近期，A股出现调整，但从去年"9.24"行情以来看（下称"9.24行情以来"），权益资产依然取得了显著收益。截至11月21日，A股34只核心指数 9.24行情以来均实现上涨，平均涨幅超过50%，其中有4只指数涨幅超过100%。 从券商中国记者梳理来看，核心指数的上涨给1800多只指数基金带来了贝塔收益，指数基金则在行情共振中加速发展。2024年下半年至今成立的指 数基金数量，在当前存续的指数基金数量中占比超过35%。从近5年情况看，其间发行的股票ETF规模，在股票ETF发行总规模中占比接近60%。但 由于资源禀赋和跟踪误差等原因，不同公司的产品规模和业绩，存在显著分化情况。 | | | "9.24" 行情以来A股核心指数表现情况 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数代码 | 指数简称 | 区间涨幅 (%) | 跟踪基金数量 | 指数发布日期 | 成份股数量 | | | | | (只) | | (个) | | 899050.BJ | 北证50 | 129.66 | 66 | 2022/11/21 | 50 | | 000699.SH | 科创200 ...

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 基金投顾，顾名思义，就是基金的投资顾问。 很多行业都有顾问，特别是一些专业性很强的行业。 例如， • 看病吃药，需要医生，医生就是顾问； • 有法律问题，需要律师，律师也是顾问。 基金投资也是如此。 基金投顾的诞生，正是为了解决基金行业存在的"基金赚钱，基民不赚钱"的问题。 那么，基金投顾有哪些优势？ 是如何通过"投"和"顾"，帮助投资者获得好收益的呢？ 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程，介绍了基金投顾的方方面面。 想要获取这个课程，可以添加下方「课程小助手」，回复「 基金投顾 」领取哦～ 更有课程笔记、思维导图，帮您快速搞懂课程脉络，学习更高效。 套冷凝顾景什么? 者什么情用? ►长按添加@课程小助手,回复「基金投顾」 免费领取《螺丝钉基金投顾入门课》课程 更有课程笔记、思维导图,帮你快速了解基金投顾 und #螺丝钉小知识 银行螺丝钉 基金收益率达到多少适合止盈, 该怎么设置呢? 从收益率角度来考虑止盈，是最常见的 基金止盈策略。 这种思路很简单,就是定投指数基金, 当看到自己持有的某只基金收益率达到 了设定的收益率，就可开始卖出止盈。 比如我们定投沪深300指数基金, ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the investment journey of many investors starting with index funds and emphasizes the importance of learning investment techniques to achieve good returns [2] - A free course is offered to teach investment strategies for index funds, along with supplementary materials like course notes and mind maps for efficient learning [2] Group 2 - The article explains the concept of negative correlation between stocks and bonds, defining it as a situation where the price movement of one asset inversely affects the other [7] - It highlights that while stocks and bonds typically exhibit a slight negative correlation, this relationship becomes more pronounced during extreme market conditions, such as a bull market for stocks and a bear market for bonds from 2020 to 2021 [8] - A practical approach to utilizing this negative correlation is suggested, which involves allocating investments between stocks and bonds and periodically rebalancing the portfolio based on market conditions [9]

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown a strong performance, with major indices rising, including the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3900 points and the ChiNext Index increasing by 2.92% [3] - Despite the index gains, trading volume has significantly decreased by 19.5%, indicating a "shrinking rally" pattern [4] Capital Flow Dynamics - There is a disconnect between rising indices and the reluctance of new capital to enter the market, suggesting a cautious approach from investors [5] - Recent developments, such as the resumption of Sino-U.S. trade talks and the approval of the "14th Five-Year Plan," have positively influenced market sentiment [6] Policy and Investment Focus - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes investment in technology, particularly in artificial intelligence and critical areas like quantum technology and solid-state batteries [7] - The policy direction aims to enhance technological independence and resource security, which could lead to significant investment opportunities in these sectors [7] Stock Performance and Investor Sentiment - The market is experiencing a stark divergence in stock performance, with certain sectors like telecommunications and non-ferrous metals seeing gains over 25%, while financials and real estate lag behind [9] - The volatility in technology stocks indicates a short-term speculative environment, with significant capital inflows and outflows observed [9] Investment Strategies - With over 5000 stocks available, identifying reliable investment opportunities is challenging, leading to a preference for index funds [10] - As of the end of Q1 2025, the scale of passive index funds has surpassed 3.26 trillion yuan, accounting for 51.11% of A-share market capitalization [10] Foreign Investment Trends - Foreign capital inflows into the Chinese stock market have rebounded, with a net inflow of 4.6 billion USD in September 2025, marking the highest monthly figure since November 2024 [12] - Projections indicate a potential 30% upside for A-shares by the end of 2027, driven by earnings growth and valuation re-rating [12]

Group 1 - The article questions the effectiveness of dollar-cost averaging (DCA) and emphasizes the importance of considering what to do in case of losses rather than just focusing on profit-taking [1][4][6] - It presents a case study showing that a 10-year investment in the SSE 50 index could result in zero returns, highlighting the potential risks of long-term DCA strategies [4][10] - The probability of a 10-year DCA resulting in zero or negative returns is noted to be as high as 17%, based on historical data from the CSI 300 index [10][12] Group 2 - The article argues that DCA does not inherently improve returns and that in a consistently rising market, lump-sum investments typically yield higher average returns than DCA [11][12] - Research indicates that DCA is more suitable for volatile markets like A-shares, while lump-sum investments are preferable in stable markets like U.S. equities [12][18] - The article suggests that many investors fail to adopt a systematic asset allocation strategy, leading to confusion and suboptimal investment decisions [20]

Group 1 - The core concept of index funds is to replicate the performance of a specific index, such as the CSI 300 Index, which means the fund should rise and fall in line with the index [1][2] - Different index funds can have significant differences in performance due to tracking errors, management fees, and fund size, which can affect overall returns [2][3] - Key selection criteria for index funds include checking the tracking index, ensuring a low tracking error (preferably less than 0.3% over the past year), keeping management and custody fees below 0.5%, and selecting funds with a size greater than 500 million to avoid liquidation risks [2][3] Group 2 - High management fees can erode profits over time, with a 1.5% fee compared to a 0.5% fee resulting in double the cost, impacting long-term returns [2] - Funds with small sizes (below 200 million) are at risk of being liquidated, which can delay access to invested capital [2][3] - Investors should choose funds that align with their investment goals, such as large-cap stocks through the CSI 300 Index or growth stocks through the CSI 500 Index, avoiding mismatches between fund names and tracking indices [2][3]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding different types of index funds, particularly bond index funds, which are less familiar to most investors compared to stock index funds [2] - It introduces four main categories of indices: broad-based indices, strategy indices, industry indices, and thematic indices [6] Group 2 - For broad-based index investment, it is crucial to consider the balance between large-cap and small-cap stocks, noting that in 2024, large-cap stocks like CSI 300 are expected to perform well while small-cap stocks may lag [8] - A classic combination for investment is the pairing of CSI 300 with CSI 500, and potentially adding CSI 1000 for more small-cap exposure [9] - In strategy index investment, it is important to balance growth and value styles, as A-shares exhibit a rotation between these styles over time [10][11] - The article highlights that from 2019 to 2020, growth style was strong, while from 2021 to 2024, value style is expected to dominate [12] Group 3 - Industry and thematic index investments are characterized by high volatility, with broad-based indices typically experiencing 20%-30% fluctuations annually, while industry indices can see 30%-50% volatility [13] - It is recommended to limit exposure to any single industry to 15%-20% to manage risk effectively [13] - The article advises investors to select long-term themes when investing in thematic indices, citing examples of past popular themes that may no longer be relevant [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of various stock markets during the recent holiday period, highlighting the stability of A-shares and the fluctuations in Hong Kong and U.S. markets, while also providing an updated valuation table for investors to consider. Group 1: Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong stock market experienced overall gains during the holiday, but there were slight declines on the following Monday and Wednesday [7][9]. - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.1%, and the H-share Index decreased by 0.33% [9]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index showed resilience, increasing by 0.75% [10]. - The gains made during the holiday will be reflected in the fund net values on October 9, combining holiday performance with the market's performance on that day [11][12]. Group 2: U.S. and Other Overseas Markets - Global stock markets saw slight increases during the holiday period [13]. - The S&P 500 index rose by 0.39%, indicating minimal volatility [15]. Group 3: A-share Market - A-shares did not trade during the holiday, but there were indicators from overseas markets tracking A-shares [16][17]. - The FTSE A50 index futures saw a minor decline of 0.13%, while the U.S. market's CSI 300 index fund dropped by 0.49% [19][21]. - These movements reflect overseas investors' perceptions of A-share fluctuations during the holiday [22]. Group 4: Investment Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of knowledge and courage in investing, suggesting that understanding market trends can help investors navigate short-term volatility [25]. - It encourages a mindset where perceived market downturns can be viewed as opportunities for patient investors [25]. Group 5: Valuation Table - The valuation table provides various metrics such as earnings yield, price-to-earnings ratio, and dividend yield for different indices and funds, indicating investment opportunities [27]. - Green items in the table are considered undervalued and suitable for regular investment, while yellow indicates normal conditions, and red signifies overvaluation [29].

Market Overview - The market experienced significant volatility with mixed index performances. The STAR 50 and ChiNext 50 indices rose by 6.47% and 2.50% respectively, while the Northbound 50 index fell by 3.11% [4][8] - In the H-share market, the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 1.57% and 1.58% respectively. In overseas equity markets, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices declined by 0.31% and 0.50% respectively, while the DAX, CAC 40, and Nikkei 225 indices saw increases of 0.42%, 0.22%, and 0.69% respectively [4][8] Bond Market - The long-term rates in the domestic bond market increased, while the short- to medium-term rates decreased. The yields for the 30-year, 10-year, and 1-year government bonds were reported at 2.2170%, 1.8768%, and 1.3825% respectively, with the 30-year yield rising by 1.74 basis points [5][9] Commodity Prices - COMEX gold futures closed at $3,779.5 per ounce, up 2.54% for the week. The Shanghai Gold Exchange's spot price was reported at ¥852.9 per gram, increasing by 3.26% [6][10] - LME copper prices also saw an increase, with the spot price at $10,125.5 per ton, up 2.24%, and the 3-month copper futures at $10,193.0 per ton, up 2.10% [12] Fund Market Activity - The trading activity in the market was high, with an average daily trading volume of approximately ¥476.15 billion for ETFs. Notably, the A500 index saw significant net inflows, while the STAR 50 and CSI 300 indices also experienced net inflows [6][12] - As of September 28, there were 13,295 public funds in the market with a total net asset value of approximately ¥35.06 trillion. In the upcoming week, 10 new funds are set to be launched, including 1 enhanced index fund and 5 passive index funds [7][13]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant disparity in investment outcomes among investors who employed a systematic investment strategy in index funds, with over 60% of investors in the CSI 300 index experiencing losses, averaging an 8.7% decline, while a different group achieved a 12% annualized return [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Strategy Errors - Investors commonly made two critical mistakes: selecting the wrong assets and mismanaging investment timing [1][3]. - Many investors fell into the "chasing hot spots" trap, investing in high-volatility sectors like renewable energy and semiconductors, which led to substantial losses [3][4]. - For instance, a renewable energy index fund saw its net value drop from 2.5 yuan in September 2022 to 1.8 yuan in August 2025, resulting in an 11% loss for consistent investors [3][4]. Group 2: Comparison of Investment Outcomes - Broad-based index funds, such as the CSI 300, emerged as the "winners" in systematic investment strategies, yielding a 5.2% annualized return despite market downturns [4][10]. - In contrast, thematic funds averaged a -3.8% return during the same period, underscoring the importance of asset selection [4][10]. Group 3: Valuation Considerations - A common error among investors was neglecting valuation, leading to blind investments without considering price rationality [6][7]. - The CSI 300 index experienced significant valuation fluctuations, with its price-to-earnings ratio ranging from 12 to 15 during the investment period, affecting returns based on timing of investments [6][7]. - An investor who adjusted their investment based on valuation metrics achieved a 14% profit, while another who did not lost 5% [6][10]. Group 4: Recommendations for Improvement - To enhance investment outcomes, investors should prioritize selecting "evergreen" assets and avoid sectors with high cyclicality or rapid technological changes [4][12]. - Implementing a dynamic investment strategy based on valuation metrics can significantly reduce average costs and improve returns [7][10]. - Investors are advised to regularly assess their investment choices and adjust their strategies according to market conditions and asset valuations [12].