证 券 研 究 报 告 消费行业基金：从投资能力分析到基金经理画像 ——金融产品每周见20251107 证券分析师：蒋辛 A0230521080002 邓虎 A0230520070003 奚佳诚 A0230523070004 白皓天 A0230525070001 联系人： 蒋辛 A0230521080002 jiangxin@swsresearch.com 2025.11.7 投资要点 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 ◼ 基于基金持仓，我们可以将消费行业基金分类为5类：1）消费+卫星；2）板块轮动；3）细分赛道；4）消费轮动；5）消费均衡。大部分 基金经理采用的策略为："细分赛道（白酒为主）" ，采用"消费均衡"与"消费轮动"策略的基金经理较少。 ◼ 消费行业基金的3大整体投资能力分析：1）与板块指数相比，消费行业基金能够在长期创造相对稳定的超额收益；2）相对擅长选股的行 业：家用电器、纺织服饰、农林牧渔、轻工制造、美容护理；部分时段有突出选股能力的行业：商贸零售、社会服务、食品饮料；3）对 比与全行业基金所选的消费股，较难识别消费行业基金经理的消费股选股能力。 ◼ 7大维度对比不同 ...

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Core Insights - The performance of star fund managers in the current bull market is mixed, with some outperforming the market while others lag behind [1][2]. Market Performance - As of August 13, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 9.90% year-to-date, the Shenzhen Component Index by 10.91%, and the ChiNext Index by 16.57%. The Wind Mixed Equity Fund Index has yielded 19.67% this year and 38% over the past year [1]. Star Fund Managers' Performance - Nearly 20 star fund managers have managed over 200 billion yuan in assets as of the end of Q2, showcasing diverse investment styles including growth, value, balanced, and thematic approaches [2]. - Notable performers include Ge Lan and Fu Pengbo, with Ge Lan's funds achieving returns of 26.60%, 67.85%, and 1.88% year-to-date, while Fu Pengbo's fund has returned 32.11% [3][4]. Sector Highlights - The innovative drug sector has been a standout, with Ge Lan's focus on this area leading to significant returns, particularly from Hong Kong-listed innovative drug stocks [3]. - Fu Pengbo has increased holdings in the pharmaceutical sector, focusing on innovative drugs and traditional medicine benefiting from AI [4]. Balanced Investment Styles - Xie Zhiyu and Zhu Shaoxing, known for their balanced investment styles, have shown performance divergence this year. Xie Zhiyu's funds have returned between 12.84% and 37.65%, while Zhu Shaoxing's single fund has returned 9.29% [5][6]. Challenges in Consumer Sector - Liu Yanchun, focusing on consumer stocks, has faced challenges with returns ranging from 0.13% to 2.43% year-to-date, as the consumer sector struggles with demand and competition [7]. - Xiao Nan's consumer-focused funds have also shown mixed results, with one fund down 3.45% while another gained 15.97% [8]. Broader Market Trends - The current market environment emphasizes the importance of sector selection over individual stock-picking abilities, as many star fund managers have not outperformed the market [9]. - The industry is reflecting on the definition of "star fund managers," suggesting that long-term risk management may be more indicative of skill than short-term performance spikes [9].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of billion-level star fund managers during the current bull market is mixed, with some achieving significant returns while others underperforming the market [1][3]. Market Overview - The A-share market has shown a bullish trend with the Shanghai Composite Index up 9.90%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 10.91%, and the ChiNext Index up 16.57% as of August 13 [2]. - The Wande Equity Mixed Fund Index has a year-to-date return of 19.67% and a one-year return of 38% [2]. Star Fund Managers Performance - Approximately 20 star fund managers with over 200 billion yuan in assets under management have diverse investment styles, including growth, value, balanced, and thematic strategies [3]. - Some star fund managers have successfully captured market trends, while others have lagged behind the market [3]. Notable Performers - Fund managers Ge Lan and Fu Pengbo have shown impressive performance, with Ge Lan managing three funds totaling 399.08 billion yuan, achieving returns of 26.60%, 67.85%, and 1.88% year-to-date [5]. - Fu Pengbo's fund, Ruiyuan Growth Value, has a return of 32.11% this year and 51.91% over the past year, with significant holdings in sectors like PCB and new energy [5][6]. Balanced Investment Style - Fund managers Xie Zhiyu and Zhu Shaoxing, known for their balanced investment styles, have shown performance divergence this year [7]. - Xie Zhiyu manages three funds with returns of 12.84%, 27.54%, and 37.65% year-to-date, benefiting from a diversified portfolio across various sectors [8]. - Zhu Shaoxing's single fund, with a return of 9.29% this year, has been negatively impacted by poor performance in consumer stocks, particularly in the liquor sector [9]. Challenges in Consumer Sector - Fund managers focusing on consumer and new energy sectors face significant challenges due to market conditions [10]. - Liu Yanchun's six funds have returns ranging from 0.13% to 2.43% this year, heavily affected by the underperformance of consumer stocks, particularly in the liquor industry [11]. - Xiao Nan's consumer-focused funds have shown a stark performance difference, with one fund down 3.45% and another up 15.97% year-to-date [12]. Market Dynamics - The current market environment emphasizes the importance of sector selection over individual stock-picking abilities, as many star fund managers have not outperformed the market [13]. - A reevaluation of what constitutes a "star fund manager" is underway, with a focus on long-term performance and risk management rather than short-term gains [14].

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown a bullish trend in 2023, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 9.90%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 10.91%, and the ChiNext Index up 16.57% as of August 13 [2] - The Wind data indicates that the Wande Equity Mixed Fund Index has a year-to-date return of 19.67% and a one-year return of 38% [2] Star Fund Managers Performance - Approximately 20 star fund managers managing over 20 billion yuan have shown mixed performance during the bullish market, with some outperforming the market while others lagged behind [2] - Notable fund managers include Ge Lan and Fu Pengbo, who have achieved significant returns through their investment strategies [3] Sector Performance - Ge Lan's funds, particularly in the healthcare sector, have performed exceptionally well, with returns of 26.60% and 67.85% for her medical-themed funds [3] - Fu Pengbo's "Ruiyuan Growth Value" fund has a year-to-date return of 32.11%, focusing on sectors like PCB and new energy [3][4] Balanced Investment Style - Xie Zhiyu has shown a balanced investment style with returns of 12.84%, 27.54%, and 37.65% across his three funds, benefiting from diversified sector exposure [5] - In contrast, Zhu Shaoxing's single fund has underperformed with a return of 9.29%, primarily due to poor performance in consumer stocks [6] Challenges in Consumer Sector - Liu Yanchun's funds, focused on consumer stocks, have struggled with returns ranging from 0.13% to 2.43% due to weak performance in the consumer sector, particularly in the liquor industry [7] - Xiao Nan's consumer-themed funds have shown significant performance disparity, with one fund down 3.45% while another is up 15.97% [8] Market Dynamics and Reflections - The current market environment emphasizes the importance of sector selection over individual stock-picking abilities, as many star fund managers have not outperformed the market [9] - There is a growing sentiment within the industry to redefine what constitutes a "star fund manager," focusing on long-term performance and risk management rather than short-term gains [9]