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前三季度地方借钱约8.5万亿元,花哪儿了?
第一财经· 2025-10-09 06:56
本文字数:2113,阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陈益刊 为了稳投资、防风险,地方政府依法举债规模继续创新高,但发行接近尾声,举债增速逐步回落。 根据财政部及机构数据,今年前三季度全国发行地方政府债券合计约8.54万亿元,同比增长约 27%。 目前地方政府合法借钱渠道基本来自发行地方政府债券,为了稳经济今年更加积极的财政政策靠前发 力,地方政府发债进度明显快于去年。这也体现在今年前三季度地方发债借钱规模创新高,且保持两 位数增速(下图为地方政府债券月度发行规模图)。 2025.10. 09 上图来自"企业预警通"(下同) 今年以来地方借钱规模并不小。 财政部数据显示,今年前8个月地方政府广义财政收入(即地方一般公共预算本级收入和地方政府性 基金预算本级收入之和)约10.75万亿元,而前8个月地方借钱规模约7.7万亿元,占广义财政收入比 重约72%。上述广义财政收入并未包含中央对地方转移支付及举债收入等。 那么,地方举借的8.5万亿元究竟花在哪里了?综合官方以及机构数据分析显示, 答案是约六成资金 用于偿还旧债,近四成资金则用于投向重大项目建设。 根据财政部及机构数据,今年前三季度地方政府发行的8.5 ...
前7月地方借钱6.7万亿 钱怎么花
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 17:10
Core Viewpoint - Local governments in China have significantly increased their borrowing this year, primarily through the issuance of local government bonds, to stabilize the economy and mitigate risks [1][2]. Group 1: Bond Issuance and Utilization - In the first seven months of this year, approximately 67,037 billion yuan of local government bonds were issued, representing a year-on-year increase of about 60% [1]. - More than half of the bond proceeds are allocated to repay old debts, while nearly half is invested in major project construction [1]. - Of the 67,037 billion yuan issued, about 34,000 billion yuan were refinancing bonds, a 65% increase year-on-year, and approximately 33,000 billion yuan were new bonds, up about 55% year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Debt Management and Financial Relief - The average interest cost of replaced hidden debts has decreased by over 2.5 percentage points, significantly alleviating repayment pressure and releasing fiscal space for development and public welfare [2]. - New bonds are primarily used for major public welfare projects, with 28,000 billion yuan of new special bonds issued in the first seven months, a 57% increase year-on-year, accounting for over 60% of the total annual issuance of 44,000 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Project Funding Allocation - Nearly 20,000 billion yuan of new special bond funds were allocated for project construction, with approximately 26.37% directed towards municipal and industrial park infrastructure, 17.63% towards transportation infrastructure, and 13.03% towards land reserve [3]. - A notable increase in land reserve special bonds issuance, exceeding 2,600 billion yuan, aims to recover idle land and stabilize the real estate market [3]. Group 4: Government Initiatives and Future Projections - The Central Political Bureau has called for accelerated issuance and utilization of government bonds to enhance funding efficiency, with expectations to complete the issuance of 44,000 billion yuan in new special bonds by the end of October [4]. - Research forecasts a local bond issuance scale of 35,000 billion yuan in the third quarter, with a net financing scale of 22,000 billion yuan [5]. Group 5: Debt Management and Safety - The State Council has relaxed restrictions on the use of special bond funds, allowing for greater flexibility and autonomy in project funding, while maintaining overall debt levels within safe limits [6]. - As of June 2025, the total local government debt is 51.95 trillion yuan, below the debt ceiling of approximately 57.99 trillion yuan, with an average remaining maturity of 10.2 years and an average interest rate of 2.93% [6].
前7月地方借钱6.7万亿,钱怎么花|财税益侃
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 12:17
Core Viewpoint - Local government bond issuance has reached a record high in the first seven months of the year, with a total of 6.7 trillion yuan, primarily aimed at refinancing old debts and funding major projects [1][2]. Group 1: Bond Issuance and Purpose - In the first seven months, approximately 3.4 trillion yuan of refinancing bonds were issued, marking a 65% year-on-year increase, while new bonds totaled about 3.3 trillion yuan, up approximately 55% [1][2]. - More than half of the bond proceeds are allocated to repay old debts, with nearly half directed towards major project construction [1]. - The issuance of special bonds has been significant, with about 2.8 trillion yuan in new special bonds issued, accounting for over 60% of the annual target of 4.4 trillion yuan [2]. Group 2: Debt Management and Financial Impact - The average interest cost of replaced hidden debts has decreased by over 2.5 percentage points, significantly easing repayment pressure and releasing fiscal space for development and public welfare [2]. - Special new bonds, totaling approximately 755 billion yuan, are specifically aimed at resolving hidden debt issues and addressing overdue payments to enterprises [2]. Group 3: Project Funding Allocation - Of the nearly 2 trillion yuan allocated for project construction from new special bonds, approximately 26.37% is directed towards municipal and industrial park infrastructure, 17.63% towards transportation infrastructure, and 13.03% towards land reserve projects [8]. - The issuance of land reserve special bonds has surged, exceeding 260 billion yuan, aimed at recovering idle land and stabilizing the real estate market [8]. Group 4: Future Expectations and Efficiency - The central government has called for accelerated bond issuance and improved fund utilization efficiency, with expectations that local governments will complete the issuance of 4.4 trillion yuan in new special bonds by the end of October [9]. - The State Council has significantly relaxed the restrictions on the use of special bond funds, allowing for greater flexibility and autonomy in project funding [10]. - As of June 2025, the total local government debt is projected to be 51.95 trillion yuan, remaining below the debt ceiling of approximately 57.99 trillion yuan, indicating manageable debt risk [10].
每日债市速递 | 去年全球债务与GDP之比上升
Wind万得· 2025-02-26 22:44
Market Overview - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation on February 26, with a fixed rate of 1.5%, injecting a net amount of 98 billion yuan into the market after 538.9 billion yuan matured on the same day [1][2] - The interbank market saw the weighted average rate for major deposit institutions' repos remain high, with overnight borrowing rates for credit bonds between 1.9% and 2%, and 7-day funds slightly rising to 2.3%-2.4% [2] - The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. was reported at 4.34% [2] Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit in the secondary market was around 2%, showing a slight increase from the previous day [4] Bond Market Trends - Short-term rates for major interbank bonds showed stability, while long-term and ultra-long-term rates exhibited volatile movements [5] - The yield on 30-year government bonds rose by 0.29%, while 10-year bonds increased by 0.19% [7] Economic Indicators - Hong Kong's Financial Secretary proposed a fiscal consolidation plan aiming to reduce government spending by 7% by the fiscal year 2027-2028, with GDP growth projected between 2% and 3% for 2025 [8] - The final GDP for Hong Kong in Q4 2024 increased by 2.4% year-on-year, with an annual growth forecast of 2.5% for 2024 [8] Global Developments - At least nine U.S. states are considering legislation to hold app stores accountable for age verification when allowing downloads of age-restricted applications [10] Bond Issuance and Events - The National Development Bank plans to issue an additional 31 billion yuan in financial bonds [12] - Zunyi City plans to apply for 22.026 billion yuan in provincial refinancing bonds to repay existing debts [12] - Oceanwide Group is restructuring its domestic debt, with four bonds currently suspended [12] Negative Events in Bond Market - Recent negative events include downgrades in credit ratings and missed interest payments by various companies, indicating potential risks in the bond market [13]