Core Viewpoint - The Chinese fund industry in 2025 presents a stark contrast, with private equity funds performing exceptionally well while public funds struggle significantly, revealing systemic issues in the industry after over two decades of rapid development [1] Performance Disparity: A True Reflection of the Market - In 2025, the structural market conditions of A-shares serve as a key differentiator for performance, leading to a stark contrast between public and private fund results [1] - Private equity securities products show strong profitability, with over 90% achieving positive returns and an average return rate of 22.61%, while stock strategies yield an impressive average return of 27.07% [2] Public Fund Struggles - Among 6,129 public active equity products that have been established for over three years, 60.5% failed to outperform their benchmarks [3] - A significant number of funds, 2,454, lagged their benchmarks by over 10 percentage points, indicating a consistent underperformance compared to market averages [3] Investor Losses: The Cost of Silence - The performance disparity results in real financial losses for investors, with previously celebrated fund managers delivering disappointing results [4] - For instance, a fund managed by Liu Yanchun reported a return of -23.05% over three years, while its benchmark yielded a positive 14.41%, resulting in a 37.46 percentage point gap [4] Corporate Profit vs. Investor Loss - Despite poor performance, some fund companies continue to distribute substantial dividends, creating a stark contrast with the losses faced by investors [5] - A leading fund company distributed nearly 83 billion yuan in dividends over ten years, while its products collectively lost 1,004 billion yuan in the same period [5] Structural Issues: Root Causes of Industry Ailments - The root of performance disparity lies in differing incentive mechanisms, with private funds typically using a performance-based compensation model that aligns managers' interests with those of investors [6] - In contrast, public funds often rely on management scale for fees, leading to a focus on growth rather than performance [6] - Only three out of 28 large-scale active equity funds managed to achieve excess returns while maintaining positive profits over the past three years [6] Regulatory Restructuring: From Scale-Oriented to Performance-Linked - In response to industry issues, regulators are implementing new performance assessment guidelines that tie fund managers' compensation directly to product performance and investor profits [10] - This shift is expected to drive significant changes in the industry, with many active equity fund managers adjusting their strategies to align more closely with benchmark indices [10] Market Trends: Shifts in Fund Flows - Under regulatory and market pressures, there is a noticeable change in fund flows, with private equity products showing a 90.66% positive return rate compared to public funds [12] - High-net-worth clients and institutional investors are increasingly turning to private equity, particularly quantitative strategy products, while ordinary investors are becoming more cautious and reevaluating their investment strategies [12]

Core Viewpoint - The recent call by fund manager Cai Zhen for reducing the number of managed products reflects the challenges and transformations within the public fund industry, particularly in light of new regulations that will significantly reshape performance benchmarks and link them to manager compensation [1][4][15]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - Cai Zhen's statement highlights the pressure fund managers face due to managing multiple products, with his current management load reaching nearly 20 funds and a total management scale of 13.599 billion [4][9]. - The phenomenon of "one manager handling multiple funds" is prevalent, with approximately 290 fund managers managing over 10 main code funds each, indicating a systemic issue in the industry [9][10]. - The focus on scale over quality has led to a situation where fund managers are stretched thin, potentially harming long-term returns for investors [9][11]. Group 2: Regulatory Changes - New regulations set to take effect will bind fund performance directly to manager compensation, aiming to shift the industry focus from scale to investor interests [15][16]. - The new rules will penalize fund managers whose long-term performance significantly lags behind benchmarks, promoting a more sustainable investment approach [16][17]. - The shift from a scale-driven model to one that prioritizes returns is expected to challenge both fund managers and companies, necessitating a reevaluation of resource allocation and investment strategies [16][17].

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the recent bull market, highlighting that 38% of these funds remain in a loss position over the past five years despite a significant number achieving positive returns since 2025 [2][3][4]. Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42% since 2025, with 97.45% of actively managed equity funds reporting positive returns this year [4]. - However, 1,019 actively managed equity funds are still in a loss position over the past five years, with 302 funds having reduced their maximum drawdown to less than 10% [5][6]. Reasons for Underperformance - The article identifies three main reasons for the underperformance of many funds: high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [7][8]. - Funds that experienced negative returns had an average stock position of 84.22% during peak market periods, indicating a tendency to increase exposure during high valuations [7]. Trading Behavior - The average turnover rate for actively managed equity funds from 2021 to 2024 was 460.71%, with funds losing over 30% seeing an even higher turnover rate of 508.45% [8]. - Some funds, such as Tianzhi New Consumption and Guodu Innovation Drive, reported turnover rates exceeding 1,000%, indicating excessive trading activity [8]. Sector Dependence - Many funds have shown a heavy reliance on traditional sectors despite being marketed as focusing on new or innovative sectors, leading to performance discrepancies [10][11]. - For instance, funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Invesco Great Wall New Growth have maintained significant positions in traditional consumer stocks, which have not performed well recently [10][11]. Market Outlook - The article notes a resurgence in investor interest in actively managed funds, with 1,354 new funds launched in 2023, reflecting a doubling in issuance compared to the previous year [12]. - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and innovative pharmaceuticals, while being cautious of market volatility [13][14].

Core Insights - The recent performance of active equity funds has been under scrutiny, with over 38% of these funds still in losses over the past five years despite a significant number achieving positive returns since 2025 [1][2][3] - Key factors contributing to the underperformance include high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors, which have eroded fund values [1][5][7] Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42%, while 97.45% of active equity funds reported positive returns [2][3] - However, 1019 active equity funds remain in losses, with 38% of the total, indicating a stark contrast in performance for investors who entered the market earlier [1][2] Fund Performance Analysis - Among the 2695 active equity funds with over five years of existence, 1676 have achieved positive returns, with six funds reporting over 200% returns [3] - Conversely, nearly 40% of active equity funds have not turned a profit in five years, with some funds experiencing maximum drawdowns starting in 2021 [3][4] Underperforming Funds - Notable underperformers include funds managed by well-known managers, with losses exceeding 30% over five years [4] - Specific funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Fangzheng Fubang Innovation Power have reported losses of -65.25% and -62.32%, respectively [3][4] Trading Behavior - High average stock positions during market peaks have been linked to poor long-term performance, with funds showing an average stock position of 84.22% during critical periods [5][6] - Frequent trading has also negatively impacted fund performance, with an average turnover rate of 460.71% across all active equity funds, rising to 508.45% for those with over 30% losses [7][8] Sector Reliance - Many funds have shown over-reliance on traditional sectors, leading to underperformance despite being labeled as "new" or "growth" funds [8][9] - Funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Invesco Great Wall New Growth have shifted their holdings but still struggle to achieve positive returns [8][9] Market Outlook - The active equity fund market is seeing a resurgence, with 1354 new funds launched in 2025, indicating renewed investor interest [11] - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption, while being cautious of market volatility [12]

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points for the first time in ten years, revealing that over 38% of these funds have not achieved positive returns over the past five years [1][2]. Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42% since 2025, with 97.45% of 4679 actively managed equity funds achieving positive returns this year, including 33 funds that have doubled their value [3][4]. - However, nearly 40% of actively managed equity funds have not made profits over the last five years, with significant losses recorded by some well-known funds [4][5]. Key Reasons for Underperformance - The article identifies three main reasons for the underperformance of actively managed funds: high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [7]. - Funds that experienced negative returns had higher average stock positions during market peaks, indicating poor timing decisions [8]. - The average turnover rate for funds with over 30% losses was 508.45%, with some funds exceeding 1000%, suggesting that excessive trading negatively impacted performance [9]. Sector Dependence and Strategy Issues - Many funds have shown over-reliance on traditional sectors despite their names suggesting a focus on new or emerging sectors, leading to underperformance [11]. - The article highlights that some funds have not adapted their strategies effectively, resulting in inconsistent performance and a lack of coherent investment direction [9][10]. Future Investment Strategies - In light of the current market conditions, fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption trends [14][15]. - The article suggests that a balanced approach, considering macroeconomic data and industry cycles, will be crucial for future investment success [13][14].

Core Viewpoint - The number of active equity fund managers managing over 10 billion yuan has rebounded to 109, marking a nearly one-third increase from the previous quarter, indicating a significant expansion in the industry [4][5]. Group 1: Fund Manager Expansion - As of the end of Q3, there are over 1,720 active equity fund managers, with 109 managing over 10 billion yuan, a substantial increase from the previous quarter [5]. - New fund managers, such as Ren Jie from Yongying Fund, have seen rapid growth, with his fund returning 198.11% year-to-date, leading to a surge in managed assets from 0.26 million yuan to 12.878 billion yuan [6]. - Established managers like Zhang Kun from E Fund and Xie Zhiyu from Xingzheng Global Fund have also regained significant asset management sizes, with Zhang managing 56.544 billion yuan, and both Xie and Ge Lan returning to the 40 billion yuan tier [6][8]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment and Redemption Trends - Despite the recovery in fund sizes, investor sentiment remains cautious, with a notable trend of "profit-taking" leading to net redemptions of over 33 billion units from top fund managers' products [7]. - Many fund managers are experiencing growth due to association with larger, well-performing funds, as seen with Zhao Lei from China Europe Fund, who entered the 10 billion yuan club after being appointed to manage a successful fund [7]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Future Outlook - The current landscape shows a shift from the "star-making" era to a focus on platform-based strategies, with a recognition of the challenges posed by large asset sizes [10][12]. - The industry is moving away from the "star fund manager" model, emphasizing a more integrated and multi-strategy research approach to mitigate risks associated with large fund sizes [10][11]. - The fee structure and performance assessment mechanisms are evolving, with some fund managers opting to limit rapid growth to maintain operational effectiveness and avoid the pitfalls of short-term performance-driven investments [11][12]. Group 4: Market Trends and Investment Strategies - The A-share market is experiencing a steady upward trend, with increased investor enthusiasm for equity markets, particularly in technology sectors [13]. - Fund managers like Chen Ying anticipate continued high-risk appetite in the market, although potential profit-taking may lead to a more volatile environment in Q4 [13]. - Long-term investment strategies are focusing on sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals, with managers like Ge Lan highlighting the importance of quality and innovation in driving industry growth [15].

Core Insights - The number of fund managers managing over 10 billion yuan has increased significantly, reaching 109 by the end of Q3, marking a nearly one-third increase from the previous quarter [1][2] - The industry is transitioning from a "star-making" model to a "platform" strategy, indicating a shift in focus from individual fund managers to a more collaborative approach [1][9] - The era of "trillion-level" top fund managers is unlikely to return, as the highest management scale among current fund managers has not exceeded 600 billion yuan, a significant drop from previous peaks [9][10] Fund Manager Performance - Notable fund managers like Zhang Kun, Xie Zhiyu, and Ge Lan have seen their management scales rebound, with Zhang Kun managing 565.44 billion yuan, an increase of nearly 15 billion yuan in a single quarter [3][4] - Newer fund managers, such as Ren Jie from Yongying Fund, have rapidly increased their management scales, with Ren's scale growing from 0.26 billion yuan to 128.78 billion yuan in just over a year [2][7] - Despite the growth in management scales, many top fund managers still face net redemptions, with over 330 billion units redeemed across their products in Q3 [6][11] Industry Dynamics - The current landscape features a mix of large institutions and emerging mid-sized firms, with companies like Yongying and Jinying successfully entering the "billion club" [1][7] - The top fund managers are distributed across 38 fund companies, with seven companies having five or more billion-yuan fund managers, accounting for nearly half of the total [6][10] - The industry is increasingly aware of the "double-edged sword" of scale, with many fund managers opting to limit rapid growth to maintain operational effectiveness and avoid the pitfalls of excessive scale [10][11] Market Outlook - The A-share market is experiencing a steady upward trend, with increased investor enthusiasm and significant inflows into equity markets, particularly in technology sectors [12][13] - Fund managers express cautious optimism about the market, predicting potential new highs while acknowledging the risks of profit-taking due to previous gains [12][13] - Long-term investment strategies focus on sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and consumer healthcare, driven by structural changes in the economy and supportive policies [14]

Core Viewpoint - The new regulations on performance benchmarks for public funds in China aim to enhance the accountability of fund managers by linking their compensation to the performance benchmarks, promoting a return to the fundamental purpose of asset management, which is to provide stable long-term returns for investors [1][9]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released an action plan in May to promote high-quality development in the public fund industry, emphasizing the importance of performance benchmarks [1]. - A draft of new regulations regarding performance benchmarks was published on October 31, which is expected to improve the discipline of active investment and stabilize investment styles [1][9]. - The introduction of a performance benchmark element library aims to standardize the selection of benchmarks and prevent arbitrary changes, enhancing the comparability and normativity of benchmarks [9][8]. Group 2: Fund Performance Analysis - As of November 4, 2023, 3731 active equity funds were analyzed, with an average return that lagged behind their benchmarks by 7.26%, and only 34% of these funds outperformed their benchmarks over the past three years [2]. - Among the top-performing funds, only 20 funds achieved over 100% excess returns, indicating that achieving superior performance under the new standards is challenging [2]. - Some high-performing funds may have misleadingly high returns due to benchmark mismatches, highlighting the importance of appropriate benchmark selection [2][3]. Group 3: Size and Performance Correlation - Larger active equity funds do not necessarily correlate with superior excess returns; only 40% of funds over 10 billion yuan in size outperformed their benchmarks [5]. - Smaller funds, with an average size of 30.57 million yuan, showed better excess return capabilities, supporting the notion that smaller funds can adapt more flexibly to market changes [6][5]. Group 4: Fund Manager Impact - The total management scale of fund managers influences their active management capabilities, with a significant number of successful funds managed by managers overseeing over 10 billion yuan [7]. - The average tenure of fund managers does not significantly correlate with their ability to generate excess returns, indicating that experience alone may not guarantee performance [7]. Group 5: Industry Evolution - The new regulations are expected to lead to a systematic restructuring of the public fund industry, with a one-year transition period for existing products to adjust their benchmarks [9][10]. - The emphasis on long-term performance and the establishment of a benchmark-linked compensation system for fund managers will promote more transparent and standardized investment behaviors [9][10].

Core Insights - The article discusses the challenge of achieving both performance and scale growth for large-cap active equity funds in the context of a rising equity market over the past year [1] Group 1: Performance of Large-Cap Active Equity Funds - As of the third quarter, there are 33 active equity funds with assets exceeding 10 billion yuan, with E Fund Blue Chip Select leading at 36.413 billion yuan [2] - Most of these funds have achieved positive returns over the past year, with notable performances such as Yongying Technology Smart Mixed Fund returning approximately 270% [2] - Other funds like China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund and Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Smart Mixed Fund also reported returns of 181.08% and 136.49% respectively [2] Group 2: Scale Changes and Market Dynamics - Despite strong performance, over half of the large-cap active equity funds have experienced a decline in scale, with 10 funds seeing reductions of over 20% [4] - The difficulty in adjusting positions for larger funds and the growing preference for ETFs among investors have contributed to this trend [4] - A fund manager noted that sustained long-term performance is crucial for retaining investors [4] Group 3: Future Strategies and Market Outlook - Fund managers are focusing on sectors like domestic consumption, technology, and high-end manufacturing for the fourth quarter [5][6] - E Fund Blue Chip Select's manager emphasizes the importance of free cash flow and intrinsic value accumulation in driving market capitalization growth [5] - The manager of Xinchuan He Run Fund highlights the positive interaction between fundamentals and liquidity, suggesting a potential market trend reversal [6]

Core Insights - The article discusses a significant trend in the mutual fund market where investors are redeeming their funds despite record profits, indicating a shift towards a more cautious investment approach among retail investors [1][2][5]. Fund Performance - In Q3, actively managed equity funds reported profits exceeding 8789 billion yuan, marking a quarterly record high, with total profits for the first three quarters reaching 1.07 trillion yuan, more than five times the amount from the previous year [2][5]. - Over 97% of the 8391 actively managed equity funds achieved positive returns, with 600 funds seeing gains over 50%, and an average return of 23.7%, a significant increase from the previous quarter's 2.8% [2][3]. Redemption Trends - Despite the strong performance, there was a net redemption of 2179.23 billion units in Q3, doubling the 1058.13 billion units redeemed in Q2 [2][3]. - Nearly 70% of actively managed equity funds experienced varying degrees of net redemptions, with 1028 funds redeeming over 100 million units, and nearly 60% of these funds had gains exceeding 20% during the same period [2][3]. Investor Behavior - Many investors, particularly those who entered the market in early 2021, are opting to redeem their funds as they finally see returns, reflecting a growing awareness of profit-taking among retail investors [1][5][6]. - The article notes that the current redemption trend is driven by a "break-even" mentality, as many funds are still recovering from previous losses, with over half of the actively managed equity funds showing negative cumulative returns over the past four years [5][6]. Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment appears cautious, with many expressing skepticism about the sustainability of recent profits, leading to a preference for "locking in" gains rather than reinvesting [6][7]. - The article suggests that the market may be transitioning between different phases of investor behavior, with potential for increased inflows if market conditions remain favorable [6][7].