Core Insights - The dexterous hand is a core solution for humanoid robot end effectors, characterized by high flexibility but higher costs and lower reliability compared to traditional grippers [1] - Dexterous hands have a higher degree of freedom, enabling more complex grasping operations, which requires advanced algorithm models for generalization [1][3] - The demand for customized solutions from downstream clients is significant, leading to competitive advantages for whole hand and module manufacturers [3] Technical Composition - The dexterous hand consists of three main systems: 1. **Drive System**: Includes electric, hydraulic, pneumatic, and shape memory alloy drives, with electric motors being the mainstream due to their compact size and high power density [2] 2. **Transmission System**: Comprises reduction modules, linear transmission modules, and end transmission modules, with planetary reducers and worm gearboxes being commonly used [2] 3. **Sensing System**: Encompasses torque, position, and tactile sensors, with a focus on one-dimensional force sensing and the increasing application of MEMS tactile sensors [2] Development Trends - The technology routes for dexterous hands are expected to remain diverse in the short term, with multiple paths developing concurrently [3] - Future advancements will likely see increased degrees of freedom in dexterous hands, alongside a decrease in the unit price of tactile sensors and an increase in their usage [3] - Significant R&D investment and long development cycles mean that many manufacturers will need to collaborate with external suppliers, leading to high uncertainty in downstream demand for components [3]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market [5] - Rating Change: Maintain [5] Core Insights - Dexterous hands are the core solution for humanoid robot end effectors, with current technology routes not converging and significant customization demands from downstream customers, giving an advantage to whole hand and module manufacturers [1][3] - Dexterous hands mimic human hands, integrating drive systems, transmission systems, and sensing systems, offering high flexibility but at a higher cost and lower reliability and maintainability compared to traditional grippers [1][3] - The report identifies three main trends in the development of dexterous hands: the coexistence of multiple technology routes, an increase in degrees of freedom and sensor usage, and the necessity for collaboration between manufacturers and external suppliers due to high R&D costs and long cycles [3][27] Summary by Sections Section 1: Dexterous Hands as Core Solutions - Dexterous hands are designed to flexibly manipulate objects and meet various operational needs, with Tesla's dexterous hand currently in its third iteration capable of performing complex tasks [13][15] - The key difference between dexterous hands and traditional grippers is the higher degree of freedom in dexterous hands, allowing for more complex grasping operations [1][19] Section 2: Core Systems of Dexterous Hands - The dexterous hand consists of three core systems: drive system, transmission system, and sensing system [27] - The drive system primarily includes electric, hydraulic, pneumatic, and shape memory alloy drives, with the electric drive being the mainstream solution [27][30] - The transmission system includes reducers, screws, and tendon systems, with planetary reducers and worm gearboxes being the most commonly used [27][46] - The sensing system comprises force/moment sensors, position sensors, and tactile sensors, which are crucial for providing feedback and enhancing the dexterous hand's functionality [27][75] Section 3: Development Trends of Dexterous Hands - The technology routes for dexterous hands are expected to remain diverse in the short term, with no convergence anticipated [3][92] - Future improvements in dexterous hands will likely include increased degrees of freedom and a rise in the usage of tactile sensors, which will enhance the overall value of the dexterous hand [3][92] - The high R&D investment and long development cycles necessitate collaboration between manufacturers and external suppliers, as dexterous hand development constitutes a significant portion of humanoid robot engineering [3][92] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies such as Jiechang Drive, Longsheng Technology, Zhaowei Electromechanical, and Jiangsu Leili are highlighted for their potential in the dexterous hand market due to their innovative approaches and collaborations [8][4]

Group 1: Investment and Market Trends - Shoucheng Holdings has established a 10 billion RMB investment fund focused on the robotics industry, having invested in nearly 20 high-growth companies [1] - The global humanoid robot shipment is expected to exceed 10,000 units this year, with five to six companies projected to ship over 1,000 units each [5] - The emphasis on "mass production" and "ecosystem" is highlighted as key trends for the robotics industry in 2025, with significant improvements in supply chain capabilities and customer willingness to pay [4] Group 2: Technological Developments - Embodied intelligence is seen as the future direction of robotics, with significant challenges due to its complexity compared to large language models [2] - The core of humanoid robot industrialization lies in breakthroughs in synthetic data, with innovative pipelines generating multimodal interaction environments [3] - Two technological routes for embodied intelligence are identified: one focusing on mimicking human intelligence and the other on defining operational boundaries to drive commercial viability [2] Group 3: Industry Insights and Perspectives - The integration of academia, industry, and government in China is creating a unique advantage in the field of embodied intelligence, fostering a golden development period for the next 20-30 years [2] - The commercial pathways for humanoid robots are currently centered around the education and event markets, with robot football leagues seen as a potential avenue for achieving a commercial closed loop [4] - The discussion around investment logic has shifted from demo and team background to prioritizing mass production and practical implementation [5]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing significant growth with many large companies entering the market, including traditional automotive parts manufacturers, smartphone companies, and internet firms, which accelerates industry development and exploration of practical applications [1][8][10]. Company-Specific Insights Tesla - Tesla is considering replacing its harmonic gear reducer due to wear issues under high-intensity use, which may delay the launch of its third-generation robot by 4-6 months, now expected in Q3 or Q4 of this year [1][2][5]. - The company is making hardware adjustments to improve the robot's durability and impact resistance, indicating that the original design's stability was insufficient for long-term use [2][14]. - New gear structures, such as cycloidal pinwheel gears, are being tested, but their maturity and reliability still need validation [13][22]. Yush Robot - Yush Robot is a leading player in the domestic robot industry, with high product maturity and strong after-sales service, nearing commercialization through software development partnerships [3][7]. Zhiyuan Company - Zhiyuan recently acquired a listed company but has not yet triggered a backdoor listing concept. Their recent demonstration of a robot using a wheeled chassis and dual-arm structure was deemed technically unremarkable [4][6]. Technological Developments - The core technologies in humanoid robots are focused on VRA operation, VRA post-training, and reinforcement learning, aiming to enhance the success rate of operations for commercial applications [1][11]. - The dexterous hand market is experiencing differentiation, with some companies seeing reduced orders due to ineffective grasping algorithms, leading many to switch to specialized grippers [12][25][26]. Market Trends - The component maturity has significantly improved, especially in joint parts like harmonic gear reducers, but new designs still require extensive testing [13][22]. - The entry of large companies into the humanoid robot sector is accelerating development, enhancing supply chain management and ecosystem building [10]. Challenges and Future Outlook - General-purpose robots face challenges in achieving intelligent capabilities, with expectations that it may take several years before they can enter the household market [32][33]. - Transitionary robotic solutions, such as wheeled mobility and specialized grippers, are seen as more feasible in the near term compared to fully humanoid robots [34]. Additional Insights - The industry is witnessing a split in the performance of dexterous hand manufacturers, with some companies thriving while others struggle due to a lack of effective grasping algorithms [12][25][26]. - Data collection for dexterous hands is challenging due to high precision requirements and immature data collection methods, leading to reliance on virtual simulation environments [28]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the current state and future direction of the humanoid robot industry and specific companies involved.

Group 1 - The report addresses the differences between dexterous hands and grippers, emphasizing the importance of dexterous hands in robotic applications [1] - Dexterous hands have four key modules: drive, deceleration, transmission, and perception, which are crucial for the commercialization of robots [1] - In industrial applications, grippers are favored for their stability and cost-effectiveness, while dexterous hands offer greater adaptability and flexibility for complex tasks [1] Group 2 - The complexity of dexterous hands is expected to drive demand for various components, with a notable increase in degrees of freedom showcased at the "werobot" event [2] - The application of micro-screws and tendon ropes is expanding among manufacturers like Tesla for more efficient transmission solutions [2] - The market for dexterous hands is projected to reach 900 million yuan by 2025 and 37.6 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 110% [2] Group 3 - The competitive landscape for dexterous hands includes three main types of players: self-researching robot manufacturers, startups focused on dexterous hands, and companies extending from other industries into dexterous hand components [3] - Companies with quality products related to dexterous hands include Longsheng Technology, Xiangxin Technology, Wuzhou Xinchun, Nanshan Zhishang, Hengshuai Co., Guangyang Co., and Helit Technology [3]

点击 最 下方 "在看"和" "并分享，"关注"材料汇 添加 小编微信 ，遇见 志同道合 的你 正文 写在前面 （文末有惊喜） 一直在路上，所以停下脚步，只在于分享 包括： 新 材料/ 半导体 / 新能源/光伏/显示材料 等 投资要点 の 东吴证券 2 ◆ 灵巧手vs夹爪:场景落地不同,稳定性与泛化性的博弈。场景应用决定硬件需求，不同的场景匹配不同的硬件, 无论是灵巧手还是夹爪,都有英适合的应用场景。夹爪:泛化能力有限但稳定性高,更适合工业应用场景。夹 爪的泛化性弱于灵巧手,但低成本与高稳定性的特性使其更适配工业场景。一方面工业场景不会为多余的功能 买单,夹爪可以以最高的性价比满足工业端需求;另一方面夹爪泛化性差但操作简单,现有的控制算法已可以 赋予其较高的稳定性,这对于工业场景对高良率和高稳定性的要求比较友好。灵巧手:终局泛化能力强,适配 更复杂的应用场景。灵巧手相比夹爪能实现更多复杂的操作,例如需要抓握、手指联动的场景中,灵巧手是必 然选择。长期来看,人形机器人的最终目标就是融入人类的环境,因此灵巧手会是终局解决方案,能够适用于 更多的应用场景。 驱动模块/减速模块/传动模块是灵巧手的三大组成部分。1驱动 ...