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转债月报 20260105:历史上转债强赎前后有哪些事实与变化?-20260105
Huachuang Securities· 2026-01-05 15:27
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - 2026 Q1 may see an increase in convertible bond calls, but high - parity convertible bond valuations are at historical highs. High valuations do not guarantee post - call valuation maintenance, and the pressure on convertible bond prices before and after the call is relatively large. It is recommended to take profit before the call or stop loss in a timely manner after the call based on market conditions [3][7]. - The overall trend of convertible bond valuations is likely to be high - level oscillations, with a possibility of short - term foaming. In January 2026, institutional demand for configuration will support valuations, and if the equity market performs better than expected, valuations may foam [28]. - In December 2025, the convertible bond market oscillated upward, with both convertible bonds and underlying stocks performing strongly, and valuations oscillated and increased. The trading volume of the convertible bond and equity markets decreased, but margin trading funds showed a strengthening trend [48][56]. - The issuance of new convertible bonds slightly increased in December 2025, and the number of new issuance plans continued to rise. The overall scale of holders in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges decreased, with obvious reductions by insurance funds [3][62]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Historical Facts and Changes before and after Convertible Bond Calls - **Before the Call Announcement** - High market valuations do not guarantee post - call valuation maintenance. After the call, the valuation compresses to near 0%, and the compression process is basically completed before the call announcement [3][8]. - The strength of the underlying stock before the call can partially offset the compression of convertible bond valuations, but when valuations are high, the pressure on convertible bond prices before the call is still relatively large [3]. - The decline before the call mainly occurs within T - 10 days, and the day of the highest price is advancing [3][16]. - **After the Call Announcement** - In most months, convertible bond prices continue to decline after the call announcement, but in some months with a strong equity market, prices rebound [3][20]. - There is generally a decline of varying degrees on T - day, and the months with price rebounds mainly show strength from T + 1 to T + 15 days [3][21]. - The stronger the equity market, the more delayed the appearance of the highest price [3][25]. 3.2 Valuation Outlook - The overall trend is high - level oscillations, with a possibility of short - term foaming. In December 2025, valuations oscillated upward. As of December 31, 2025, the 100 - yuan par - value fitted conversion premium rate was 34.04%, up 2.50 pct from the end of November, reaching the highest level since 2019 [28]. 3.3 Key Focused Convertible Bonds - From December 1 to December 31, 2025, the convertible bond portfolio rose 3.84%, outperforming the benchmark index by 1.70 pct. Huayi and Xingqiu had obvious increases [41]. - The "Huachuang Convertible Bond" January key - focused portfolio is adjusted to include Xingqiu, Mingli, Yirui, Huachen, Huayi, Yifeng, Ziyin, Qingnong, Zhongyin, and Xingye [43]. 3.4 Market Review - **Market Performance** - In December 2025, the convertible bond market oscillated upward, with a strong performance in the second half of the month. Most sectors of the convertible bond market rose, and technology - related concepts declined. The science and technology and manufacturing sectors showed significant increases, and the cyclical sector also performed well [48][50]. - **Fund Performance** - The trading volume of the convertible bond and equity markets decreased slightly. From December 1 to December 31, 2025, the average daily trading volume of CSI Convertible Bonds was 63.803 billion yuan, a 1.27% decrease from November, and the average daily trading volume of Wind All - A was 1.880842 trillion yuan, a 1.76% decrease from November [56]. - Margin trading funds oscillated and strengthened. As of December 31, 2025, the balance of margin trading in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges was approximately 2.53 trillion yuan, an increase of 66.664 billion yuan from the end of November. Most industries received net margin purchases [60]. 3.5 Supply and Demand Situation - **New Bond Issuance and Listing** - In December 2025, 7 convertible bonds were issued, with a total scale of 5.494 billion yuan, and 5 new convertible bonds were listed, with a total scale of 3.005 billion yuan. The online new - bond issuance subscription scale increased, with an average effective subscription amount of 8.85 trillion yuan, a 2.61% increase month - on - month [62]. - **Expected Issuance Scale and New Plans** - The total expected issuance scale is approximately 122.663 billion yuan. As of December 31, 2025, 7 listed companies obtained convertible bond issuance approvals, with a planned issuance scale of 8.583 billion yuan; 6 companies' convertible bond issuances passed the review committee, waiting for approvals, with a total scale of 3.361 billion yuan. In December, 6 new board plans were added, with a total scale of approximately 77.9 billion yuan [65]. - **Holder Scale Changes** - The overall scale of holders in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges decreased. In December 2025, the total par value of convertible bonds held by the two exchanges was 552.692 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.144 billion yuan from November, a 1.10% decline. The scale of public funds increased, while the scale of enterprise annuities decreased [83][87].
2026年1月固定收益投资策略:转债市场研判及“十强转债”组合
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-31 15:22
1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No information provided regarding the industry's investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - Bullish on the equity market during the "Spring Rally". With the expected strengthening of underlying stocks and seasonal effects, there is a slight room for convertible bond valuations to increase. When selecting bonds, focus on the performance elasticity of the underlying stocks. For near - maturity convertible bonds, consider participating in the underlying stocks [27]. - In the stock market, in December 2025, the risk appetite was high. Looking ahead, the RMB appreciation expectation is strengthening, and with the end of the year - end ranking assessment of financial institutions, the "Spring Rally" is expected to gradually kick off. In January, if the market adjusts during the intensive performance forecast period, investors can buy on dips and focus on resources, AI computing power, batteries, polyester industry chain, AI edge devices, and securities [27]. - In the convertible bond market, in December 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index reached a new high since July 2015. Although the share of convertible bond ETFs continued to decline, the market premium rate increased. In the future, due to seasonal effects, some institutional investors may gradually increase their positions in January, and convertible bond valuations have a slight room for improvement [27]. 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 2025 December Convertible Bond Market Review - **Stock and Bond Market Review**: In December, the equity market fluctuated upwards, and the bond market generally fluctuated. The Shanghai Composite Index rose for nearly 10 consecutive trading days in the middle and late - December, closing at 3963.68 on December 26, with a monthly increase of 1.27%. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.838% on December 26, up 0.10bp from the beginning of the month, and the 30 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 2.223%, up 3.32bp from the beginning of the month [4][8]. - **Convertible Bond Market Review**: The convertible bond market generally rose following the equity market. The premium rates of convertible bonds in all parity ranges increased, but convertible bond ETFs continued to face outflow pressure. Five convertible bonds announced downward revisions, one more than the previous month, and 10 convertible bonds announced forced redemptions, two less than the previous month. The CSI Convertible Bond Index closed at 493.2 on December 26, up 2.31% [5][8]. - **Industry Performance**: In the Shenwan industry classification, sectors such as national defense and military industry (+12.25%), communication (+10.55%), and non - bank finance (+8.27%) performed well, while sectors such as media (-4.77%), banks (-3.68%), and coal (-3.62%) declined [8]. 3.2 2026 January Convertible Bond Allocation Strategy - **Stock Market Outlook**: The RMB appreciation expectation is strengthening, and the "Spring Rally" is expected to start. In January, if the market adjusts during the performance forecast period, investors can buy on dips. Focus on resources, AI computing power, batteries, polyester industry chain, AI edge devices, and securities [27]. - **Convertible Bond Outlook**: Due to seasonal effects, some institutions may increase their positions in January. Convertible bond valuations have a slight room for improvement. When selecting bonds, relative - return funds should focus on high - probability sectors with a high - beta underlying stocks, and absolute - return funds should focus on high - odds sectors [27][28]. - **Bond Selection Suggestions**: For relative - return funds, focus on sectors such as lithium - battery materials, semiconductor equipment and materials, power semiconductors, high - quality auto parts, anti - involution industries, and securities. For absolute - return funds, focus on industry leaders with low valuations, sectors such as pig farming, power, and water supply, and convertible bond debt - to - equity conversion [28]. 3.3 2026 January "Top Ten Convertible Bonds" Portfolio | Convertible Bond Code | Convertible Bond Name | Underlying Stock Name | Industry | Balance (Billion Yuan) | Convertible Bond Price (Yuan) | Convertible Bond Parity (Yuan) | Conversion Premium Rate (%) | Rating | Recommendation Reason | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 113043.SH | Caitong Convertible Bond | Caitong Securities | Securities II | 37.99 | 133.52 | 109.71 | 21.70 | AAA | The securities sector will see a double - hit of valuation and profit in a bull market [30]. | | 123254.SZ | EVE Convertible Bond | EVE Energy | Battery | 49.98 | 167.64 | 134.65 | 24.51 | AA+ | The demand for energy storage is strong, and the shipment volume in the third quarter increased significantly year - on - year and quarter - on - quarter [30]. | | 113695.SH | Huachen Convertible Bond | Jiangsu Huachen | Power Grid Equipment | 4.60 | 160.16 | 122.10 | 31.17 | A+ | The company's new production capacity is put into operation just as the demand for energy storage is growing rapidly [30]. | | 113634.SH | Proya Convertible Bond | Proya | Cosmetics | 7.51 | 125.13 | 70.36 | 77.83 | AA | As a domestic beauty leader, its brand and product strength are outstanding, and its valuation at a historical low is expected to be restored [30]. | | 113616.SH | Will Semiconductor Convertible Bond | Will Semiconductor | Semiconductor | 24.32 | 124.07 | 78.35 | 58.36 | AA+ | The company is accelerating its introduction into intelligent driving and emerging markets and has launched new mobile phone products with strong competitiveness [30]. | | 118040.SH | Hongwei Convertible Bond | Hongwei Technology | Semiconductor | 4.30 | 149.72 | 116.17 | 28.88 | A | Power semiconductors benefit from the growth of power supply and energy storage demand [30]. | | 113674.SH | Huashe Convertible Bond | Huashe Group | Engineering Consulting Service II | 4.00 | 129.29 | 89.47 | 44.51 | AA | As a leader in infrastructure design, its main business is stabilizing, and intelligent design and low - altitude economy provide growth points [30]. | | 123222.SZ | Bojun Convertible Bond | Bojun Technology | Auto Parts | 2.44 | 224.63 | 194.72 | 15.36 | A+ | The growth of customer sales and the increase in ASP per vehicle drive up revenue and profit [30]. | | 113666.SH | Aima Convertible Bond | Aima Technology | Motorcycle and Others | 19.99 | 125.11 | 79.63 | 57.12 | AA | The new national standard may promote the market share of the two - wheeled vehicle leader [30]. | | 123247.SZ | Wankai Convertible Bond | Wankai New Materials | Plastics | 19.64 | 172.30 | 150.18 | 14.73 | AA | Under the "anti - involution" of bottle chips, the processing fee is expected to stabilize, and the company is entering the rPET blue - ocean market [30]. |
中证转债指数午盘上涨0.43%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-25 06:25
Core Viewpoint - The China Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.43% to 492.48 points on December 25, indicating a positive trend in the convertible bond market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The top gainers in the convertible bond market included: - Jia Mei Convertible Bond, up by 17.43% - Guanglian Convertible Bond, up by 11.67% - Zai 22 Convertible Bond, up by 11.51% - Tianjian Convertible Bond, up by 9.63% - Ruike Convertible Bond, up by 7.78% [1] - The top losers in the market were: - Huachen Convertible Bond, down by 3.76% - Lu Wei Convertible Bond, down by 2.04% - Ruida Convertible Bond, down by 1.76% - Yitian Convertible Bond, down by 1.75% - Huamao Convertible Bond, down by 1.61% [1]
江苏华辰变压器股份有限公司关于“华辰转债”开始转股的公告
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:603097 证券简称:江苏华辰 公告编号:2025-063 债券代码:113695 债券简称:华辰转债 江苏华辰变压器股份有限公司 关于"华辰转债"开始转股的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ● 转股价格:23.53元/股 ● 转股期起止日期:2025年12月26日至2031年6月19日 一、可转债发行上市概况 经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于同意江苏华辰变压器股份有限公司向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券 注册的批复》(证监许可〔2025〕988号),江苏华辰变压器股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")本次向 不特定对象公开发行可转换公司债券4,600,000张,每张面值为人民币100.00元,发行总额为人民币 46,000.00万元 经上海证券交易所自律监管决定书〔2025〕155号文同意,公司发行的46,000.00万元可转换公司债券于 2025年7月10日在上海证券交易所挂牌交易,证券简称"华辰转债",证券代码"113695"。 根据 ...
中证转债指数午盘上涨0.59%
Core Viewpoint - The China Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.59% to 486.85 points on November 25, indicating a positive trend in the convertible bond market [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The top gainers in the convertible bond market included: - Outoon Convertible Bond, up by 15.15% to 592.86 [2] - Zhuomei Convertible Bond, up by 10.52% to 173.854 [2] - Spring 23 Convertible Bond, up by 7.18% to 180.939 [2] - The top losers in the market were: - Huachen Convertible Bond, down by 7.84% to 160.878 [2] - Dongshi Convertible Bond, down by 3.12% to 249.85 [2] - Jianfan Convertible Bond, down by 1.66% to 118.552 [2]
江苏华辰变压器股份有限公司“华辰转债”2025年第一次债券持有人会议决议公告
Core Viewpoint - The bondholders' meeting of Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. was held to discuss the merger of a wholly-owned subsidiary, with all proposals passing unanimously [10]. Group 1: Meeting Details - The meeting was convened by the board of directors of Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. on September 5, 2025, at 9:00 AM [4]. - The meeting was chaired by Chairman Zhang Xiaojin and took place at the company's conference room [4]. - Voting was conducted through a combination of on-site and remote methods, with a requirement for a single voting method to avoid duplicate votes [4]. Group 2: Attendance and Voting - Only one bondholder or their representative attended the meeting, representing 1,360 bonds, which is 0.03% of the total outstanding convertible bonds [5]. - The meeting was attended by company directors, senior management, and a witnessing lawyer [6][7]. Group 3: Resolution and Legal Compliance - The resolution regarding the merger of the wholly-owned subsidiary was passed with 100% approval from the attending bondholders [10]. - The meeting's procedures and outcomes were confirmed to be in compliance with relevant laws and regulations by the witnessing law firm [10].
江苏华辰: 上海市方达(北京)律师事务所关于江苏华辰变压器股份有限公司“华辰转债”2025年第一次债券持有人会议的法律意见书
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-05 16:13
Core Viewpoint - The legal opinion letter confirms that the procedures for convening and holding the first bondholders' meeting of Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. for the "Huachen Convertible Bonds" 2025 are compliant with relevant Chinese laws and regulations [2][6]. Group 1: Meeting Procedures - The meeting was convened following the resolution passed by the company's board of directors on August 20, 2025, and the notice was published more than fifteen days prior to the meeting date, in accordance with legal requirements [4]. - The meeting utilized a combination of on-site and remote voting methods, ensuring compliance with the regulations [4][6]. Group 2: Attendance and Qualification - A total of 1 bondholder attended the meeting, representing 1,360 convertible bonds, which is 0.03% of the total outstanding convertible bonds [4][5]. - The qualifications of the attendees were verified to be in accordance with relevant laws and regulations [5]. Group 3: Voting Procedures and Results - The voting for the proposal to absorb and merge with a wholly-owned subsidiary resulted in 1,360 votes in favor, representing 100% of the votes cast, with no opposing or abstaining votes [5]. - The proposal was approved as it received consent from bondholders representing more than half of the total voting rights [5][6]. Group 4: Conclusion - The legal opinion concludes that all aspects of the meeting, including convening procedures, attendee qualifications, and voting processes, are valid and comply with applicable laws and regulations [6].
江苏华辰: 江苏华辰“华辰转债”2025年第一次债券持有人会议决议公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-05 16:13
Meeting Overview - The bondholders meeting was convened by Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. on September 5, 2025, at 9:00 AM [2] - The meeting was chaired by Chairman Zhang Xiaojin and held at the company's conference room [2] - Voting was conducted through a combination of on-site and remote methods, with a requirement for a single voting method per bondholder [2] - The bond registration date was set for August 29, 2025 [2] Voting Results - A total of 1,360 convertible bonds were represented at the meeting, accounting for 100% of the voting rights of those present [2] - The resolution was passed unanimously, with 1,360 votes in favor, 0 against, and 0 abstentions [2] Legal Compliance - The meeting was witnessed by lawyers from Shanghai Fangda (Beijing) Law Firm, confirming that the convening and voting procedures complied with relevant laws and regulations [3] - The qualifications of attendees and the convenor were deemed valid and legal [3]
江苏华辰: 江苏华辰关于召开“华辰转债”2025年第一次债券持有人会议的通知
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-21 16:36
Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Huachen Transformer Co., Ltd. is convening the first bondholders' meeting for its convertible bonds, "Huachen Convertible Bonds," to discuss important resolutions regarding the bonds [2][3]. Group 1: Meeting Details - The bondholders' meeting is scheduled for September 5, 2025, at 9:00 AM, to be held at the company's conference room [3][4]. - The meeting will allow both on-site and remote voting, with a requirement that over half of the outstanding bondholders must agree for resolutions to be valid [2][4]. - The bond registration date is set for August 29, 2025, and all registered bondholders are entitled to attend the meeting [4][5]. Group 2: Bond Issuance Information - The company has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to issue 4,600,000 convertible bonds, each with a face value of RMB 100, totaling RMB 46 million, with a term of 6 years [3]. - The bonds will be listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange starting July 10, 2025, under the code "113695" [3]. Group 3: Voting Procedures - Bondholders must register for the meeting between 9:00-11:30 AM and 2:00-6:00 PM on August 30, 2025, through direct delivery, mail, or email [5]. - Voting will be conducted via a named ballot, and duplicate votes will be disregarded, with the first valid vote counted [4][5].
转债市场周报:期转债供给或明显收缩-20250713
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-13 15:17
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Last week, the equity market had a volume - driven rally. The real estate, steel, and building materials sectors were strong, while the banking sector declined. The bond market adjusted, and the 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.67% on Friday, up 2.2bp from the previous week. The convertible bond market mostly rose, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index up 0.76% for the week [1][8][9]. - In the short term, convertible bond supply may significantly shrink. The follow - up momentum of the convertible bond market has weakened, and valuations have been further compressed. It is recommended to focus on balanced convertible bonds or high - price, low - premium and non - redeemable in the short - term equity - biased varieties. For those with high requirements for drawdown, consider reducing positions [2][17]. - With the disclosure of mid - year report performance forecasts, attention should be paid to sectors such as consumer goods, technology, power grid equipment, and innovation drugs. Also, be cautious about bonds with a high proportion of exports to the US [3][18]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Trends (2025/7/7 - 2025/7/11) - **Stock Market**: The equity market rose with volume. Real estate, steel, and building materials sectors performed well due to policy expectations and "anti - involution" themes. The non - banking sector was strong driven by the stablecoin theme, while the banking sector declined. Different sectors showed different performances on each trading day [8]. - **Bond Market**: The bond market adjusted. Factors such as the postponement of Trump's equal - tariff effective date, the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 3500, and real estate policy rumors suppressed bond market sentiment. The 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.67% on Friday, up 2.2bp from the previous week [1][9]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Most convertible bond issues rose. The CSI Convertible Bond Index increased by 0.76% for the week, the median price rose by 0.95%, and the calculated arithmetic average parity increased by 2.07%. The overall market conversion premium rate decreased by 1.29% compared with the previous week. Sectors like non - banking finance, coal, and computer in the convertible bond market led the gains, while social services, banking, and automotive sectors lagged. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 3405.76 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 681.15 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week [9][12][15]. Viewpoints and Strategies (2025/7/14 - 2025/7/18) - **Supply Outlook**: Convertible bond supply may significantly shrink in the short term. The approval of the "potential new bond" Fudan Microelectronics expired, and there are only 5 issues in the pending - issuance list that have passed the listing committee, with a total scale of less than 5 billion yuan. Also, the delisting of existing bonds is accelerating [2][17]. - **Investment Suggestions**: Due to the intensified supply - demand contradiction, it is recommended to focus on balanced convertible bonds that can quickly consume the premium rate with high - volatility underlying stocks or high - price, low - premium and non - redeemable in the short - term equity - biased varieties. Consider reducing positions for those with high drawdown requirements [2][17]. - **Sector Focus**: Pay attention to sectors such as consumer goods (appliances, auto parts, two - wheeled vehicles), technology (PCB, copper - clad laminates, data center power supplies), power grid equipment, sea - wind power, energy storage, innovation drugs, and chemical pharmaceuticals. Be cautious about bonds with a high proportion of exports to the US [3][18]. Valuation Overview - As of July 11, 2025, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates in different parity intervals are at different percentile levels since 2010 and 2021. For debt - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM of bonds with a parity below 70 yuan is - 1.04%, at the 4%/0% percentile since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds is 33.92%, at the 64%/45% percentile since 2010/2021, and the difference between the implied volatility of convertible bonds and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks is - 13.38%, at the 27%/32% percentile since 2010/2021 [19]. Primary Market Tracking - **Last Week (2025/7/7 - 2025/7/11)**: Guanghe Convertible Bond announced its issuance, and Luwei and Huachen Convertible Bonds were listed. Guanghe Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 4.9 billion yuan, is for the Guangdong Lufeng Nuclear Power Plant Project. Luwei Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 615 million yuan, is mainly for semiconductor and high - precision flat - panel display mask expansion projects. Huachen Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 460 million yuan, is for new - energy power equipment manufacturing and digital factory construction projects [27][28][29]. - **Next Week (2025/7/14 - 2025/7/18)**: Xizhen and Yongxi Convertible Bonds will be listed. Xizhen Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 520 million yuan, is for the Langfang Zhenhua Automobile Parts Project. Yongxi Convertible Bond, with an issuance scale of 1.165 billion yuan, is for multi - dimensional heterogeneous advanced packaging technology R & D and industrialization projects [30][31]. - **Overall Pending Issuance**: As of July 11, there are 75 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 116.32 billion yuan, including 2 issues approved for registration (total scale of 2.11 billion yuan) and 3 issues passed by the listing committee (total scale of 2.62 billion yuan) [32].