山海：市场大变天，多方面因素影响利空黄金！ 敬畏市场，尊重市场是近期交易的至理名言，现在竟然市场动态表现比较大，不管是人民币，美元，还是黄金，都出现了较大的涨跌幅度，所以，近期行情 其实很难预测，也很难做出一单到底的大利润。比如黄金在周一，周二的震荡扫盘，周三的先涨后跌破位，看似有利润，其实做起来都是风险。黄金在周三 出现了破位性的下跌，跌破3200后最低至3167，虽然出现了预测的破位，但并没有按照山海预测的上涨，不过山海也没有因为这波下跌而做错交易，大不了 看不对就不做，宁错过不做错。既然黄金走出了破位的下跌，那么承认近期黄金的弱势，并且观察这波弱势是否延续。周四的黄金有可能会在弱势中延续下 跌，有可能在弱势中再次走强，关键的表现还是要看市场的情绪。从技术面来看，现在黄金在3200之下，日线大阴，毫无疑问是绝对弱势，关键性的点位在 3200得失上，如果日内反弹不过3200，那么，黄金就是极弱，周四继续看日线收阴的下跌，但如果日内反弹站稳在3200之上，日线周期可能再收口，出现延 续性反弹至3235，3260，因此，今天的关键点是关注3200得失。H4周期的表现现在有可能会中期筑底，经过午夜的下跌反弹，H5 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is currently testing low levels and seeking upward breakout potential, with recent CPI data not altering its weak trend [1][3] - Gold has been in a low volatility state, with recent fluctuations showing limited upward movement, and the market is advised to observe the continuation of strength or weakness [3][5] - The dollar index has seen a significant drop due to poor CPI data, closing around 100.7, with expectations of further weakness potentially reaching 99.8 [5][6] Group 2 - Key technical levels for gold include maintaining higher lows and breaking the resistance at 3280, which is crucial for establishing bullish momentum [6][7] - Domestic gold futures have shown limited volatility, with the Shanghai gold contract closing around 770, and potential upward movement if it breaks 775 [7] - International silver has provided trading opportunities around the 32 low point, with expectations of reaching 33.5, while domestic silver has also shown profit potential around the 8200 level [8] Group 3 - The international crude oil market has shown a strong upward trend, currently peaking around 64, with expectations of further increases towards 66 [8] - Domestic fuel oil has seen significant profits from previous long positions, with the highest price reaching 2760, and traders are advised to adjust their profit-taking strategies [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates a bullish trend for gold, with a significant price increase of nearly $100 observed during the holiday period, suggesting that pullbacks present buying opportunities [2][4] - The highest price reached was 3338, and the bullish momentum is expected to continue, with key resistance levels identified at 3370 and 3420, which are crucial for further upward movement [4][5] - The daily chart shows a strong bullish candle, indicating potential upward movement towards the upper Bollinger Band around 3500, suggesting a large upward space [4] Group 2 - For the H4 timeframe, support is noted around 3310, with buying opportunities suggested if a pullback occurs, while targets are set at 3352 and 3370 [5] - Domestic gold futures (沪金) are currently trading around 797, with a bullish outlook after a prior decline, and potential targets above 820 are indicated [5][6] - International silver is showing a clear trend, with support at 31.5 and a focus on buying opportunities around 32, with targets set at 33 and 34 [5][6] Group 3 - Domestic silver futures (沪银) are currently at 8340, with a bullish outlook and targets set at 8400 and 8450, indicating a potential for further upward movement [6] - International crude oil is experiencing adjustments, with a focus on a potential rebound from 55, while the overall long-term trend remains bearish [6] - Domestic fuel oil futures (燃油) are suggested for buying above 2550, with upward targets set at 2700 and 2800, indicating a significant upward trend potential [6]