一、行情回顾 市场全天震荡分化，三大指数涨跌互现。有色板块集体走强，章源钨业、翔鹭钨业等多股涨停。稀土永磁板块拉升，中稀有色涨停，包钢股份触及涨停。算 力租赁概念活跃，城地香江、利通电子等涨停。下跌方面，玻纤概念股下挫，国际复材跌近10%。个股涨多跌少，沪深京三市约3300股飘红，今日成交2.51 万亿。 二、当日热点 1.有色金属 有色金属板块今日继续大涨，章源钨业、江钨装备、中钨高新、华锡有色等多股涨停。 章源钨业2月26日发布调整焊接机夹刀片价格通知函，因钨原材料价格持续上涨，致使公司生产成本大幅增长，公司决定从2026年2月26日起，对焊接机夹刀 片产品按新价格执行。自调价之日起，产品一律按新价格执行。 此外，今日沪锡期货再度大涨，涨幅为8.38%。 +3.40% 有色金属 节后钨原料价格持续飙升 理由 | 股票名称 | | 最新价 = | 涨跌幅 = | 涨停时间 = | 换手率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 章源钨业 002378.SZ | 7天5板 | 40.60 | +10.00% | 09:36:36 | 3.34% | | 江钨装备 6 ...

节后有可能会发酵的两个大逻辑: 1、token出海就是电力出海。 这将会从根本上改变国产算力和国产AI的逻辑。 节后有可能会发酵的两个大逻辑: 1、token出海就是电力出海。 这将会从根本上改变国产算力和国产AI的逻辑。 有点类似电解铝。 2、AI将会影响到就业和消费。 尽管事实不一定是这样这是滑坡推论的极致表现。 有点类似电解铝。 2、AI将会影响到就业和消费。 尽管事实不一定是这样这是滑坡推论的极致表现。 但这将对美股目前高估值+高风偏+交易拥挤的结构产生巨大的扰动。 这个发酵有可能会比想象的快。 但这将对美股目前高估值+高风偏+交易拥挤的结构产生巨大的扰动。 这个发酵有可能会比想象的快。 ...

# 持续强call今年通胀线# 持续看好今年国产AI大行情# 国产AI不止算力和应用 # 上游的核心点在于赢家通吃，# 去年海外也可以是今年的国内 台耀今天发出停产通知，验证目前电子布产能紧俏，产能（E-glass）逐步转向Lowdk，在此背景下，国内具备E- glass&Lowdk生产能力的厂商会持续受益：1）国产上游出货&验证加速；2）同时上游持续紧张将会带动CCL持续 涨价。 1相关标的（CCl+电子布）：华正新材（推荐以来已翻倍）、宏和科技 2其他上游：呈和科技、东材科技、菲利华、德福科技 国产算力链之上游更新0210—持续通胀的上游【东北计算机】 # 持续强call今年通胀线# 持续看好今年国产AI大行情# 国产AI不止算力和应用 # 上游的核心点在于赢家通吃，# 去年海外也可以是今年的国内 台耀今天发出停产通知，验证目前电子布产能紧俏，产能（E-glass）逐步转向Lowdk，在此背景下，国内具备E- glass&Lowdk生产能力的厂商会持续受益：1）国产上游出货&验证加速；2）同 国产算力链之上游更新0210—持续通胀的上游【东北计算机】 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the domestic AI industry and its supply chain, particularly in the context of rising inflation and production capacity constraints in the upstream sector [1] - The report emphasizes the ongoing strong demand for domestic AI applications beyond just computing power [1] Key Points - The upstream sector is characterized by a "winner takes all" dynamic, indicating that leading companies will dominate the market [1] - Recent production halts by companies like Taiyao highlight the tight supply of electronic fabrics, specifically E-glass, which is gradually shifting towards Lowdk production [1] - Domestic manufacturers capable of producing E-glass and Lowdk are expected to benefit significantly from this trend, leading to accelerated shipments and validations in the domestic market [1] - The ongoing supply tightness in the upstream sector is anticipated to drive continuous price increases for Copper Clad Laminate (CCL) [1] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Huazheng New Materials, which has doubled in value since the recommendation, and Honghe Technology [1] - Other notable upstream companies mentioned are Chenghe Technology, Dongcai Technology, Feilihua, and Defu Technology [1] Additional Insights - The report suggests that last year's overseas trends could be mirrored in the domestic market this year, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [1]

Group 1 - Public mutual funds have distributed over 33 billion yuan in dividends this year, with equity funds accounting for nearly 80% of the total [1] - The increase in dividend distribution is attributed to policies, performance, industry transformation, and funding needs, marking a trend towards high-quality development in the industry [1] - The new registration of private MOM products has been halted due to regulatory concerns about potential deviations from active management [1] Group 2 - China's total electricity consumption has historically surpassed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours, equivalent to more than double the annual electricity consumption of the United States [1] - This milestone reflects a nearly doubled growth from approximately 5.5 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2015, indicating robust infrastructure development and a strengthened industrial advantage in the power sector [1] Group 3 - The Chinese AI industry is entering a new phase of commercial validation and large-scale application, with several companies recently listed on the Hong Kong and STAR markets [2] - Domestic chip manufacturers face challenges under Nvidia's ecosystem, prompting a focus on system efficiency and scene adaptability to enhance competitiveness [2] - Collaboration between chip and model companies is deemed crucial for the independent development of domestic AI [2] Group 4 - The production of World Cup-related sports goods in Yiwu has entered a critical phase as the 2026 FIFA World Cup approaches, with significant international demand observed [2] Group 5 - Alphabet, Google's parent company, reported a fourth-quarter net profit of $34.455 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.8%, with total revenue reaching $113.83 billion [4] - Google Cloud revenue grew by 48% year-on-year, indicating strong performance in the cloud segment [4] Group 6 - Texas Instruments announced an agreement to acquire Synaptics for $7.5 billion, with the transaction expected to be completed in the first half of 2027 [5] - The acquisition will provide Synaptics' investors with $231 in cash per share [5] Group 7 - Chang'an Automobile plans to repurchase shares worth between 1 billion and 2 billion yuan, with specific allocations for A-shares and B-shares [8]

Core Viewpoint - The combination of "domestic chips + autonomous models" holds long-term value, as evidenced by the recent success of the GLM-Image model developed by Zhizhu and Huawei, which topped the Hugging Face platform's Trending list shortly after its release [2][4]. Group 1: Model Development and Performance - GLM-Image is the first state-of-the-art (SOTA) model fully trained on domestic chips, utilizing Huawei's Ascend Atlas 800T A2 devices and MindSpore AI framework, demonstrating the feasibility of training cutting-edge models on domestic infrastructure [4][6]. - The model's architecture features an innovative "autoregressive + diffusion encoder" hybrid structure, which effectively addresses challenges in generating knowledge-intensive content such as posters and educational graphics [6][10]. - GLM-Image achieved open-source SOTA levels in text rendering, with a Word Accuracy score of 0.9116 and a Normalized Edit Distance (NED) score of 0.9557, outperforming other models in generating accurate text in images [8][9]. Group 2: Market Impact and Recognition - Following the release of GLM-Image, Zhizhu's stock price surged over 16% in a single day, reflecting the market's recognition of the long-term value of the "domestic chips + autonomous models" combination [4]. - Since its listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 8, Zhizhu's stock has increased by more than 100%, indicating strong investor confidence in its growth potential [4]. - CNBC highlighted that the development of GLM-Image challenges the narrative that advanced AI must rely on American chips, marking a significant shift in the global AI landscape [6]. Group 3: Industry Leadership and Future Prospects - Zhizhu has been a pioneer in promoting collaboration across the entire domestic AI industry chain, exemplified by the GLM-4.6 model's compatibility with domestic chips from Cambrian and Moore Threads, which significantly reduces inference costs while maintaining accuracy [10]. - The company's efforts position it as a leader in the global AI competition, driving the advancement of domestic AI technology on the world stage [10].

Core Insights - The article highlights the emergence of domestic AI models, particularly focusing on Xiaomi's MiMo-V2-Flash, which has shown significant advancements in efficiency and performance [1]. Group 1: MiMo-V2-Flash Overview - MiMo-V2-Flash was officially released and open-sourced on December 17, featuring a total parameter count of 309 billion and active parameters of 150 billion, utilizing a mixture of experts (MoE) architecture [1]. - The model achieves a remarkable inference speed of 150 tokens per second, with costs reduced to $0.1 per million tokens for input and $0.3 for output [1]. Group 2: Cost Efficiency Innovations - The model employs a hybrid sliding window attention mechanism, which significantly reduces the storage of KV cache by nearly six times while maintaining long text capabilities, supporting a context window of approximately 256k [9]. - MiMo-V2-Flash integrates a three-layer MTP setup, enhancing encoding task speed by about 2.5 times and addressing GPU idle time issues in small batch on-policy reinforcement learning [10]. - The model utilizes a multi-teacher online policy distillation (MOPD) approach, requiring only 1/50th of the computational power of traditional methods to achieve peak performance, allowing for faster model iterations and self-evolution [10]. Group 3: Competitive Positioning - MiMo-V2-Flash has achieved high rankings in benchmark tests, placing among the top two in the AIME 2025 mathematics competition and GPQA-Diamond science knowledge test, with a programming capability score of 73.4% in the SWE-bench Verified test [6][11]. - The model's performance is noted to be competitive with leading models, closely approaching GPT-5-High in programming tasks [6].

Group 1: Market Outlook Post 4100 Points - The A-share market has seen a significant rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising above 4100 points and daily trading volume exceeding 3 trillion yuan, indicating a "bottom release market" that has improved the market's profitability [2][11] - The overall outlook for 2026 remains positive, particularly for technology stocks in the first half, although a short-term adjustment is expected after the recent surge [2][11] - The previous strong performers, such as the optical module sector, may see a rebound, providing opportunities for investors during market corrections [2][11] Group 2: Domestic AI Trends - There is a consensus that 2026 will be a pivotal year for domestic AI, but this comes with challenges such as high expectations leading to elevated valuations and potential volatility in sectors like semiconductors and IDC [3][12] - Companies representing GPU technology must deliver on performance in the second half of 2026 to maintain current valuation levels [3][12] - The domestic cloud service providers face critical decisions regarding capital expenditure and the approach to domestic training and inference [3][12] Group 3: Hong Kong Stock Market Outlook - The Hong Kong stock market was disappointing in Q4 2025, but this could lead to better performance in 2026, especially if A-share funds flow into Hong Kong [4][13] - A potential influx of 10% of A-share capital into Hong Kong could double its trading activity, contingent on a favorable trading environment in A-shares [4][13] - Key unchanged factors include the demand for computing power and abundant global liquidity, while changes such as advancements in high-end GPU manufacturing and the emphasis on physical AI by companies like Nvidia and Tesla could impact market dynamics [4][13] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The market may experience short-term corrections, presenting excellent buying opportunities, particularly in sectors like optical modules represented by the AI ETF [5][14] - Suggested investment directions include focusing on products related to the Hong Kong market and the big data industry, which may see strong performance alongside semiconductor and AI sectors [5][6][14] - The big data ETF is expected to perform well, similar to the trends observed in the technology and AI sectors [6][14]

Group 1 - The core view is that the index may experience a pullback, but this will not change the upward trend, and the pullback provides an opportunity to focus on mid-cap blue chips in the chemical sector [2][10] Group 2 - Market analysis indicates that the index may have a pullback, which offers a chance for positioning; the recent performance of the Shanghai Composite Index aligns with previous expectations, and the pullback does not alter the overall upward trend [3][11] - Factors influencing investor sentiment include the rebound in the Hong Kong market and geopolitical events in South America, although the latter may lead to a short-term market correction [3][11] Group 3 - The investment opportunities are expected to arise in mid-cap blue chips with moderate risk characteristics, particularly in the cyclical sector, focusing on the chemical industry where supply optimization and improving profit margins are anticipated [3][12] Group 4 - The report highlights thematic investments in areas such as aerospace satellites, domestic AI, semiconductors, and nuclear fusion, with each sector showing potential for growth and investment opportunities [4][13] - The aerospace satellite sector remains a focal point, with ongoing IPO progress and various applications expected to accelerate [4][13] - Domestic AI is gaining attention as domestic computing power development accelerates amid challenges in overseas narratives [4][13] - The semiconductor industry is expected to see expansion and domestic substitution, with significant capital movements in key companies [4][13] - The nuclear fusion sector is anticipated to experience a series of industrial catalysts, moving from theoretical research to practical engineering, which is expected to generate substantial investment demand [4][13] Group 5 - The solid-state battery sector is noted for its prolonged adjustment period, with potential catalysts expected in the first quarter, making it a point of interest for investors [5][14]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened high on December 29, with the Hang Seng Index briefly surpassing 26,000 points, closing at 25,886.75 points, up 0.26% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose 1.6% to 5,587.24 points, while the National Enterprises Index increased by 0.77% to 8,983.59 points [1] - Major technology stocks generally performed well, with notable gains from companies like NetEase (up 2.63%) and Meituan (up 2.23%) [1] Sector Performance - Semiconductor stocks showed strength, with Shanghai Fudan rising over 8% and SMIC increasing by over 1% [1] - Automotive stocks surged, with NIO, XPeng, and BYD all gaining over 6% [1] - Copper stocks led the non-ferrous metals sector, with Jiangxi Copper rising by 10% [1] - Brain-computer interface concepts saw significant increases, with MicroPort Robotics up over 30% [1] - Paper industry stocks also performed well, with Nine Dragons Paper rising over 4% [1] - Gaming stocks declined, with MGM China dropping over 13% to a new low [1] Company News - Kuaishou-W repurchased 464,000 shares for approximately HKD 29.99 million at prices between HKD 64.05 and HKD 64.90 [2] - Bank of China issued CNY 50 billion in tier-2 capital bonds to supplement its capital base [2] - Weisheng Holdings entered an agreement with Boyu Capital for a total investment of CNY 380 million [2] - Green Leaf Pharmaceuticals granted exclusive commercialization rights for three long-acting antipsychotic products in mainland China [2] - Tencent repurchased 1.056 million shares for approximately HKD 636 million at prices between HKD 598 and HKD 604 [2] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities predicts that Hong Kong stocks may experience a second round of valuation recovery and performance revival by 2026, driven by internal and external economic factors [5] - Huatai Securities notes that while the market is currently in a left-side layout phase, there is strong anticipation for a spring rally, although year-end supply and demand pressures remain [6] - Galaxy Securities suggests that the technology sector remains a long-term investment focus, with potential rebounds expected due to favorable factors [6] - Qianhai Kaiyuan Fund's chief economist anticipates a slow bull market in Hong Kong stocks, driven by capital inflows and economic recovery [7]