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东吴证券晨会纪要-20250702
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-02 01:58
证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-07-02 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观量化经济指数周报 20250630:内需延续结构分化,外需保持总量平 稳 货币政策对"资金空转"的关注度依然较高,仍然偏重提高资金使用效率 海外周报 20250629:特朗普《大美丽法案》开始闯关参议院 核心观点:本周以伊冲突与贸易谈判局势缓和令美股大涨,美联储理事 Waller 与 Bowman 的鸽派发言与经济数据走弱令美债利率大幅走低,10 年期美债利率下至 4.277%,美元指数下行至 97.4;黄金与原油价格在避 险情绪大幅降温的情况下分别下跌 2.79%和 12.56%。在美国部分批发商 "抢进口"行为告一段落后,本月分析师大幅上修 Q2 美国 GDP 增速预 期,同时维持美联储 Q3 首次降息,全年降息 2 次的预期不变。向前看, 特朗普《大美丽法案》本周已于参议院进入最终审议阶段,在于 8 月中 下旬来临的 X Date 前提高债务上限的需要或令法案最终通过的 "Deadline"为 7 月 31 日。 风险提示:特朗普政策超预期;美联储降息 幅度过大引发通胀反弹甚 ...
能科科技(603859):工业软件和工业AI的领跑者,AIagent打造第二成长曲线
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-01 03:09
证券研究报告·公司深度研究·IT 服务Ⅱ 能科科技(603859) 工业软件和工业 AI 的领跑者,AI agent 打 造第二成长曲线 买入(首次) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 1,405 | 1,510 | 1,823 | 2,192 | 2,572 | | 同比(%) | 13.71 | 7.47 | 20.72 | 20.24 | 17.34 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 226.02 | 191.73 | 253.72 | 316.40 | 393.72 | | 同比(%) | 13.98 | (15.17) | 32.33 | 24.71 | 24.44 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.92 | 0.78 | 1.04 | 1.29 | 1.61 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 34.99 | 41.25 | 31.17 | 25.00 | 20.09 | [Table_T ...
能科科技(603859):工业软件产品稳健发展 AI业务加速
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 00:27
Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a revenue of 1.51 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.47%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 192 million, down 15.17% year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on the development of its industrial software product matrix, with significant growth in AI business and a strong partner ecosystem for future growth [2][3] Revenue Breakdown - Cloud products and services generated a revenue of 458 million in 2024, up 6.68% year-on-year, with a comprehensive offering of 12 industry packages, 36 sub-applications, and 156 industrial components [2] - Software systems and services saw a revenue decline to 316 million in 2024, down 39.92% year-on-year, as the company integrated various software tools and systems to provide full-process system services [2] - Industrial engineering and electrical products and services achieved a revenue of 456 million in 2024, up 6.70% year-on-year, focusing on digital production lines and high-power frequency converter technology [2] AI Business Growth - The company launched the "Ling Series" AI agent product system, achieving a revenue of 273 million in 2024, a remarkable increase of 1255.99% year-on-year [3] - The company signed two major contracts worth over 100 million each in 2024, marking a significant breakthrough in its AI business [3] - The company is enhancing its collaboration with partners like Huawei to develop multi-scenario solutions, covering industries such as heavy equipment, automotive, high-tech electronics, and general machinery, serving over 3,000 clients [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.76 billion, 2.07 billion, and 2.34 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.6%, 17.3%, and 13.2% [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.05, 1.22, and 1.41 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]