关注 AI 基建、绩优板块及个股 【】【】 机械设备[Table_Industry] [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 03 月 02 日 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Table_ReportType] 行业周报 [Table_StockAndRank] 机械设备 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [Table_Author] 王锐 机械行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500523080006 邮 箱：wangrui1@cindasc.com [Table_Author] 韩冰 机械行业分析师 执业编号：S1500523100001 邮 箱：hanbing1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.，LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127 号金隅大厦B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 关注 AI 基建、绩优板块及个股 [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 03 月 02 日 本期内容提要: 燃气轮机需求景气，关注产业链机遇。AI 数据中心建设带动电力需 求，燃气轮机凭借启动速度快、调峰能力强、碳排放低的优势，成 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the machinery equipment industry is "Positive" [2] Core Views - January excavator sales showed a strong increase, with total sales reaching 18,708 units, a year-on-year growth of 49.5%. Domestic sales were 8,723 units, up 61.4%, while exports were 9,985 units, up 40.5%. The high domestic growth rate was influenced by the timing of the Spring Festival, and the export growth was driven by recovering overseas demand and high metal prices boosting mining activities [12][66] - The demand for gas turbines is strong, driven by AI data center construction increasing electricity demand. Gas turbines are favored for their quick start-up, peak-shaving capabilities, and low carbon emissions. GEV signed new gas turbine orders of 18GW in Q4 2025, with total orders expected to reach 80GW by the end of 2025. Siemens Energy also reported new orders of 26GW, a 94% year-on-year increase [13][66] - The report suggests focusing on the engineering machinery sector with high growth in both domestic and export sales, as well as the gas turbine industry chain and high-performing stocks [14] Summary by Sections Company Updates - **Rilian Technology**: A leading supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment, with a nearly doubled order growth year-on-year in the first half of 2025. Revenue increased by 44.01%, and net profit grew by 18.83% [4][14] - **Kangst**: Engaged in the development and sales of digital testing instruments, with a Q3 2025 revenue of 148 million yuan, a 22.24% year-on-year increase, and net profit growth of 30.66% [5][15] - **Xinxin Co., Ltd.**: Specializes in hard alloys and tools, with Q3 2025 revenue growth of 38.02% and net profit growth of 75.40% [6][16] Market Overview - The machinery index (CITIC) rose by 2.47% last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.41% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.39% [17] - The manufacturing PMI for January 2026 was 49.3%, indicating a slight contraction, with new orders and export orders also declining [26] Industry Insights - The gas turbine market is expanding, with major companies like GEV and Siemens Energy planning to increase production capacity significantly by 2028-2030 [13][66] - Excavator sales are expected to continue growing due to domestic demand driven by infrastructure projects and equipment updates, despite a decline in fixed asset investment in construction and real estate [66]

Company - Dayun Technology is a leading domestic supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, recognized as a national-level "specialized and innovative" small giant [4] - From 2019 to 2024, the company's revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 38%, while net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to grow at a CAGR of about 77% [4] - The company has established an integrated product line of "detection equipment + AI software + radiation source," with over a hundred standardized devices [6] - In the field of integrated circuits and electronics manufacturing, the company has covered leading PCB/PCBA customers, ranking among the top in the domestic market share [6] - In the new energy battery sector, the company's equipment covers online and offline detection for power, energy storage, and consumer batteries, and has been applied in new process scenarios such as semi-solid and solid-state [6] - The company has achieved full-chain independent control and large-scale production of radiation sources, with 94.3% of self-developed radiation sources applied in electronic circuit detection equipment in the first half of 2025 [6] - The company has pursued horizontal expansion and vertical deepening through acquisitions, completing investments in companies like Innovation Electronics and Zhuhai Jiuyuan in 2025, which is expected to contribute to sustained revenue growth and profit [6] Industry - The global industrial X-ray detection equipment market is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 9.9% from 2025 to 2030, while the Chinese market is projected to grow at a CAGR of about 10.3% [5] - By 2030, the global market size in this field is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan, with the Chinese market expected to surpass 30 billion yuan [5] - In 2024, the market size for X-ray detection equipment in China's semiconductor and electronics manufacturing sector is projected to be 3.98 billion yuan, with an expected CAGR of 13% from 2025 to 2030 [7] - The market size for X-ray detection equipment in China's new energy battery sector is expected to reach 1.3 billion yuan in 2024, with an anticipated CAGR of 10% from 2025 to 2030 [7] - The market size for X-ray detection equipment in China's casting and welding sector is projected to reach 3.74 billion yuan in 2024, with an expected CAGR of 11% from 2025 to 2030, potentially reaching 7.18 billion yuan by 2030 [8]

Company Overview - The report covers Rilian Technology (688531.SH), a leading domestic supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, recognized as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" [1][16] - The company has achieved a revenue CAGR of approximately 38% and a net profit CAGR of about 77% from 2019 to 2024, with overseas revenue expected to exceed 10% for the first time in H1 2025 [1][26] - Rilian Technology has established a comprehensive product line that includes detection equipment, AI software, and X-ray sources, with over a hundred standardized devices developed [2][60] Industry Insights - The demand for industrial X-ray detection equipment is expected to continue expanding, with the global market projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 9.9% from 2025 to 2030, and the Chinese market at about 10.3% [1][45] - The X-ray detection technology is widely applied across various sectors, including semiconductor manufacturing, public safety, and food safety, indicating a broad market potential [38][39] - The report highlights the increasing trend of domestic substitution in the X-ray source market, which is crucial for the overall detection system [52][53] Company Growth and Strategy - Rilian Technology has a stable shareholding structure and a global layout with six major manufacturing bases, including R&D centers in both domestic and international locations [21][23] - The company has been actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions to expand its technological capabilities and market reach, including investments in companies like Innovation Electronics and Zhuhai Jiuyuan [77][78] - The revenue from the semiconductor and electronic manufacturing sectors is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 3.98 billion yuan in 2024 and a CAGR of 13% from 2025 to 2030 [3][45] Financial Projections - The company is forecasted to achieve a net profit of 1.8 billion yuan in 2025, 3.3 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.6 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 65, 37, and 26 [3][5] - Revenue is expected to reach 1.063 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 43.72% [5][26] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 39.5% in 2019 to 43.7% in 2024, reflecting the company's focus on high-end product development and cost control [33][34]

Group 1: Commercial Aerospace - China's recent successful launch of low-orbit satellites and the application for over 203,000 satellite frequency resources to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) indicates intensified competition in the commercial aerospace sector [2] - The launch of 19 low-orbit satellites by the Long March 12 rocket marks a significant achievement, highlighting the strategic importance of satellite frequency resource competition [2] Group 2: Humanoid Robotics - The humanoid robotics industry is accelerating towards mass production, with Tesla planning to sell its Optimus robot to the public by the end of 2027 and YuTree projecting over 5,500 units of humanoid robots to be shipped by 2025 [3] - Domestic leading companies in the humanoid robotics sector are advancing their capitalization processes, with several firms completing share reforms and expediting their listing processes [3] Group 3: Industrial Technology Companies - Dayun Technology, a leading supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment, reported a nearly 100% year-on-year increase in new orders in the first half of 2025, with a revenue growth of 44.01% and a net profit growth of 18.83% in the first three quarters [4] - Kangst, engaged in the development and sales of digital testing instruments, experienced a significant upward trend in Q3 2025, with revenue, net profit, and net profit excluding non-recurring items increasing by 22.24%, 30.66%, and 36.2% respectively [5] - Newray Co., which specializes in hard alloy products, reported a revenue growth of 38.02% and a net profit growth of 75.40% in Q3 2025, driven by effective cost transmission amidst rising raw material prices [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the machinery equipment industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of sectors with strong performance expectations, including commercial aerospace, humanoid robots, and AI infrastructure chains, as well as high-performing segments like engineering machinery, process industries, and tool sectors [4][14] - The report highlights the significant growth in orders and revenues for specific companies, indicating a positive outlook for their future performance [4][5][6] Summary by Sections Core Views - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing continuous catalysts, with recent successful satellite launches and strategic resource applications for satellite constellations [12] - The humanoid robot sector is moving towards mass production, with major companies accelerating their capital processes and product launches [13] - The engineering machinery sector shows a strong recovery, with excavator sales increasing by 19.2% year-on-year in December 2025, indicating a positive trend in both domestic and export markets [64] Company Highlights - **Rilian Technology**: A leading supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment, reported a 44.01% year-on-year revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit increase of 18.83% [4][14] - **Kangst**: Engaged in the development and sales of digital detection instruments, achieved a 22.24% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a notable increase in net profit [5][15] - **Xinxin Co., Ltd.**: Specializes in hard alloy tools, reported a significant profit increase of 75.40% in Q3 2025, driven by effective cost management and price adjustments [6][16] Market Performance - The machinery index (CITIC) rose by 4.12% in the last week, reflecting a positive market sentiment towards the sector [17] - The report notes that various sub-sectors within the machinery industry, such as photovoltaic equipment and 3C equipment, have shown strong performance, while others like service robots have faced challenges [21] Policy Support - The report outlines several supportive policies aimed at enhancing the machinery sector, including initiatives to promote high-end machine tools and digital transformation in manufacturing [25][32]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Rilian Technology (688531) [2]. Core Insights - Rilian Technology is a leading enterprise in the industrial X-ray intelligent detection field in China, focusing on the R&D, production, and sales of micro-focus and high-power industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, with a dual strategy of domestic substitution and international expansion. The company has achieved rapid revenue growth, with a CAGR of 37.76% for operating income and 76.70% for net profit attributable to the parent company from 2019 to 2024 [5][28]. Company Overview - Rilian Technology has established itself as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise, listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board in 2023. The company has a comprehensive product range that includes X-ray sources, AI imaging software, and industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment, which are widely used in high-end manufacturing quality control [14][22]. Industry Analysis - The global industrial X-ray detection equipment market is projected to grow from 35.12 billion yuan in 2020 to 57.39 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 13.1%. The Chinese market is expected to grow from 10.69 billion yuan to 18.79 billion yuan during the same period, with a CAGR of 15.1% [6][39]. The growth is driven by advancements in semiconductor processes and the increasing demand for new energy batteries, alongside the acceleration of domestic substitution [39]. Investment Logic - Rilian Technology has successfully achieved comprehensive R&D coverage of core high-tech components, making it the only domestic company capable of mass application of X-ray intelligent detection equipment across nearly all industrial sectors. The company is rapidly expanding through horizontal and vertical mergers and acquisitions, which are expected to enhance its platform capabilities and performance [7][14]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve total operating revenues of 1.058 billion yuan, 1.591 billion yuan, and 2.132 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 43.1%, 50.3%, and 34.0%. Net profits attributable to the parent company are expected to be 190 million yuan, 315 million yuan, and 448 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 32.8%, 65.3%, and 42.6% [7][8]. Market Position - Rilian Technology has established a strong market presence, particularly in the integrated circuit and electronic manufacturing sectors, where it holds the highest market share in China. The company has built a solid customer base, including major clients such as SMIC, Foxconn, and CATL [22][23]. Research and Development - The company has consistently increased its R&D investment, with R&D expenses reaching 86.26 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.94%, representing 11.70% of total revenue. This ongoing investment supports innovation in core technology areas such as X-ray sources [28][30]. Global Expansion - Rilian Technology has expanded its international footprint, with sales covering over 70 countries and regions. The establishment of subsidiaries and factories in Singapore, Hungary, Malaysia, and the United States is expected to accelerate the growth of its overseas business [7][14]. Competitive Landscape - The market for X-ray sources is characterized by a layered structure based on focal size, with micro-focus products facing high technical barriers. The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-precision imaging in sectors such as semiconductors and new energy batteries [6][56]. Conclusion - Rilian Technology's strong market position, robust growth prospects, and strategic focus on R&D and international expansion make it a compelling investment opportunity in the industrial X-ray detection sector [7][39].

Core Insights - The establishment of the National Commercial Space Administration and the introduction of specialized development plans mark 2026 as the "commercialization year" for the commercial space industry in China [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Dayun Technology is a leading supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment in China, transitioning from a "pioneer" to a "leader" in the commercial space detection field [1] - The company has developed a unique competitive advantage through years of technological barriers and a rare industry position, being the only domestic enterprise to achieve the industrialization of self-developed industrial X-ray sources [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The company has released the industry's first industrial X-ray imaging AI vertical large model, which meets the high-efficiency detection needs of mass production in commercial space [1] - The 3D/CT detection technology has upgraded from 2D plane detection to 3D imaging, precisely adapting to the detection requirements of complex products such as rocket structural components and satellite electronic semiconductor devices [1] Group 3: Market Position and Client Base - Dayun Technology has successfully delivered products to key players in the commercial space sector, including China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation and private enterprises like Galactic Glory, covering a range of components from rockets to satellites [2] - The company has made a critical leap from "technical validation" to "actual application," establishing a solid foundation for growth despite the current low revenue share from the aerospace sector [2] - The high customer stickiness and replacement costs in the aerospace detection industry suggest that once integrated into core supplier systems, the company will continue to benefit from downstream capacity expansion and order releases [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is accelerating, and the demand for AI infrastructure remains strong, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [11][12] - The performance of excavators and other construction machinery is showing a significant recovery, with notable increases in both domestic and export sales [13][73] Company Summaries 1) Rilian Technology - Rilian Technology is a leading domestic supplier of industrial X-ray intelligent detection equipment and core components, establishing significant technological barriers in core components, AI software, and detection equipment. In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue grew by 44.01% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 18.83%. The slower profit growth compared to revenue is attributed to costs related to new production bases and employee stock incentives. The company is expected to convert orders into revenue effectively, leading to profit elasticity release as cost impacts diminish [3][14]. 2) Konstar - Konstar focuses on the research and sales of digital testing instruments. Despite facing performance pressure from tariffs, the company saw a positive turning point in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 148 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.24%, and net profit attributable to shareholders growing by 30.66%. The company demonstrates strong operational resilience in international markets under tariff pressures, and its domestic business is performing well, with growth potential in MEMS sensors [4][15]. 3) Xinxin Co., Ltd. - Xinxin Co., Ltd. specializes in hard alloys and tools, reporting a revenue growth of 38.02% and a net profit increase of 75.40% in Q3 2025. The company is experiencing accelerated growth in both revenue and profit, driven by effective cost management amid rising raw material prices [5][16]. Industry Trends - The demand for AI-related infrastructure continues to thrive, with significant investments in AI technologies and related supply chains expected to benefit from this trend [12]. - The construction machinery sector is witnessing a comprehensive recovery, with excavator sales reaching 23,095 units in December 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, and loader sales growing by 30.00% [13][73].

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of SSTI by Ruilian Technology marks a significant step in enhancing its capabilities in the semiconductor testing and diagnostics sector, positioning the company to leverage advanced technologies and expand its market presence in China [1][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Ruilian Technology's subsidiary, Singapore Ruitai, will acquire 66% of SSTI for approximately 2.69 billion RMB, making SSTI a controlled subsidiary [1]. - The acquisition is expected to enhance Ruilian Technology's financial performance, with SSTI committing to an average annual post-tax profit of no less than 627 million RMB from 2026 to 2028 [3]. Group 2: SSTI's Competitive Advantages - SSTI is a leading supplier of semiconductor testing and diagnostic equipment with over 30 years of experience and a strong portfolio of proprietary technologies, including PEM, LTP, SOM, and THM [1][2]. - The company has developed core components such as laser scanners and semiconductor device cooling systems, achieving full control over the technology supply chain [2]. - SSTI's products have been successfully applied in advanced semiconductor manufacturing processes, including 3nm technology nodes, demonstrating high maturity and precision in defect detection [2]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - SSTI's wafer probing systems can handle high pin density and ultra-high-speed testing, significantly outperforming competitors like Thermo Fisher and Hamamatsu [3]. - The acquisition will enable Ruilian Technology to leverage its existing relationships in the Chinese semiconductor industry to develop and produce high-end testing equipment tailored for advanced process chips [4]. - Plans include establishing R&D and production bases in China to localize equipment manufacturing and expand the business boundaries in the semiconductor testing field [4].