转债周策略 20260228 3 月十大转债 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 28 日 3 月十大转债 美诺华/美诺转债: 创新管线 JH389 项目商业化持续推进 泰瑞机器/泰瑞转债: 国内中高端注塑机龙头之一，高端市场领域正追赶国外注塑机高 端企业 江苏华辰/华辰转债：变压器海外销售有望迎来新突破 友发集团/友发转债：新一轮供给侧改革中，公司预计加快完善焊接钢管全国布局和海 外布局 宇邦新材/宇邦转债：切入工业热管理赛道打造第二增长曲线 亚太科技/亚科转债：积极布局新能源汽车、航空航天、工业热管理、机器人等新兴领 域的产能储备与业务发展 颀中科技/颀中转债：境内少数掌握多类凸块制造技术并实现规模化量产的集成电路封 测厂商 瑞可达/瑞可转债：公司应用于数据中心的各类高速线缆产品市场需求旺盛 弘亚数控/弘亚转债：国内家具装备龙头，具有成熟的海外销售渠道 岱美股份/岱美转债：切入智能机器人领域 2026 年增量资金入市的进程仍将持续，年初大概率会演绎"春季躁动"行情，主要关 注科技、高端制造方向的投资线索。 周度转债策略 本周各股票指数普涨，转债相对承压，中证转债指数涨跌幅为-0.23%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 6.6 billion, 9.7 billion, and 13.6 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 46%, and 41% [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.3 billion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 660 million, up 14.9% year-on-year, with Q4 revenue remaining stable at 2.11 billion [2][4]. - The data center business has shown significant growth, with the company transitioning from a single transformer supplier to a comprehensive power solution provider, which includes oil transformers, switchgear, and power modules, capitalizing on the increasing demand for computing power driven by the global AI and renewable energy trends [3][4]. - The company is focusing on its core business and advancing digital transformation to optimize operational efficiency and management quality, which has contributed to a net profit increase of 14.9% in 2025 [4]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenue growth rates are 40.5% for 2023, 3.5% for 2024, 5.78% for 2025, 25.27% for 2026, and 26.27% for 2027 [9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 505 million in 2023 to 1.36 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 78.15%, 13.82%, 14.93%, 46.46%, and 40.71% respectively [9]. - The diluted earnings per share are projected to increase from 1.182 in 2023 to 2.959 in 2027 [9].

紧握全球电力投资周期，特高压电磁线 龙头落子沙特加速扩张 2026 年 02 月 25 日 公 司 研 究 / 电 力 设 备 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 宏远股份（920018）动态点评 【事项】 2025 年中国变压器出口额创下历史新高，量价齐升。根据华经产业研 究院援引的中国海关数据，2025 年中国变压器出口额达 90.36 亿美 元，同比增长 34.9%。从量价拆分来看，2025 年中国变压器出口数量 为 31.48 亿个，同比增长 4.3%；2025 年中国变压器出口均价为 2.87 美元/个，同比增长 29.3%。 【评论】 挖掘价值 投资成长 增持（首次） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：周喆 证书编号：S1160525040003 证券分析师：陈杨 证书编号：S1160525120004 联系人：胡星亮 相对指数表现 基本数据 总市值（百万元） 4,403.06 流通市值（百万元） 1,529.26 52 周最高/最低（元） 42.00/27.00 -40% -28% -16% -4% 8% 20% 2025/8 2025/11 2026/2 宏远股份 沪深300 | 52 周最高/最低（元 ...

%% %% 行业研究丨深度报告丨电气设备 [Table_Title] 美国加码 AIDC 自建电源，变压器&储能景气 有望加速——美国缺电研究系列三 %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 此前，我们在《解能源桎梏，扬时代风帆——美国缺电深度研究》中指出，AI 电力需求高增下， 美国电力缺口不断放大，公用电网短期难以解决，导致电价不断上涨。2026 年以来，在立法层 面，FERC、州政府及区域输电组织加速推进大型负载并网政策落地，数据中心自建电源已是 大势所趋。本报告重点阐述北美数据中心供电及配储架构，量化测算自建电源对变压器及储能 需求的拉动。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 司鸿历 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520080002 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BVD284 袁澎 SAC：S0490524010001 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 23 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_ ...

A股迎来马年开门红，三大指数节后集体上涨。截至收盘，沪指涨0.87%，报4117.41点，深成指涨 1.36%，报14291.57点，创业板指涨0.99%，报3308.26点，科创50指数跌0.34%，报1465.37点。沪深两市 合计成交额22020.62亿元。市场超4000只个股上涨，其中109只个股涨停。 开源证券认为，春季躁动并非一次性走完，过去十年有6次在经历回调后走出第二波上涨，且第二轮上 涨往往比第一波更具赚钱效应，方向与当时市场主线强相关。 中信建投指出今年A股处于慢牛格局中，投资者做多热情高涨，前期在"主动降温"引导下指数完成了一 轮回调整固，节后有望开启新一轮上行。和以往不同的是，由于今年春节时间较晚，春节后两会前仅一 周的交易时间。两会期间则常出现"兑现行情"，重点关注细分产业政策超预期情况。 国金宏观指出，市场波动主要源于流动性与风险偏好变化，而非AI产业方向逆转。未来美股对业绩兑 现要求将更严苛，资本开支容忍度持续下降，波动大概率加剧，但科技股是否已经走到右侧仍需观察。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 午后化工（核心股）">磷化工（核心股）板块涨势扩大，云天化、六国化工 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global focus on AI is driving demand for power supply, particularly in Hai'an, where transformer manufacturers are experiencing a surge in orders due to the increasing need for computing power [2]. Industry Summary - The smart grid supporting industry in Hai'an is projected to reach a market value of nearly 200 billion by 2025, with a growth rate exceeding 12% [2]. - Over a hundred companies are collaborating in Hai'an to capitalize on the booming demand for AI-related power solutions [2].

平时不起眼的变压器成了稀缺资源。当前人工智能快速迭代、数据中心大规模建设，引发巨量电力需 求。受此影响，2025年以来，全球掀起中国变压器抢购潮，我国大量变压器工厂已经处于满产状态，其 中部分面向数据中心的业务订单排到2027年。当算力竞争进入深水区，中国电力装备正以不可替代的优 势，成为托举全球AI发展的"电力心脏"。 中国变压器产业崛起背后，有三大核心优势。 全产业链自主可控是根本底气。从最上游的铜和硅钢冶炼，到变压器的电磁线加工、铁芯制造与绝缘纸 板生产，中国已构建起全球最完整、最高效的变压器产业链。智能制造升级则让生产效率与品控水平跻 身国际前列，有效抵御全球供应链波动风险。 技术迭代与场景适配能力是核心竞争力。中国企业针对AI数据中心定制开发高功率、低损耗变压器， 探索研发固态变压器等转换效率极高的新型产品，同时还可适配风电、光伏等绿色能源的波动性，实 现"算力+绿电"深度融合，满足多元场景需求。 全球化布局则让中国变压器走向世界。不同国家和地区变压器型号不同，企业要想打开海外市场，需要 获取各个国家的资质，具备海外产能的公司更容易占领市场。中国头部变压器企业在海外布局生产基地 与运维中心，从产品出 ...

Core Insights - The global demand for transformers has surged due to rapid advancements in artificial intelligence and large-scale data center construction, leading to a significant increase in electricity requirements [1][2] - China has become the world's largest transformer producer, accounting for approximately 60% of global production capacity, and is uniquely positioned to meet the growing demand with faster delivery times and lower production costs [2][3] Group 1: Market Demand - The AI computing competition has intensified, with regions like Europe, the Middle East, and North America accelerating the construction of large-scale data centers, resulting in exponential growth in electricity demand [2] - AI chips are highly sensitive to voltage fluctuations, necessitating high-power, low-loss, and highly reliable customized transformers for stable power supply [2] - The integration of renewable energy sources like wind and solar power into the grid further increases the demand for transformers that can adapt to intermittent and fluctuating power characteristics [2] Group 2: Supply Constraints - The transformer industry in Europe and North America has suffered from years of low demand and insufficient investment, leading to significant capacity shortages and long delivery times for large transformers [2] - In contrast, China's complete industrial chain and rapid response capabilities allow it to fulfill large-scale orders effectively, making it the only country capable of quickly responding to sudden demand surges [2][3] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - China has established a fully autonomous and efficient transformer industrial chain, from raw material processing to manufacturing, which enhances production efficiency and quality control [3] - Chinese companies are innovating by developing high-power, low-loss transformers tailored for AI data centers and exploring new products like solid-state transformers that can efficiently integrate with renewable energy [3] - Chinese transformer manufacturers are expanding globally, establishing production bases and service centers abroad, and transitioning from product export to integrated output of technology, standards, and services [3] Group 4: Strategic Implications - The global demand for Chinese transformers reflects the irreplaceability of Chinese manufacturing, driven by resilience in the industrial chain and continuous investment in technological innovation [4] - The intersection of energy and technology in the global computing competition underscores the importance of reliable power supply, with China's rise in the power equipment sector providing essential support for global digital transformation [4] - The challenge ahead is to convert this industrial advantage into sustainable technological competitiveness and to play a proactive role in the restructuring of global supply chains [4]

平时不起眼的变压器成了稀缺资源。当前人工智能快速迭代、数据中心大规模建设，引发巨量电力需 求。受此影响，去年以来，全球掀起中国变压器抢购潮，我国大量变压器工厂已经处于满产状态，其中 部分面向数据中心的业务订单排到2027年。当算力竞争进入深水区，中国电力装备正以不可替代的优 势，成为托举全球AI发展的"电力心脏"。 变压器是电力系统的核心装备，担负着电压变换与电能分配的重要任务。从电网输送的高压电，到用电 终端适配的低压电，全靠变压器完成精准转换，其运行性能对电网安全稳定与供电可靠性有直接影响。 作为一种传统电力设备，变压器怎么就成了全球算力竞赛的"命门"？ 在供给侧，欧美变压器产业链因过去长年需求低迷、投资欠缺，产能严重不足，大型变压器交付周期 长，供需缺口大，难以应对突如其来的需求爆发。而中国凭借全产业链优势与快速响应能力，高端变压 器生产成本更低，交付周期更短，成为全球唯一具备快速响应大规模订单能力的国家。目前，中国已经 成为世界第一大变压器生产国，建成了全球最完备的变压器生产体系，产能约占全球60%。 更重要的是，中国变压器通过海外项目多年验证，特高压等技术的领先优势反哺工业变压器品质，在高 可靠性、 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the rapid growth of capital expenditure in the AI sector, particularly among major tech companies like Amazon and Meta, with projected capital expenditures reaching $180 billion and $125 billion respectively by 2026, indicating an overall growth rate of nearly 70% from $376.1 billion last year to $650 billion this year [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **AI Investment Trends**: AI-related investments are expected to accelerate, with a projected growth of 55% in 2024, 65% in 2025, and potentially 70% in 2026. Investments include cloud computing and logistics, with over 70% of purchases directly related to AI [3]. - **Importance of Optical Modules**: Optical modules are becoming increasingly significant in AI infrastructure, with their share of AI capital expenditure rising from 3% to 6% and potentially reaching 20% in the future. The demand for higher bandwidth optical modules is expected to surge due to network bandwidth becoming a bottleneck for computing clusters [4]. - **Leading Companies in Optical Communication**: Companies like Xuchuang and NewEase are highlighted for their high cost-performance ratio and comprehensive industry chain layout, which positions them favorably for valuation reassessment as semiconductor content increases [5][6]. - **Transformer Exports**: The power shortage in North America is driving an increase in transformer exports from China, with significant orders being fulfilled. The delivery cycles for large transformers are long, making the certainty of orders from North America high [7]. - **Market Dynamics for Large Transformers**: The U.S. market for large transformers is experiencing supply tightness, with a shift in procurement needs from power systems to data centers, which may lower entry barriers for new suppliers [8]. - **AI Power Market Outlook**: The year 2026 is anticipated to be pivotal for the AI power market, with significant orders expected for both external high-voltage direct current (HVDC) and internal systems [9]. - **Data Center Impact on Energy Storage**: The development of data centers is expected to significantly increase the demand for energy storage solutions, with recommendations for companies like Sungrow, which have competitive advantages in the U.S. market [10]. - **Commercialization of AI**: 2026 is projected to be a landmark year for AI commercialization, driven by advancements in language and visual models, as well as increased competition among domestic internet giants [11]. - **CPU Demand Surge**: The AI era is expected to increase demand for CPUs due to the unpredictable resource consumption associated with sandboxed execution tasks [12]. Additional Important Insights - **Changes in the Gas Turbine Supply Chain**: The gas turbine industry is experiencing significant order growth, with lead times extending to 2030 for some manufacturers, indicating a tightening supply chain [13][14]. - **Opportunities in the Media Sector**: The media industry is identified as a key area for AI commercialization, with major companies expected to ramp up capital expenditures. Specific opportunities are noted in AI advertising, AI comics, and AI gaming [19]. - **Recommendations in the Electronics Sector**: Key areas for investment in the electronics sector include storage chips, PCB technology, liquid cooling technology, and CPU-related segments, with specific companies recommended for their growth potential [20]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and trends discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the AI and related industries.