Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Last week, the equity market had a volume - driven rally. The real estate, steel, and building materials sectors were strong, while the banking sector declined. The bond market adjusted, and the 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.67% on Friday, up 2.2bp from the previous week. The convertible bond market mostly rose, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index up 0.76% for the week [1][8][9]. - In the short term, convertible bond supply may significantly shrink. The follow - up momentum of the convertible bond market has weakened, and valuations have been further compressed. It is recommended to focus on balanced convertible bonds or high - price, low - premium and non - redeemable in the short - term equity - biased varieties. For those with high requirements for drawdown, consider reducing positions [2][17]. - With the disclosure of mid - year report performance forecasts, attention should be paid to sectors such as consumer goods, technology, power grid equipment, and innovation drugs. Also, be cautious about bonds with a high proportion of exports to the US [3][18]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Trends (2025/7/7 - 2025/7/11) - **Stock Market**: The equity market rose with volume. Real estate, steel, and building materials sectors performed well due to policy expectations and "anti - involution" themes. The non - banking sector was strong driven by the stablecoin theme, while the banking sector declined. Different sectors showed different performances on each trading day [8]. - **Bond Market**: The bond market adjusted. Factors such as the postponement of Trump's equal - tariff effective date, the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 3500, and real estate policy rumors suppressed bond market sentiment. The 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.67% on Friday, up 2.2bp from the previous week [1][9]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Most convertible bond issues rose. The CSI Convertible Bond Index increased by 0.76% for the week, the median price rose by 0.95%, and the calculated arithmetic average parity increased by 2.07%. The overall market conversion premium rate decreased by 1.29% compared with the previous week. Sectors like non - banking finance, coal, and computer in the convertible bond market led the gains, while social services, banking, and automotive sectors lagged. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 3405.76 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 681.15 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week [9][12][15]. Viewpoints and Strategies (2025/7/14 - 2025/7/18) - **Supply Outlook**: Convertible bond supply may significantly shrink in the short term. The approval of the "potential new bond" Fudan Microelectronics expired, and there are only 5 issues in the pending - issuance list that have passed the listing committee, with a total scale of less than 5 billion yuan. Also, the delisting of existing bonds is accelerating [2][17]. - **Investment Suggestions**: Due to the intensified supply - demand contradiction, it is recommended to focus on balanced convertible bonds that can quickly consume the premium rate with high - volatility underlying stocks or high - price, low - premium and non - redeemable in the short - term equity - biased varieties. Consider reducing positions for those with high drawdown requirements [2][17]. - **Sector Focus**: Pay attention to sectors such as consumer goods (appliances, auto parts, two - wheeled vehicles), technology (PCB, copper - clad laminates, data center power supplies), power grid equipment, sea - wind power, energy storage, innovation drugs, and chemical pharmaceuticals. Be cautious about bonds with a high proportion of exports to the US [3][18]. Valuation Overview - As of July 11, 2025, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates in different parity intervals are at different percentile levels since 2010 and 2021. For debt - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM of bonds with a parity below 70 yuan is - 1.04%, at the 4%/0% percentile since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds is 33.92%, at the 64%/45% percentile since 2010/2021, and the difference between the implied volatility of convertible bonds and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks is - 13.38%, at the 27%/32% percentile since 2010/2021 [19]. Primary Market Tracking - **Last Week (2025/7/7 - 2025/7/11)**: Guanghe Convertible Bond announced its issuance, and Luwei and Huachen Convertible Bonds were listed. Guanghe Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 4.9 billion yuan, is for the Guangdong Lufeng Nuclear Power Plant Project. Luwei Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 615 million yuan, is mainly for semiconductor and high - precision flat - panel display mask expansion projects. Huachen Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 460 million yuan, is for new - energy power equipment manufacturing and digital factory construction projects [27][28][29]. - **Next Week (2025/7/14 - 2025/7/18)**: Xizhen and Yongxi Convertible Bonds will be listed. Xizhen Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 520 million yuan, is for the Langfang Zhenhua Automobile Parts Project. Yongxi Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 1.165 billion yuan, is for multi - dimensional heterogeneous advanced packaging technology R & D and industrialization projects [30][31]. - **Overall Pending Issuance**: As of July 11, there are 75 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 116.32 billion yuan, including 2 issues approved for registration (total scale of 2.11 billion yuan) and 3 issues passed by the listing committee (total scale of 2.62 billion yuan) [32].

Group 1 - Recent trend of shareholders opting for inquiry-based share reductions instead of direct secondary market sales, indicating a competitive bidding process based on price, quantity, and time priority [1] - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit of 2.6 to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 55.62% to 67.59% [1] - Tianeng Heavy Industry's shareholders plan to transfer 4% of the company's shares through inquiry [1] Group 2 - Announcement regarding the Blue Fan convertible bond is pending [1] - Huachen and Luwei convertible bonds are set to be listed on July 10 [1]

Group 1 - The company Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. has successfully issued convertible bonds, approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [2] - The total scale of the convertible bond issuance is 460 million yuan, with priority subscription given to existing shareholders [2][3] - The online subscription for the remaining bonds after the priority allocation ended on June 24, 2025, with the underwritten amount by the lead underwriter being 564,000 yuan, accounting for 0.12% of the total [3] Group 2 - The lead underwriter for this issuance is Yongxing Securities Co., Ltd., which will handle the underwriting and distribution of the bonds [2][5] - The bond code for the issued convertible bonds is 113695, and they are referred to as "Huachen Convertible Bonds" [2] - The company will submit a bond registration application to the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation after the underwriting process is completed [3]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. has successfully issued convertible bonds amounting to 460 million yuan, with a significant portion allocated to existing shareholders and a small portion available for public investors [1][4]. Summary by Sections Issuance Details - The company has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for the issuance of convertible bonds, with the bond code being "113695" and the name "Huachen Convertible Bonds" [1]. - The total amount of the convertible bonds issued is 460 million yuan, with an issuance price of 100 yuan per bond [4]. Subscription Results - The preferential allocation to existing shareholders resulted in 432,311,000 yuan being allocated, which accounts for approximately 93.98% of the total issuance [4]. - The public subscription resulted in 27,689,000 yuan being allocated, representing about 6.02% of the total issuance, with a low online winning rate of 0.00034920% [4][5]. Subscription Process - The subscription process involved a total of 7,956,328 valid applications, with an effective subscription amount of approximately 7.93 billion yuan [5]. - The company and the lead underwriter will conduct a lottery draw for the allocation results on June 23, 2025, with results to be announced on June 24, 2025 [5]. Underwriting and Allocation - The lead underwriter, Yongxing Securities, will underwrite any shortfall in subscription amounts, with a maximum underwriting amount capped at 138 million yuan, which is 30% of the total issuance [3]. - If the total subscription does not meet 70% of the issuance amount, the company and the underwriter may consider suspending the issuance [2][3].

Macro Strategy - The Federal Reserve did not lower interest rates in June and removed the judgment of higher unemployment and inflation from its statement, indicating a more stagflationary economic outlook [1][11] - The Fed revised down its GDP growth forecast for the US to 1.4% for Q4 2025 and raised the unemployment rate forecast to 4.5%, while also increasing the PCE inflation forecast to 3.0% [1][11] - The dot plot distribution has become more hawkish, with a significant number of officials expecting no rate cuts this year, reflecting concerns over inflation risks [1][11] Industry Analysis - The bus industry showed a year-on-year increase in production and exports in May, with Yutong Bus expected to achieve a net profit of 46.3 billion yuan in 2025, growing at 12% annually [6][16] - Jinlong Automobile is projected to have a significant profit rebound, with net profits expected to reach 4.4 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 182% increase [6][16] Recommended Stocks - Liyuanheng is positioned to benefit from the recovery in the lithium battery equipment industry, with a projected net profit of 0.6 billion yuan in 2025, and a corresponding PE ratio of 96 [7][17] - Zhenyu Technology is expected to see a net profit of 4.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 63%, supported by its advancements in precision manufacturing and robotics [8][19] - Xiaogoods City has completed the招商 of its jewelry sector and plans to establish a Hong Kong subsidiary to enhance its cross-border payment ecosystem, with projected net profits of 42.3 billion yuan in 2025 [9][21]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in convertible bonds of various companies, highlighting issues such as credit rating downgrades, liquidity pressures, and operational challenges faced by the companies involved [1]. Group 1: Company-Specific Developments - Blue Fan Convertible Bond: The board proposed a down adjustment of the bond [1]. - Ruifeng Convertible Bond: The credit rating has been downgraded to A, indicating a decline in the company's profitability and increased liquidity pressure due to reduced cash reserves and higher restricted cash ratios [1]. - Dongshi Convertible Bond: The company failed to rectify fund occupation issues within the mandated period, leading to a suspension of trading from June 20, with an expected duration of no more than two months [1]. - San Nuo, Hongtu, and Qifan Convertible Bonds: No down adjustment proposed for these bonds [1]. - Huachen Convertible Bond: Open for subscription [1]. - Xintong Electronics: New shares in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets are open for subscription [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance Indicators - The company is experiencing a significant decline in profitability for 2024, with a decrease in cash flow and slower turnover rates for accounts receivable and inventory [1]. - Operating net cash flow has turned into a net outflow, indicating increased liquidity pressure [1]. - Due to factors such as technological upgrades and underperformance in the biodegradable materials market, the company's investment projects are not operating as expected, which may lead to further asset impairment provisions affecting future operational performance [1].

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. is issuing convertible bonds to unspecified investors, with the approval of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, aiming to raise a total of RMB 460 million [3][14]. Group 1: Issuance Details - The convertible bonds, named "Huachen Convertible Bonds" with code "113695", have been registered with the China Securities Regulatory Commission [3]. - The total issuance amount is RMB 460 million, with an issuance price of RMB 100 per bond [14]. - The issuance will prioritize existing shareholders, who can subscribe through the Shanghai Stock Exchange trading system [4][11]. Group 2: Subscription Process - Original shareholders can subscribe on June 20, 2025, with a priority allocation ratio of 0.002797 bonds per share [5][11]. - The subscription period for original shareholders is from 9:30 to 11:30 and 13:00 to 15:00 on the subscription day [12]. - Any excess subscription beyond the allocated amount will be deemed invalid, while subscriptions below the limit will be honored [12][14]. Group 3: Public Offering - After the priority subscription for original shareholders, any remaining bonds will be offered to the public through the Shanghai Stock Exchange [19]. - Public investors must use a single securities account for subscription, with a minimum subscription unit of 1 hand (10 bonds) [8][15]. - The maximum subscription limit for each account is 1,000 hands (100,000 bonds) [14]. Group 4: Underwriting and Risk Management - The lead underwriter, Yongxing Securities, will underwrite any shortfall in subscriptions, with a maximum underwriting amount not exceeding 30% of the total issuance [9][19]. - If the total subscriptions do not reach 70% of the issuance amount, the issuer and underwriter may consider suspending the issuance [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the adjustments in the conversion prices of various convertible bonds, highlighting specific changes and upcoming subscription dates for certain bonds [1]. Group 1: Convertible Bond Adjustments - The conversion price for "Hangyang Convertible Bond" has been adjusted from 26.59 CNY/share to 25.98 CNY/share, reflecting a decrease of 2% [1]. - Other convertible bonds such as Jianlong Convertible Bond, Tian23 Convertible Bond, Jiayuan Convertible Bond, and Jinggong Convertible Bond have not undergone any adjustments [1]. - The subscription dates for the "Xizhen Convertible Bond" and "Huachen Convertible Bond" are set for June 18 and June 20, respectively [1]. Group 2: Shareholder Actions - Guizhou Gas has reported that 147 million shares held by shareholder Beijing Dongjia have been frozen [1]. - Liyang Chip's shareholder plans to transfer 3.25% of its shares through an inquiry [1].