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上一轮牛市买的主动权益基金 为何还有四成未回本?
YOUNG财经 漾财经· 2025-11-13 14:35
Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the recent bull market, highlighting that 38% of these funds remain in a loss position over the past five years despite a significant number achieving positive returns since 2025 [2][3][4]. Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42% since 2025, with 97.45% of actively managed equity funds reporting positive returns this year [4]. - However, 1,019 actively managed equity funds are still in a loss position over the past five years, with 302 funds having reduced their maximum drawdown to less than 10% [5][6]. Reasons for Underperformance - The article identifies three main reasons for the underperformance of many funds: high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [7][8]. - Funds that experienced negative returns had an average stock position of 84.22% during peak market periods, indicating a tendency to increase exposure during high valuations [7]. Trading Behavior - The average turnover rate for actively managed equity funds from 2021 to 2024 was 460.71%, with funds losing over 30% seeing an even higher turnover rate of 508.45% [8]. - Some funds, such as Tianzhi New Consumption and Guodu Innovation Drive, reported turnover rates exceeding 1,000%, indicating excessive trading activity [8]. Sector Dependence - Many funds have shown a heavy reliance on traditional sectors despite being marketed as focusing on new or innovative sectors, leading to performance discrepancies [10][11]. - For instance, funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Invesco Great Wall New Growth have maintained significant positions in traditional consumer stocks, which have not performed well recently [10][11]. Market Outlook - The article notes a resurgence in investor interest in actively managed funds, with 1,354 new funds launched in 2023, reflecting a doubling in issuance compared to the previous year [12]. - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and innovative pharmaceuticals, while being cautious of market volatility [13][14].
上一轮牛市买的主动权益基金,近40%未回本
Core Insights - The recent performance of active equity funds has been under scrutiny, with over 38% of these funds still in losses over the past five years despite a significant number achieving positive returns since 2025 [1][2][3] - Key factors contributing to the underperformance include high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors, which have eroded fund values [1][5][7] Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42%, while 97.45% of active equity funds reported positive returns [2][3] - However, 1019 active equity funds remain in losses, with 38% of the total, indicating a stark contrast in performance for investors who entered the market earlier [1][2] Fund Performance Analysis - Among the 2695 active equity funds with over five years of existence, 1676 have achieved positive returns, with six funds reporting over 200% returns [3] - Conversely, nearly 40% of active equity funds have not turned a profit in five years, with some funds experiencing maximum drawdowns starting in 2021 [3][4] Underperforming Funds - Notable underperformers include funds managed by well-known managers, with losses exceeding 30% over five years [4] - Specific funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Fangzheng Fubang Innovation Power have reported losses of -65.25% and -62.32%, respectively [3][4] Trading Behavior - High average stock positions during market peaks have been linked to poor long-term performance, with funds showing an average stock position of 84.22% during critical periods [5][6] - Frequent trading has also negatively impacted fund performance, with an average turnover rate of 460.71% across all active equity funds, rising to 508.45% for those with over 30% losses [7][8] Sector Reliance - Many funds have shown over-reliance on traditional sectors, leading to underperformance despite being labeled as "new" or "growth" funds [8][9] - Funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Invesco Great Wall New Growth have shifted their holdings but still struggle to achieve positive returns [8][9] Market Outlook - The active equity fund market is seeing a resurgence, with 1354 new funds launched in 2025, indicating renewed investor interest [11] - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption, while being cautious of market volatility [12]
上一轮牛市买的主动权益基金,近40%未回本
21世纪经济报道· 2025-11-12 13:40
Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points for the first time in ten years, revealing that over 38% of these funds have not achieved positive returns over the past five years [1][2]. Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42% since 2025, with 97.45% of 4679 actively managed equity funds achieving positive returns this year, including 33 funds that have doubled their value [3][4]. - However, nearly 40% of actively managed equity funds have not made profits over the last five years, with significant losses recorded by some well-known funds [4][5]. Key Reasons for Underperformance - The article identifies three main reasons for the underperformance of actively managed funds: high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [7]. - Funds that experienced negative returns had higher average stock positions during market peaks, indicating poor timing decisions [8]. - The average turnover rate for funds with over 30% losses was 508.45%, with some funds exceeding 1000%, suggesting that excessive trading negatively impacted performance [9]. Sector Dependence and Strategy Issues - Many funds have shown over-reliance on traditional sectors despite their names suggesting a focus on new or emerging sectors, leading to underperformance [11]. - The article highlights that some funds have not adapted their strategies effectively, resulting in inconsistent performance and a lack of coherent investment direction [9][10]. Future Investment Strategies - In light of the current market conditions, fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption trends [14][15]. - The article suggests that a balanced approach, considering macroeconomic data and industry cycles, will be crucial for future investment success [13][14].
百亿基金经理阵营重回百人关
第一财经· 2025-11-06 12:45
Core Viewpoint - The number of active equity fund managers managing over 10 billion yuan has rebounded to 109, marking a nearly one-third increase from the previous quarter, indicating a significant expansion in the industry [4][5]. Group 1: Fund Manager Expansion - As of the end of Q3, there are over 1,720 active equity fund managers, with 109 managing over 10 billion yuan, a substantial increase from the previous quarter [5]. - New fund managers, such as Ren Jie from Yongying Fund, have seen rapid growth, with his fund returning 198.11% year-to-date, leading to a surge in managed assets from 0.26 million yuan to 12.878 billion yuan [6]. - Established managers like Zhang Kun from E Fund and Xie Zhiyu from Xingzheng Global Fund have also regained significant asset management sizes, with Zhang managing 56.544 billion yuan, and both Xie and Ge Lan returning to the 40 billion yuan tier [6][8]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment and Redemption Trends - Despite the recovery in fund sizes, investor sentiment remains cautious, with a notable trend of "profit-taking" leading to net redemptions of over 33 billion units from top fund managers' products [7]. - Many fund managers are experiencing growth due to association with larger, well-performing funds, as seen with Zhao Lei from China Europe Fund, who entered the 10 billion yuan club after being appointed to manage a successful fund [7]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Future Outlook - The current landscape shows a shift from the "star-making" era to a focus on platform-based strategies, with a recognition of the challenges posed by large asset sizes [10][12]. - The industry is moving away from the "star fund manager" model, emphasizing a more integrated and multi-strategy research approach to mitigate risks associated with large fund sizes [10][11]. - The fee structure and performance assessment mechanisms are evolving, with some fund managers opting to limit rapid growth to maintain operational effectiveness and avoid the pitfalls of short-term performance-driven investments [11][12]. Group 4: Market Trends and Investment Strategies - The A-share market is experiencing a steady upward trend, with increased investor enthusiasm for equity markets, particularly in technology sectors [13]. - Fund managers like Chen Ying anticipate continued high-risk appetite in the market, although potential profit-taking may lead to a more volatile environment in Q4 [13]. - Long-term investment strategies are focusing on sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals, with managers like Ge Lan highlighting the importance of quality and innovation in driving industry growth [15].
百亿基金经理阵营重回百人关,新贵vs老将谁更能打?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 12:08
Core Insights - The number of fund managers managing over 10 billion yuan has increased significantly, reaching 109 by the end of Q3, marking a nearly one-third increase from the previous quarter [1][2] - The industry is transitioning from a "star-making" model to a "platform" strategy, indicating a shift in focus from individual fund managers to a more collaborative approach [1][9] - The era of "trillion-level" top fund managers is unlikely to return, as the highest management scale among current fund managers has not exceeded 600 billion yuan, a significant drop from previous peaks [9][10] Fund Manager Performance - Notable fund managers like Zhang Kun, Xie Zhiyu, and Ge Lan have seen their management scales rebound, with Zhang Kun managing 565.44 billion yuan, an increase of nearly 15 billion yuan in a single quarter [3][4] - Newer fund managers, such as Ren Jie from Yongying Fund, have rapidly increased their management scales, with Ren's scale growing from 0.26 billion yuan to 128.78 billion yuan in just over a year [2][7] - Despite the growth in management scales, many top fund managers still face net redemptions, with over 330 billion units redeemed across their products in Q3 [6][11] Industry Dynamics - The current landscape features a mix of large institutions and emerging mid-sized firms, with companies like Yongying and Jinying successfully entering the "billion club" [1][7] - The top fund managers are distributed across 38 fund companies, with seven companies having five or more billion-yuan fund managers, accounting for nearly half of the total [6][10] - The industry is increasingly aware of the "double-edged sword" of scale, with many fund managers opting to limit rapid growth to maintain operational effectiveness and avoid the pitfalls of excessive scale [10][11] Market Outlook - The A-share market is experiencing a steady upward trend, with increased investor enthusiasm and significant inflows into equity markets, particularly in technology sectors [12][13] - Fund managers express cautious optimism about the market, predicting potential new highs while acknowledging the risks of profit-taking due to previous gains [12][13] - Long-term investment strategies focus on sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals and consumer healthcare, driven by structural changes in the economy and supportive policies [14]
以业绩比较基准为锚 再定义绩优主动权益基金
Core Viewpoint - The new regulations on performance benchmarks for public funds in China aim to enhance the accountability of fund managers by linking their compensation to the performance benchmarks, promoting a return to the fundamental purpose of asset management, which is to provide stable long-term returns for investors [1][9]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released an action plan in May to promote high-quality development in the public fund industry, emphasizing the importance of performance benchmarks [1]. - A draft of new regulations regarding performance benchmarks was published on October 31, which is expected to improve the discipline of active investment and stabilize investment styles [1][9]. - The introduction of a performance benchmark element library aims to standardize the selection of benchmarks and prevent arbitrary changes, enhancing the comparability and normativity of benchmarks [9][8]. Group 2: Fund Performance Analysis - As of November 4, 2023, 3731 active equity funds were analyzed, with an average return that lagged behind their benchmarks by 7.26%, and only 34% of these funds outperformed their benchmarks over the past three years [2]. - Among the top-performing funds, only 20 funds achieved over 100% excess returns, indicating that achieving superior performance under the new standards is challenging [2]. - Some high-performing funds may have misleadingly high returns due to benchmark mismatches, highlighting the importance of appropriate benchmark selection [2][3]. Group 3: Size and Performance Correlation - Larger active equity funds do not necessarily correlate with superior excess returns; only 40% of funds over 10 billion yuan in size outperformed their benchmarks [5]. - Smaller funds, with an average size of 30.57 million yuan, showed better excess return capabilities, supporting the notion that smaller funds can adapt more flexibly to market changes [6][5]. Group 4: Fund Manager Impact - The total management scale of fund managers influences their active management capabilities, with a significant number of successful funds managed by managers overseeing over 10 billion yuan [7]. - The average tenure of fund managers does not significantly correlate with their ability to generate excess returns, indicating that experience alone may not guarantee performance [7]. Group 5: Industry Evolution - The new regulations are expected to lead to a systematic restructuring of the public fund industry, with a one-year transition period for existing products to adjust their benchmarks [9][10]. - The emphasis on long-term performance and the establishment of a benchmark-linked compensation system for fund managers will promote more transparent and standardized investment behaviors [9][10].
百亿级公募基金“新考验”:如何兼顾业绩与规模
Core Insights - The article discusses the challenge of achieving both performance and scale growth for large-cap active equity funds in the context of a rising equity market over the past year [1] Group 1: Performance of Large-Cap Active Equity Funds - As of the third quarter, there are 33 active equity funds with assets exceeding 10 billion yuan, with E Fund Blue Chip Select leading at 36.413 billion yuan [2] - Most of these funds have achieved positive returns over the past year, with notable performances such as Yongying Technology Smart Mixed Fund returning approximately 270% [2] - Other funds like China Europe Digital Economy Mixed Fund and Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Smart Mixed Fund also reported returns of 181.08% and 136.49% respectively [2] Group 2: Scale Changes and Market Dynamics - Despite strong performance, over half of the large-cap active equity funds have experienced a decline in scale, with 10 funds seeing reductions of over 20% [4] - The difficulty in adjusting positions for larger funds and the growing preference for ETFs among investors have contributed to this trend [4] - A fund manager noted that sustained long-term performance is crucial for retaining investors [4] Group 3: Future Strategies and Market Outlook - Fund managers are focusing on sectors like domestic consumption, technology, and high-end manufacturing for the fourth quarter [5][6] - E Fund Blue Chip Select's manager emphasizes the importance of free cash flow and intrinsic value accumulation in driving market capitalization growth [5] - The manager of Xinchuan He Run Fund highlights the positive interaction between fundamentals and liquidity, suggesting a potential market trend reversal [6]
净赎回额环比翻倍,主动权益基金遭遇“落袋为安”
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 13:09
Core Insights - The article discusses a significant trend in the mutual fund market where investors are redeeming their funds despite record profits, indicating a shift towards a more cautious investment approach among retail investors [1][2][5]. Fund Performance - In Q3, actively managed equity funds reported profits exceeding 8789 billion yuan, marking a quarterly record high, with total profits for the first three quarters reaching 1.07 trillion yuan, more than five times the amount from the previous year [2][5]. - Over 97% of the 8391 actively managed equity funds achieved positive returns, with 600 funds seeing gains over 50%, and an average return of 23.7%, a significant increase from the previous quarter's 2.8% [2][3]. Redemption Trends - Despite the strong performance, there was a net redemption of 2179.23 billion units in Q3, doubling the 1058.13 billion units redeemed in Q2 [2][3]. - Nearly 70% of actively managed equity funds experienced varying degrees of net redemptions, with 1028 funds redeeming over 100 million units, and nearly 60% of these funds had gains exceeding 20% during the same period [2][3]. Investor Behavior - Many investors, particularly those who entered the market in early 2021, are opting to redeem their funds as they finally see returns, reflecting a growing awareness of profit-taking among retail investors [1][5][6]. - The article notes that the current redemption trend is driven by a "break-even" mentality, as many funds are still recovering from previous losses, with over half of the actively managed equity funds showing negative cumulative returns over the past four years [5][6]. Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment appears cautious, with many expressing skepticism about the sustainability of recent profits, leading to a preference for "locking in" gains rather than reinvesting [6][7]. - The article suggests that the market may be transitioning between different phases of investor behavior, with potential for increased inflows if market conditions remain favorable [6][7].
公募基金,持有A股市值突破7万亿
财联社· 2025-10-29 08:50
Core Viewpoint - Public funds have significantly increased their investment in A-shares, with the total market value surpassing 7 trillion yuan, reaching a record high of 7.38 trillion yuan, which accounts for 20.84% of all fund assets, marking a 22.23% increase compared to the previous quarter [1][4]. Group 1: Public Fund Investment Overview - As of the end of Q3 2025, public funds held a total stock market value of 8.99 trillion yuan, with A-shares accounting for 7.38 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 22.23% [2][5]. - The total net asset value of public funds reached 35.41 trillion yuan, with a growth of 6.03% [2][5]. - The number of funds holding over 100 billion yuan in stock market value increased by 30% to 110 funds [7]. Group 2: Individual Stock Holdings - Ningde Times remains the highest individual stock held by public funds, with a market value exceeding 200 billion yuan, specifically reaching 2070.74 billion yuan [3][13]. - Guizhou Moutai, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Xinyi Sheng also have market values exceeding 100 billion yuan, with Guizhou Moutai valued at 1236.49 billion yuan [3][15]. - The top ten stocks held by public funds include major companies like Tencent and Alibaba, with Tencent's market value at 1068.12 billion yuan [14][17]. Group 3: Market Trends and Changes - The public fund investment in A-shares has seen a significant increase, moving from 6 trillion to 7 trillion yuan over nearly four years, with notable fluctuations during market adjustments in 2022 and 2023 [4][6]. - The increase in public fund investment is attributed to a strong performance in the A-share market, with a notable increment of 1.34 trillion yuan in Q3 2025 alone [5][6]. - Passive index funds, particularly ETFs, dominate the segment of funds with over 100 billion yuan in stock holdings, accounting for over 70% of this group [8][9].
7.38万亿!公募持A股市值创新高,宁德时代蝉联头号重仓股
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 08:33
Core Insights - Public funds have significantly increased their investment in A-shares, with the total market value surpassing 7 trillion yuan, reaching a record high of 7.38 trillion yuan, which accounts for 20.84% of total fund assets [1][3]. Group 1: Public Fund Investment Overview - As of the end of Q3 2025, public funds held a total stock market value of 8.99 trillion yuan, with A-shares contributing 7.38 trillion yuan, marking a 22.23% increase from the previous quarter [2][4]. - The total net asset value of public funds reached 35.41 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.03% [2][4]. - The number of funds holding over 100 billion yuan in stock value increased by 30% to 110 funds [5]. Group 2: Individual Stock Holdings - Ningde Times remains the highest-valued stock held by public funds, with a market value exceeding 200 billion yuan, specifically 2070.74 billion yuan, held by 2124 funds [3][8]. - Guizhou Moutai and other stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang and Tencent also have significant holdings, each exceeding 100 billion yuan [3][9]. - Zhongji Xuchuang saw a remarkable increase in market value, rising by 287.89% to 1110.68 billion yuan, making it the third-largest holding [9][10]. Group 3: Market Trends and Historical Context - The transition from 6 trillion to 7 trillion yuan in A-share investments took nearly four years, with previous peaks in 2021 [3][4]. - The stock market value has shown a consistent upward trend over the past three quarters, with a notable increase of 1.34 trillion yuan in Q3 [4][5].