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一周一刻钟,大事快评(W139):补贴政策受益分析,小鹏、零跑、长城销量解读
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-01-07 09:13
行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 《关注中升控股;福达股份、恒勃股份更 新——一周一刻钟,大事快评(W138)》 2025/12/30 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 联系人 邵翼 A0230524120001 shaoyi@swsresearch.com 2026 年 01 月 07 日 补贴政策受益分析;小鹏、零跑、 长城销量解读 证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车 ⚫ 补贴政策受益分析:2026 年新能源汽车购置税补贴政策从"一刀切"模式调整为分档 等比例补贴,导致单车补贴金额出现小幅下降。以 2025 年 Q4 销量结构为基准的测算显 示,政策影响呈现显结构性差异:中低端车型占比越高的企业,补贴退坡幅度越大。其 中吉利、比亚迪补贴退坡幅度较大,而小鹏、长城、零跑受影响相对较小,15-20 万以 上的高端品牌基本不受本次政策调整影响。我们认为本次补贴政策调整将显著重塑2026 年新能源汽车销量结构。此前依赖补贴支撑的 A0 级及 A00 级低端车型需求预计将显著 降低,中高端新能源车型及整体 ASP 较高的企业将在 ...
长城魏牌高端化“变阵”
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-12-26 20:31
Core Viewpoint - The frequent changes in leadership at the high-end brand WEY under Great Wall Motors reflect the complexities of operating an automotive brand, with the new CEO Zhao Yongpo aiming to leverage his extensive experience to enhance the brand's market position and product offerings [3][5][7]. Leadership Changes - Zhao Yongpo has taken over as CEO of WEY, succeeding Feng Fuzhi, who served for only eight months. This marks the ninth CEO since the brand's establishment in 2016 [3][5]. - Feng Fuzhi's tenure was characterized by efforts to expand the direct sales channel, but he faced significant pressure, leading to his departure [5]. - Zhao Yongpo has over 20 years of experience within Great Wall Motors and has been involved in the development of WEY from its inception [6]. Brand Development and Market Position - WEY has experienced a "high-open, low-walk, and recovery" trajectory since its establishment, with a peak sales figure of 139,000 units in 2018, followed by a decline due to delays in transitioning to electric vehicles [7]. - The brand has recently seen a resurgence, with sales of 89,000 units from January to October 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 93.94% [7]. - Future product strategies include launching new models based on a new platform by 2026, aiming to cover various powertrain options [7]. Direct Sales Strategy - The establishment of a direct sales model is seen as crucial for enhancing brand perception and user experience, with over 500 direct service points planned across more than 130 cities by November 2025 [8][9]. - The direct sales approach allows for better control over user touchpoints and service standards, which is essential for building a high-end brand image [9][10]. - However, the rapid expansion of direct sales outlets poses challenges, as seen in the case of other companies like Li Auto, which took over six years to reach a similar number of stores [9][10]. Challenges in Expansion - The process of establishing high-quality direct sales outlets is complex and time-consuming, involving multiple stages from site selection to team training [10]. - The competition for prime retail locations in key commercial areas is intense, often requiring brands to wait for suitable opportunities [10]. - Great Wall Motors has invested over 2 billion yuan in its direct sales system, highlighting the commitment to overcoming the challenges of brand management in the automotive sector [10].
增程车纯电续航越来越长,是进步还是偏离初心?
经济观察报· 2025-08-17 06:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid evolution of range-extended electric vehicles (REEVs), highlighting the shift from smaller batteries with larger range extenders to larger batteries with smaller range extenders, driven by consumer demand and technological advancements [2][9][16]. Development of Range-Extended Technology - The development of range-extended technology has seen significant improvements, with pure electric range increasing from 120 km to 200 km over several years, and then to 400 km in just a couple of years [2][4]. - Battery pack capacities have also increased dramatically, from around 10 kWh to 50-60 kWh, showcasing impressive technological advancements [2][4]. Market Trends and Consumer Preferences - The market for range-extended vehicles has grown significantly, with many manufacturers who previously focused solely on pure electric vehicles now embracing range extenders due to their practicality and convenience [2][9]. - The average battery capacity of range-extended models has increased by approximately 20.54% from 2021 to 2023, indicating a trend towards larger batteries [4][5]. Competitive Landscape - The competition among manufacturers has intensified, with various models now offering pure electric ranges exceeding 300 km, reflecting a shift in consumer expectations [6][10]. - Major players like Ideal, Seres, and Lantu have upgraded their battery capacities significantly, with the average battery capacity reaching 43.77 kWh in 2023 [4][5]. Factors Driving the Shift to Larger Batteries - The decline in battery costs, which have dropped over 80% in the past decade, has enabled manufacturers to increase battery capacities economically [9]. - The proliferation of fast-charging infrastructure has supported the development of long-range models, making them more appealing to consumers [9][10]. Industry Perspectives on Battery Size - There are differing opinions within the industry regarding the necessity of larger batteries, with some arguing that they enhance the driving experience while others caution about increased costs and vehicle weight [3][12]. - The debate continues over whether the future of range-extended vehicles should focus on larger batteries or a balance between battery size and range extender efficiency [15][16]. Future Outlook - The consensus is that while range-extended vehicles are currently popular, the industry may eventually shift towards pure electric vehicles as battery technology matures and charging infrastructure improves [16][17]. - The ongoing competition and technological advancements suggest that the market for range-extended vehicles will continue to evolve, with potential for both large and small battery configurations depending on market demands and technological capabilities [17][18].