【内容摘要】1月8日，资金面平稳偏松；受股市、商品走弱提振，债市有所修复；转债市场主要指数集体收涨，转债个券多数上涨；各期限美债收益率普遍 上行，主要欧洲经济体10年期国债收益率走势分化。 一、债市要闻 （一）国内要闻 【中共中央政治局常务委员会召开会议】中共中央政治局常务委员会1月8日召开会议，中共中央总书记习近平主持会议并发表重要讲话。会议指出，党中央 听取全国人大常委会、国务院、全国政协、最高人民法院、最高人民检察院党组工作汇报和中央书记处工作报告，是坚持和完善党的领导制度体系，把党中 央集中统一领导落实到国家治理各领域各方面各环节的重要举措。"十五五"时期，我国发展环境面临深刻复杂变化，工作任务艰巨繁重，要坚持好、运用 好、发展好党的领导这一最大优势，为中国式现代化建设提供根本保证。 二、资金面 （一）公开市场操作 1月8日，央行以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了99亿元7天期逆回购操作，其中，操作利率1.40%，投标量99亿元，中标量99亿元。Wind数据显示，当日无 逆回购到期，因此单日净投放资金99亿元。 【美国上周首申人数微升至20.8万，低于预期21.2万】1月8日，美国劳工部公布的数据显示，截 ...

【大河财立方消息】①美国三大股指全线收涨，道指涨1.23%报48977.18点，再创历史新高，标普500指 数涨0.64%报6902.05点，纳指涨0.69%报23395.82点； ②科技股涨跌互现，特斯拉涨超3%，亚马逊涨近3%，脸书涨超1%，谷歌涨0.44%，苹果跌超1%，英伟 达跌0.39%，微软跌0.02%； ⑨美债收益率集体下跌，2年期美债收益率跌2.46个基点报3.449%，3年期美债收益率跌2.82个基点报 3.519%，5年期美债收益率跌4.33个基点报3.701%，10年期美债收益率跌3.14个基点报4.159%，30年期 美债收益率跌2.26个基点报4.850%； ⑩欧债收益率集体下跌，英国10年期国债收益率跌3个基点报4.505%，法国10年期国债收益率跌3.9个基 点报3.571%，德国10年期国债收益率跌3个基点报2.868%，意大利10年期国债收益率跌4.4个基点报 3.566%，西班牙10年期国债收益率跌3.9个基点报3.298%。 ③热门中概股多数上涨，脑再生涨超31%，比特小鹿涨逾8%，贝壳涨超6%，老虎证券涨逾6%，再鼎医 药涨超4%，哔哩哔哩涨逾3%。跌幅方面，硕迪生物跌 ...

【内容摘要】12月30日，资金面有所收敛，跨年资金成本继续上升；债市情绪有所修复，超长债回暖；转债市场主要指数集体收涨，转债个券多数上涨；各 期限美债收益率走势分化，主要欧洲经济体10年期国债收益率普遍上行。 一、债市要闻 （一）国内要闻 【个人销售未满2年住房增值税将下调至3%】12月30日，财政部、税务总局发布《关于个人销售住房增值税政策的公告》，明确个人将购买不足2年的住房 对外销售的，按照3%的征收率全额缴纳增值税；个人将购买2年以上（含2年）的住房对外销售的，免征增值税。《公告》自2026年1月1日起施行。 【2026年"两新"政策出炉，"范围、标准、机制"全面优化】12月30日，国家发展改革委、财政部发布《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政 策的通知》，明确2026年"两新"政策的支持范围、补贴标准和工作要求。据悉，国家已于近日向地方提前下达2026年第一批625亿元超长期特别国债支持消 费品以旧换新资金计划，满足元旦、春节等旺季消费需求。2026年"两新"政策主要在支持范围、补贴标准、实施机制三方面进行优化。 【财政部：切实抓好地方政府债务监督，有效抓好财政收入、超长期特别国债等 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - On December 29, overnight funds were abundant, but the contradiction of cross - year stratification still existed. The concern over ultra - long bond supply and cross - year fund fluctuations led to a significant weakening of the bond market. The main indexes of the convertible bond market closed down collectively, and most convertible bond issues declined. Yields of U.S. Treasuries across all maturities generally decreased, and yields of 10 - year government bonds of major European economies also generally declined [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News** - The People's Bank of China issued an action plan for digital RMB, and a new generation of digital RMB measurement framework, management system, operation mechanism, and ecosystem will be officially launched on January 1, 2026 [4]. - From January to November, the total operating income of state - owned enterprises was 756257.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1%; the total profit was 37194.5 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 3.1%; the payable taxes were 52803 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.2%. As of the end of November, the asset - liability ratio of state - owned enterprises was 65.2% [4]. - Starting from January 1, 2026, the State Council Tariff Commission will adjust the import tariff rates and tariff items of some commodities, including implementing temporary import tariff rates lower than the most - favored - nation rates for 935 commodities and canceling the temporary import tariff rates of some commodities [5]. - As of the end of November, the net asset value of public funds in China reached 37.02 trillion yuan, an increase of about 60 billion yuan from the end of October, breaking through the 37 - trillion - yuan mark for the first time and setting a new high for eight consecutive months [6]. - **International News** - The minutes of the December meeting of the Bank of Japan suggested more interest rate hikes as many members thought the real interest rate was still very low. The meeting raised the benchmark interest rate to 0.75%, a 30 - year high. Economists expect another rate hike in about six months, with most believing the terminal rate of this hiking cycle will be 1.25% [7]. - **Commodities** - On December 29, WTI February crude oil futures rose 1.84% to $58.08 per barrel; Brent February crude oil futures rose 2.14% to $61.94 per barrel; COMEX gold futures fell 4.47% to $4349.20 per ounce; NYMEX natural gas prices fell 10.81% to $3.943 per ounce [8]. 3.2 Funding Situation - **Open Market Operations** - On December 29, the central bank conducted 4823 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed - rate and quantity - tender method, with an operating rate of 1.40%. The net investment of funds on the day was 4150 billion yuan [10]. - **Funding Rates** - On December 29, the central bank increased the net investment scale. Overnight funds were abundant, but the cross - year stratification contradiction still existed. DR001 decreased by 1.39bp to 1.242%, and DR007 increased by 7.07bp to 1.594%. Other funding rates also showed different changes [12][13]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - rate Bonds** - The local bond issuance plan announced by Shandong on December 29 triggered concerns about ultra - long bond supply, and combined with cross - year funding fluctuations, the bond market weakened significantly. As of 20:00, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury active bond 250016 rose 2.25bp to 1.8580%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB active bond 250215 rose 3.30bp to 1.9395% [15]. - **Credit Bonds** - One industrial bond, "H0 Zhongnan 02", had a trading price deviation of over 10% on December 29. There were also announcements from many real - estate and other companies regarding bond repayment, resumption of trading, debt restructuring, etc. [18][19]. - **Convertible Bonds** - On December 29, the three major A - share indexes showed different trends. The convertible bond market followed the equity market and adjusted. The main convertible bond indexes closed down collectively, and most convertible bond issues declined. Shenyu Convertible Bonds will be listed on December 30 [20][21]. - **Overseas Bond Markets** - **U.S. Bond Market**: Yields of U.S. Treasuries across all maturities generally decreased on December 29. The 2 - year U.S. Treasury yield decreased by 1bp to 3.45%, and the 10 - year yield decreased by 2bp to 4.12%. The 2/10 - year U.S. Treasury yield spread narrowed by 1bp to 67bp; the 5/30 - year yield spread remained unchanged at 113bp. The 10 - year inflation - protected Treasury (TIPS) break - even inflation rate decreased by 1bp to 2.22% [22][23][24]. - **European Bond Market**: Yields of 10 - year government bonds of major European economies generally decreased on December 29. The 10 - year German government bond yield decreased by 3bp to 2.83%, and those of France, Italy, Spain, and the UK also decreased [25][26]. - **Price Changes of Chinese - funded U.S. Dollar Bonds**: The report shows the daily price changes of some Chinese - funded U.S. dollar bonds as of the close on December 29, including the daily and monthly changes in yields and prices of different bonds [27].

【习近平对中央企业工作作出重要指示】中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平近 日对中央企业工作作出重要指示。习近平强调，新征程上，中央企业要充分认识肩负的职责使 命，更好服务党和国家工作大局，服务经济社会高质量发展，服务保障和改善民生，勇担社会 责任，为中国式现代化建设贡献更大力量。要聚焦主责主业，持续优化国有经济布局，切实增 强核心功能、提升核心竞争力。要立足实体经济，强化关键核心技术攻关，推动科技创新和产 业创新深度融合。要进一步深化改革，完善中国特色现代企业制度，健全公司治理结构，着力 解决制约企业发展的深层次问题，努力建设世界一流企业。要统筹发展和安全，有效防范化解 风险，不断夯实企业安全发展的基础。 资金面保持宽松态势；配置盘入场提振债市震荡走强 【内容摘要】12 月 23 日，资金面保持宽松态势；配置盘入场提振债市震荡走强；转债市场有 所调整，转债个券多数下跌；各期限美债收益率普遍上行，主要欧洲经济体 10 年期国债收益 率普遍下行。 一、债市要闻 （一）国内要闻 【李强：中央企业要适度超前开展新型基础设施建设，要在实现产业链供应链自主可控中当 好担纲主力】 中央企业负责人会议 12 月 2 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - On December 24, 2025, the demand for cross - year funds increased, leading to a structural differentiation in the capital market. The bond market fluctuated and consolidated, while the convertible bond market's major indices rose collectively, with most individual convertible bonds posting gains. Yields of U.S. Treasuries across various tenors generally declined, and the 10 - year government bond yields of major European economies showed divergent trends [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News** - The 4th quarter (111th in total) regular meeting of the Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee in 2025 was held on December 18. It proposed to leverage the integrated effect of incremental and existing policies, maintain ample liquidity, and keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level [3]. - On December 24, the central bank announced a 400 - billion - yuan MLF operation on December 25, with a net injection of 100 billion yuan after considering the maturity of 300 billion yuan of MLF this month [4]. - Multiple departments jointly issued the "Opinions on Financial Support for Accelerating the Construction of the New Western Land - Sea Corridor", proposing 21 key measures to support its high - quality development [4]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce released the "Catalogue of Industries Encouraged for Foreign Investment (2025 Edition)", with a total of 1679 items, a net increase of 205 items compared to the 2022 edition [5]. - Beijing optimized and adjusted housing purchase restriction policies on December 24, reducing the social security or tax payment requirements and allowing multi - child families to buy an additional property within the 5th Ring Road [6]. - **International News** - On December 24, the U.S. Department of Labor reported that the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending December 20 fell to 214,000, while the number of continuing jobless claims for the week ending December 13 was 1.923 million. Consumer confidence has declined for five consecutive months [7]. - **Commodities** - On December 24, international crude oil and natural gas futures prices declined. WTI February crude futures fell 0.05% to $58.35 per barrel, Brent February crude futures fell 0.22% to $62.24 per barrel, COMEX gold futures fell 0.01% to $4,505.40 per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices fell 3.69% to $4.249 per ounce [8][9]. 3.2 Capital Market - **Open Market Operations** - On December 24, the central bank conducted a 26 - billion - yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase operation, with a net withdrawal of 20.8 billion yuan due to the maturity of 46.8 billion yuan of reverse repurchases [11]. - **Funding Rates** - On December 24, due to the increasing cross - year demand from institutions, the capital market showed a structural differentiation. DR001 dropped 0.69bp to 1.262%, and DR007 dropped 3.05bp to 1.380% [12]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - Bearing Bonds** - **Spot Bond Yield Trends** - On December 24, affected by multiple rumors such as the central bank's reserve requirement ratio cut and bond purchases, the bond market fluctuated and consolidated. As of 20:00, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active bond 250016 remained unchanged at 1.8350%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active bond 250215 dropped 0.05bp to 1.8975% [14]. - **Bond Tendering** - Information on the tendering of 25 Discount Treasury Bond 82, 25 Discount Treasury Bond 81, and 25 Coupon Treasury Bond 25 is provided, including their terms, issuance scales, winning yields, and other data [15]. - **Credit Bonds** - **Secondary Market Transaction Anomalies** - On December 24, the trading price of one industrial bond, "22 Vanke 04", deviated by more than 10%, rising more than 18% [15]. - **Credit Bond Events** - Various companies announced events such as debt defaults, debt restructurings, asset sales, and equity transfers. For example, Sunac China completed its comprehensive overseas debt restructuring, and Wanda's credit ratings were downgraded [17]. - **Convertible Bonds** - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indices** - On December 24, the three major A - share stock indices rose collectively, and the convertible bond market also increased. The CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Stock Exchange Convertible Bond Index rose 0.71%, 0.75%, and 0.62% respectively [17]. - **Convertible Bond Tracking** - On December 25, Jin 05 Convertible Bond started its online subscription, and on December 24, Tianneng Convertible Bond announced that it was about to trigger the condition for a downward revision of the conversion price [23]. - **Overseas Bond Markets** - **U.S. Bond Market** - On December 24, yields of U.S. Treasuries across various tenors generally declined. The 2 - year U.S. Treasury yield dropped 1bp to 3.47%, and the 10 - year U.S. Treasury yield dropped 3bp to 4.15%. The yield spreads between 2 - year and 10 - year, and 5 - year and 30 - year U.S. Treasuries both narrowed by 2bp [20][21]. - **European Bond Market** - On December 24, the 10 - year government bond yields of major European economies showed divergent trends. France's 10 - year government bond yield rose 1bp, Spain's dropped 1bp, and the UK's remained unchanged [24]. - **Daily Price Changes of Chinese - Issued U.S. Dollar Bonds** - As of the close on December 24, price change information of various Chinese - issued U.S. dollar bonds is provided, including the daily and monthly changes in yields and prices of bonds issued by companies such as Longfor Group and Wanda [26].

①美国三大股指均录得四连涨。道指涨0.16%报48442.41点，标普500指数涨0.46%报6909.79点，纳指涨 0.57%报23561.84点； ③热门中概股涨跌不一，台积电涨1.27%，阿里巴巴涨0.19%，拼多多涨0.13%；网易跌0.17%，携程跌 1.74%，百度跌0.47%，京东跌0.03%，腾讯音乐跌1.00%； ⑥国际贵金属期货普遍上涨，COMEX黄金期货收涨1.02%报4515美元/盎司，COMEX白银期货收涨 4.44%报71.61美元/盎司； ⑦纽约尾盘，美元指数跌0.37%报97.90，离岸人民币对美元涨119个基点报7.0194； ⑧伦敦基本金属多数上涨，LME期镍涨2.38%报15640.00美元/吨，LME期铜涨1.09%报12055.00美元/ 吨，LME期铅涨0.58%报1983.00美元/吨，LME期锌涨0.37%报3096.50美元/吨，LME期铝跌0.02%报 2941.00美元/吨，LME期锡跌0.26%报42835.00美元/吨； ⑨美债收益率涨跌不一，2年期美债收益率涨3.18个基点报3.532%，3年期美债收益率涨3.63个基点报 3.583%，5年期美债 ...

当天盘前，除2个月期短债外，美债整体下跌，截至新华财经发稿时，2年期美债收益率上升3.1BPs至3.51%，10年期美债收益率涨3.1BPs 至4.18%，30年期美债收益率涨2.7BPs至4.85%。自上周五以来，2年期美债收益率与10年期美债收益率利差连续3个交易日维持在67BPs 的水平。 美国劳工部周二公布的报告显示，11月非农就业岗位增加6.4万个，失业率升至4.6%，为四年多来最高水平。就业增长反弹幅度超出预 期，这表明，在特朗普激进贸易政策带来的经济不确定性下，劳动力市场并未出现实质性恶化。10月非农就业岗位减少10.5万个，为 2020年12月以来最大降幅，其中联邦政府就业减少16.2万个岗位，为2010年6月以来最大。美国商务部的另一份报告显示，10月零售销售 持平，9月增长了0.1%。 数据公布后，美国利率期货市场上调了美联储在1月下次政策会议上降息的概率。 新华财经北京12月17日电美债收益率周三（17日）走高，因投资者关注最新经济数据，并期待本周稍晚将公布的通胀数据。 欧洲市场参与者将密切关注欧洲央行的行动，欧洲央行将于周四召开今年最后一次政策会议。虽然市场预计欧洲央行将维持利率在2% ...

【内容摘要】12月15日，资金面依旧宽松；债市延续调整，超长债波动更大；转债市场主要指数集体跟跌，转债个券多数下跌；各期限美债收益率普遍下 行，主要欧洲经济体10年期国债收益率普遍下行。 【中央银行会计核算数据集中系统公开市场买断式回购券款对付功能上线】12月15日，据央行清算总中心，为适应货币政策工具落地实施新需求，全面支持 公开市场买断式回购业务实行券款对付（DVP）结算，进一步提升买断式回购操作结算效率，央行清算总中心近日推出中央银行会计核算数据集中系统 （ACS）公开市场买断式回购DVP结算功能并成功上线。近日，ACS开办第一批公开市场买断式回购DVP结算业务共计20笔，登记债券明细777条。 （二）国际要闻 【纽约州制造业活动意外萎缩，订单停滞不前，价格指数创1月以来最低】12月15日，纽约联邦储备银行公布的数据显示，其一般商业状况指数大幅下降约 23点至-3.9。该指数低于0意味着制造业处于收缩状态，而媒体对经济学家的调查中值原本预计该指数为10。尽管当前数据出现回落，但对未来六个月的整 体前景却明显改善。前景指数上升16.6点，升至今年年初以来的最高水平，反映出对订单和出货的乐观情绪增强。订单前 ...

⑦纽约尾盘，美元指数跌0.60%报98.64，离岸人民币对美元跌2个基点报7.0604； ⑧伦敦基本金属多数上涨，LME期铜涨0.63%报11559.50美元/吨，LME期锡涨0.38%报40010.00美元/ 吨，LME期铅涨0.30%报1984.50美元/吨，LME期铝涨0.21%报2862.50美元/吨，LME期镍跌0.40%报 14675.00美元/吨，LME期锌跌0.49%报3075.00美元/吨； ⑨美债收益率集体下跌，2年期美债收益率跌7.24个基点报3.538%，3年期美债收益率跌6.39个基点报 3.589%，5年期美债收益率跌5.59个基点报3.731%，10年期美债收益率跌3.51个基点报4.149%，30年期 美债收益率跌2.01个基点报4.787%； ②大型科技股多数上涨，特斯拉、亚马逊、博通、谷歌涨超1%，Meta跌超1%，微软跌超2%； ③热门中概股多数上涨，阿特斯太阳能涨超5%，晶科能源涨逾3%，贝壳涨近4%，小马智行涨超3%， 大全新能源涨近3%，挚文集团跌超6%，世纪互联跌逾4%，BOSS直聘跌超1%，腾讯音乐跌逾1%，亿 航智能跌超1%； ④欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一，德国 ...