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富格林:黑幕套路精准揭露 鲍威尔曝光降息线索
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 06:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the fluctuations in gold prices, influenced by Federal Reserve policies, geopolitical tensions, and macroeconomic data [2][4][8] - On Tuesday, spot gold prices initially rose to a daily high of $3345.25 but later fell, closing down 0.51% at $3315.60 per ounce, reflecting market concerns over the Fed's policy direction and geopolitical developments [2][8] - The market anticipates two 25 basis point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with focus on the upcoming FOMC meeting minutes and Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole conference for confirmation of policy direction [2][5][6] Group 2 - Optimism regarding a potential resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict has reduced safe-haven demand for gold, contributing to its price decline [4][8] - The U.S. housing market data shows a mixed trend, with July new home starts exceeding expectations by over 5%, while building permits declined, indicating potential economic volatility [5][8] - The latest API report indicates a decrease of 2.4 million barrels in U.S. crude oil inventories, suggesting resilient demand and providing some support for oil prices, despite geopolitical tensions potentially easing supply constraints [10]
富格林:冻结戒备出金欺诈 降息预期利多金市
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 07:46
前言:富格林规范运营诚信服务15年,兼备香港黄金交易所100号A1行员优质认证,以丰富分析市况经验为投资 者冻结戒备各式出金欺诈。金价周二延续涨势,一度触及近两周高点,为连续四个交易日上涨,展现出强劲的上 涨动能。投资者面对出金欺诈疑惑可随时咨询富格林,寻求合理冻结戒备协助建议,经验充足的专家老师团队在 线提供行情布局建议,显著提升进场操作盈利信心。 美联储动态上,美联储的人事变动为金价走势增添了变数。美联储理事库格勒宣布提前离职,特朗普称将很快公 布其临时接替人选,并排除财长接任的可能性。库格勒离职不仅让美联储理事会空出一个关键席位,还为特朗普 提名新任美联储主席铺平了道路。现任主席鲍威尔的任期将在2026年5月结束,而新提名的理事不仅将填补库格勒 的剩余任期,还有望成为特朗普心目中接替鲍威尔的首选人选。市场预期,新任理事和主席可能倾向于鸽派货币 政策,为金价提供上行动力。 富格林分析指出,眼下,美联储理事库格勒的意外离职以及特朗普对劳工统计局局长的突然解职,进一步加剧外 界对美国经济数据可信度和政策独立性的担忧。投资者正密切关注特朗普的下一步动作,以及美联储在复杂经济 环境下的应对之道。黄金短期内有望在避 ...
富格林投资:多空拉锯金价反弹 美联储携非农引爆行情
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 07:33
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the volatility in gold prices driven by multiple factors, including trade negotiations, Federal Reserve policy decisions, and geopolitical tensions [1][3][4] - On July 29, gold prices rebounded, reaching a peak of $3333.93 per ounce after a drop to $3302, indicating a rapid shift in market sentiment [1][2] - The recent agreement between the US and EU to impose a 15% tariff on EU goods has provided some certainty to global markets, while the extension of the tariff truce between the US and China has also influenced gold prices [3][4] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is a significant factor affecting gold price fluctuations, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged during the upcoming meeting [4][6] - Recent economic data presents a mixed picture, with a decrease in job openings and a rise in consumer confidence, contributing to the ongoing debate within the Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate cuts [4][6] - The geopolitical landscape is further complicated by President Trump's pressure on Russia regarding the Ukraine conflict, which has heightened geopolitical risks and supported gold as a safe-haven asset [3][6] Group 3 - Oil prices have also been influenced by geopolitical tensions, with concerns over potential disruptions to Russian oil exports driving prices higher [6][7] - The announcement of new sanctions against Russia by the EU has intensified the pressure on the global energy market, with significant implications for oil supply and pricing [7] - The upcoming OPEC+ meeting is expected to address production strategies, which could further impact oil price volatility [7]
富格林:曝光盈利出金套路 评级风暴震动市场
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 08:50
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in gold prices driven by geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and the weakening of the US dollar due to uncertainties surrounding US tax policies and credit ratings [1][3][5] - Gold prices surged past $3,300 per ounce for the first time since May 9, with a notable increase of nearly 2% during trading sessions, closing at $3,289.98 per ounce [1][3] - The geopolitical situation, especially the potential military actions by Israel against Iran, has heightened market risk aversion, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3][5] Group 2 - The downgrade of the US credit rating by Moody's from "AAA" to "AA1" has contributed to the decline of the US dollar, which fell to its lowest level since May 8, further supporting gold prices [3][4] - The ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, along with the uncertainty surrounding US fiscal policies, have created a favorable environment for gold, enhancing its appeal as a hedge against inflation and economic instability [4][5] - Market participants are closely monitoring upcoming statements from Federal Reserve officials and developments in US tax reform discussions, as these could influence the direction of the dollar and, consequently, gold prices [7][9]
富格林:黑幕套路可信识破 超级数据周来袭
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 08:29
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced a significant drop of nearly 1% on April 29, with spot gold falling to $3,317.25 per ounce, a decline of 0.81% after briefly dropping below the $3,300 mark [1] - The easing of trade tensions, particularly the U.S. government's softened stance on auto tariffs, has reduced the demand for safe-haven assets like gold, leading to a rebound in the U.S. dollar [1][2] - Despite short-term pressures on gold prices, long-term demand for gold as a safe-haven asset remains strong due to ongoing uncertainties in trade policies and economic indicators [3] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Predictions - Key economic indicators show concerning trends, with the consumer confidence index falling to a five-year low and job vacancies decreasing by 288,000 in March [2] - Goldman Sachs has revised its GDP forecast, predicting a contraction of 0.8% for the first quarter, indicating potential economic slowdown [2] - The Federal Reserve officials are open to interest rate cuts if economic risks become apparent, but they prefer to assess the impact of trade policies on inflation and employment first [3] Group 3: Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices fell sharply, with WTI crude dropping 2.84% to $59.93 per barrel and Brent crude down 2.48% to $63 per barrel, influenced by concerns over global demand due to trade tensions [5] - OPEC+ is considering increasing production, which could exacerbate supply-demand imbalances in the oil market amid declining demand forecasts [7] - U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels, significantly higher than the expected increase of 400,000 barrels, raising concerns about supply excess [7]