（来源：科创100ETF基金） 港股收盘，恒生指数涨0.72%，恒生科技指数涨0.48%。港股科技ETF(159751)涨0.43%，恒生港股通 ETF(159318)涨0.71%。板块方面，水务、海上运输板块涨幅靠前；生物科技、制药板块跌幅靠前。个 股方面，基地锦标集团大涨超110%；邮储银行（601658）涨4.59%，中国宏桥涨4.48%，金沙中国有限 公司涨4.4%，美团-W涨4.06%；山高控股跌11.28%，中铝国际（601068）跌13.23%；天津创业环保 （600874）股份涨24.17%，秦港股份（601326）涨12.94%，泡泡玛特跌超9%。 来源：市场资讯 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：科创100ETF基金） 港股收盘，恒生指数跌0.94%，恒生科技指数跌1.41%。港股科技ETF(159751)跌1.95%，恒生港股通 ETF(159318)跌1.34%。板块方面，工业集团企业、酒店和度假村REIT板块涨幅靠前；汽车、生命科学 工具板块跌幅靠前。个股方面，基地锦标集团大涨超83%；老铺黄金跌8.21%，MONGOL MINING跌 9.45%；中铝国际（601068）涨30.52%，药捷安康-B涨11.18%。 ...

4）细分环节上，相对看好国产AI链、AI应用/端侧传媒计算机、港股互联网。11-12月业绩空窗期，以 往规律是弱化对于当季度基本面的追逐，倾向于对12月经济会议政策、以及明年产业景气度的预期进行 定价。这三个环节的优势分别在于： 科技板块今日回调，机构指出，往后看到年底，科技线可能的几个演绎线索： 1）大概率还是主线。一是因为科技（尤其AI）和指数/风偏绑定，二是除涨价外的顺周期和红利，今年 以来即使在上涨阶段也容易相对跑输科技，或者是短暂几周领跑后被科技几天爆发式追回（比如4-5月 和10月），其中顺周期的压制来自高频数据与财报，红利的压制来自指数不断超预期及因此带来的宽基 ETF抛压。这些基本面压制、和前期股价的演绎规律，会制约投资者后续非科技方向的参与意愿。 2）绝对收益的资金来源，一是前期离场比较充分的活跃资金回流，二是在11/12月底考核期之前仍有追 净值/排名诉求的机构。 3）市值风格上可能会略倾向于中小盘，因为相当一部分完成KPI的绝对收益机构、未来两个月操作不 会太激进，年内市场量能回到3万亿以上还存在一定难度，这种氛围理论上只能支持聚焦几个容量票进 行缩容炒作、而非类似6-8月这种科技板块容 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant decline, particularly in the technology sector, which fell nearly 4%, with the Hang Seng Index breaking the support level of 25,700 [1] - The decline is attributed to the risk exposure of U.S. regional banks, but its direct impact on Hong Kong stocks is limited. The resulting decrease in U.S. Treasury yields and potential Federal Reserve rate cuts may be beneficial [1] - The market correction is seen as a result of excessive prior gains, with tariffs also contributing to a suppression of risk appetite [1] Group 2 - In the trading session, only two Hong Kong stock ETFs experienced redemptions, with one related to negative news about two automotive companies. The remaining ETFs saw net inflows, with 13 products collectively gaining over 1.256 billion shares [2] - The Hong Kong technology ETF received significant attention, with a net subscription of 84.85 million shares, indicating strong investor interest despite the market downturn [3] Group 3 - Long-term investors are advised to view the current market adjustment as a buying opportunity, particularly in leading technology and innovative pharmaceutical stocks, which have seen substantial corrections [3] - The copper-to-oil ratio is highlighted as a potential indicator of market trends, with a higher ratio suggesting stronger economic growth and lower inflation, serving as a predictive tool for market movements [3]

Market Overview - On September 30, A-shares saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.52%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.35%, and the ChiNext Index remaining unchanged [1] - The STAR 100 Index led the gains with an increase of 2.77%, while the total number of stocks rising in the market reached 2,660 [1] - Hong Kong's main indices also experienced collective gains, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 2.24% [1] ETF Market Activity - The ETF market showed a net inflow of 222.13 billion RMB on September 30, with all major categories of ETFs experiencing net inflows [7] - Bond ETFs, cross-border ETFs, and stock ETFs were the main contributors to the inflow, with net inflows of 92.07 billion RMB, 65.23 billion RMB, and 47.24 billion RMB respectively [7] - Among stock ETFs, thematic and industry ETFs saw significant inflows of 53.17 billion RMB and 41.06 billion RMB, while broad-based stock ETFs experienced a net outflow of 47.68 billion RMB [8] Sector Performance - In terms of sector performance, non-ferrous metals (3.22%), defense and military industry (2.59%), and real estate (2.12%) were the top gainers, while telecommunications (-1.83%), non-bank financials (-1.14%), and comprehensive sectors (-1.06%) faced declines [6] - The chemical sector saw a strong performance on September 30, with a notable increase in the chemical ETF (159870) by 1.68% and a net subscription of 420 million RMB [11] Capital Flow Insights - The top sectors for capital inflow on September 30 included the CSI A500 (+3.09 billion RMB), battery storage (+2.47 billion RMB), and semiconductor chips (+1.69 billion RMB) [9] - Conversely, the CSI 50 index experienced the largest capital outflow of 2.03 billion RMB [9] Notable Developments - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to benefit from a recent government initiative aimed at promoting the consumption of high-end aluminum, copper, and magnesium alloys, alongside a tightening global copper supply [11] - In the tech sector, the release of the DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp model is seen as a significant advancement, reducing costs for developers by over 50% [12]

Core Points - The Hong Kong stock market closed with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.61% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 3.36% [1] - The Hong Kong Tech ETF (159751) rose by 3.17%, while the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF (159318) increased by 1.11% [1] Sector Performance - Semiconductor products and equipment, as well as metals and mining sectors, showed significant gains [1] - Conversely, passenger airlines and construction products sectors experienced notable declines [1] Individual Stock Movements - Notable gainers included Zijin Mining International, which rose by 14.01%, and SMIC, which increased by 12.7% [1] - Other significant gainers included Kelun-Botai Bio (+9.44%), Lens Technology (+9.19%), Kuaishou-W (+8.57%), and WuXi AppTec (+7.15%) [1] - Decliners included NetDragon, which fell by 6.14%, and Haotian International Construction Investment, which dropped by 11.11% [1] - Dazhong Public Utilities saw a substantial increase of 18.35%, while MIRXES-B rose by 17.1% [1]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed down 0.18%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 1.04% [1] - The Hong Kong Tech ETF (159751) increased by 0.65%, and the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF (159318) decreased by 0.14% [1] Sector Performance - The telecommunications, semiconductor products, and equipment sectors showed strong gains [1] - The diversified REITs and passenger airline sectors experienced significant declines [1] Notable Stocks - Hong Kong Broadband surged over 54% [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor rose by 10.31% [1] - Sanhua Intelligent Control increased by 10.15% [1] - Horizon Robotics-W gained 6.79% [1] - SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation) rose by 6.65% [1] - Hengrui Medicine increased by 5.36% [1] - China Duty Free Group rose by 5.3% [1] - Baidu Group-SW increased by 4.12% [1] - Baize Medical fell by 16.17% [1] - Brainstorm Cell Therapeutics-B dropped by 16.7% [1] - Yihua Tong surged by 33.42% [1]

Group 1 - Meituan's food delivery business maintained its leading position in Q3, but the average order value declined. The instant retail market is projected to exceed 2 trillion yuan by 2030, while the on-site travel and accommodation sector remains stable. New businesses are contracting domestically but expanding overseas [1] - Kuaishou's e-commerce reported a GMV growth of 17.6% year-on-year for Q2 2025, with private domain transaction efficiency being over four times that of public domain. AI tools have improved product card conversion rates by 20%, and the Double Eleven promotion is set to launch on October 7 [1] - There are rumors that Alibaba and other platforms may significantly increase capital expenditures, with Q4 infrastructure potentially catching up and AIDC tenders expected to be densely issued [1] Group 2 - For domestic investors, Hong Kong stocks are relatively inexpensive compared to A-shares. Since May, the AH premium has decreased from 134 to 119, indicating a reasonable valuation given the current exchange rate. There is potential for further narrowing of the AH premium amid the appreciation of the yuan and the weakening of the dollar [1] - For overseas investors, Hong Kong stocks still offer value. Despite the Hang Seng Index rising by 30%, global financial conditions remain loose due to the depreciation of the dollar and falling oil prices, benefiting Hong Kong stocks as offshore RMB assets. The PBROE framework indicates that Hong Kong stocks are at a mid-range level of value [2]

Market Overview - On September 12, A-shares experienced a pullback with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.12%, Shenzhen Component down 0.43%, and ChiNext down 1.09%, indicating an overall adjustment in the market [1] - The STAR Market 50 Index rose by 0.90%, showing relative strength among major indices [1] - Approximately 1,920 stocks in the market saw gains, while the Hong Kong stock market indices collectively rose, with the Hang Seng Technology Index up 1.71% [1] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector led gains with an increase of 1.96%, followed by real estate at 1.51% and steel at 1.41% [6] - Conversely, the telecommunications sector saw a decline of 2.13%, with the comprehensive sector down 1.95% and beauty care down 1.52% [6] Fund Flow Analysis - Despite the overall pullback in A-shares, the ETF market maintained a net inflow of 25.94 billion yuan, with industry-specific ETFs seeing a net inflow of 31.28 billion yuan [7][8] - Cross-border ETFs were particularly favored, with a net inflow of 35.96 billion yuan, indicating a trend towards global risk diversification and thematic investments [7][8] - The financial sector, including the CSI 300 and securities, attracted significant inflows, while the STAR Market 50 and semiconductor sectors faced notable outflows [9] Key Focus Areas - The leading securities ETF (159993) saw a net subscription of 48 million units, marking 11 consecutive days of net inflow, reflecting strong investor interest in the brokerage sector [10] - The Hong Kong innovative drug ETF (159286) rose nearly 1%, with optimism surrounding the long-term prospects of innovative drugs and their global competitiveness [11] Commodity Insights - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to benefit from rising copper prices due to anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and seasonal demand increases during the "golden September and silver October" period [12] - The market is advised to monitor the Federal Reserve's rate cut decisions and the demand dynamics during the upcoming seasonal peak [12] Technology Sector Outlook - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicated a moderate inflation rate, leading to heightened expectations for multiple rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could benefit the Hong Kong technology sector [14] - The relative advantage of Hong Kong stocks is expected to become more pronounced as A-shares enter a valuation digestion phase, with a focus on internet, consumer, and pharmaceutical sectors [14]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.03%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.20% [1] - The Hong Kong Tech ETF (159751) increased by 0.54%, and the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF (159318) gained 0.15% [1] - Pop Mart surged over 8% after Morgan Stanley maintained an "overweight" rating following a visit to a toy exhibition, stating that the platform's value is underestimated [1]