证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-01-05 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观深度报告 20251230：2026 年财政可能有两个超预期 尽管市场普遍预期 2026 年财政的边际增量资金可能放缓，但财政支出仍 有可能超预期。超预期主要来自两个方向：一是物价回升将带来的财政收 入增量；二是 2025 年有较多的财政"余粮"留到下年使用。具体而言， 若 PPI 同比增速回升 1.8 个点（-2.4%→-0.6%），可能带来约 2600 亿元的 额外税收收入，这一效果相当于赤字率提高 0.2 个点（即 4.0%→4.2%）； 同时，今年支出偏慢，财政"余粮"可能超 5000 亿。这两项合计 7600 亿， 可额外提升一般公共预算支出增速约 2.6 个百分点，从而在预算框架内实 现超预期的支出扩张。 风险提示：（1）房地产和土地市场变化，对财政 影响较大，如果未来房地产市场出现趋势性变化，财政收支变化也较大； （2）物价回升幅度，以及物价回升对财政的影响，是基于一定逻辑下的 估算，结果存在一定风险；（3）如果 12 月突击花钱超预期，最终剩下的 财政余粮也有可能低 ...

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No information provided regarding the industry's investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - Bullish on the equity market during the "Spring Rally". With the expected strengthening of underlying stocks and seasonal effects, there is a slight room for convertible bond valuations to increase. When selecting bonds, focus on the performance elasticity of the underlying stocks. For near - maturity convertible bonds, consider participating in the underlying stocks [27]. - In the stock market, in December 2025, the risk appetite was high. Looking ahead, the RMB appreciation expectation is strengthening, and with the end of the year - end ranking assessment of financial institutions, the "Spring Rally" is expected to gradually kick off. In January, if the market adjusts during the intensive performance forecast period, investors can buy on dips and focus on resources, AI computing power, batteries, polyester industry chain, AI edge devices, and securities [27]. - In the convertible bond market, in December 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index reached a new high since July 2015. Although the share of convertible bond ETFs continued to decline, the market premium rate increased. In the future, due to seasonal effects, some institutional investors may gradually increase their positions in January, and convertible bond valuations have a slight room for improvement [27]. 3. Summary of Each Section 3.1 2025 December Convertible Bond Market Review - **Stock and Bond Market Review**: In December, the equity market fluctuated upwards, and the bond market generally fluctuated. The Shanghai Composite Index rose for nearly 10 consecutive trading days in the middle and late - December, closing at 3963.68 on December 26, with a monthly increase of 1.27%. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.838% on December 26, up 0.10bp from the beginning of the month, and the 30 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 2.223%, up 3.32bp from the beginning of the month [4][8]. - **Convertible Bond Market Review**: The convertible bond market generally rose following the equity market. The premium rates of convertible bonds in all parity ranges increased, but convertible bond ETFs continued to face outflow pressure. Five convertible bonds announced downward revisions, one more than the previous month, and 10 convertible bonds announced forced redemptions, two less than the previous month. The CSI Convertible Bond Index closed at 493.2 on December 26, up 2.31% [5][8]. - **Industry Performance**: In the Shenwan industry classification, sectors such as national defense and military industry (+12.25%), communication (+10.55%), and non - bank finance (+8.27%) performed well, while sectors such as media (-4.77%), banks (-3.68%), and coal (-3.62%) declined [8]. 3.2 2026 January Convertible Bond Allocation Strategy - **Stock Market Outlook**: The RMB appreciation expectation is strengthening, and the "Spring Rally" is expected to start. In January, if the market adjusts during the performance forecast period, investors can buy on dips. Focus on resources, AI computing power, batteries, polyester industry chain, AI edge devices, and securities [27]. - **Convertible Bond Outlook**: Due to seasonal effects, some institutions may increase their positions in January. Convertible bond valuations have a slight room for improvement. When selecting bonds, relative - return funds should focus on high - probability sectors with a high - beta underlying stocks, and absolute - return funds should focus on high - odds sectors [27][28]. - **Bond Selection Suggestions**: For relative - return funds, focus on sectors such as lithium - battery materials, semiconductor equipment and materials, power semiconductors, high - quality auto parts, anti - involution industries, and securities. For absolute - return funds, focus on industry leaders with low valuations, sectors such as pig farming, power, and water supply, and convertible bond debt - to - equity conversion [28]. 3.3 2026 January "Top Ten Convertible Bonds" Portfolio | Convertible Bond Code | Convertible Bond Name | Underlying Stock Name | Industry | Balance (Billion Yuan) | Convertible Bond Price (Yuan) | Convertible Bond Parity (Yuan) | Conversion Premium Rate (%) | Rating | Recommendation Reason | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 113043.SH | Caitong Convertible Bond | Caitong Securities | Securities II | 37.99 | 133.52 | 109.71 | 21.70 | AAA | The securities sector will see a double - hit of valuation and profit in a bull market [30]. | | 123254.SZ | EVE Convertible Bond | EVE Energy | Battery | 49.98 | 167.64 | 134.65 | 24.51 | AA+ | The demand for energy storage is strong, and the shipment volume in the third quarter increased significantly year - on - year and quarter - on - quarter [30]. | | 113695.SH | Huachen Convertible Bond | Jiangsu Huachen | Power Grid Equipment | 4.60 | 160.16 | 122.10 | 31.17 | A+ | The company's new production capacity is put into operation just as the demand for energy storage is growing rapidly [30]. | | 113634.SH | Proya Convertible Bond | Proya | Cosmetics | 7.51 | 125.13 | 70.36 | 77.83 | AA | As a domestic beauty leader, its brand and product strength are outstanding, and its valuation at a historical low is expected to be restored [30]. | | 113616.SH | Will Semiconductor Convertible Bond | Will Semiconductor | Semiconductor | 24.32 | 124.07 | 78.35 | 58.36 | AA+ | The company is accelerating its introduction into intelligent driving and emerging markets and has launched new mobile phone products with strong competitiveness [30]. | | 118040.SH | Hongwei Convertible Bond | Hongwei Technology | Semiconductor | 4.30 | 149.72 | 116.17 | 28.88 | A | Power semiconductors benefit from the growth of power supply and energy storage demand [30]. | | 113674.SH | Huashe Convertible Bond | Huashe Group | Engineering Consulting Service II | 4.00 | 129.29 | 89.47 | 44.51 | AA | As a leader in infrastructure design, its main business is stabilizing, and intelligent design and low - altitude economy provide growth points [30]. | | 123222.SZ | Bojun Convertible Bond | Bojun Technology | Auto Parts | 2.44 | 224.63 | 194.72 | 15.36 | A+ | The growth of customer sales and the increase in ASP per vehicle drive up revenue and profit [30]. | | 113666.SH | Aima Convertible Bond | Aima Technology | Motorcycle and Others | 19.99 | 125.11 | 79.63 | 57.12 | AA | The new national standard may promote the market share of the two - wheeled vehicle leader [30]. | | 123247.SZ | Wankai Convertible Bond | Wankai New Materials | Plastics | 19.64 | 172.30 | 150.18 | 14.73 | AA | Under the "anti - involution" of bottle chips, the processing fee is expected to stabilize, and the company is entering the rPET blue - ocean market [30]. |

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Spot gold prices exceeded $4,500 per ounce, and factors in 2026 are favorable for gold. Gold is expected to play an important role in different asset portfolios, and the report continues to be bullish on gold [1][38]. - The global stock markets generally rose in the first week after the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike on December 19. The so - called "spring rally" may have started early, and the window for portfolio adjustment and layout in the fourth quarter is narrowing. Attention should be paid to balancing the risk of missing out on opportunities, and any short - term correction constitutes a significant right - hand layout opportunity [1][39]. - The most elastic convertible bond targets are the equity - oriented ones in the core themes of the annual strategy, such as Dinglong and Yongxi Convertible Bonds. The relatively elastic targets are in three undervalued directions: AI edge (consumer electronics, automotive intelligence, embodied robots), upstream key resource - type materials, and power transmission and distribution equipment. [1][40]. - The report attaches more importance to demand than supply. It recommends sectors with obvious growth expectations on the demand side, and sectors with marginal improvement on the supply side may have difficulty forming sustainable medium - term allocation opportunities without significant improvement on the demand side [1][40]. - The top ten high - rated, medium - low - priced convertible bonds with the greatest potential for parity premium rate repair next week are Hope Convertible Bond, Liuyao Convertible Bond, and others [1][40]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Week - on - Week Market Review 1.1 Equity Market Overall Rise - From December 22 to December 26, the equity market overall rose. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.88% to 3,963.68 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 3.53% to 13,603.89 points, the ChiNext Index rose 3.90% to 3,243.88 points, and the CSI 300 rose 1.95% to 4,657.24 points. The average daily trading volume of the two markets increased by about 207.924 billion yuan to 1948.902 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 11.94% [6][9]. - Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 22 industries closed higher, with 14 industries rising more than 2%. Non - ferrous metals, national defense and military industry, power equipment, electronics, and building materials led the gains, rising 6.43%, 6.00%, 5.37%, 4.96%, and 4.56% respectively [14]. 1.2 Convertible Bond Market Overall Rise - From December 22 to December 26, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.64% to 493.25 points. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, 25 industries closed higher, with 7 industries rising more than 2%. National defense and military industry, non - ferrous metals, light industry manufacturing, computer, and electronics led the gains, rising 7.55%, 4.64%, 4.46%, 3.48%, and 3.27% respectively [16]. - The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 80.058 billion yuan, a significant increase of 16.446 billion yuan, a week - on - week change of 25.85%. The top ten convertible bonds in terms of trading volume were Zai 22 Convertible Bond, Jiamei Convertible Bond, etc. About 76.79% of individual convertible bonds rose [16]. - The overall market conversion premium rate declined, with an average daily conversion premium rate of 41.60%, a decrease of 0.95 pct from the previous week. There were also changes in the conversion premium rate by price, parity, and industry [22][28]. - The conversion parity of 20 industries increased, with 12 industries rising more than 2%. Petroleum and petrochemicals, textile and apparel, automotive, steel, and national defense and military industry led the gains [31]. 1.3 Stock - Bond Market Sentiment Comparison - From December 22 to December 26, the weekly weighted average and median of the convertible bond and underlying stock markets were positive, and the underlying stocks had a larger weekly increase. The trading volume of both the convertible bond and underlying stock markets increased significantly, and the trading sentiment of the underlying stock market was better overall. However, the trading sentiment of the convertible bond market was better on some trading days [33]. 2. Outlook and Investment Strategy - Gold is expected to continue its upward trend and play an important role in asset portfolios [1][38]. - The equity market's "spring rally" may have started early, and attention should be paid to balancing the risk of missing out on opportunities [1][39]. - The convertible bond strategy recommends certain equity - oriented and undervalued - sector targets, and provides the top ten convertible bonds with the greatest potential for parity premium rate repair next week [1][40].

1．产业趋势方向：重点关注AI产业链（如光芯片、电力、存储等紧缺环节及AI终端供应链）及新质生 产力相关领域（如固态电池、人形机器人、低空经济等）。 2．景气验证方向：若进入业绩验证期，应聚焦盈利切实改善的高景气行业，目前ROE企稳回升的板块 多分布于中游制造、出海链条及资源品等领域。同时，密切跟踪内需回暖及"反内卷"政策效果，届时大 消费及上游相关品种可能具备弹性。此外，高评级转债的稀缺性及市场风格均衡化带来的结构性机会也 值得关注。 风险提示：投研观点不代表公司立场，不构成投资建议，不代表基金实际持仓或未来投向保证。观点具 有时效性。 2026年即将到来，如何前瞻布局明年行情？12月26日，方正富邦基金2026年投资策略会在北京举行，本 次策略会以"变局创新"为主题，多位投资大咖及嘉宾发表主旨演讲，共同探讨"十五五"开局之年的投资 机遇和挑战。>>视频直播 线上直播中，方正富邦固定收益研究部行政负责人吕拙愚回顾与展望了可转债市场。她表示，2025年转 债市场整体跟随权益牛市，在创新药、半导体、机器人等热门板块轮动上涨带动下，转股价值显著提 升。同时，在股市向好的预期下，保险、理财等增量资金大幅流入，共同推 ...

2026 年转债投资策略 稳中求变，顺势而为 glmszqdatemark [Table_Author] | 分析师 | 徐亮 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书： S0590525110037 | | | 邮箱： | xliang@glms.com.cn | | 分析师 | 林浩睿 | | 执业证书： S0590525110039 | | | 邮箱： | linhaorui@glms.com.cn | | 研究助理 | 黄涵静 | | 执业证书： S0590125110075 | | | 邮箱： | huanghanjing@glms.com.cn | 相关研究 本公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明 证券研究报告 1 2025 年 12 月 11 日 2026 年转债市场预计维持震荡向上的趋势；权益市场"慢牛"行情下，股性/平 衡转债或持续活跃；供需端均有结构性演化，市场对高估值环境预计逐渐适应。 供需-方兴未艾：2026 年转债供需预计将呈现紧平衡的局面，当部分转债强赎或 者到期后，新券上市将满足对应的配置需求。基于供给端的角度，预计高景气高 预期行业的转债仍将持续上市，并 ...

Report Overview - **Investment Rating**: Not provided - **Core View**: Although the conversion premium ratio of Bairun Convertible Bond is high, its market price is low and the remaining term is less than 2 years. The company's whiskey business is expected to gradually enter the harvest period, and the convertible bond is expected to have elasticity in the future [5] Company and Bond Information - **Bond Information**: Bairun Convertible Bond (127046.SZ) is AA - rated, with a bond balance of 1.127 billion yuan, accounting for 99.95% of the total issuance. The remaining term is 1.82 years, and the redemption price at maturity is 110 yuan. The closing price on December 5th was 121.84 yuan, with a conversion premium ratio of 154.25% [1] - **Company Information**: Bairun is a consumer - oriented liquor group with pre - mixed cocktails as the core, flavors and fragrances as the foundation, and spirits as the strategic extension. From Q1 to Q3 in 2025, its revenue was 2.27 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 4.89%; the net profit attributable to the parent company was 549 million yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 4.35%. The latest total market value is 23.5 billion yuan, and the PE TTM is 33.79x [3] Key Highlights of Bairun Convertible Bond - **Profitability**: The company's business is diversified, covering flavors, pre - mixed drinks, and whiskey. In H1 2025, the gross profit margins of the flavor business and the pre - mixed drink business reached 70.75% and 70.48% respectively, significantly higher than the average level of about 45% in the non - liquor industry. It focuses on niche markets and has a leading position in the segment, with outstanding profitability [4] - **Whiskey Business**: The company's Laizhou Distillery is the largest whiskey production base in China. As of November 2025, it has filled over 500,000 whiskey aging barrels. In 2025, it launched series of products such as "Bailide" blended whiskey and "Laizhou" single - malt whiskey, covering high - end, mid - end, and low - end markets. With the help of the mature pre - mixed drink channel network, the number of distributors is increasing, laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth [4] - **Pre - mixed Drink Business**: The core brand "RIO" has ranked first in the domestic pre - mixed drink market for many consecutive years, with a market share of 30.97% in 2024. The three - product matrix of "Wei Xun", "Qiang Shuang", and "Qing Shuang" meets the different needs of young consumers. From Q1 to Q3 in 2025, the revenue increased quarter - on - quarter for three consecutive quarters. The jelly wine launched in June and the 12° light - enjoyment series launched in August contributed incremental revenue, supporting the restoration of market share [5] Valuation - Based on the Shanxi Securities convertible bond valuation model, if the stock price remains unchanged and no forced redemption or downward adjustment is considered, the reasonable valuation of Bairun Convertible Bond is between 123 and 128 yuan [6]

Macro Strategy - The core view indicates that actual interest rates remain the key anchor for gold prices, with fluctuations in monetary policy impacting market sentiment and gold's value [1][6] - In October, gold prices experienced a "rise then fall" pattern, influenced by geopolitical tensions and economic data, leading to a 5.27% increase in the Shanghai gold futures by the end of the month [1][6] - The outlook for November suggests that gold prices will be driven by geopolitical situations, trade negotiations, and macroeconomic policies, with expectations of continued high volatility [1][6] Fixed Income - The report on Qizhong Convertible Bonds anticipates a listing price between 126.64 and 140.59 CNY, with a subscription rate of 0.0028% [2][7] - The bond has a total issuance scale of 850 million CNY, with proceeds allocated for advanced packaging and testing projects [7][8] Industry Analysis - The food and beverage industry report highlights a 5.5% decline in total revenue and a 6.7% drop in net profit for the liquor sector in the first three quarters of 2025, with a more pronounced 18.3% revenue decline in Q3 [3][10] - The report notes that the recovery of consumption scenarios is slow, particularly in business and personal dining contexts, leading to sustained pressure on demand for high-end and mid-range liquor [3][10] - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on companies that are likely to see early signs of recovery and have strong growth potential, such as Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu, while also considering companies with solid governance and dividend yields [4][11] Company Recommendations - Tiangong International is highlighted for its potential growth in titanium alloy production, with projected revenues of 5.2 billion, 6.1 billion, and 7 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, reflecting growth rates of 8%, 16%, and 14% respectively [5][11] - The company is positioned well in the consumer electronics sector and is expanding into new materials for robotics and nuclear fusion applications, which are expected to drive future growth [5][11]

Group 1 - The report identifies three main factors influencing convertible bond performance: equity-debt price ratio, dollar liquidity, and large-small cap style [2][11][20] - The current economic environment is characterized by a recovery phase, but limited incremental benefits due to insufficient momentum from households and enterprises [2][12][39] - The dollar is expected to remain in a loose monetary environment, which historically supports equity markets [2][16][19] Group 2 - Convertible bonds are currently in a trading phase that follows the performance of underlying stocks, having experienced three cycles since 2018 [3][27][28] - The median price of convertible bonds as of November 3, 2025, is 132.72 yuan, placing it at the 99.3% historical percentile, indicating a high valuation level [4][34][35] - The median conversion premium is 27%, which is at the 55.3% historical percentile, suggesting a relatively high valuation in the current market [4][34][35] Group 3 - The report recommends a balanced investment strategy for convertible bonds, focusing on equity-like convertible bonds priced above 120 yuan, with specific recommendations for various sectors [5][39][41] - Recommended convertible bonds include those from financial consumption, public utilities, AI and robotics, as well as semiconductor and manufacturing sectors [5][39][41] Group 4 - The investor behavior analysis shows that the total outstanding convertible bond scale has decreased from 844.7 billion yuan in January 2025 to 759.5 billion yuan in October 2025, with funds increasing their holdings [29][31] - The report highlights a shift in investor composition, with funds increasing their share from 34.3% to 39.8% during the same period, while insurance institutions have reduced their holdings significantly [29][32]

Core Insights - China Galaxy's executives attended the Q3 2025 earnings conference, highlighting their unique strategies in international business, wealth management, and institutional services [1] - The low-interest environment has become a focal point for investors regarding asset allocation strategies [2] Group 1: International Business - The company maintains a functional-first approach in its investment banking operations, focusing on enhancing service quality aligned with national strategies and key industries outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] - China Galaxy's international business network spans regions including Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand, making it one of the most widely networked Chinese brokers in Asia [3] - Future plans include strengthening overseas subsidiaries' management and enhancing integrated operations to solidify its position in Southeast Asia [3] Group 2: Wealth Management - The wealth management division aims to resonate with national goals, collaborate with partners, and align closely with client needs, continuously upgrading its trading systems to create a diverse and stable service ecosystem [3] Group 3: Institutional Services - The institutional business is focused on becoming a reliable full-service provider, integrating technology deeply into operations, and offering a comprehensive range of services including research, derivatives, asset management, and brokerage [3] Group 4: Investment Strategy - In the current low-interest environment, traditional fixed-income investments face challenges such as low spreads and high volatility, prompting a shift towards quantitative, neutral, and structured investment strategies to enhance returns [3] - The company is also leveraging its own funds and responding to new financial policies to maintain stable investment scales in OCI accounts while exploring opportunities in the convertible bond market [4] Group 5: Strategic Planning - The company is engaged in thorough discussions and rigorous evaluations for its new strategic plan, which is crucial for its development over the next five years and beyond, ensuring that the strategy is clear, feasible, and capable of creating long-term value for shareholders [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report focuses on non - public fund - type convertible bond investment institutions, aiming to analyze their convertible bond investment strategies and preferences to understand the pricing mechanism and investment strategies of the convertible bond market [10]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Annuity - type Products 3.1.1 Annuity and Pension Product Investment Mechanisms - "Enterprise annuity" is a supplementary endowment insurance system established by enterprises and their employees on the basis of participating in the basic endowment insurance. It involves multiple institutions such as trustees, account managers, and investment managers [11]. - The investment scope of enterprise annuity funds includes various financial products, and pension products are standard investment portfolios for enterprise annuity funds. Small - scale investment portfolios should prioritize investing in pension products [16]. - By the end of 2024, the total number of enterprises with enterprise annuity reached 159,300, with 32.42 million insured employees and a cumulative fund of 3.6422 trillion yuan. The total convertible bond - holding scale of enterprise annuity was about 130 billion yuan, accounting for less than 5% of the direct investment scale [19][21]. - By the end of 2024, there were 649 registered pension products, with 578 in actual operation and a total net asset value of 2.434307 trillion yuan, accounting for about 70% of the enterprise annuity plan's end - of - period asset amount [25]. 3.1.2 Pension Product Convertible Bond Investment Analysis - Pension products are the second most frequently disclosed "top ten holders" of convertible bonds, but the average holding scale is not high. The holding scale reached a peak of 22.657 billion yuan at the end of 2023 and then declined [30]. - In terms of industry distribution, pension products mainly hold convertible bonds in industries such as power equipment, chemicals, medicine, and banks. Since 2022, they have stably over - allocated convertible bonds in industries such as coal, public utilities, transportation, and commercial retail [31]. - In terms of rating distribution, pension products under - allocated AAA convertible bonds from 2017 to 2022, over - allocated them from mid - 2023 to mid - 2024, and then under - allocated them again at the end of 2024. They have stably over - allocated AA convertible bonds and under - allocated A+ and below convertible bonds [33]. - In terms of price distribution, pension product holdings are mainly concentrated in the 100 - 120 yuan range, with a stable under - allocation of high - price convertible bonds above 130 yuan and a cautious attitude towards those in the 120 - 130 yuan range. Since mid - 2024, they have significantly under - allocated convertible bonds below 100 yuan [34]. 3.1.3 Differences among Different Pension Managers - Among fund companies, the convertible bond - holding scale of pension products managed by E Fund exceeded that of ICBC Credit Suisse Fund again in mid - 2023, reaching about 5.849 billion yuan at the end of 2024. The convertible bond - holding scale of pension products managed by ICBC Credit Suisse Fund has been stable above 4 billion yuan since the end of 2023 [37]. - Among insurance companies, the convertible bond - holding scale of pension products managed by Huatai Asset nearly doubled to 1.065 billion yuan at the end of 2024, while that of People's Pension Insurance decreased significantly from 1.51 billion yuan in mid - 2024 to 178 million yuan at the end of 2024. The convertible bond - holding scales of China Life Pension and Ping An Pension also increased significantly at the end of 2024 [37]. - Taking E Fund as an example, its pension products prefer convertible bonds in the power equipment industry. Since the end of 2020, they have continuously over - allocated convertible bonds in upstream resources, cyclical industries, and some consumer and financial industries, and under - allocated convertible bonds in machinery, TMT, and other industries. In terms of rating, they have continuously over - allocated AA convertible bonds, over - allocated AA - convertible bonds since mid - 2023, and under - allocated AAA convertible bonds since mid - 2024 [39]. 3.2 Social Security Fund (Council) - As of the end of 2024, the total assets under the trusteeship of the Social Security Fund Council were 2.84 trillion yuan for pension funds and 3.32 trillion yuan for social security funds, with a total direct investment scale of about 1.53 trillion yuan and a entrusted investment scale of about 4.12 trillion yuan. The total convertible bond - holding scale of the social security fund was about 1.6 billion yuan, accounting for about 1% of the direct investment scale [2]. - The social security fund significantly over - allocated bank convertible bonds at the end of 2023 and mid - 2024 (about 5pct) and stably under - allocated them at other times. It also significantly and stably over - allocated AA+ and AA convertible bonds [2]. 3.3 Insurance Companies and Insurance Asset Management 3.3.1 Investment Mechanisms of Insurance Companies and Insurance Asset Management - Insurance companies have both self - investment and entrusted investment by investment managers such as insurance asset management companies. Self - managed funds account for about 30% of the insurance company's fund utilization balance. Insurance asset management companies also accept entrusted investment funds from third - party customers such as enterprise annuities, social security funds, and bank wealth management, accounting for about 20% of their management scale [3]. - In 2023, the total investment asset scale of insurance asset management companies was 26.16 trillion yuan, mainly in bonds, insurance asset management products, and bank deposits. At the end of 2023, insurance - type institutions directly held convertible bonds worth about 5.5 billion yuan, accounting for less than 0.2% of the insurance company's fund utilization balance of 28 trillion yuan [3]. 3.3.2 Insurance Self - investment Convertible Bond Investment Analysis - Insurance companies continuously and stably under - allocate convertible bonds in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industries (under - allocation of about 5pct), overall stably over - allocate bank convertible bonds, with an over - allocation ratio of about 20pct at the end of 2023, and significantly over - allocate AAA convertible bonds at the same time. They also significantly under - allocate convertible bonds above 120 yuan [3]. 3.3.3 Insurance Asset Management Convertible Bond Investment Analysis - Since June 2022, insurance asset management products have stably over - allocated petrochemical convertible bonds. In mid - 2024 and at the end of 2024, they significantly over - allocated power equipment convertible bonds, stably over - allocated AA+ convertible bonds (with an over - allocation ratio of up to 50pct since the end of June 2024), stably under - allocated AA - and below convertible bonds, and stably under - allocated AAA convertible bonds since the end of 2021 [3]. 3.4 Securities Self - investment - Since the end of 2021, securities self - investment has stably over - allocated bank convertible bonds. Since June 2022 (except mid - 2024), it has overall stably and significantly over - allocated AAA convertible bonds and clearly prefers convertible bonds in the 100 - 110 yuan range [4]. 3.5 Private Asset Management 3.5.1 Asset Management Plan Convertible Bond Investment Analysis - Since the end of 2022, asset management plans have stably over - allocated power equipment convertible bonds and under - allocated AA - and below convertible bonds [4]. 3.5.2 Private Fund Convertible Bond Investment Analysis - Since the end of 2022, private funds have significantly over - allocated electronic convertible bonds, with higher investment scales from institutions such as Ruijun Asset [4]. 3.6 QFII - Many institutions have obtained QFII qualifications, but their investment scale in the convertible bond market is not high. Institutions such as Northwest Asset Management and UBS AG often appear on the "top ten holders" list, and the convertible bond investment of Northwest Asset Management is highly analyzable [4].