丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 联合研究丨公司点评丨珠海冠宇（688772.SH） [Table_Title] 增资扩股资本赋能，中期受益于 AI 产品升级和 新品 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 控股子公司浙江冠宇通过增资扩股引入外部投资者渝富高精尖基金，后者以 20,000 万元认购 新增注册资本 11,492.0847 万元。本次增资后，珠海冠宇在浙江冠宇的持股比例由 62.0408% 降至 59.0690%，其他股东持股比例也相应下降，但公司仍保持控股地位。 %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Author] 邬博华 杨洋 曹海花 叶之楠 蔡少东 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490517070012 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520090003 SAC：S0490522090001 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BUW100 [Table_scodeMsg2] 珠海冠宇（688772.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_ ...

内容概况：与全球市场相似，中国电动汽车产业的快速发展，提升了锂电池的下游需求，进而带动了锂 电池智能装备发展。数据显示，中国锂电池智能装备市场规模从2020年的275亿元增长至2022年的722亿 元。2023-2024年下游市场需求放缓，电动汽车电池及储能电池企业新项目建设减速，抑制了对锂电池 智能装备的短期需求，导致2024年市场规模下降至202亿元。2025年以来，受益于国际头部电池企业开 工率显著提升、扩产节奏逐渐恢复，中国锂电池智能装备行业迎来复苏契机，预计2025年中国锂电池智 能装备市场规模将达260亿元。 相关上市企业：先导智能（300450）、赢合科技（300457）、华自科技（300490）、杭可科技 （688006）、利元亨（688499）、科恒股份（300340）、璞泰来（603659）、星云股份（300648）、联 赢激光（688518）、海目星（688559）等。 相关企业：深圳市浩能科技有限公司、广东奥鸿智能装备有限公司等。 关键词：锂电池智能装备行业相关政策、锂电池智能装备行业产业链、动力锂电池出货量、消费锂电池 出货量、储能锂电池出货量、全球锂电池智能装备行业市场规模、中国锂 ...

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant growth in China's lithium battery shipments, particularly in the power battery segment, driven by the increasing demand from the electric vehicle market and overseas markets [1][3]. Group 1: Lithium Battery Shipments - In 2024, China's total lithium battery shipments are projected to reach 1175 GWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.6% [1]. - The breakdown of shipments includes power batteries at 780 GWh (up 23%), energy storage batteries at 335 GWh (up 64%), and consumer batteries at 55 GWh (up 14%) [1]. Group 2: Power Battery Growth - The power battery shipments are expected to grow to 780 GWh in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 23.8%, indicating strong growth momentum [3]. - The growth is attributed to the rapid increase in domestic electric vehicle sales and high demand in overseas markets, which boosts the export scale of domestic battery manufacturers [3]. - In the first eight months of 2025, power battery shipments reached 476 GWh, with lithium iron phosphate batteries accounting for 78% of total power battery shipments, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 68% [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - In 2024, CATL holds a 45.1% market share in power battery installations, with the competitive landscape remaining largely unchanged among the top fifteen companies [5]. - New entrants like Jidian New Energy and Yaoning New Energy are emerging, backed by established automotive companies, indicating a trend towards vertical integration in battery production [5]. - The industry is expected to undergo consolidation, particularly among smaller manufacturers lacking economies of scale, with a focus on global expansion and local production [5]. Group 4: Energy Storage Battery Growth - The energy storage battery shipments are projected to reach 630 GWh in the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 65% [9]. - The surge in energy storage demand is supported by strong fundamentals in the industry [9]. Group 5: Consumer Battery Trends - Consumer battery shipments are expected to rise to 55 GWh in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 14% [10]. - The consumer battery market is experiencing steady growth, although the overall market share is declining, with portable computers showing rapid growth while smartphone sales are stabilizing [10]. - For the first eight months of 2025, consumer battery shipments are projected to reach 65 GWh, with an anticipated annual growth of 20% [10].

Group 1 - The lithium battery sector has shown significant performance improvement, outperforming the CSI 300 index, with a projected revenue growth of 0.07% and a net profit decline of 30.19% in 2024, followed by a revenue increase of 13.78% and a net profit increase of 28.07% in the first half of 2025 [1] - The report maintains an "outperform the market" investment rating for the lithium battery sector, emphasizing the importance of industry policies, performance growth expectations, and valuation levels [1] - Key investment themes for the fourth quarter include focusing on leading companies in niche segments, companies with strong R&D investment and market share growth, and opportunities related to solid-state batteries [1] Group 2 - Global sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) are expected to continue growing, with a 25.0% year-on-year increase in global NEV sales to 9.0143 million units in the first half of 2025, and a 38.14% increase in China to 8.1970 million units, accounting for 44.94% of total sales [2] - The macro policies in China are continuously encouraging the development of the NEV industry, and the rectification of internal competition is expected to facilitate orderly industry growth [2] - The NEV industry is transitioning to a strong product-driven model, with significant growth in exports and increasing penetration rates in niche segments, leading to a projected 14.43% year-on-year increase in NEV sales in China to 16 million units in 2025 [2] Group 3 - The performance of the lithium battery sector is expected to recover, with a 37.3% year-on-year increase in global power battery installations to 504.4 GWh in the first half of 2025, and a 57.5% increase in China's power battery and other battery production to 831.1 GWh [3] - The global shipment of energy storage lithium batteries is projected to reach 340 GWh in 2024, a 51.1% year-on-year increase, with China's share of global shipments rising to 98.53% [3] - Demand for consumer lithium batteries is expected to continue growing due to increased smartphone shipments, while the pricing dynamics within the supply chain show differentiation, with lithium carbonate prices under pressure but cobalt prices experiencing short-term rebounds due to external policy influences [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhuhai Guanyu (688772) [2] Core Views - The company's performance is in line with expectations, with stable profit levels in Q2. In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 6.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.0%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 120 million yuan, up 14.8% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, the company recorded revenue of 3.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 44.1%, with a net profit of 140 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 53.1% [7] - The company has seen significant growth in consumer battery sales, with a notable increase in market share. In the first half of 2025, the sales of consumer lithium batteries increased by 6.9% for laptops and 43.3% for mobile phones year-on-year. The company has also begun supplying high-end smartwatch batteries to Samsung using a "Cell+Pack(A+A)" model [7] - The energy storage application in the drone sector is expanding, with the subsidiary Zhejiang Guanyu achieving revenue of 970 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 139.8%. The automotive low-voltage lithium battery and drone battery segments accounted for 85.8% of this revenue [7] - The report adjusts the profit forecast for 2025 downwards due to the impact of export tax rebates but raises the profit forecast for 2026-2027, expecting net profits of 670 million yuan, 1.447 billion yuan, and 1.790 billion yuan for 2025-2027 respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to reach 14.434 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 670 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 55.8% [6] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 24.8% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 9.5% [6]