **Macro and Industry News**: There were price quotes for different grades of ferrosilicon and silicomanganese. Manganese ore inventory in ports changed. Some silicon - iron plants had equipment maintenance and复产. The output and capacity utilization of silicon - iron enterprises in different regions changed. A mining company raised its offer price. Some steel mills had procurement plans [12][14]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 for both ferrosilicon and silicomanganese, indicating a neutral outlook [14]. Coke and Coking Coal - **Fundamentals**: For JM2605, the closing price was 1214 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan (- 0.4%); for J2605, it was 1753.5 yuan/ton, up 1.5 yuan (0.1%). Spot prices of coking coal and coke in different regions had little change [16]. - **Macro and Industry News**: CCI metallurgical coal index prices remained stable. The coking coal online auction had a 7% failure rate, and prices mostly declined due to the cost pressure on coke enterprises [16]. - **Trend Intensity**: 0 for both coke and coking coal, indicating a neutral outlook [18]. Steam Coal - **Fundamentals**: The prices of steam coal in different regions and ports showed different changes, and the overseas prices also had fluctuations. The long - term agreement prices in March increased slightly [19]. - **Macro and Industry News**: On March 30, the port market sentiment weakened, with upstream quotes slightly decreasing and downstream demand weak. In January - February 2026, the national raw coal output decreased slightly [20]. - **Trend Intensity**: - 1, indicating a bearish outlook [20]. Logs - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices, trading volumes, and positions of different log futures contracts showed different trends. Spot prices of different types of logs in different regions also had changes, and the spreads between contracts and between spot and futures changed [21]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The 2026 government work report aimed to stabilize expectations, with GDP growth adjusted to 4.5% - 5.0% [23]. - **Trend Intensity**: - 1, indicating a bearish outlook [24].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报-20260331
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-03-31 01:10
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View No clear core view presented in the content. The report mainly provides daily arbitrage data for various futures varieties on March 31, 2026. 3. Summary by Directory I. Thermal Coal - The report shows the basis and spread data of thermal coal from March 24 to March 30, 2026. The basis values were -50.4, -45.4, -41.4, -40.4, -40.4 respectively, and the spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) were all 0.0 during this period [2]. II. Energy and Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: It includes basis data of fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from March 24 to March 30, 2026. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on March 30 was 540.36, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1641 [8]. - **Chemical Commodities**: - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from March 24 to March 30, 2026 are presented. For instance, the basis of rubber on March 30 was -190 [10]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The spreads of 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rubber was -800 [11]. - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from March 24 to March 30, 2026 are provided. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread on March 30 was 3360 [11]. III. Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from March 24 to March 30, 2026 are shown. For example, the basis of rebar on March 30 was 111.0 [20][21]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The spreads of 5 - 1, 9(10) - 1, and 9(10) - 5 for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rebar was -44.0 [20]. - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The ratios of rebar to iron ore, rebar to coke, coke to coking coal, and the spread of rebar - hot rolled coil from March 24 to March 30, 2026 are provided. For example, the rebar to iron ore ratio on March 30 was 3.85 [20]. IV. Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from March 24 to March 30, 2026 are given. For example, the basis of copper on March 30 was -380 [30]. - **London Market**: The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on March 30, 2026 are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was (82.55) [33]. V. Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc. from March 24 to March 30, 2026 are shown. For example, the basis of soybeans on March 30 was 6 [40]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The spreads of 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 for various agricultural products are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of soybeans was -54 [40]. - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The ratios and spreads of various agricultural products from March 24 to March 30, 2026 are presented. For example, the ratio of soybeans to corn on March 30 was 1.94 [40]. VI. Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from March 24 to March 30, 2026 are given. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on March 30 was 77.95 [51]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The spreads of next - month to current - month and next - quarter to current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are provided. For example, the next - month to current - month spread of CSI 300 was -19.8 [51].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年3月30日)-20260330
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-03-30 03:01
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on March 30, 2026, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads [1][6][23][29][40][51] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - The report shows the basis and inter - period spreads of power coal from March 23 to March 27, 2026. The basis values are - 58.4, - 50.4, - 45.4, - 41.4, and - 40.4 respectively, and the inter - period spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) are all 0 [1][2] 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - From March 23 to March 27, 2026, the basis of INE crude oil is 339.44, 345.10, 259.80, 50.55, and 105.35 respectively; the basis of fuel oil is 374.15, 208.78, 103.65, 222.50, and 151.50 respectively; the crude oil / asphalt ratio is 0.1762, 0.1686, 0.1668, 0.1624, and 0.1641 respectively [7] 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - Inter - period spreads: For rubber, 5 - 1 is - 820, 9 - 1 is - 765, 9 - 5 is 55; for methanol, 5 - 1 is 369, 9 - 1 is 107, 9 - 5 is - 262; etc. - Inter - variety spreads: For example, on March 27, 2026, LLDPE - PVC is 3187, LLDPE - PP is - 428, etc. - Basis: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, etc. from March 23 to March 27, 2026 are provided [11][12] 3.3 Black Metals - Inter - period spreads: For example, for rebar, 5 - 1 is - 51.0, 9(10) - 1 is - 24.0, 9(10) - 5 is 27.0; for iron ore, 5 - 1 is 45.5, 9(10) - 1 is 19.5, 9(10) - 5 is - 26.0 - Inter - variety spreads: On March 27, 2026, the rebar / iron ore ratio is 3.84, the rebar / coke ratio is 1.7834, etc. - Basis: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from March 23 to March 27, 2026 are provided [22][23] 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from March 23 to March 27, 2026 are presented, such as - 380 for copper on March 27, 2026 [32] 3.4.2 London Market - On March 27, 2026, the LME spreads of copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. are provided, along with the Shanghai - London ratio, CIF, domestic spot price, and import profit and loss [35] 3.5 Agricultural Products - Basis: The basis data of soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, etc. from March 23 to March 27, 2026 are given, such as 27 for soybeans on March 27, 2026 - Inter - period spreads: For example, for soybeans, 5 - 1 is - 50, 9 - 1 is - 6, 9 - 5 is 44 - Inter - variety spreads: On March 27, 2026, the soybean / corn ratio is 1.93, the soybean oil / soybean meal ratio is 2.95, etc. [41] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - Basis: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from March 23 to March 27, 2026 are provided, such as 75.17 for CSI 300 on March 27, 2026 - Inter - period spreads: For CSI 300, the next - month - current - month spread is - 19.0, the next - quarter - current - quarter spread is - 81.8; for SSE 50, the next - month - current - month spread is - 4.2, the next - quarter - current - quarter spread is - 40.4; etc. [52]
基差统计表-20260328
Mai Ke Qi Huo· 2026-03-28 08:29
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core View - There is no clear core view presented in the given content. The document mainly provides a table of futures and spot prices, along with related data such as basis rates and price differences for various commodities. 3. Summary by Related Catalog Metals - **Copper**: The主力基差率 is 0.42%, with a 1.00% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 6556, and the主力 contract price is 95380 [3]. - **Aluminum**: The主力基差率 is -0.38%, with a 0.63% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 23760, and the主力 contract price is 23795 [3]. - **Zinc**: The主力基差率 is -0.17%, with a 0.43% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 22920, and the主力 contract price is 22950 [3]. - **Lead**: The主力基差率 is -1.09%, with a -0.06% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 16325, and the主力 contract price is 16485 [3]. - **Tin**: The主力基差率 is 1.52%, with a 2.13% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 357600, and the主力 contract price is 352250 [3]. - **Nickel**: The主力基差率 is 1.85%, with a 0.76% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 137800, and the主力 contract price is 135270 [3]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The主力基差率 is 5.93%, with a -0.80% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9200, and the主力 contract price is 8530 [3]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The主力基差率 is -0.64%, with a 0.60% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 157200, and the主力 contract price is 157920 [3]. - **Gold**: The主力基差率 is 0.05%, with a -0.03% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1014.44, and the主力 contract price is 1011.04 [3]. - **Silver**: The主力基差率 is 0.06%, with a -0.42% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 18121, and the主力 contract price is 18174 [3]. Black Industry - **Rebar**: The主力基差率 is 2.81%, with a 0.42% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3220, and the主力 contract price is 3132 [3]. - **Hot Rolled Coil**: The主力基差率 is -1.00%, with a -0.88% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3280, and the主力 contract price is 3313 [3]. - **Iron Ore**: The主力基差率 is 4.97%, with a 2.63% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 846.6, and the主力 contract price is 806.5 [3]. - **Coke**: The主力基差率 is -8%, with a 0.56% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1625, and the主力 contract price is 1776 [3]. - **Coking Coal**: The主力基差率 is 0.52%, with a 0.68% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1247.5, and the主力 contract price is 1241 [3]. - **Steam Coal**: The主力基差率 is -5.7%, with a 0.75% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 755, and the主力 contract price is 801.4 [3]. - **Silicon Iron**: The主力基差率 is -7.03%, with a -0.80% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5660, and the主力 contract price is 6166 [3]. - **Ferromanganese**: The主力基差率 is -5.2%, with a -0.18% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 6150, and the主力 contract price is 6492 [3]. - **Stainless Steel**: The主力基差率 is -0.97%, with a -1.39% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 14350, and the主力 contract price is 14490 [3]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: The主力基差率 is 8.80%, with a -1.30% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3190, and the主力 contract price is 2932 [3]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The主力基差率 is 9.88%, with a -0.06% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 2570, and the主力 contract price is 2371 [3]. - **Soybean Oil**: The主力基差率 is 3.16%, with a -1.22% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8820, and the主力 contract price is 8480 [3]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The主力基差率 is 5.39%, with a -0.90% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 10230, and the主力 contract price is 9707 [3]. - **Peanut**: The主力基差率 is 10.00%, with a 0.43% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9000, and the主力 contract price is 8136 [3]. - **Palm Oil**: The主力基差率 is 0.42%, with a -1.20% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9510, and the主力 contract price is 9510 [3]. - **Corn**: The主力基差率 is 1.01%, with a 0.09% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 2400, and the主力 contract price is 2376 [3]. - **Corn Starch**: The主力基差率 is 4.96%, with a 0.34% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 2900, and the主力 contract price is 2763 [3]. - **Apple**: The主力基差率 is not provided, with a 0.80% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8500, and the主力 contract price is 9978 [3]. - **Egg**: The主力基差率 is -6.136%, with a -0.25% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3200, and the主力 contract price is 3410 [3]. - **Live Pig**: The主力基差率 is -3.3%, with a -0.37% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9650, and the主力 contract price is 12595 [3]. - **Cotton**: The主力基差率 is 8.94%, with a -1.03% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 16711, and the主力 contract price is 15340 [3]. Soft Commodities - **Sugar**: The主力基差率 is 0.94%, with a 0.00% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5480, and the主力 contract price is 5429 [3]. - **Methanol**: The主力基差率 is 0.92%, with a -2.14% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3118, and the主力 contract price is 2883 [3]. - **Ethanol**: The主力基差率 is -1.21%, with a -0.06% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 4975, and the主力 contract price is 5036 [3]. - **PTA**: The主力基差率 is -1.40%, with a -0.44% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 6500, and the主力 contract price is 6592 [3]. - **Polypropylene**: The主力基差率 is 3.62%, with a 3.23% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9000, and the主力 contract price is 8975 [3]. - **Styrene**: The主力基差率 is -1.04%, with a -3.2% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 10000, and the主力 contract price is 10105 [3]. - **Short Fiber**: The主力基差率 is -0.12%, with a -3.10% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8100, and the主力 contract price is 8008 [3]. - **Plastic**: The主力基差率 is -0.40%, with a -3.00% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8680, and the主力 contract price is 8715 [3]. - **PVC**: The主力基差率 is -1.46%, with a -2.77% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5620, and the主力 contract price is 5703 [3]. - **Rubber**: The主力基差率 is -0.79%, with a -0.02% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 16300, and the主力 contract price is 16430 [3]. - **20 -号胶**: The主力基差率 is 1.93%, with a -1.07% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 13827, and the主力 contract price is 13565 [3]. - **Soda Ash**: The主力基差率 is -1.61%, with a 0.01% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1224, and the主力 contract price is 1244 [3]. - **Urea**: The主力基差率 is -0.16%, with a 0.05% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1860, and the主力 contract price is 1863 [3]. - **Bottle Chip**: The主力基差率 is 2.37%, with a -2.69% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8300, and the主力 contract price is 8108 [3]. - **Paper Pulp**: The主力基差率 is 0.26%, with a 0.26% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5238, and the主力 contract price is 5224 [3]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: The主力基差率 is -6.11%, with a -1.41% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 675.4, and the主力 contract price is 723.9 [3]. - **Fuel Oil**: The主力基差率 is 9.44%, with a -2.38% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 4758, and the主力 contract price is 4348 [3]. - **Asphalt**: The主力基差率 is -2.94%, with a -2.24% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 4280, and the主力 contract price is 4410 [3]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The主力基差率 is 15.83%, with a -10.34% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5976, and the主力 contract price is 5159 [3]. - **LPG**: The主力基差率 is 9.89%, with a 6.06% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 7198, and the主力 contract price is 6550 [3]. Stock Index - **CSI 300**: The主力基差率 is 1.97%, with a 0.00% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 4537.5, and the主力 contract price is 4505.6 [3]. - **SSE 50**: The主力基差率 is 1.04%, with a 0.32% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 2859.5, and the主力 contract price is 2848 [3]. - **CSI 500**: The主力基差率 is 3.16%, with a 0.62% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 7767.7, and the主力 contract price is 7685.6 [3].
甲醇聚烯烃早报-20260327
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-03-27 01:55
Report Information - Report Name: Methanol Polyolefin Morning Report [1] - Date: March 27, 2026 [1] - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center [1] Methanol - **Price Data**: From March 20 to March 26, 2026, the price of动力煤期货 remained at 801. The江苏现货 price increased from 3085 to 3265, the华南现货 price from 3090 to 3295, the鲁南折盘面 price from 2880 to 3025, the西北折盘面 price from 2915 to 3020. The日度变化 of江苏 and华南 spot prices were 220 and 155 respectively, and the鲁南折盘面 price increased by 15 [2]. - **Profit Data**: The进口利润 remained unchanged, the主力基差 increased by 40, and the盘面MTO利润 remained at -1106 [2]. Plastic - **Price Data**: From March 20 to March 26, 2026, the东北亚乙烯 price remained at 1400 on March 25 and 26. The华北LL price decreased from 8600 to 8540, the华东LL price from 8650 to 8750, the华东LD price from 10600 to 11000, and the华东HD price from 8700 to 8950. The日度变化 of华北LL and华东LL were -35 and -100 respectively, and the华东LD price increased by 200 [5]. - **Profit and Inventory Data**: The进口利润 remained unchanged, the主力期货 price increased by 52, the基差 decreased by 50, the两油库存 remained at 83, and the仓单 remained at 4652 [5]. PP - **Price Data**: From March 20 to March 26, 2026, the东北亚丙烯 price decreased from 9000 to 8800, the山东丙烯 price remained at 1230 on March 25 and 26, the华东PP price increased from 8615 to 8950, the华北PP price from 8700 to 8975, and the山东粉料 price from 8760 to 8830. The日度变化 of东北亚丙烯 was -170, and the华东PP and华北PP prices increased by 335 and 275 respectively [10]. - **Profit and Inventory Data**: The出口利润 remained unchanged, the主力期货 price increased by 145, the基差 remained at -150, the两油库存 decreased by 280, and the仓单 remained at 26 [10]. PVC - **Price Data**: From March 20 to March 26, 2026, the西北电石 price remained at 2750 on March 25 and 26, the山东烧碱 price remained at 742, the电石法 - 华东 price decreased from 5820 to 5510, and the电石法 - 西北 price decreased from 5600 to 5350. The日度变化 of电石法 - 华东 and电石法 - 西北 were -10 and -100 respectively [10][11]. - **Profit Data**: The西北综合利润 and华北综合利润 remained at 356 and -244 respectively, and the基差 (高端交割品) remained at -170 [10][11].
一、动力煤:宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年3月27日)-20260327
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-03-27 01:17
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on March 27, 2026, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, aiming to provide data reference for investors [1][6][21][27][38][49]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - The report shows the basis and spread data of power coal from March 20 to March 26, 2026. The basis values are - 66.4, - 58.4, - 50.4, - 45.4, and - 41.4 respectively, while the spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month are all 0.0 [1][2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - It provides the basis data of energy commodities such as fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from March 20 to March 26, 2026 [8]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from March 20 to March 26, 2026 are presented [10]. - **Inter - period Spread**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given [11]. - **Inter - variety Spread**: The inter - variety spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from March 20 to March 26, 2026 are provided [11]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Inter - period Spread**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month (10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month (10) minus 5 - month for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. The main contracts of rebar are in January, May, and October [20]. - **Inter - variety Spread**: The inter - variety spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from March 20 to March 26, 2026 are given [20]. - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from March 20 to March 26, 2026 are provided [21]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from March 20 to March 26, 2026 are presented [28]. 3.4.2 London Market - The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on March 26, 2026 are provided [33]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybean No.1, soybean No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from March 20 to March 26, 2026 are presented [39]. - **Inter - period Spread**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month for soybean No.1, soybean No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are given [39]. - **Inter - variety Spread**: The inter - variety spreads of soybean No.1/corn, soybean No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from March 20 to March 26, 2026 are provided [39]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from March 20 to March 26, 2026 are presented [50]. - **Inter - period Spread**: The inter - period spreads of next - month minus current - month and next - quarter minus current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are given [50].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年3月26日)-20260326
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-03-26 03:07
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on March 26, 2026, including power coal, energy chemicals, black commodities, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - The basis for power coal on March 25, 2026, was - 45.4 yuan/ton, showing an increase compared to previous days. The spreads of 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, and 9 - month vs 5 - month were all 0.0 [1][2] 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - The basis data for fuel oil, INE crude oil, and other energy commodities are provided from March 19 to March 25, 2026. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on March 25 was 345.10 yuan/ton [9] 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from March 19 to March 25, 2026, are presented. For instance, the basis of rubber on March 25 was - 130 yuan/ton [11] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, and 9 - month vs 5 - month for rubber, methanol, PTA, etc., are given. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of rubber was - 775 yuan/ton [12] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc., from March 19 to March 25, 2026, are provided. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread on March 25 was 2944 yuan/ton [12] 3.3 Black Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data for螺纹钢, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from March 19 to March 25, 2026, are shown. For example, the basis of螺纹钢 on March 25 was 88.0 yuan/ton [22] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month (10) vs 1 - month, and 9 - month (10) vs 5 - month for螺纹钢, iron ore, etc., are presented. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of螺纹钢 was - 50.0 yuan/ton [21] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as螺/矿, 螺/焦炭, etc., from March 19 to March 25, 2026, are given. For example, the 螺/矿 ratio on March 25 was 3.85 [21] 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from March 19 to March 25, 2026, are provided. For example, the basis of copper on March 25 was - 90 yuan/ton [29] 3.4.2 London Market - Data such as LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss for copper, aluminum, etc., on March 25, 2026, are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was (71.23) [35] 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data for soybeans (bean one and bean two), soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from March 19 to March 25, 2026, are shown. For example, the basis of bean one on March 25 was - 29 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month vs 1 - month, 9 - month vs 1 - month, and 9 - month vs 5 - month for various agricultural products are given. For example, the 5 - month vs 1 - month spread of bean one was - 36 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as 豆一/玉米, 豆油/豆粕, etc., from March 19 to March 25, 2026, are provided. For example, the 豆一/玉米 ratio on March 25 was 1.94 [40] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from March 19 to March 25, 2026, are presented. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on March 25 was 87.47 [51] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of next - month vs current - month and next - quarter vs current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, etc., are given. For example, the next - month vs current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 21.2 [51]
甲醇聚烯烃早报-20260326
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-03-26 02:15
Report Information - Report Title: Methanol Polyolefin Morning Report - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center - Date: March 26, 2026 [1] Methanol - **Price Data**: The prices of methanol in different regions and related indicators are presented from March 19 to March 25, 2026. For example, the Jiangsu spot price decreased from 3145 on March 19 to 3045 on March 25, with a daily change of -165. The import profit remained at -1106 during this period [2]. Plastics Plastic (LL, LD, HD) - **Price Data**: The prices of Northeast Asia ethylene, different types of plastics in various regions, import profit, and other indicators are provided from March 19 to March 25, 2026. For instance, the Northeast Asia ethylene price remained at 1450 on March 24 and 25, and the华东LL price decreased from 9100 on March 24 to 8850 on March 25, with a daily change of -250 [4]. PP - **Price Data**: The prices of Northeast Asia propylene, different types of PP in various regions, export profit, and other indicators are given from March 19 to March 25, 2026. For example, the Northeast Asia propylene price remained at 1200 on March 24 and 25, and the华东PP price decreased from 9275 on March 24 to 8615 on March 25, with a daily change of -660 [4]. PVC - **Price Data**: The prices of Northwest calcium carbide, Shandong caustic soda, different production methods of PVC in various regions, import and export profits, and other indicators are shown from March 19 to March 25, 2026. For example, the Northwest calcium carbide price increased from 2650 on March 19 to 2750 on March 25, with a daily change of 15, and the华东电石 - method price decreased from 6000 on March 23 to 5520 on March 25, with a daily change of -300 [4][5]
一、动力煤:宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2026年3月25日)-20260325
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2026-03-25 02:00
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents daily arbitrage data for various futures varieties on March 25, 2026, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, aiming to provide data support for market participants' investment decisions [1] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - Displays the basis and spread data of power coal from March 18 to March 24, 2026. The basis gradually increased from - 78.4 yuan/ton on March 18 to - 50.4 yuan/ton on March 24, while the spreads of 5 - 1, 9 - 1, and 9 - 5 remained at 0.0 [1][2] 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - Shows the basis and price ratio data of fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from March 18 to March 24, 2026. For example, on March 24, the basis of INE crude oil was 374.15 yuan/ton, and the price ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1762 [8] 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: Presents the basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from March 18 to March 24, 2026. For instance, the basis of rubber was - 125 yuan/ton on March 24 [10] - **Inter - period Spread**: Displays the inter - period spread data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rubber was - 780 yuan/ton [12] - **Inter - variety Spread**: Provides the inter - variety spread data of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from March 18 to March 24, 2026. On March 24, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 3121 yuan/ton [12] 3.3 Black Metals - **Inter - period Spread**: Shows the inter - period spread data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rebar was - 55.0 yuan/ton [21] - **Inter - variety Spread**: Presents the inter - variety spread data of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from March 18 to March 24, 2026. On March 24, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.83 [21] - **Basis**: Displays the basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from March 18 to March 24, 2026. On March 24, the basis of rebar was 75.0 yuan/ton [22] 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - Shows the domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from March 18 to March 24, 2026. On March 24, the basis of copper was - 120 yuan/ton [31] 3.4.2 London Market - Presents the LME spread, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF, domestic spot price, and import profit and loss data of LME non - ferrous metals on March 24, 2026. For example, the LME spread of copper was (91.73), and the Shanghai - London ratio was 7.83 [34] 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: Displays the basis data of soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc. from March 18 to March 24, 2026. On March 24, the basis of soybeans was - 75 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - period Spread**: Shows the inter - period spread data of soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, etc. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of soybeans was - 20 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - variety Spread**: Presents the inter - variety spread data of soybeans/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, etc. from March 18 to March 24, 2026. On March 24, the soybeans/corn ratio was 1.97 [40] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: Shows the basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from March 18 to March 24, 2026. On March 24, the basis of CSI 300 was 86.32 [51] - **Inter - period Spread**: Displays the inter - period spread data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000. For example, the next - month - current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 20.4 [51]
甲醇聚烯烃早报-20260324
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-03-24 01:47
1. Report Information - Report Title: Methanol Polyolefin Morning Report [1] - Report Date: March 24, 2026 [1] - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center [1] 2. Methanol Market Price Data - From March 17 to March 23, 2026, the price of动力煤期货 remained stable at 801. The price of江苏现货 increased from 2845 to 3290, 华南现货 from 2845 to 3325, 鲁南折盘面 from 2785 to 2985, 西南折盘面 remained at 2450, 河北折盘面 from 2710 to 2760, 西北折盘面 from 2800 to 3003, CFR中国 from 386 to 382, CFR东南亚 remained at 555, 进口利润 remained at -88, 主力基差 remained at 10, and 盘面MTO利润 remained at -1106 [2]. Daily Changes - On March 23 compared to March 20, the price of江苏现货 increased by 205, 华南现货 by 235, 鲁南折盘面 by 105, 河北折盘面 by 60, and 西北折盘面 by 88 [2]. 3. Plastic Market Price Data - From March 17 to March 23, 2026, the price of东北亚乙烯 increased from 1250 to 1400, 华北LL remained at 8600, 华东LL increased from 8550 to 9125, 华东LD increased from 10550 to 11050, 华东HD increased from 8850 to 9000, LL美金 remained at 1125, LL美湾 remained at 1291, 进口利润 remained at -817, 主力期货 increased from 8496 to 9523, 基差 remained at -50, 两油库存 remained at 81, and 仓单 decreased from 7851 to 6371 [5]. Daily Changes - On March 23 compared to March 20, the price of华东LL increased by 475, 华东LD by 450, 华东HD by 300, 主力期货 by 705, and 仓单 decreased by 30 [5]. 4. PP Market Price Data - From March 17 to March 23, 2026, the price of山东丙烯 increased from 8000 to 9000, 东北亚丙烯 increased from 1080 to 1180, 华东PP increased from 8870 to 9865, 华北PP increased from 8583 to 9325, 山东粉料 increased from 8410 to 9240, 华东共聚 increased from 8840 to 9460, PP美金 remained at 1215, PP美湾 remained at 1325, 出口利润 remained at 160, 主力期货 increased from 8671 to 9793, 基差 remained at 150, 两油库存 remained at 81, and 仓单 decreased from 17670 to 15927 [12]. Daily Changes - On March 23 compared to March 20, the price of山东丙烯 increased by 450, 东北亚丙烯 by 30, 华东PP by 830, 华北PP by 625, 山东粉料 by 790, 华东共聚 by 540, 主力期货 by 774, and 仓单 decreased by 124 [12]. 5. PVC Market Price Data - From March 17 to March 23, 2026, the price of西北电石 remained at 2650, 山东烧碱 increased from 702 to 722, 电石法 - 华东 increased from 5700 to 6000, 乙烯法 - 华东 remained at 5500, 电石法 - 华南 remained at 5450, 电石法 - 西北 increased from 5450 to 5630, 进口美金价 (CFR中国) remained at 1050, 出口利润 remained at 2011, 西北综合利润 remained at 356, 华北综合利润 remained at -244, and 基差 (高端交割品) remained at -30 [13][14]. Daily Changes - On March 23 compared to March 20, the price of山东烧碱 increased by 20, 电石法 - 华东 by 270, and 电石法 - 西北 by 180 [14].