苹果市场买卖僵持，红枣产区挺价情绪显现 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘苹果2605合约9510元/吨，较前一日变动+45元/吨，幅度+0.48%。现货方面，山东栖霞80# 一 二级晚富士价格4.10元/斤，较前一日变动+0.00元/斤，现货基差AP05-1310，较前一日变动-45；陕西洛川70# 以上 半商品晚富士价格4.20元/斤，较前一日变动+0.00元/斤，现货基差AP05-1110，较前一日变动-45。 近期市场资讯，晚富士库存富士主流行情维持稳定，西部个别产区果农一般货源开始交易，整体出库速度仍不显 快。西部产区客商零星寻货，多以果农两级货源为主，成交有限，甘肃部分产区果农一般货源开始交易，价格区 间随质量下滑略降低，成交尚可；部分客商包装自存货源补充市场。山东产区零星出库，外贸渠道小果走货放缓， 少量维纳斯、奶油果按需出库，其余货源基本尚未开始交易。栖霞80#一二级片红果农意向成交价3.7-4.5元/斤，65#、 70#出库价格1.8-2.2元/斤附近。甘肃产区静宁果农好货出库价格4.5-5.5元/斤不等。庆阳出库价格3.8-4.5元/斤不等； 陕西洛川产区果农货半商品出库价格3.8-4 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源：华泰期货 作者： 李馨 苹果观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘苹果2605合约9465元/吨，较前一日变动-41元/吨，幅度-0.43%。现货方面，山东栖 霞80# 一二级晚富士价格4.10元/斤，较前一日变动+0.00元/斤，现货基差AP05-1265，较前一日变动 +41；陕西洛川70# 以上半商品晚富士价格4.20元/斤，较前一日变动+0.00元/斤，现货基差AP05-1065， 较前一日变动+41。 近期市场资讯，晚富士库存富士主流行情维持稳定，西部个别产区一般以下货源价格略偏弱，整体交易 多按需进行，出货仍不显快。西部产区客商零星寻货，多以果农两级货源为主，成交有限，甘肃部分产 区客商调花牛及好货出库，成交尚可；部分客商包装自存货源补充市场。山东产区零星出库，外贸渠道 小果走货放缓，少量维纳斯、奶油果按需出库，其余货源基本尚未开始交易。栖霞80#一二级片红果农 意向成交价3.7-4.5元/斤，65#、70#出库价格1.8-2.2元/斤附近。甘肃产区静宁果农好货出库价格4.5-5.5 元/斤不等。庆阳出库价格3.8-4. ...

农产品日报 | 2025-12-09 苹果质量偏差走货较慢，红枣新货价差明显 苹果观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘苹果2605合约9506元/吨，较前一日变动-133元/吨，幅度-1.38%。现货方面，山东栖霞80# 一 二级晚富士价格4.10元/斤，较前一日变动+0.00元/斤，现货基差AP05-1306，较前一日变动+133；陕西洛川70# 以 上半商品晚富士价格4.20元/斤，较前一日变动+0.00元/斤，现货基差AP05-1106，较前一日变动+133。 市场分析 昨日苹果期价震荡下跌，相较往年苹果库存偏低，并且苹果质量相对偏差，果农和贸易商出售情绪较低，各产区 走货速度偏慢，大部分客商仍处于观望，关注去库情况。产区新季晚富士入库已结束，入库量低于去年同期10% 以上，客商心态整体较为乐观。上周库存量转降，出库整体一般。后续会陆续开始出库，受季节性淡季影响，消 费按需采购为主，整体节奏略显缓慢，需求端承压运行，交易氛围仍显清淡，柑橘类水果上市量增加，挤压苹果 销售空间，销区情绪相对悲观。 策略 中性。当前入库量、入库结构的预期已经反应在价格上，后续需重点关注终端市场消费复苏情况、入库结构分 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - Apple: The strategy for apples is oscillating on the strong side [4] - Red dates: The strategy for red dates is neutral [9] Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Apple: The current spot market for late Fuji and stored Fuji apples has overall dull trading. The market is in a short - term off - season, and prices are expected to remain stable. With the upcoming Christmas and New Year's Day holiday stocking, prices are expected to be stable and slightly stronger due to the tight supply of high - quality goods and peak - season demand [3][4] - Red dates: The red date market is in a "new - old season transition" period. The acquisition in Xinjiang is over half - completed with weakening prices. The spot market in the sales areas has weakening prices, and there is a large inventory pressure. The market's future expectation is pessimistic [8] Group 3: Summaries According to Related Catalogs Apple Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the Apple 2601 contract yesterday was 9,526 yuan/ton, up 76 yuan/ton or 0.80% from the previous day [1] - Spot: The price of 80 first - and second - grade late Fuji in Shandong Qixia was 3.75 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day; the price of over 70 semi - commercial late Fuji in Shaanxi Luochuan was 4.15 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day [1] Recent Market Information - The inventory trading of late Fuji apples is dull, with overall demand - based shipments. In the western production areas, there is sporadic sourcing by merchants, mainly for farmers' two - grade goods, and the transactions are limited. In Shandong, there is sporadic outbound shipment, mainly for small fruits through foreign trade channels. The prices in each production area are clearly in a certain range [2] Market Analysis - The apple futures price rose slightly yesterday. The spot market trading is dull, and the shipment progress in the production areas slowed down last week. The merchants' ordering enthusiasm decreased. The citrus fruits have an obvious impact on the medium - and low - grade apple supplies. The market is expected to be in an off - season in the short term, with stable prices [3] Strategy - The price is expected to be oscillating on the strong side. The quality issue will be the key factor affecting the long - term apple market trend. In the short - and medium - term, with the upcoming holiday stocking, the price is expected to be stable and slightly stronger [4] Red Dates Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the Red Dates 2601 contract yesterday was 9,055 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan/ton or 0.33% from the previous day [5] - Spot: The price of first - grade grey dates in Hebei was 8.60 yuan/kg, down 0.10 yuan/kg from the previous day [5] Recent Market Information - The acquisition of grey dates in Xinjiang is over half - completed, and the prices are trending weakly. The acquisition progress in Aksu and Alar is relatively fast. In the sales areas, the prices in both Hebei and Guangdong are trending weakly [6][7] Market Analysis - The red date futures price closed up in oscillation yesterday. The acquisition in Xinjiang is over half - completed with weakening prices and general enterprise enthusiasm. In the sales areas, the transaction prices are weakening. The new - season production is expected to decrease, but the extent is undetermined. The inventory pressure is large, and the supply - demand contradiction is not substantially alleviated [8] Strategy - The strategy is neutral. If the terminal market can accept and digest the high - priced new - season spot goods, the futures price may move towards the new - season spot price. Otherwise, the new - season spot price may continue to decline. The near - month contract may have a certain downward space [9]

Group 1: Report Investment Ratings - Apple strategy rating: Neutral to bullish [4] - Red dates strategy rating: Neutral [9] Group 2: Core Views - Apple: The current expectations of apple inventory volume and structure are reflected in the price. Future focus should be on terminal consumption recovery, inventory structure differentiation, and pre - holiday merchants' inventory adjustment. Apple futures prices declined slightly, while the spot market was stable but with general shipments. The new - season apple inventory was lower than last year, and the consumption was under pressure due to high prices and competition from citrus [3][4]. - Red dates: If the terminal market can accept and digest the high - priced new - season red dates, it will drive the futures price to return to the new - season spot price. Otherwise, the new - season spot price may continue to decline. The red dates futures price rose significantly, but the market was facing inventory pressure and the supply - demand contradiction was not alleviated. The market was in a critical period of season and season - change, and the consumption situation would be the focus [8][9]. Group 3: Market News and Important Data Apple - Futures: The closing price of the apple 2601 contract was 9379 yuan/ton, down 61 yuan/ton (-0.65%) from the previous day [1]. - Spot: The price of 80 first - and second - grade late Fuji in Shandong Qixia was 3.75 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day; the price of over 70 semi - commercial late Fuji in Shaanxi Luochuan was 4.15 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day. The spot basis AP01 - 1879 and AP01 - 1079 increased by 61 respectively [1]. Red dates - Futures: The closing price of the red dates 2601 contract was 9225 yuan/ton, up 230 yuan/ton (+2.56%) from the previous day [5]. - Spot: The price of first - grade grey dates in Hebei was 8.90 yuan/kg, up 0.20 yuan/kg from the previous day. The spot basis CJ01 - 325 decreased by 30 [5]. Group 4: Market Analysis Apple - The apple futures price declined slightly. The late Fuji spot market in the warehouse was stable but with general shipments. The new - season apple inventory was lower than last year by over 10%, the inventory structure changed, and the consumption was under pressure due to high prices and competition from citrus [3]. Red dates - The red dates futures price rose significantly. The market arrival quality was uneven, the price difference widened, and the acceptance of ordinary goods was low. The new - season red dates were in the process of being picked, the purchase enthusiasm was low, and the inventory pressure was high [8]. Group 5: Strategy Apple - Neutral to bullish. Pay attention to terminal consumption recovery, inventory structure differentiation, and pre - holiday merchants' inventory adjustment, and be cautious about chasing high prices [4]. Red dates - Neutral. Focus on the terminal market's acceptance of new - season red dates and the inventory situation in the circulation link. The near - month contract may have some room to fall [9].

Report Title - Apple Weekly: New Phase Inbound Volume Announced, Apple Prices Stable with a Slight Increase [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - This year, apple production has declined, the high - quality fruit rate is poor, and preservation is more difficult. Market expectations are that cold - storage inbound data will likely be lower. The peak cold - storage apple inventory this year is likely to be lower than last year, and the available inventory is expected to be low, so the apple fundamentals are strong. One can consider buying on dips for unilateral trading, while for arbitrage and options, it is recommended to wait and see [15] Summary by Directory Part 1: Logical Analysis and Trading Strategies 1. Spot Analysis - This week, the inbound work of new - season late - maturing Fuji apples is nearing completion, mainly concentrated in western Shandong Qixia and Shanxi Yuncheng. Outbound work has started, mainly for foreign - trade goods and some merchants replenishing the market. The sales area market is in the off - season, with a weak trading atmosphere. The increasing supply of citrus fruits is squeezing the apple sales space. - In the Shandong production area, the ground trading is ending, and the inbound work continues. The inbound of farmers' goods has significantly increased. The prices of different grades of late - maturing Fuji vary, with standard first - and second - grade goods being scarce. - In the Shaanxi production area, the late - maturing Fuji trading is ending, and the inbound work is ongoing but at a slower pace. The remaining supply quality has declined, and the trading price has slightly decreased. The purchasing enthusiasm of merchants is average [7] 2. Supply Analysis - As of November 13, 2025, the national cold - storage inventory ratio is about 55.87%, 7.52 percentage points lower than the same period last year, with a storage volume of 735.77 million tons, 12.13% lower than last year. - In Shandong, the cold - storage capacity ratio is 55.47%, an increase of 6.52 percentage points this week. The inbound is mainly in western Qixia. The proportion of high - quality first - and second - grade goods is low, and the proportion of general and third - grade fruits is high. - In Shaanxi, the cold - storage capacity ratio is 54.63%, an increase of 2.07 percentage points this week. There is obvious goods flow between different production areas, and the inventory in Luochuan has increased significantly. - In Gansu, the cold - storage capacity ratio is 69.28%, a decrease of 2.10 percentage points this week. There is both inbound and outbound, and the number of cold - storage seeking merchants is large [11] 3. Demand Analysis - In the Guangdong Chalong market, the number of early - morning arrival vehicles has changed little. The prices of different varieties of apples vary, and the purchasing enthusiasm of second - and third - level wholesalers is average. The new - season late - maturing Fuji has slow sales, and there is pressure on daily digestion and inventory backlog. - On November 13, the average wholesale price of 6 key - monitored fruits is 7.32 yuan per kilogram, slightly higher than last Friday, at a medium - high level in recent years. - For the 2025 - 2026 production season in the acquisition stage, the profit statistics of storage merchants for Qixia 80 first - and second - grade apples have been suspended [14] 4. Trading Strategies - Trading Logic: Apple production has declined this year, the high - quality fruit rate is poor, and cold - storage inventory is expected to be low. The apple fundamentals are strong. - Unilateral: Considering the strong apple fundamentals and the recent increase in spot prices, one can consider buying on dips. - Arbitrage: It is recommended to wait and see. - Options: It is recommended to wait and see [15] Part 2: Weekly Data Tracking 1. Apple Supply - Demand Situation - Data on apple export, planting area, consumption, and production are presented in the form of charts, but specific numerical summaries are not provided in the text [19] 2. Inventory and Shipment - Data on national and Shandong cold - storage apple inventory trends and national cold - storage apple outbound trends are presented in the form of charts, but specific numerical summaries are not provided in the text [22] 3. Spread and Basis - Data on different spread and basis (such as 1 - 5 spread, 5 - 10 spread, 1 - month basis, 5 - month basis, 10 - month basis) over the years are presented in the form of charts, but specific numerical summaries are not provided in the text [26]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Apple: Neutral to bullish [4] - Red dates: Neutral [8] 2. Core Views of the Report - Apple: The price of apples futures continued to rise. The出库 of late - Fuji apples in the western region has started, with active transactions in Gansu and Shaanxi. The price of high - quality apples is expected to remain stable and firm in the short term, while the price of ordinary goods will remain stable. The stocking volume is lower than the same period last year, and attention should be paid to the stocking progress and出库 situation [3][4]. - Red dates: The price of red dates futures declined. The acquisition progress in Aksu and Alar has accelerated, and the price of new goods in the Hebei market is weakening. The inventory pressure is large, and the supply - demand contradiction has not been substantially alleviated. The actual consumption situation during the peak season will be the focus [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Apple Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the Apple 2601 contract was 9,504 yuan/ton, up 297 yuan/ton or 3.23% from the previous day [1]. - Spot: The price of 80 first - and second - grade late - Fuji in Shandong Qixia was 3.75 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day; the price of over 70 semi - commercial late - Fuji in Shaanxi Luochuan was 4.15 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day [1]. Recent Market Information - The出库 work of late - Fuji in the western region has started. In Gansu, merchants purchase goods as needed; in Shaanxi Xianyang, some merchants are actively purchasing farmers' goods. The quality of ground - traded goods in Shandong has slightly declined, and the price is slightly weak. The stocking work is entering the later stage, and the price of high - quality goods is expected to remain stable and firm, while ordinary goods will remain stable [2]. Market Analysis - The price of apple futures continued to rise. The出库 of late - Fuji in the west has started, and the price of high - quality goods is expected to be stable and firm, while ordinary goods will remain stable. The stocking work is in the later stage, and the stocking volume is lower than last year. The trading atmosphere in the sales area is still weak, and attention should be paid to the stocking and出库 progress [3]. Strategy - Neutral to bullish. Although the supply of late - Fuji has increased, the commercial rate this year is low, and merchants are cautious about ordering ordinary goods. The stocking volume is lower than last year [4]. Red Dates Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the Red Dates 2601 contract was 9,195 yuan/ton, down 170 yuan/ton or 1.82% from the previous day [5]. - Spot: The price of first - grade grey jujubes in Hebei was 8.90 yuan/kg, down 0.10 yuan/kg from the previous day [5]. Recent Market Information - The acquisition progress in Aksu and Alar has accelerated, and the price has slightly decreased. Merchants select suitable goods. The price in the Hebei market is weakening, and the price in the Guangdong market is stable. The price of spot goods is expected to be stable in the short term [6]. Market Analysis - The price of red dates futures declined. The acquisition progress in the production area has accelerated, and the price in the Hebei market is weakening. The inventory pressure is large, and the supply - demand contradiction has not been alleviated. The actual consumption during the peak season will be the focus [7]. Strategy - Neutral. The decline of red dates futures is obvious, and market gaming has increased. The new - season red dates in the main production areas have not been fully harvested. Attention should be paid to the acquisition price, fruit quality, and consumption during the peak season [8].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment strategy for both apples and dates is neutral [4][8] Core Viewpoints - Apple: The apple futures price declined slightly yesterday. The ground trading in the production areas has entered the later stage, and the current focus is on the warehousing work. There is a significant price polarization: high - quality goods remain firm, while the price of common - quality goods is weak. With the warehousing work in the western regions nearing completion, Shandong has become the trading center. It is expected that the warehousing volume will be lower than last year due to continuous rainfall [1][3][4] - Date: The date futures price also declined slightly yesterday. New - crop dates are more expensive than old - crop dates, leading to low market acceptance. As the harvest progresses in Xinjiang, there are concerns about supply pressure after the concentrated listing. It is expected that the price will face downward pressure in the short term [5][7] Summary by Related Catalogs Apple Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the apple 2601 contract yesterday was 8,919 yuan/ton, a change of - 21 yuan/ton or - 0.23% from the previous day - Spot: The price of 80 first - and second - grade late Fuji in Qixia, Shandong was 3.75 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day; the price of over 70 semi - commercial late Fuji in Luochuan, Shaanxi was 4.15 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day. The spot basis AP01 was - 1419 in Qixia and - 619 in Luochuan, with a change of + 21 from the previous day [1] Market Analysis - The apple futures price declined slightly yesterday. The ground trading in the production areas has entered the later stage, and the warehousing work is the current core. There is a significant price polarization: high - quality goods are firm due to scarcity, while the price of common - quality goods is weak due to increased supply. As the warehousing work in the western regions nears completion, Shandong has become the trading center. The enthusiasm of fruit farmers for self - warehousing has increased. The commodity rate of this year's late Fuji is low, and merchants are cautious about ordering common - quality goods. The warehousing work has been progressing slowly [3] Strategy - The strategy is neutral. After entering November, the warehousing work of the new - crop Fuji has started. Due to continuous rainfall, the warehousing volume is expected to be lower than last year [4] Date Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the date 2601 contract yesterday was 9,705 yuan/ton, a change of - 35 yuan/ton or - 0.36% from the previous day - Spot: The price of first - grade grey dates in Hebei was 9.00 yuan/kg, a change of - 0.15 yuan/kg from the previous day. The spot basis CJ01 was - 705, a change of - 115 from the previous day [5] Market Analysis - The date futures price declined slightly yesterday. The arrival volume in Hebei, Guangdong and other places is acceptable, but the new - crop dates are more expensive than the old - crop dates, resulting in low market acceptance. High - cost - performance old - crop dates are more popular. As the harvest progresses in Xinjiang, there are concerns about supply pressure after the concentrated listing, and downstream procurement is cautious. It is expected that the price will face downward pressure in the short term. Overall, the supply pressure in the production areas is gradually emerging, while the demand in the sales areas is insufficient [7] Strategy - The strategy is neutral. The dates are about to be harvested. The date futures price has declined significantly recently, and market competition has intensified. Attention should be paid to changes in the purchase price and actual output [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Apple: Neutral to bullish [3] - Red dates: Neutral [7] 2. Core Views of the Report - Apple: The futures price of apples fluctuated and declined yesterday, while the spot market showed a pattern of active trading in the west and sluggish trading in Shandong. The prices of high - quality apples in Shaanxi and Gansu remained stable and firm, while trading in Shandong was sporadic due to the small quantity and average quality of red apples. The price of high - quality apples will remain stable and firm, and the price of average - quality apples will be difficult to strengthen. The subsequent focus is on the game between merchants' purchasing mentality and fruit farmers' selling mentality [2]. - Red dates: The futures price of red dates fluctuated and rose yesterday. The new - season red dates in Xinjiang are about to be harvested, and the stocking of mainland merchants has begun. The short - term spot price is expected to remain stable. The market has a relatively certain judgment on the yield trend, and the quality of red dates is better than that of the same period last year. If the yield and quality fall short of expectations, the upward trend of red dates may continue; otherwise, the futures price will be in a volatile pattern [6][7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Apple Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the Apple 2601 contract yesterday was 8,510 yuan/ton, down 155 yuan/ton or 1.79% from the previous day. - Spot: The price of semi - commercial late Fuji apples above 70 in Luochuan, Shaanxi was 3.85 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day. The spot basis was AP01 + - 810, up 155 from the previous day. The prices of late Fuji apples in different regions showed significant differences, with the prices in Shaanxi and Gansu being relatively high and that in Shandong being relatively low [1]. Market Analysis - The futures price of apples fluctuated and declined yesterday. The spot market was divided, with active trading in the west and sluggish trading in Shandong. The continuous rainy weather affected the coloration of apples in the production areas, delaying the concentrated listing time of red apples. After the Double Festival, the demand did not improve significantly. The price of high - quality apples remained stable and firm, and the price gap between high - quality and average - quality apples was obvious [2]. Strategy - The strategy for apples is neutral to bullish. The late Fuji apples are sporadically on the market, and the acquisition period may be shortened. It is expected that the price of high - quality apples will remain stable and firm, and the price gap will be obvious [3]. Red Dates Market News and Important Data - Futures: The closing price of the Red Dates 2601 contract yesterday was 11,360 yuan/ton, up 255 yuan/ton or 2.30% from the previous day. - Spot: The spot price of first - grade gray dates in Hebei was 9.50 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous day. The spot basis was CJ01 - 1860, down 255 from the previous day. The new - season red dates in Xinjiang are about to be harvested, and the stocking of mainland merchants has begun. The order - signing process in different regions is progressing, but the current price is not representative [4]. Market Analysis - The futures price of red dates fluctuated and rose yesterday. The new - season red dates in Xinjiang are about to be harvested, and the stocking of mainland merchants has begun. The short - term spot price is expected to remain stable. The inventory pressure is still there, and the supply - demand contradiction has not been substantially alleviated. The market has a relatively certain judgment on the yield trend, and the quality of red dates is better than that of the same period last year [6]. Strategy - The strategy for red dates is neutral. If the yield and quality fall short of expectations, the upward trend of red dates may continue; otherwise, the futures price will be in a volatile pattern. Attention should be paid to consumption, new - season quality, and yield changes [7].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - In September 2025, the apple futures market showed a volatile and slightly stronger trend, with the monthly operating center of the main contract ap2601 shifting slightly upward. The factors influencing the apple market in September, including spot price fluctuations, weather changes in production areas, and the relative impact of other fruits, changed smoothly without unexpected changes, resulting in a relatively stable impact on prices. The market is optimistic about the high opening price of new - season late Fuji apples [3]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Futures Market 1.1 Contract Price Analysis - The main apple futures contract ap2601 showed a volatile and slightly stronger trend in September, with its monthly operating center moving slightly upward. The three factors affecting the apple market in September changed smoothly and had a relatively gentle impact on prices [3]. 1.2 Variety Market Analysis - The total open interest of apple futures was 111,461 lots, the trading volume was 1,883,035 lots, and the turnover was 156.5155 billion yuan. The specific contract data is shown in the apple futures monthly market table [4][5]. 2. Spot Market 2.1 Basis Data - In September, the apple futures basis was negative overall, meaning the spot price was lower than the futures price [7]. 2.2 Registered Warehouse Receipts - The number of registered warehouse receipts was 0 [8]. 3. Influencing Factors 3.1 Influencing Factor Analysis - Substitutes such as grapes and pomegranates had a partial impact. The old - stock Fuji apples in inventory were not fully cleared, and the remaining goods did not move quickly. The market sales were uneven. Some merchants stocked up as needed approaching the National Day and Mid - Autumn Festival. The cost of high - quality new fruits remained high. The export volume increased in August with the new - season fruits hitting the market. The prices of mid - and late - maturing varieties in the production areas were relatively stable, and the market was optimistic about the high opening price of new - season late Fuji [8][9][10]. 3.2 Technical Analysis - In September, the technical aspect of apple futures showed a volatile and slightly stronger trend. The short - term moving averages provided some support for the price, and the price fluctuated within a relatively stable range. The moving averages formed a long - position combination, and the long - position power on the disk was slightly dominant [11]. 4. Market Outlook - On the supply side, the flowering period in the western production areas was affected by adverse weather, resulting in small single fruits, and the high - temperature and drought conditions hindered fruit coloring, with a预计 low excellent - fruit rate. The remaining amount of apples in cold storage nationwide is at the lowest level in the past five years. The new - season apples in the western region are generally uneven in size, and the subsequent weather after bag removal needs attention. On the demand side, the market was slightly boosted by the stocking for the Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day, but the overall effect was limited. The market is still affected by the sales of seasonal fruits, and the arrival volume of vehicles remains low. In the short term, as the new - season apples are about to be launched in large quantities, the price of the ap2601 contract on the disk may face upward pressure and will likely show a high - level volatile trend [13].