上周市场动态方面，美联储降息25BP，并将进入扩表阶段。美联储在12月的货币政策会议后如期宣布 降息25个基点。值得注意的是，美联储还宣布将启动扩表程序，通过短期国债购买计划调控市场流动 性水平。这项技术性操作将于12月12日启动。首轮操作将购买约400亿美元的短期国库券。 美国初请失业金人数意外增加。截至12月6日当周，美国初请失业金人数增至23.6万人，较前一周向上 修正后的19.2万人大幅增加，为2021年7月中以来最大增幅。 风险提示：近期黄金波动较大，投资黄金基金需充分认识风险，结合自身风险承受能力审慎决策。同 时可持续关注全球宏观经济走势，全球央行购金情况以及相关政策动态。 黄金市场上周（12.8~12.12）小幅抬升，美联储释放扩表预期。金银比价的反弹也吸引部分资金流 入。 市场观点方面，过往一周（12．8~12．12）黄金市场上周呈现震荡上行，周内市场核心主线围绕美联 储12月议息会议，由于此前市场更多预期本次为鹰派降息，在上周四会议结果披露前，部分资金离场 避险，金银更多展现为震荡走势。上周四美联储如期降息25BP，并提前开始扩表，鲍威尔发言强调， 关税对通胀是一次性冲击且劳动力市场存在下行 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the gold market has continued to rise despite strong economic data and a rebound in the US dollar, primarily supported by inflows from overseas ETFs and futures [1][2] - The international gold price approached $3800 per ounce during the week, with other precious metals like silver, platinum, and palladium also experiencing significant increases, boosting overall market sentiment [1] - Recent US economic data showed positive performance, with personal consumption expenditures (PCE) rising by 0.6% in August, slightly above expectations, and the second-quarter GDP being revised up to a growth of 3.8%, also better than market forecasts [2] Group 2 - The domestic gold price is currently facing some unfavorable factors, with the domestic and foreign price difference reaching -11 yuan per gram, influenced by expectations of RMB appreciation [2] - The long-term price difference center is expected to normalize around 2 yuan per gram, indicating potential recovery in the domestic and foreign price difference in the future [2] - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated the importance of the Fed's independence and expressed a cautious outlook on future interest rate cuts, balancing high inflation risks with a weak job market [2] Group 3 - The Bosera Gold ETF (159937) and its connecting funds (002610, 002611) track the performance of gold prices in RMB by investing in gold spot contracts on the Shanghai Gold Exchange, providing investors with a new way to invest in gold [3]

Group 1 - Gold prices have surged after three months of volatility, with London gold reaching $3546.9 per ounce and COMEX gold hitting $3616.9 per ounce, both marking historical highs [1] - Domestic gold prices in China also increased, with AU9999 gold exceeding 809 yuan per gram and major jewelry brands reporting prices of 1053 yuan per gram for gold jewelry [1] Group 2 - Two main factors have driven the recent rise in gold prices: weak U.S. economic data bolstering expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve due to political interventions [2][3] - The market anticipates a significant increase in the likelihood of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, especially if President Trump successfully influences the board's composition [2][3] Group 3 - Gold-related ETFs have seen substantial gains, with gold stock ETFs rising over 60% year-to-date, and individual stocks like Lao Pu Gold and China National Gold International increasing over 200% [4] - The demand for gold in China remains high, with a significant supply gap, leading to increased imports and a focus on enhancing domestic gold production capabilities [4] Group 4 - The Federal Reserve's current dovish stance and ongoing gold purchases by central banks are expected to provide strong support for gold prices in the medium term [5][6] - The trend of central banks increasing their gold reserves continues, with China's central bank reporting a rise in gold holdings for nine consecutive months [6] Group 5 - The potential impact of stablecoin legalization by the U.S. government on dollar credibility and gold prices is a point of concern, as it could either support or undermine gold's role as a hedge against currency devaluation [7]

Group 1 - The gold market experienced upward movement last week due to disappointing U.S. employment data and the nomination of Stephen Milan as a temporary Federal Reserve governor, leading to shifted expectations for interest rate cuts by the Fed [1][2] - The international gold market saw fluctuations, with the U.S. ISM non-manufacturing PMI for July dropping to 50.1, below expectations of 51.5, indicating weakening demand and new orders, while price components increased, suggesting a stagflationary structure [1][3] - A ruling from U.S. Customs and Border Protection indicated that gold bars imported from Switzerland would be subject to reciprocal tariffs, causing significant market volatility, although the White House later clarified that gold would not incur additional tariffs, narrowing the price gap between New York and London gold [1][3] Group 2 - The appointment of Stephen Milan as a temporary Federal Reserve governor by President Trump is expected to influence the dovish stance of current committee members, maintaining expanded market expectations for interest rate cuts [2] - Upcoming U.S. July CPI data is anticipated to be a decisive factor for the Fed's interest rate decisions in September [3] - The BoShi Gold ETF and its linked funds provide investors with a way to invest in gold through Shanghai Gold Exchange contracts, starting from a minimum investment of 1 yuan [4]