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造船业大周期来临:订单加速交付 上市船企有望迎业绩拐点
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:49
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese shipbuilding industry is experiencing a significant recovery, with the country leading the world in shipbuilding orders and deliveries, indicating a positive trend for the sector's performance in the second half of 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - From January to June 2023, China's shipbuilding completion volume, new orders, and backlog accounted for 49.6%, 72.6%, and 53.2% of the global total by deadweight tonnage, respectively, maintaining the world's top position [1]. - The shipbuilding price index has risen continuously, increasing by 3% since the beginning of 2023 and by 33% compared to early 2021, indicating a favorable pricing environment for shipbuilders [2]. - The cumulative revenue of 74 key monitored shipbuilding enterprises reached 137.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.3%, while total profit turned positive at 4.64 billion yuan [3]. Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Major shipbuilding companies like China Heavy Industry and China Shipbuilding have reported significant profit improvements, with China Shipbuilding expecting a net profit of 500 million to 600 million yuan in the first half of 2023, a year-on-year increase of approximately 155.43% to 206.51% [5]. - Companies such as Yaxing Anchor Chain and China Marine Defense have shown substantial growth in net profits, with Yaxing reporting a 122.02% increase in the first quarter [4]. - The performance recovery of shipbuilding enterprises is supported by a combination of rising order volumes and declining raw material costs, particularly steel [2][5]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The shipbuilding industry is expected to see accelerated delivery of new orders starting in 2023, with a projected delivery volume of 17.13 million CGT, 16.88 million CGT, and 14.29 million CGT for the years 2023 to 2025 [1]. - The industry is witnessing a tightening of capacity utilization, with global shipbuilding utilization rates reaching 93.9% in 2021, indicating a robust demand environment [2]. - As the shipbuilding sector recovers, related companies in the upstream and downstream markets are beginning to explore IPO opportunities, reflecting a broader industry revival [6].
中船系Q2业绩预告超预期,6月新船订单环比增长
2025-07-16 00:55
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The shipbuilding industry is experiencing improved profitability, as indicated by the significant profit growth forecasted by China Shipbuilding for the first half of 2025, driven by high-priced order deliveries, falling steel prices, and early deliveries [1][4] - The new ship order volume in June 2025 increased month-on-month but saw a substantial year-on-year decline due to a high base in June 2024 [1][8] Key Insights - The Clarksons newbuilding price index stabilized in June 2025, with a month-on-month increase, although different ship types showed varied performance, with container ship prices rising while oil tanker prices fell [1][5] - The shipbuilding sector has become a safe haven for performance amid the current macroeconomic backdrop, with steel price declines enhancing the profitability of shipbuilders [2] - The market is witnessing a structural adjustment, with first-tier shipyards experiencing weak order intake while second and third-tier shipyards are seeing considerable order volumes due to capacity anxiety [1][6] Company Performance - China Shipbuilding's profit forecast for the first half of 2025 is between 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion, significantly exceeding previous expectations [3][4] - Other companies like China Heavy Industry and China Power also reported substantial profit growth, attributed to high-priced order deliveries and early payments [4][22] Order Trends - In the first half of 2025, China maintained a leading global market share of 56% in new shipbuilding, while South Korea's share increased from 10% to 30%, driven by a surge in container ship orders [10] - Container ship orders increased by 24% year-on-year, while orders for other types of ships like LNG and oil tankers saw a decline of over 70% [9] Market Dynamics - The current newbuilding market is in a brief downturn within an overall upcycle, with historical data indicating that downturns can occur even during upcycles [15][16] - The low demolition rates of older ships are causing many to remain active in the market, which could lead to supply vulnerabilities if demand surges suddenly [18][19] Future Outlook - The potential demolition volume over the next decade is estimated at 16,000 ships, which could significantly impact the supply-demand balance in the shipbuilding market [20] - Investors are advised to focus on leading companies like China Shipbuilding for stable investments, while considering second-tier companies for higher return potential [23] Additional Considerations - The geopolitical landscape and oil price fluctuations are affecting the cruise market, leading to concerns about new ship deployments [12] - LNG ships and car carriers are expected to have strong growth potential due to increasing demand for alternative fuels and the rise of China's electric vehicle exports [13]
新船首航 中国阿联酋港口开通汽车物流新通道
news flash· 2025-07-03 04:17
Core Viewpoint - The Abu Dhabi Ports Group's roll-on/roll-off ship "Zaher" is set to launch its maiden voyage today, transporting nearly 4,000 domestically produced vehicles from Ningbo-Zhoushan Port to Damietta Port in Egypt, marking the first automotive export route through this region [1] Group 1 - The "Zaher" vessel will travel through the Middle East, Mediterranean, and African regions before reaching its final destination in Egypt [1] - This route represents the first automotive export roll-on/roll-off shipping line operating in the specified area [1]
满载7000余台出口巴西的国产新能源汽车 全球最大汽车滚装船太仓启航
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-04-27 23:16
Group 1 - The "Shenzhen" ship, the world's largest car roll-on/roll-off vessel, has set sail from Taicang Port, loaded with over 7,000 domestic electric vehicles, marking the largest single export batch of cars from China [1] - In the first quarter of this year, Taicang Port exported 147,600 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 18.35%, with 58,500 vehicles exported to Belt and Road countries, up 3.06% [1] - The development of domestic roll-on/roll-off ships by companies like BYD, COSCO, Great Wall, and SAIC is crucial for the logistics of exporting Chinese cars globally [1][2] Group 2 - BYD's Changzhou base achieved a record production of 35,000 vehicles in March, with a total of 78,000 electric vehicles produced in the first quarter, representing an over 80% increase [2] - The "Shenzhen" ship integrates advanced technologies such as LNG dual-fuel power and BYD battery systems, showcasing the shift from manufacturing to intelligent manufacturing in China's shipbuilding industry [2] - The increasing trend of Chinese electric vehicles going global reflects a diversification in the export market, with the "Shenzhen" ship's journey to Brazil symbolizing this shift [3]